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| MS45031 |
| MSI HOUSE BUILDING: UK: FEBRUARY 2001 |
| Overview |
Our price £100 plus VAT
| Table of Contents | ||
| 1 | Executive Summary | 1 |
| 2 | INTRODUCTION | 3 |
| 2.1 | Definitions | 3 |
| 2.2 | Methodology | 4 |
| 2.3 | Economic Background | 5 |
| 2.3.1 | Overview | 5 |
| 2.3.2 | Interest Rates | 6 |
| 2.3.3 | Inflation | 7 |
| 2.3.4 | Exchange Rates | 7 |
| 2.3.5 | Taxation | 8 |
| 2.3.6 | Household Income And Consumer Expenditure | 9 |
| 2.3.7 | Manufacturing Output | 10 |
| 2.3.8 | Services | 11 |
| 2.3.9 | Investment | 11 |
| 2.3.10 | Forecasts | 12 |
| 2.4 | Exchange Rates | 13 |
| 2.5 | Abbreviations | 13 |
| 3 | MARKET OVERVIEW | 15 |
| 3.1 | Market Size And Trends, 1996-2000 | 15 |
| 3.2 | Market Segmentation | 22 |
| 3.2.1 | By Sector | 22 |
| 3.2.2 | By Type And Size Of Property | 26 |
| 3.2.3 | By Tenure | 27 |
| 3.3 | Factors Affecting Demand | 28 |
| 3.4 | Market Forecasts, 2001-2005 | 30 |
| 3.4.1 | Overview | 30 |
| 3.4.2 | Forecast Market Segmentation | 33 |
| 4 | Regional Trends | 37 |
| 4.1 | Overview | 37 |
| 4.2 | South East | 42 |
| 4.3 | East Midlands | 44 |
| 4.4 | North West | 44 |
| 4.5 | South West | 45 |
| 4.6 | Greater London | 46 |
| 4.7 | Yorkshire & Humberside | 47 |
| 4.8 | West Midlands | 48 |
| 4.9 | North | 49 |
| 4.1 | East Anglia | 50 |
| 4.11 | Scotland | 51 |
| 4.12 | Wales | 52 |
| 4.13 | Northern Ireland | 53 |
| 5 | Critical Success Factors | 55 |
| 6 | INDUSTRY STRUCTURE | 59 |
| 6.1 | Overview | 59 |
| 6.2 | Market Shares | 60 |
| 6.3 | Company Profiles | 62 |
| 6.3.1 | Ben Bailey | 62 |
| 6.3.2 | Barratt Developments | 63 |
| 6.3.3 | Beazer Group | 64 |
| 6.3.4 | Bellway | 66 |
| 6.3.5 | The Berkley Group | 67 |
| 6.3.6 | Bovis Homes Group | 69 |
| 6.3.7 | Bryant Group | 70 |
| 6.3.8 | Countryside Properties | 71 |
| 6.3.9 | Crest Nicholson | 73 |
| 6.3.10 | Croudace | 74 |
| 6.3.11 | Fairclough Homes | 75 |
| 6.3.12 | Fairview Holdings | 77 |
| 6.3.13 | Furlong Homes Group | 78 |
| 6.3.14 | Kier Group | 79 |
| 6.3.15 | John Laing (John Laing Homes) | 80 |
| 6.3.16 | Alfred McAlpine | 82 |
| 6.3.17 | Persimmon | 83 |
| 6.3.18 | Prowting | 84 |
| 6.3.19 | Redrow Group | 86 |
| 6.3.20 | Tay Homes | 87 |
| 6.3.21 | Taywood Homes | 89 |
| 6.3.22 | Wainhomes | 90 |
| 6.3.23 | Westbury | 91 |
| 6.3.24 | Wilson Bowden | 92 |
| 6.3.25 | Wilson Connolly Holdings | 94 |
| 6.3.26 | George Wimpey | 95 |
| 7 | House Builders | 97 |
| 8 | MAGAZINES | 106 |
| 9 | Trade Associations | 107 |
| List of Tables | |
| 1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1995-2002 | 6 |
| 2. Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1996-2000 | 16 |
| 3. New House Building Output In Great Britain, 1996-2000 | 17 |
| 4. House Building Starts And Completions In Great Britain, 1996-2000 | 18 |
| 5. Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 1996-2000 | 19 |
| 6. Standard Average House Prices In The UK, By Quarter, 1996-2000 | 21 |
| 7. New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1996-2000 | 22 |
| 8. Activity Undertaken By The Housing Corporation, 1996-2000 | 23 |
| 9. Grants And Funding Paid By Scottish Homes To Housing Associations And Co-Ops, 1996-2000 | 24 |
| 10. ADP Expenditure By The Welsh Office Housing Department, 1996-2000 | 24 |
| 11. Expenditure By Registered Housing Associations In Northern Ireland, 1995-1999 | 25 |
| 12. Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 1996-2000 | 26 |
| 13. Housing Completions In England, By Type And Size Of Property, 1993-1997 | 27 |
| 14. Housing Tenure In England, 1996-2000 | 28 |
