Table of Contents

Executive Summary

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION

Definitions

Methodology

The UK Economy

Abbreviations

Exchange Rates

MARKET SIZE

Market Overview and Trends, 1992-1996

Market Segmentation, 1992-1996

Overview

CCGT

CHP

Renewable Energy Power Generation Plant

Factors Affecting Demand

Forecast Market Overview, 1997-2001

Forecast Market Segmentation, 1997-2001

Overview

CCGT

CHP

Renewable Energy Power Generation Plant

GENERATION CAPACITY

GENERATION PROCESSES

Overview

Coal-Fired Plant

PFC

FBC

Coal Gasification

Topping Cycle

Emission Control Techniques

CCGT and OCGT Plant

Nuclear Plant

CHP Plant

Renewable Power Plant

FUEL SOURCING STRATEGIES

Introduction

Types of Fuel

Overview

Coal and Oil

Gas

Nuclear Power

EQUIPMENT SUPPLY INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Overview

Critical Success Factors

Company Profiles

ABB

Babcock King-Wilkinson (formerly Babcock Contractors)

Centrax

Dale Power Systems

European Gas Turbines

GEC Alsthom

General Electric Company (USA)

John Brown Engineering

Kvaerner Markham

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Europe

Mitsui Babcock Energy

NNC

Rolls-Royce Power Engineering

Senior Thermal Engineering

Siemens

Westinghouse Electric Corporation

Wind Energy Group

POWER GENERATION INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Introduction

