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MS55000 MSI HOTELS: UK: MARCH 2000

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Companies covered include:

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK hotel market is believed to have increased by some 3 percent in 1999 to reach an estimated value of £13.6 billion (euro21.1 billion). The market has grown throughout the review period, increasing by 16 percent between 1995 and 1999.

MSI estimate that the total number of hotels operating in the UK increased by 2 percent to 22,033 in 1999, with a significant proportion of this increase being related to the expansion of the budget hotel sector. A trend towards larger hotels is evident. Indeed, the total number of hotel bedrooms increased by 7 percent in 1999, exceeding the growth rate in terms of the number of hotels.

MSI believe that the largest proportion of hotel accommodation in the UK is accounted for by independent hotels, though independent hotels' share of the market is believed to have declined during the review period to account for 75 percent in 1999. This decline is believed to be due to the continued expansion of the larger chains of hotels, particularly in the budget sector.

The UK hotel market is principally affected by changes in the domestic economy which in turn influence consumer and business expenditure. Such factors include interest rates, unemployment levels and disposable incomes. The hotel market is also affected by trends in the international economy, particularly exchange rates. Other factors affecting the market include social and demographic trends, domestic and international tourism, changes in technology, government policy, legislation and political factors. MSI believe that the positive effects of the economic upturn are countered by the enduring strength of Sterling against most European and Far Eastern currencies.

MSI forecast that increased confidence in the UK economic recovery in 2000 will result in more short breaks and business trips, whilst economic recovery in Europe and the Far East and sustained economic growth in the USA are forecast to gradually lead to more favourable exchange rates for international tourists. However, the rate of growth in the hotel market is expected to peak at 6 percent in 2002 before slowing, reflecting the fact that economic growth is forecast to slow down and investment and consumer spending are expected to decline. MSI expect that the number of hotels operating in the UK will grow by 2 percent during 2000, with the greatest emphasis placed on the construction of budget hotels in urban areas.

Capital expenditure levels by hotels have remained relatively buoyant during the review period. The effects of an economic downturn during the period, which significantly affected the value of the UK hotel market, had less effect upon capital expenditure as certain sectors of the industry expanded. In particular, a comparative lack of budget hotels and lodges presented many opportunities for new construction.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION

Definitions

Methodology

Economic Background

Political Climate

Interest Rates

Inflation

Exchange Rates

Taxation

Household Income and Consumer Expenditure

Manufacturing Output

Services

Investment

Forecasts

Exchange Rates

Abbreviations

MARKET SIZE

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999

Market Segmentation

Factors Affecting Demand

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

Overview

Forecast Market Segmentation

GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS

HOTEL OCCUPANCY RATES

CAPITAL EXPENDITURE

Overview

Segmentation

OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUPPLIERS

CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Overview

Market Shares

Company Profiles

Accor

Bass (Bass Hotels & Resorts)

Friendly Hotels

Granada Group

The Greenalls Group

Hilton Group (formerly Ladbroke Group)

Jarvis Hotels

Macdonald Hotels

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels

Queens Moat Houses

Regal Hotel Group

Thistle Hotels

Whitbread

TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND ORGANISATIONS

TOURIST BOARDS

MAGAZINES

LIST OF TABLES

1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1992-2000

2. The UK Hotel Market, 1995-1999

3. Number Of Trips Taken In The UK, 1995-1999

4. Tourism Expenditure In The UK, 1995-1999

5. UK Hotel Accommodation, By Number Of Hotels And Bedrooms, 1995-1999

6. UK Hotel Accommodation, By Type, 1999

7. Forecast UK Hotels Market, 2000-2004

8. Forecast UK Hotels Accommodation, By Number Of Hotels And Bedrooms, 2000-2004

9. Forecast UK Hotel Accommodation, By Type, 2000-2004

10. UK Hotel Stock, By Country, 1999

11. Average Occupancy Rates Of Hotels In The UK, By Country, 1995-1999

12. The Key Tourism Markets Of Northern Ireland, By Country Of Origin, 1998

13. Capital Expenditure By Hotels In The Uk, 1995-1999

14. UK Capital Expenditure By Hotels In The UK, By Type Of Hotel, 1995-1999

15. Capital Expenditure By Selected Hotel Groups, 1998 And 1999

16. Expenditure On Advertising By The Hotel Industry, By Company, 1999

17. Hotel Stock Of Selected Hotel Companies In The UK, 1999

18. UK Supply Of Selected Budget Hotels, By Brand, 1999

19. Financial Summary Of Accor, 1995-1998

20. Turnover Of Accor, By Activity, 1995-1998

21. Hotel Portfolio Of Accor, By Geographical Region, 1999

22. Hotel Portfolio Of Accor, By Brand, 1999

23. Financial Summary Of Bass, 1995-1999

24. UK Portfolio Of Bass Hotels & Resorts, By Brand, 1999

25. Financial Summary Of Bass, By Division, 1998 And 1999

26. Financial Summary Of Friendly Hotels, 1994-1998

27. Financial Summary Of Friendly Hotels, By Geographical Region, 1997 And 1998

28. Financial Summary Of Granada Group, 1995-1999

29. Financial Summary Of The Greenalls Group, 1995-1999

30. Financial Summary Of The Greenalls Group, By Business, 1998 And 1999

31. Financial Summary Of Hilton Group, 1994-1998

32. Financial Summary Of Hilton Group, By Region, 1997 And 1998

33. Financial Summary Of Jarvis Hotels, 1995-1999

34. Financial Summary Of Macdonald Hotels, 1995-1999

35. Financial Summary Of Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, 1995-1998

36. Financial Summary Of Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, By Region, 1997 And 1998

37. Financial Summary Of Queens Moat Houses, 1994-1998

38. Financial Summary Of Regal Hotel Group, 1994-1998

39. Financial Summary Of Thistle Hotels, 1994-1998

40. Turnover Of Thistle Hotels, By UK Region, 1997 And 1998

41. Financial Summary Of Whitbread, 1995-1999

42. Financial Summary Of Whitbread, By Division, 1998 And 1999

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 10th April 2000