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MS45141 MSI URBAN REGENERATION: UK: JUNE 2001

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This report covers: Urban regeneration, urban problems, government policy, European policy, England, Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland, capital expenditure, capex, regional segmentation, funding type, market drivers, economic indicators, economic status, London funding, North West, Yorkshire, Humber, North East, West Midlands, South East, East Midlands, South West, East, Scotland regions, new housing targets, deprived areas, Social Inclusion Partnerships, Single Regeneration Budget, Scottish Homes, Objective 1 area, Welsh Development Agency, building regulations, environmental factors

Companies covered include: Alfred McAlpine, AMEC, Berkley Group, Chesterton International, ERM, FPD Savills, John Laing, John Mowlem & Company, Persimmon, Wilson Bowden Developments, WS Atkins, Beazer Group

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
2 INTRODUCTION 3
2.1 Definitions 3
2.2 Methodology 5
2.3 UK Economy 5
2.3.1 Overview 5
2.3.2 Interest Rates 7
2.3.3 Inflation 8
2.3.4 Household Income And Expenditure 8
2.3.5 Services And Manufacturing Output 9
2.3.6 Forecasts 9
2.4 Exchange Rates 10
2.5 Abbreviations 10
3 POLICY AND IMPLEMENTATION 12
3.1 Overview 12
3.2 Urban Problems 12
3.3 Government Policy 15
3.4 European Policy 16
3.5 Government Bodies 18
3.5.1 England 18
3.5.2 Scotland 20
3.5.3 Wales 21
3.5.4 Northern Ireland 21
4 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE 24
4.1 Overview, 1996-2000 24
4.2 Regional Segmentation Of Capital Expenditure 25
4.2.1 Overview 25
4.2.2 English Regions 29
4.2.3 By Funding Type 32
4.2.3.1 England 32
4.2.3.2 English Regions 36
4.2.3.3 Scotland 54
4.2.3.4 Wales 57
4.2.3.5 Northern Ireland 59
4.3 Factors Affecting Investment 61
4.4 Forecast Capital Expenditure, 2001-2005 64
4.5 Forecast Regional Segmentation Of Capital Expenditure 66
4.5.1 Overview 66
4.5.2 English Regions 67
4.5.3 By Funding Type 69
4.5.3.1 England 69
4.5.3.2 Scotland 72
4.5.3.3 Wales 74
4.5.3.4 Northern Ireland 75
5 MARKET DRIVERS 79
6 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 87
6.1 Overview 87
6.2 Company Profiles 88
6.2.1 Alfred McAlpine 88
6.2.1.1 Overview 88
6.2.1.2 Business Profile 89
6.2.2 Amec 89
6.2.2.1 Overview 89
6.2.2.2 Business Profile 90
6.2.3 The Berkley Group 91
6.2.3.1 Overview 91
6.2.3.2 Business Profile 92
6.2.4 Chesterton International 93
6.2.4.1 Overview 93
6.2.4.2 Business Profile 94
6.2.5 ERM 94
6.2.5.1 Overview 94
6.2.5.2 Business Profile 95
6.2.6 FPDSavills 97
6.2.6.1 Overview 97
6.2.6.2 Business Profile 97
6.2.7 John Laing 98
6.2.7.1 Overview 98
6.2.7.2 Business Profile 99
6.2.8 John Mowlem & Company 101
6.2.8.1 Overview 101
6.2.8.2 Business Profile 101
6.2.9 Persimmon 104
6.2.9.1 Overview 104
6.2.9.2 Business Profile 104
6.2.10 Wilson Bowden Developments 106
6.2.10.1 Overview 106
6.2.10.2 Business Profile 107
6.2.11 WS Atkins 107
6.2.11.1 Overview 107
6.2.11.2 Business Profile 108
7 MAGAZINES 111
8 TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 113
9 GOVERNMENT BODIES 115

