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MS45037
MSI HOUSE BUILDING: UK: DECEMBER 1997
Overview
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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
Definitions
Methodology
The UK Economy
Overview
Political Climate
Interest Rates
Inflation
Exchange Rates
Taxation
Consumer Demand
Output
Investment
Forecasts
Abbreviations
MARKET SIZE
Market Overview and Trends, 1993-1997
Market Segmentation
By Sector
By Type and Size of Property
Factors Affecting Demand
Market Forecasts, 1998-2002
Overview
Forecast Market Segmentation
REGIONAL TRENDS
Overview
South East
East Midlands
North West
South West
Greater London
Yorkshire & Humberside
West Midlands
North
East Anglia
Scotland
Wales
Northern Ireland
CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Overview
Market Shares
Company Profiles
AMEC (Fairclough Homes)
Barratt Developments
Beazer Group
Bellway
The Berkeley Group
Bovis Homes
Bryant Group
Countryside Properties
Crest Nicholson
Fairview New Homes
John Laing (Laing Homes)
Y J Lovell (Holdings)
Alfred McAlpine
Persimmon
Prowting
Redrow Group
Tay Homes
Taywood Homes
Wainhomes
Westbury
Wilson Bowden (David Wilson Homes)
Wilson (Connolly) Holdings (Wilcon Homes)
George Wimpey
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND ORGANISATIONS
MAGAZINES
HOUSE BUILDERS
List of Tables
1 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1989-1998
2 Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Type Of Work, 1993-1997
3 New House Building Activity In Great Britain, 1993-1997
4 Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 1993-1997
5 Standardised Average House Prices In The UK, By Quarter, 1993-1997
6 UK Population, 1993-1997
7 Number of Households In England And Wales, 1991, 1992, 1996
8 New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1993-1997
9 Activity Undertaken By The Housing Corporation, 1993-1997
10 All Grants And Funding Paid By Scottish Homes To Housing Associations And Co-ops, 1993-1996
11 ADP Expenditure By Tai Cymru, 1993-1997
12 Expenditure By Housing Associations In Northern Ireland, 1993-1997
13 Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 1993-1997
14 Housing Completions In England, By Type And Size Of Property, 1992-1996
15 Forecast New House Building Activity In Great Britain, 1998-2002
16 Forecast Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 1998-2002
17 Forecast UK Population, 1998-2002
18 Forecast Number Of Households In England And Wales, 1996 And 2001
19 Forecast New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1998-2002
20 Projected ADP Activity By The Housing Corporation, 1998 And 1999
21 Forecast ADP Expenditure By Tai Cymru, 1998 And 1999
22 Forecast Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 1998-2002
23 New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Geographical Region, 1993-1997
24 Geographical Analysis Of New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Proportional Importance, 1993-1997
25 Number Of Households In England And Wales, 1991 and 2001
26 UK House Prices, By Region, 1992-1996
27 New House Building Activity In The South East, 1993-1997
28 New House Building Activity In The East Midlands, 1993-1997
29 New House Building Activity In The North West, 1993-1997
30 New House Building Activity In The South West, 1993-1997
31 New House Building Activity In Greater London, 1993-1997
32 New House Building Activity In Yorkshire & Humberside, 1993-1997
33 New House Building Activity In The West Midlands, 1993-1997
34 New House Building Activity In The North Of England, 1993-1997
35 New House Building Activity In East Anglia, 1993-1997
36 New House Building Activity In Scotland, 1993-1997
37 New House Building Activity In Wales, 1993-1997
38 New House Building Activity In Northern Ireland, 1993-1997
39 Expenditure On Advertising In The UK House Building Market, By Brand, 1994-1996
40 Market Shares Of Leading House Building Companies In The UK, 1997
41 Financial Summary Of AMEC's Housing Division, 1995 And 1996
42 Financial Summary Of Barratt Developments, 1993-1997
43 Financial Summary Of Beazer Group, 1993-1997
44 Financial Summary Of Bellway, 1993-1997
45 Financial Summary Of The Berkeley Group's Residential House Building Division, 1995-1997
46 Financial Summary Of Bovis Homes, 1992-1996
47 Financial Summary Of Bryant Group's Homes Division, 1993-1997
48 Financial Summary Of Countryside Properties Residential Development Division, 1994-1996
49 Financial Summary Of Crest Nicholson's Residential Division, 1994-1996
50 Financial Summary Of Fairview New Homes, 1994-1996
51 Financial Summary Of John Laing's Homes Division, 1993-1996
52 Financial Summary Of Y J Lovell (Holdings), 1992-1996
53 Financial Summary Of Alfred McAlpine's Homes Division, 1994-1996
54 Financial Summary Of Raine's UK House Building Activities, By Business, 1995 And 1996
55 Financial Summary Of Persimmon, 1992-1996
56 Financial Summary Of Prowting, 1993-1997
57 Financial Summary Of Redrow Group, 1993-1997
58 Financial Summary Of Tay Homes, 1993-1997
59 Financial Summary Of Taywood Homes, 1992-1996
60 Financial Summary Of Wainhomes, 1993-1997
61 Financial Summary Of Westbury, 1993-1997
62 Financial Summary Of Wilson Bowden's House Building Division, 1992-1996
63 Financial Summary Of Wilson (Connolly) Holdings' House Building Division, 1994-1996
64 Financial Summary Of George Wimpey, 1995 And 1996

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The value of new housing construction output in Great Britain increased by a significant 12 percent to œ7.41 billion in 1994 before falling in the two subsequent years. MSI project that house building output will rise by 6 percent in real terms in 1997.

The number of housing starts in Great Britain has fluctuated significantly during the 1990s. Indeed, increases of 18 percent and 8 percent in the number of starts in 1993 and 1994 respectively were followed by a substantial decline of 17 percent in 1995. However, the level of starts rose in 1996 to 175 000 and is projected to increase significantly in 1997. In contrast the number of housing completions has remained relatively stable at between 180 000 and 190 000 for much of the review period.

In 1996 private sector work accounted for 80 percent of the value of new housing construction output in Great Britain. The proportional importance of private sector output is expected to rise to 83 percent in 1997 reflecting the projected 10 percent decline in the value of public sector output.

In 1996 some 84 percent of completions in England were of houses as opposed to flats compared with a figure of 76 percent in 1992. Moreover, 60 percent of residential completions in 1996 were of houses with three or more bedrooms.

House building output is forecast to increase by 12 percent between 1998 and 2002, with starts and completions also expected to rise significantly. Whilst the value of new public sector housing output in the UK is believed to have fallen in real terms between 1993 and 1997, a real increase of 13 percent is expected during the forecast period. This rise in public sector work is forecast to exceed the rate of growth in the private sector reflecting the release of funds gained on the sale of council houses.

The South East and Greater London accounted for 29 percent of the value of new housing construction output in 1996. Other key regions in terms of value of output in 1996 included Scotland, the North West, the South West and the East Midlands.

The leading 20 house builders are projected to account for 41 percent of completions in the UK in 1997 compared with 39 percent in 1996. The UK house building industry has become increasingly concentrated during the 1990s reflecting the large number of acquisitions undertaken, including Alfred McAlpine's acquisition of Raine in May 1997 and George Wimpey's asset swap with Tarmac in March 1996.

Text © 1997 MSI

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