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MS45068

MSI HOUSE BUILDING: GERMANY: MAY 1998

Overview

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Table of Contents
Executive Summary
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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION: Definitions; Methodology; The German Economy; Exchange Rates; Abbreviations
MARKET SIZE: Market Overview and Trends, 1993-1997; Market Segmentation; By Sector; By Type of Property; By Type of Activity; Home Ownership and Home Rental; Factors Affecting Demand; Overview; Economic Factors; Demographic Factors; Government Policies; The Legal Framework for House Building; Social Trends; Major Segments and Factors Affecting Demand; Market Forecasts, 1998-2002; Overview; By Sector; By Type of Property; By Type of Activity
REGIONAL TRENDS: Overview; House Prices in Major German Cities; Rental Prices; Flat Purchase Prices; By Sector; By Type of Property; By Type of Activity
CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS: Overview; Standards, Norms and Directives as Success Factors; Management Success Factors; Ecological Success Factors; Financial Success Factors; End Consumer Related Success Factors
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE: Overview; Market Shares; Overview; Market Shares in Housing Management; Market Shares in Housing Construction
COMPANY PROFILES: Housing Management; Bundesverband Freier Wohnungsunternehmen (BFW) and Member; Companies; Bundesverband Freier Wohnungsunternehmen (BFW); Bast Bau; SšBA; Bundesverband deutscher Wohnungsunternehmen (GdW) and Member; Companies; Bundesverband deutscher Wohnungsunternehmen (GdW); VEBA IMMOBILIEN; GAGFAH; SAGA; House Building; Kampa Haus; Heilit + Woerner Bau; Bilfinger + Berger; Strabag; Hochtief; Philipp Holzmann; Walter Bau; Ed Zblin; Wayss & Freytag
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND ORGANISATIONS
MAGAZINES
List of Tables: 1 Economic Indicators On The German Economy, 1986-1999; 2 Construction Output In Germany, By Type Of Work, 1993-1997; 3 House Building Activity In Germany, 1993-1997; 4 Key Statistics For The German Housing Sector, 1992-1996; 5 German Population, 1993-1997; 6 Number Of Households In Germany, 1993-1997; 7 House Building Authorisations In Germany, By Sector, 1993-1997; 8 Public And Private House Building Authorisations In Germany, 1993-1997; 9 Public House Building Authorisations, By Type Of Ownership, 1993-1997; 10 Project Completions In Germany, By Type Of Property, 1993-1997; 11 Proportional Importance Of Project Completions In Germany, By Type Of Property, 1993-1997; 12 Housing Construction Output In Germany, By Type Of Activity, 1993-1997; 13 Proportional Importance Of Housing Construction Output In Germany, By Type Of Activity, 1993-1997; 14 Home Ownership In Selected European Countries, 1997; 15 Home Ownership In West Germany, 1950 To 1993; 16 Factors Affecting Demand For House Building In Germany; 17 Average Living Space Per Person And Average Number Of Rooms Per Flat In West And East Germany, 1993-1997; 18 Long Term Mortgage Rates In Germany, 1990-1997; 19 Unemployment In Germany, 1991-1997; 20 Land Prices In West Germany, 1992-1996; 21 Property Price Changes In Germany, 1992-1996; 22 Forecast German Population, 1998-2002; 23 Population Changes In Germany, By Demographic Factor, 1991-2010; 24 Forecast Number Of Households In Germany, 1998-2002; 25 Forms Of Public Intervention In The Housing Market In Germany; 26 Government Support Scheme For Owned Housing In Germany, By Type Of Support, 1997; 27 Correlations Between Factors Affecting Demand And Demand In Selected Sectors Of The Housing Market In Germany; 28 Forecast House Building Activity In Germany, 1998-2002; 29 Forecast House Building Authorisations In Germany, By Sector, 1998-2002; 30 Forecast Public House Building Authorisations, By Type Of Ownership, 1998-2002; 31 Forecast Project Completions In Germany, By Type Of Property, 1998-2002; 32 Forecast Proportional Importance Of Project Completions In Germany, By Type Of Property, 1998-2002; 33 Forecast Housing Construction Output, By Type Of Activity, 1998-2002; 34 House Building Authorisations And Completions In West And East Germany, 1993-1997; 35 Housing Construction Output In West And East Germany, 1993-1997; 36 Housing Completions In Germany And Housing Stock, By Region, 1997; 37 Rental Prices In Major German Cities For New Flats, 1993-1997; 38 Rental Prices In Major German Cities For New Flats Compared With The Average Rent, 1993-1997; 39 Flat Purchase Prices In Major German Cities, 1993-1997; 40 House Building Authorisations In West And East Germany, By Sector, 1993-1997; 41 Public House Building Authorisations In West And East Germany, By Type Of Ownership, 1993-1997; 42 Housing Completions In West And East Germany, By Type Of Property, 1997; 43 Housing Construction Output In West And East Germany, By Type Of Activity, 1993-1997; 44 Market Shares In Housing Management, By Region, 1997; 45 Financial Summary Of SšBA, 1995 And 1996; 46 Key Statistics For VEBA IMMOBILIEN, 1993-1996; 47 Financial Summary Of VEBA IMMOBILIEN, 1993-1996; 48 Key Statistics For GAGFAH, 1993-1996; 49 Financial Summary Of GAGFAH, 1993-1996; 50 Key Statistics For SAGA, 1993-1996; 51 Financial Summary Of SAGA, 1994-1996; 52 Key Statistics For Kampa Haus, 1992-1996; 53 Financial Summary Of Kampa Haus, 1993-1996; 54 Key Statistics For Heilit + Woerner Bau, 1992-1996; 55 Financial Summary Of Heilit + Woerner Bau, 1995 And 1996; 56 Key Statistics For Bilfinger + Berger, 1992-1996; 57 Financial Summary Of Bilfinger + Berger, 1995 And 1996; 58 Key Statistics For Strabag, 1992-1996; 59 Financial Summary Of Strabag, 1995 And 1996; 60 Key Statistics For Hochtief, 1992-1996; 61 Financial Summary Of Hochtief, 1995 And 1996; 62 Orders Received And Output Of Philipp Holzmann, 1996; 63 Financial Summary Of Philipp Holzmann, 1995 And 1996; 64 Key Statistics For Walter Bau, 1992-1996; 65 Financial Summary Of Walter Bau, 1993-1996; 66 Key Statistics For Ed Zblin, 1992-1996; 67 Financial Summary Of Ed Zblin, 1995 And 1996; 68 Key Statistics For Wayss & Freytag, 1992-1996; 69 Financial Summary Of Wayss & Freytag, 1995 And 1996

