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| Overview |

| Table of Contents | ||
| 1 | Executive Summary | 1 |
| 2 | INTRODUCTION | 3 |
| 2.1 | Definitions | 3 |
| 2.2 | Economic Background | 7 |
| 2.2.1 | Overview | 7 |
| 2.2.2 | Interest Rates | 8 |
| 2.2.3 | Inflation | 9 |
| 2.2.4 | Exchange Rates | 9 |
| 2.2.5 | Taxation | 10 |
| 2.2.6 | Household Income And Consumer Expenditure | 11 |
| 2.2.7 | Manufacturing Output | 12 |
| 2.2.8 | Services | 13 |
| 2.2.9 | Investment | 13 |
| 2.2.10 | Forecasts | 14 |
| 2.3 | Methodology | 15 |
| 2.4 | Exchange Rates | 15 |
| 2.5 | Abbreviations | 15 |
| 3 | TRANSPORT IN THE UK | 18 |
| 4 | MARKET Overview AND Trends | 22 |
| 4.1 | Overview | 22 |
| 4.2 | ITS Applications In The UK | 24 |
| 4.2.1 | Overview | 24 |
| 4.2.2 | Traffic Management | 24 |
| 4.2.3 | Pre-Trip Information And In-Car Navigation And Guidance Systems | 30 |
| 4.2.3.1 | Introduction | 30 |
| 4.2.3.2 | Public Information Services | 31 |
| 4.2.3.3 | Pre-Trip Information In Public Places | 32 |
| 4.2.3.4 | On-Board Route Information Service | 33 |
| 4.2.3.5 | Global Positioning Systems (GPS) | 35 |
| 4.2.4 | Payment Systems | 36 |
| 4.2.4.1 | Electronic Toll Collection | 36 |
| 4.2.4.2 | Electronic Ticketing | 38 |
| 4.2.5 | Road Safety & Incident Management | 38 |
| 4.2.6 | Freight And Fleet Management | 41 |
| 5 | ITS PROJECTS | 44 |
| 5.1 | European Projects | 44 |
| 5.1.1 | Overview | 44 |
| 5.1.2 | Traffic Management | 44 |
| 5.1.3 | Driver Information | 45 |
| 5.1.4 | Driver Assistance And Vehicle Control | 45 |
| 5.1.5 | Payment Systems | 45 |
| 5.2 | Examples Of ITS Projects In The UK | 46 |
| 5.2.1 | General Overview | 46 |
| 5.2.2 | Countdown: Real Time Bus Stop Information | 46 |
| 5.2.3 | The Midlands Driver Information Service (MDIS) | 47 |
| 5.2.4 | Prestige Project | 48 |
| 5.2.5 | The ROMANSE Project | 50 |
| 5.2.6 | Thelwall Area Driver Information System (TARDIS) | 52 |
| 6 | MARKET DRIVERS | 54 |
| 6.1 | Overview | 54 |
| 6.2 | Investment In Transport Infrastructure | 57 |
| 6.3 | Key Drivers In The Automobile Industry | 65 |
| 6.3.1 | Overview | 65 |
| 6.3.2 | Cars | 66 |
| 6.3.3 | Commercial Vehicles | 68 |
| 7 | Future Developments | 70 |
| 8 | INDUSTRY STRUCTURE | 75 |
| 8.1 | Overview | 75 |
| 8.2 | Company Profiles | 76 |
| 8.2.1 | Advanced Communications & Information Systems | 76 |
| 8.2.2 | Global Telematics | 77 |
| 8.2.3 | Golden River Traffic | 79 |
| 8.2.4 | Peek Traffic | 80 |
| 8.2.5 | RAM Mobile Data | 82 |
| 8.2.6 | Rolls-Royce Industrial Controls | 84 |
| 8.2.7 | Sema Group | 86 |
| 8.2.8 | Serco | 88 |
| 8.2.9 | Siemens Traffic Controls | 90 |
| 8.2.10 | Trafficmaster | 92 |
| 9 | MAGAZINES | 94 |
| 10 | TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND REPRESENTATIVE BODIES | 95 |
| 11 | GOVERNMENT BODIES | 97 |
| List of Tables | |
| 1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1995-2002 | 8 |
| 2. UK Road Traffic, By Vehicle Type, 1995-1999 | 18 |
| 3. UK Motor Vehicle Traffic, By Road Class, 1995-1999 | 19 |
| 4. Forecast UK Market For Traffic Management Equipment, 2001-2005 | 25 |
| 5. Forecast UK Market For Public Transport Travel And Traffic Information Equipment, 2001 And 2005 | 32 |
| 6. Forecast UK Market For Freight And Fleet Management, 2001 And 2005 | 42 |
| 7. Public And Private Expenditure On Transport In The UK, By Transport Mode, 1997-2001 | 58 |
| 8. Total Planned Future Public Expenditure On Strategic Roads, 2001-02 To 2010-11 | 60 |
| 9. Total Planned Future Private Expenditure On Strategic Roads, 2001-02 To 2010-11 | 61 |
| 10. UK Production Of Cars, 1996-2001 | 66 |
| 11. UK New Car Registrations, 1996-2001 | 68 |
| 12. UK Production Of Commercial Vehicles, 1996-2001 | 69 |
| 13. UK New Commercial Vehicle Registrations, 1996-2001 | 69 |
| 14. Financial Summary Of Advanced Communications & Information Systems, 1996-2000 | 77 |
| 15. Financial Summary Of Global Telematics, 1998-2000 | 78 |
| 16. Turnover Of Global Telematics, By Geographical Region, 1999 And 2000 | 79 |
| 17. Financial Summary Of Golden River Traffic, 1999 And 2000 | 80 |
| 18. Turnover Of Golden River Traffic, By Geographical Region, 1999 And 2000 | 80 |
| 19. Financial Summary Of Peek Traffic, 1995-1999 | 81 |
| 20. Turnover Of Peek Traffic, By Geographical Region, 1998 And 1999 | 82 |
| 21. Financial Summary Of RAM Mobile Data, 1995-1999 | 83 |
| 22. Financial Summary Of Rolls-Royce Power Engineering, 1995-1999 | 84 |
| 23. Turnover Of Rolls-Royce Power Engineering, By Geographical Region, 1998 And 1999 | 85 |