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LIST OF TABLES

1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1995-2002 7
2. Population Trends In Great Britain, By Type Of Settlement, 1951-1997 13
3. Economic Status Of Heads Of Households In England, By Type Of Area, 1999 14
4. Satisfaction Of The English Population With Local Area, By Type Of Area, 1999 15
5. UK Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration, 1996-2000 24
6. UK Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration, By Region, 1996-2000 26
7. Regeneration Expenditure On Quality Of Life Initiatives In The Four Partnership Areas, 1989/90-1998/1999 28
8. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In England, By Region, 1996-2000 31
9. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In England, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 33
10. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In England, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 35
11. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In London, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 36
12. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In London, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 37
13. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In The North West, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 39
14. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In The North West, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 40
15. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In Yorkshire And The Humber, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 41
16. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In Yorkshire And The Humber, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 42
17. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In The North East, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 43
18. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In The North East, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 44
19. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In The West Midlands, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 45
20. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In The West Midlands, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 46
21. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In The South East, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 47
22. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In The South East, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 48
23. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In The East Midlands, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 49
24. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In The East Midlands, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 50
25. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In The South West, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 51
26. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In The South West, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 52
27. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In The East, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 53
28. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In The East, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 54
29. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In Scotland, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 55
30. Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In Scotland, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 56
31. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In Wales, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 58
32. Other Funding Sources For Urban Regeneration In Wales, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 59
33. Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In Northern Ireland, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 60
34. Other Funding Sources For Urban Regeneration In Northern Ireland, By Type Of Funding, 1996-2000 61
35. Forecast UK Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration, 2001-2005 65
36. Forecast UK Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration, By Region, 2001-2005 66
37. Forecast Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In England, By Region, 2001-2005 68
38. Forecast Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In England, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 70
39. Forecast Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In England, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 72
40. Forecast Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration, In Scotland, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 73
41. Forecast Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In Scotland, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 73
42. Forecast Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In Wales, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 74
43. Forecast Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In Wales, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 75
44. New Housing Targets In Northern Ireland Between 2000 And 2010 76
45. Forecast Capital Expenditure On Urban Regeneration In Northern Ireland, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 77
46. Forecast Other Funding Types For Urban Regeneration In Northern Ireland, By Type Of Funding, 2001-2005 78
47. The 20 Most Deprived Districts In England, By Type Of Deprivation, 2000 84
48. Financial Summary Of Alfred McAlpine, 1996-2000 89
49. Financial Summary Of AMEC, 1996-2000 91
50. Financial Summary Of The Berkley Group, 1996-2000 92
51. Financial Summary Of Chesterton International, 1996-2000 94
52. Financial Summary Of ERM, 1996-2000 96
53. Turnover Of ERM, By Geographical Destination, 1999 And 2000 96
54. Financial Summary Of FPDSavills, 1996-2000 98
55. Financial Summary Of John Laing, 1996-2000 99
56. Financial Summary Of John Laing, By Business Activity, 1998 And 1999 100
57. Financial Summary Of John Mowlem & Company, 1996-2000 102
58. Financial Summary Of John Mowlem & Company, By Activity, 1999 And 2000 103
59. Financial Summary Of Persimmon, 1996-2000 105
60. Financial Summary Of Beazer Group, 1996-2000 106
61. Financial Summary Of Wilson Bowden Developments, 1996-2000 107
62. Financial Summary Of WS Atkins, 1996-2000 109
63. Turnover of WS Atkins, By Business Activity, 1999 And 2000 110

LIST OF DIAGRAMS

1. UK Population, By Type Of Area, 2000 81

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

MSI believe that capital expenditure on urban regeneration projects has fluctuated between 1996 and 2000. Indeed, MSI estimate that capital expenditure on urban regeneration declined by 19 percent between 1996 and 1998, before increasing by 35 percent to reach £3.90 billion (€6.20 billion) in 2000. These fluctuations are believed to be primarily due to the change in government in 1997, and the subsequent reorganisation of the institutions involved in urban regeneration in the UK.

It is believed that capital expenditure on urban regeneration in England accounted for 67 percent of the UK total in 2000. Capital expenditure in Scotland accounted for 14 percent of the total in 2000, whilst investment in Wales accounted for 12 percent during the year. The remaining 7 percent was accounted for by capital expenditure in Northern Ireland.

In England, capital expenditure on urban regeneration was highest in London, where some £458.2 million (€728.5 million) was spent in 2000. Capital expenditure in the North West totalled £438.0 million (€696.4 million) in 2000. This was largely the result of the emphasis placed on the regeneration of large cities in the North West, such as Manchester and Liverpool.

The Single Regeneration Budget represented the most significant source of funding in England during the review period, accounting for £1.21 billion (€1.92 billion) in 2000. Funding by English Partnerships declined by some 38 percent between 1996 and 2000. European funding amounted to £379.7 million (€603.7 million) in 2000, whilst private sector funding amounted to £159.6 million (€253.8 million) during the same period.

The most substantial funding source for urban regeneration in Scotland during the review period was Scottish Homes, which accounted for 39 percent of Scottish capital investment in urban regeneration in 2000. Other government expenditure was derived from the Scottish Executive and the Social Inclusion Partnerships. Whilst private sector investment amounted to £160.2 million (€254.7 million) in 2000, European funding reached £83.4 million (€132.6 million) during the same year.

European funding constituted the most significant source of funding in Wales in 2000, totalling £201.6 million (€320.5 million). This was largely the result of the designation of West Wales as an Objective 1 area. Whilst private sector funding reached £124.6 million (€198.1 million) in 2000, government funding for urban regeneration in Wales was derived from the National Assembly for Wales and the Welsh Development Agency.

In Northern Ireland European funding accounted for the highest proportion of funding for urban regeneration during the review period, reaching £103.2 million (€164.1 million) in 2000. Private sector investment was also important in Northern Ireland, representing 37 percent of the total in 2000. Government funding was derived from the Department for Social Development and the International Fund for Ireland and totalled £31.2 million (€49.6 million) in 2000.

MSI have identified a number of factors driving the UK market for urban regeneration during the review period. These include:

MSI forecast that the UK capital expenditure on urban regeneration will increase by some 18 percent in real terms between 2001 and 2005. The most significant increases are likely to occur in Northern Ireland, where capital expenditure will increase by some 20 percent in real terms during the forecast period. Furthermore, capital expenditure in England is expected to increase by 19 percent in real terms between 2001 and 2005.

Text © 2001MSI

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 28th August 2001