| 15. Forecast New House Building Output In Great Britain, 2001-2005 | 31 |
| 16. Forecast House Building Starts And Completions In Great Britain, 2001-2005 | 31 |
| 17. Forecast Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 2001-2005 | 32 |
| 18. Forecast Number Of Households In England, 1996 And 2021 | 33 |
| 19. Forecast New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 2001-2005 | 34 |
| 20. Forecast Activity By The Housing Corporation, 2001 | 34 |
| 21. Forecast Grants And Funding Paid By Scottish Homes To Housing Associations And Co-Ops, 2001 | 35 |
| 22. Forecast ADP Expenditure By The Welsh Office, 2001 | 35 |
| 23. Forecast Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 2001-2005 | 36 |
| 24. New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Geographical Region, 1996-2000 | 38 |
| 25. Regional New Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Proportional Importance, 1996-2000 | 39 |
| 26. Number Of Dwellings In Great Britain, By Geographical Region, 1996-2000 | 40 |
| 27. Standard New House Prices In The UK, By Geographical Region, 1996-2000 | 41 |
| 28. House Prices In The UK, By Geographical Region, 1996-2000 | 42 |
| 29. New Housebuilding Activity In The South East, 1996-2000 | 43 |
| 30. New Housebuilding Activity In The East Midlands, 1996-2000 | 44 |
| 31. New Housebuilding Activity In The North West, 1996-2000 | 45 |
| 32. New Housebuilding Activity In The South West, 1996-2000 | 46 |
| 33. New Housebuilding Activity In Greater London, 1996-2000 | 47 |
| 34. New Housebuilding Activity In Yorkshire And Humberside, 1996-2000 | 48 |
| 35. New Housebuilding Activity In The West Mildands, 1996-2000 | 49 |
| 36. New Housebuilding Activity In The North Of England, 1996-2000 | 50 |
| 37. New Housebuilding Activity In East Anglia, 1996-2000 | 51 |
| 38. New Housebuilding Activity In Scotland, 1996-2000 | 52 |
| 39. New Housebuilding Activity In Wales, 1996-2000 | 53 |
| 40. New Housebuilding Activity In Northern Ireland, 1996-2000 | 54 |
| 41. Market Shares Of Leading House Building Companies In The UK, 2000 | 61 |
| 42. Financial Summary Of Ben Bailey, 1995-1999 | 62 |
| 43. Financial Summary Of Barratt Developments, 1996-2000 | 63 |
| 44. Financial Summary Of Barratt Developments UK Housing Businesses, 1996-2000 | 64 |
| 45. Financial Summary Of Beazer Group, 1996-2000 | 65 |
| 46. Financial Summary Of Bellway, 1996-2000 | 67 |
| 47. Financial Summary Of The Berkley Group, 1996-2000 | 68 |
| 48. Financial Summary Of Bovis Homes Group, 1995-1999 | 69 |
| 49. Financial Summary Of Bryant Group, 1996-2000 | 71 |
| 50. Financial Summary Of Countryside Properties, 1996-2000 | 72 |
| 51. Financial Summary Of Crest Nicholsons Residential Division, 1995-1999 | 73 |
| 52. Financial Summary Of Croudaces Residential Development And General Contracting Operations, 1996-1999 | 75 |
| 53. Financial Summary Of Amecs Housing Corporation Division, 1995-1997 | 76 |
| 54. Financial Summary Of Fairview Holdings, 1995-1999 | 77 |
| 55. Financial Summary Of Furlong Homes Group, 1995-1999 | 78 |
| 56. Financial Summary Of Kier Group, 1996-2000 | 79 |
| 57. Financial Summary Of Kier Groups Homes And Property Division, 1997-2000 | 80 |
| 58. Financial Summary Of John Laing Homes, 1996-1999 | 81 |
| 59. Financial Summary Of Alfred Mcalpine Homes, 1995-1999 | 82 |
| 60. Financial Summary Of Persimmon, 1995-1999 | 84 |
| 61. Financial Summary Of Prowting, 1996-2000 | 85 |
| 62. Financial Summary Of Redrow Groups Homes Division, 1996-2000 | 86 |
| 63. Financial Summary Of Tay Homes, 1996-2000 | 88 |
| 64. Tay Homes Unit Sales And Average Price, By Region 2000 | 88 |