| 24. Financial Summary Of Sema Group, 1995-1999 | 86 |
| 25. Turnover Of Sema Group, By Area Of Activity, 1998 And 1999 | 87 |
| 26. Turnover Of Sema Group, By Geographical Region, 1998 And 1999 | 88 |
| 27. Financial Summary Of Serco, 1995-1999 | 89 |
| 28. Turnover Of Serco, By Class Of Business, 1998 And 1999 | 89 |
| 29. Turnover Of Serco Group, By Geographical Region, 1998 And 1999 | 90 |
| 30. Turnover Of Siemens UK Transportation Division, 1996-1999 | 91 |
| 31. Financial Summary Of Trafficmaster, 1995-1999 | 92 |
| 32. Turnover Of Trafficmaster, By Geographical Region, 1998 And 1999 | 93 |
MSI believe that the development and utilisation of ITS applications and technologies has increased substantially over the past ten years due largely to advances in electronic and communication technologies. In the same period, applications in road transport technologies have accelerated rapidly and are expected to continue to do so as technologies continue to develop to satisfy the demands and expectations of motorists.
Between 1996 and 2000 the market for RDS in the UK has grown significantly. Also, over the same period there has been the development of the GSM network where there have been a number of new services emerging, the most notable including:
| · | digital radio broadcasting |
| · | two-way communication by satellite |
The market for traffic management equipment is expected to increase significantly between 2000 and 2010. MSI believe that this increase will be largely attributable to increased investment over this period by the UK government to relieve congestion on the UK road network.
MSI believe that there are a number of factors that are expected to further stimulate demand for ITS applications in the UK, the most notable including :
| · | growth in the mobile communications sector |
| · | technological developments |
| · | economic growth |
| · | social trends |
| · | implementation by public transport operators |
| · | improved efficiency of motor vehicles |
| · | investment in the transport infrastructure |
| · | implementation by the automotive industry |
The perception of the general public towards ITS is a key component to the commercial success of ITS technology. Indeed, to guarantee the distribution of a technology, the relationship between the service offered and product price is very important. This implies that, although important, technologically advanced products and innovation alone may not be key market drivers.
The compatibility of equipment and the standardisation of data transmission is another significant factor concerning the economic viability of ITS products. At the time of writing, significant efforts were being made on a national and European scale regarding standardisation to enlarge the market for ITS technologies. MSI believe if standardisation is not achieved it could result in the loss of market shares for the European industry and a delay in the deployment of ITS applications.
Due to an increasing number of automotive manufacturers planning to fit ITS equipment into new vehicles, MSI believe a key route to the market for manufacturers of ITS products is through the automotive industry. Indeed, by working closely with the automotive industry, manufacturers of ITS products will be able to provide solutions for vehicles and will subsequently have a positive effect on sales of their products.
The largest ITS investment is forecast to be on road transport applications. Indeed, such is the potential demand for traveller information and guidance systems that it will drive the entire ITS market. Moreover, MSI believe that other areas of increased demand include advanced vehicle control systems, where demand for collision avoidance and automated intelligent cruise control equipment is expected to increase.
MSI believe that in-car navigational systems are the devices that will guide all future road users, even on the minor road networks and across international barriers. Indeed, falling prices and an increase in practicality mean that such systems will soon be as universally accepted as mobile phones have become.
MSI forecast that demand for fleet management systems is expected to increase further. Fleet management systems cover public transport, taxis and commercial vehicles and have significant potential for rationalising personal and freight movement.
Text © 2001 MSI
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Last updated by Paul Tucker 11th March 2001