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The value of house building output in Germany increased significantly by some 40 percent between 1993 and 1995 to DM1264 billion (ECU68.2 billion), before decreasing marginally in 1996. MSI estimate that house building activity increased by 2 percent in 1997 to reach a value of DM125.8 billion (ECU64.2 billion).

The number of house building authorisations rose significantly until 1994 before decreasing substantially in the three subsequent years due to a saturated market and cuts in government incentives. Housing completions increased appreciably until 1996 before decreasing by some 9 percent in 1997.

Between 1993 and 1996 the proportional importance of authorisations in private house building rose compared with authorisations in public house building. Indeed, whilst private sector authorisations accounted for 75 percent of total authorisations in 1993, this share increased to as much as 79 percent in 1997.

MSI estimate that completions of work on new properties in 1997 accounted for 86 percent of the total number of completions. Within the category of new properties, flats are estimated to have accounted for some 57 percent of project completions, detached houses for some 30 percent and semi-detached houses for some 13 percent of new housing completions.

While new house building activity increased substantially by some 43 percent between 1993 and 1995 to DM68.4 billion (ECU36.9 billion) before declining by 4 percent in the two subsequent years, demand for RMI work grew appreciably by some 43 percent throughout the whole review period to account for 48 percent of all housing construction output.

MSI forecast that the number of housing completions will grow by 3 percent throughout the forecast period, while housing authorisations are expected to increase by some 6 percent during the same period.

Throughout the review period the proportional importance of construction activity in terms of authorisations, completions and output value in east Germany was increased. Indeed, the three sectors showed considerably more significant growth rates than its western counterpart, with completions increasing by as much as 225 percent in east Germany throughout the review period, for example.

Between 1998 and 2002 the value of house building activity is forecast to rise by some 13 percent in real terms, helped by stronger growth in the RMI sector.

The German house building industry is highly fragmented with local and regional companies playing a major role. However, with house building activity being the only growing segment within the construction market, an increasing number of general construction companies are starting operations in the house building sector.

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