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MS75009 MSI HOSPITAL SUPPLIES: UK: JANUARY 1999

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
Definitions
Methodology
The UK Economy
Overview
Political Climate
Interest Rates
Inflation
Exchange Rates
Taxation
Consumer Expenditure
Output
Investment
Forecasts
Abbreviations
STRUCTURE OF THE UK HEALTH SERVICE
Development of the UK Health Service
Current Structure of the UK Public Healthcare Sector
Current Structure of the UK Private Healthcare Sector
New Structure of the UK Health Service From April 1999
New Structure of the Health Service in England
New Structure of the Health Service in Scotland
New Structure of the Health Service in Wales
HOSPITAL SUPPLIES MARKET
Market Size and Trends, 1994-1998
Market Overview
Medical Equipment
Pharmaceuticals
Medical Consumables
Non-Medical Products
Factors Affecting Demand
Market Forecasts, 1999-2003
Overview
Medical Equipment
Pharmaceuticals
Medical Consumables
Non-Medical Products
PURCHASING STRATEGIES
NHS Hospitals
Expenditure and Trends, 1994-1998
Purchase Criteria
Changing Role of the NHS Supplies Authority
Forecast Expenditure, 1999-2003
Independent Acute Hospitals
Expenditure and Trends, 1994-1998
Forecast Expenditure, 1999-2003
OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUPPLIERS
Medical Equipment
Market Size and Trends
Market Forecasts
Pharmaceuticals
Market Size and Trends, 1994-1998
Market Forecasts, 1999-2003
Medical Consumables
Market Size and Trends, 1994-1998
Market Forecasts, 1999-2003
Non-Medical Products
Market Size and Trends, 1994-1998
Forecast Expenditure, 1999-2003
SUPPLY INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Overview
Medical Equipment
Medical Consumables
Pharmaceuticals
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND ORGANISATIONS
MAGAZINES
LIST OF TABLES
1 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1990-1999
2 Number Of Practices Entering Fundholding, And Total Number Of Fundholding Practices, 1991-1998
3 A Comparison Of The Commissioning Plans For GP Modernisation, By Country, 1998
4 UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Hospital Supplies, 1994-1998
5 UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Medical Equipment, 1994-1998
6 UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Pharmaceuticals , 1994-1998
7 Hospital Bed Days And Estimated Annual Hospital Savings In England, By Use Of Advanced Drugs, 1990-1995
8 UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Medical Consumables, 1994-1998
9 UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Non-Medical Products, 1994-1998
10 Number Of FCEs And Average Length Of Stay Of Acute In-Patients In England, 1993-1997
11 Decadal Change In The Age Distribution Of The UK Population, 1983-2031
12 Number Of Staff Employed In NHS Hospitals In The UK, By Category, 1993-1997
13 Forecast UK Expenditure On Hospital Supplies, 1999-2003
14 Forecast UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Medical Equipment, 1999-2003
15 Forecast UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Pharmaceuticals, 1999-2003
16 Forecast UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Medical Consumables, 1999-2003
17 Forecast UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Non-Medical Products, 1999-2003
18 NHS Hospitals' Expenditure On Supplies, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
19 NHS Hospitals' Expenditure On Supplies, By Product Sector And Country, 1998
20 Forecast NHS Expenditure On Supplies, By Product Sector, 1999-2003
21 UK Independent Acute Hospitals' Expenditure On Supplies , By Product Sector, 1994-1998
22 Number Of PMI Subscribers And The Number Of Claims As A percentage Of Subscriptions In The UK, 1992-1996
23 Forecast UK Independent Acute Hospitals' Expenditure On Supplies, 1999-2003
24 Hospital Expenditure On Medical Equipment, By Hospital Sector, 1994-1998
25 NHS Hospitals' Expenditure On Medical Equipment In England, By Type, 1993-1997
26 Forecast Hospital Expenditure On Medical Equipment, By Hospital Sector, 1999-2003
27 Hospital Expenditure On Pharmaceuticals , By Hospital Sector, 1994-1998
28 Cost Comparison Of Generic And Branded Prescriptions Dispensed In England, 1991-1995
29 Estimated In-Patient Treatment Cost Of Various Diseases To NHS Hospitals In The UK, 1991-1996
30 Forecast Hospital Expenditure On Pharmaceuticals, By Hospital Sector, 1999-2003
31 Hospital Expenditure On Medical Consumables, By Hospital, 1994-1998
32 Forecast Hospital Expenditure On Medical Consumables, By Hospital Sector, 1999-2003
33 Hospital Expenditure On Non-Medicals Products, By Hospital Sector, 1994-1998
34 Expenditure By NHS Trusts In England On Bedding, Furniture And Office Equipment, 1994-1998
35 Hospital Expenditure On Contract Catering By NHS Trusts In England, 1994-1998
36 Hospital Expenditure On Clothing By NHS Trusts In England, By Product, 1994-1998
37 Hospital Expenditure On Computer Hardware & Maintenance By NHS Trusts In England , By Type , 1994-1998
38 Forecast Hospital Expenditure On Non-Medical Products By Hospital Sector, 1999-2003
LIST OF DIAGRAMS
1 Gross NHS Cost Per Capita And GDP Per Capita, 1973-1998
2 Accountability And Structure Of Public Healthcare, In England, 1997
3 Proposed Accountability And Structure Of Public Healthcare, In England, 1998/99
4 percentage Breakdown Of The Market For UK Hospital Supplies, By Sector, 1998
5 Estimated Breakdown Of NHS Revenue Expenditure, By Age Group, 1998
6 UK Hospitals' Expenditure On Hospital Supplies, By Product Type, 1994-2003
7 Number Of FCEs Per Available Bed In The UK, 1987-1998

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hospital expenditure on supplies has now reached over 4.9 billion in 1998, resulting from a 31 percent rise in spending over the last five years. Some 91 percent of this total expenditure comes from NHS hospitals, with the remainder being due to independent hospitals.

Medical equipment accounts for 39 percent of total hospital expenditure, with pharmaceuticals accounting for a further 28 percent of expenditure. Medical consumables accounted for some 11 percent of the total, with non-medical products accounting for the remainder of hospital expenditure.

Additional funding which will allow an increase in hospital throughput is expected to result in significantly higher spending over the coming few years. Hospital expenditure is expected to rise by 8 percent in 1999, and by almost 50 percent between 1999 and 2003.

The strongest growth in expenditure is expected to come from pharmaceuticals, with expenditure on medical equipment also forecast to out-perform the market.

Opportunities for suppliers of medical equipment are expected to arise from the completion of PFI-funded hospitals.

An increase in the use of day-case surgery is expected to further boost the market for a wide range of medical and pharmaceutical products.

Changes in the structure of the NHS and the abolition of the `internal market' will have an impact on the way in which hospitals purchase their supplies.

Further major changes are expected in hospital purchasing due to the changing importance of risk assessment and the assessment of value for money in the purchase decision, while in the shorter-term the need to ensure Year 2000 compliance will also drive some sales. Conversion to accounting systems based on the EURO will also become a priority.

Changes to the NHS Supplies Authority will result in the Authority taking a more proactive role within the health services supplies management, and will impact on the hospital supply chain.

Text © 1999 MSI

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