Company Profiles

British Energy

Eastern Electricity

Magnox Electric

National Power

PowerGen

Scottish Power

Scottish Hydro-Electric

Independent Power Generators

TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

MAGAZINES

List of Tables

1 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1988-1997

2 Exchange Rates, 1991-1995

3 The UK Market For Power Generation Plant, 1992-1996

4 The UK Market For Power Generation Plant, By Sector, 1992-1996

5 The UK Market For CCGT Plant, By Type, 1992-1996

6 Total UK Power Generation Plant Capacity Of The Major Power Producers, By Type, 1992-1996

7 UK Installed CHP, By Sector, 1995

8 The UK Market For Industrial CHP Generation Plant, By Type, 1992-1996

9 CHP Equipment Installed, By Type Of Fuel, 1995

10 Total UK Capacity Of Industrial CHP Generation Plant, By Type, 1992-1996

11 The UK Market For Renewable Energy Power Generation Plant, By Type, 1992-1996

12 Total UK Renewable Energy Power Generation Plant Capacity, By Type, 1992-1996

13 Forecast UK Market For Power Generation Plant, 1997-2001

14 Forecast UK Market For Power Generation Plant, By Sector, 1997-2001

15 Forecast UK Market For CCGT Plant, By Type, 1997-2001

16 Forecast Total CCGT Power Generation Plant Capacity, By Type, 1997-2001

17 Forecast UK Market For Industrial CHP Generation Plant, By Type, 1997-2001

18 Forecast Total UK Capacity Of Industrial CHP Generation Plant, By Type, 1997-2001

19 Forecast UK Market For Renewable Energy Power Generation Plant, By Type, 1997-2001

20 Status Of NFFO3 Renewable Energy Projects, By Technology Band

21 Forecast Total UK Renewable Energy Power Generation Plant Capacity, By Type, 1997-2001

22 Forecast Peak Demand Energy Requirement And Available Generating Capacity, 1996-2001

23 New Generation Projects Not Under Construction For Which Section 36 Consent Is Under Consideration, 1996

24 Forecast Total Plant Capacity, By Type Of Plant, 1997-2001

25 UK Power Generation Plant Capacity, By Type, 1992-1996

26 Environmental Impact Of 'Clean Coal' And CCGT Generation Processes

27 Thermal Efficiency Of "Clean Coal" And CCGT Generation Processes

28 Fuel Utilisation In The UK Power Generation Industry By Major Power Producers, By Type, 1992-1996

29 Financial Summary Of ABB, 1991-1995

30 Orders Received In The Power Generation Division Of ABB, By Type Of Business, 1994 And 1995

31 Financial Summary Of Babcock King-Wilkinson, 1991-1995

32 Financial Summary Of Babcock King-Wilkinson, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

33 Financial Summary Of Centrax, 1991-1995

34 Turnover Of Centrax, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

35 Financial Summary Of TT Group, 1994 And 1995

36 Financial Summary Of European Gas Turbines, 1992-1996

37 Turnover Of European Gas Turbines, By Geographical Region, 1995 And 1996

38 Financial Summary Of GEC Alsthom, 1991-1995

39 Turnover Of GEC Alsthom, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

40 Financial Summary Of General Electric Company (USA), 1991-1995

41 Turnover Of General Electric Company (USA), By Class Of Business, 1994 And 1995

42 Financial Summary Of John Brown Engineering, 1992-1995

43 Financial Summary Of Markham & Company, 1991-1995

44 Turnover Of Markham & Company, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

45 Operating Profits (Loss) Of Markham & Company, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

46 Financial Summary Of Babcock Energy, 1991-1995

47 Financial Summary Of NNC, 1992-1996

48 Financial Summary Of Rolls-Royce Power Engineering, 1991-1995

49 Turnover Of Rolls-Royce Power Engineering, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

50 Financial Summary Of Senior Thermal Engineering, 1991-1995

51 Turnover Of Senior Thermal Engineering, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

52 Financial Summary Of Siemens, 1991-1995

53 Financial Summary Of Westinghouse Electric Corporation Power Systems Division, 1993-1995

54 Financial Summary Of Wind Energy Group, 1991-1995

55 Financial Analysis Of Wind Energy Group, By Geographical Region, 1994 And 1995

56 Market Shares In Electricity Generation, By Company 1990 And 1996

57 Power Stations Owned By British Energy, 1996

58 Financial Summary Of Eastern Group, 1992-1996

59 Power Stations Owned By Magnox Electric, 1996

60 Age And Capacity Of National Power's UK Power Stations, 1996

61 Age And Capacity Of PowerGen's UK Power Stations, 1996

62 Sources Of Electricity Traded By Scottish Hydro-Electric, 1995 And 1996

63 Capital Expenditure By Scottish Hydro-Electric, 1995 And 1996

64 Power Stations Owned By Independent Generators, 1995

List of Diagrams

1 Structure Of The Electricity Industry In Great Britain, 1997

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

MSI believe that combined cycle gas turbine plant has been the most buoyant sector of the UK power generation equipment market during the review period. There are several major reasons why this has occurred:

- low gas prices

- increased environmental legislation

- increases in generating capacity have been required

- quickly and cheaply

Combined cycle gas turbine plant is typically cheaper and faster to build than other forms of power generation plant. As developing capacity with low capital investment and with a short payback time have been key purchase criteria in recent years, demand for combined cycle gas turbine plant has increased. MSI believe that in order to get quickly established in the UK electricity generation market after privatisation, many generators invested in combined cycle gas turbine plant.

MSI estimate that the value of the UK market for power generation plant was increased strongly in 1996 to reach £1.08 billion, representing the beginning of a second "dash for gas" phase, albeit a more modest one than the first.

MSI believe that investment in some renewable sources, notably hydro power, has been constrained in recent years because of environmental concerns. Although investment in wind farms has been significant during the review period, wind farms are perceived by many as being too noisy. Moreover, there have also been objections to wind farms on aesthetic grounds as suitable sites for wind farms are often in areas of outstanding natural beauty. Investment in hydro power plant has been constrained for several reasons including the limited number of suitable sites for large scale hydro stations and the difficulty in getting funding. Hydro power stations are believed to provide very low cost electricity once the capital costs have been repaid. However, this takes a long time and the electricity is relatively costly in the short term.

The relaxation of the regulations that govern the supply of electricity in the UK has boosted the industrial combined heat and power plant market in recent years because many sites that would not have been considered previously, have now been made viable. MSI believe that the gas turbine combined heat and power plant market has shown the most growth in value terms during the period 1992 to 1996.

MSI believe the Office of Electricity Regulation has a key influence on demand for power generation plant in the UK. The Director General of Electricity Supply has sought to increase competition in the industry, which has made investment in some plant more attractive than others.

The structure of the UK electricity generation industry has changed significantly over the review period. The market share of the former nationalised companies, National Power and PowerGen, has declined with regional electricity companies and independent suppliers increasing their share of the generation market.

The structure of the power generation plant industry consists of a relatively small number of companies that operate on a global basis. MSI believe that this is due to the economies of scale and the high research and development costs that are required. Nevertheless there are a myriad of smaller companies supplying power generation plant with a capacity of just a few megawatts.

Text © 1997 MSI

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