| 65. Financial Summary Of Taywood Homes, 1995-1999 | 89 |
| 66. Financial Summary Of Wainhomes, 1995-1999 | 91 |
| 67. Financial Summary Of Westbury, 1996-2000 | 92 |
| 68. Financial Summary Of Wilson Bowdens House Building Division, 1995-1999 | 93 |
| 69. Financial Summary Of Wilson Connolly Holdings, 1995-1999 | 94 |
| 70. Financial Summary Of George Wimpey, 1995-1999 | 95 |
New housing construction output in Great Britain has increased throughout of the review period with the exception of a small decline in 1999. MSI estimate that the market size has increased by 18 percent in 2000 compared with the previous year, to a value of £9 926 (16 676 million). This has been driven by increases in housing construction output in the private and public sectors.
Housing starts and completions have fluctuated during the review period, continuing the cyclical nature of the early 1990s. The total number of starts have increased each year since 1998, to a total of 179 800 in 2000, despite declines in the public sector. MSI estimate that housing completions have declined in 2000, by 2 percent from the previous 12 months, with a decrease in both public and private sectors.
Some 68 percent of all homes in England in 1999 were owner occupied, a slight increase from 1996. The number of social rented properties in England has fluctuated since 1995, with a marginal increase in 1999. The number of private rented homes increased in 1999 by 4 percent, despite a decline in the total number of furnished, rented homes.
Many different factors affect demand for housing. Some of the most significant include:
| · | consumer confidence |
| · | government policy |
| · | the pricing of new and existing housing |
| · | demographic trends |
| · | regional trends. |
Output during the forecast period is expected to increase significantly in value terms, with the general trend being an increase in market value to 2003, followed by a marginal decline in 2004, and then a further increase in 2005 of 3 percent. This is expected to reflect continued consumer confidence in the housing market, combined with favourable interest rates. Total completions are expected to increase each year from 2003 onwards, whereas total starts are forecast to fluctuate between 2001 and 2005. The number of private sector starts and completions will remain considerably higher than the number of public sector starts and completions, although strong growth in the public sector is expected.
Housing construction in the UK varies considerably across each region. The South East and Greater London will continue to be the most significant regions in terms of new housing construction. Wales and East Anglia were proportionally the least significant areas of the UK in 2000. Moreover, MSI estimate that total output value in both regions has declined in 2000. UK house prices and new house prices both increased during 2000, with an average new house price standing at £94 748 (159 177). Greater London house prices are the most expensive in the UK.
The UK house building industry has become more concentrated during the review period. Indeed, the leading 20 UK house builders now account for 60 percent of the total number of UK completions. MSI estimate that Barratt Developments is the leading house builder in the UK, followed by the Beazer Group. Significant acquisitions have taken place in recent years, helping to bring companies into new geographical and product areas.
Text © 2001 MSI
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© 2001 www.the-list.co.uk Ariadne
Last updated by Paul Tucker 12th March 2001