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MS40018 MSI UTILITIES: UK: APRIL 1998

Table of Contents
Executive Summary
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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION: Definitions; Methodology; The UK Economy; Overview; Political Climate; Interest Rates; Inflation; Exchange Rates; Taxation; Consumer Demand; Output; Investment; Forecasts; Abbreviations
MARKET SIZE: Market Overview and Trends, 1993-1997; Market Segmentation, 1993-1997; Investment by Sector; Investment by Utility; Factors Affecting Demand; Overview; Water Industry; Electricity Supply Industry; Electricity Generation Industry; Gas Supply Industry; Forecast Segmentation, 1998-2002; Investment by Sector; Investment by Utility
OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUPPLIERS: Water Industry; Electricity Supply Industry; Electricity Generation Industry; Gas Supply Industry
WATER INDUSTRY: Capital Investment and Trends, 1993-1997; Investment Segmentation; Investment by Sector; Investment by Company; Investment by the Water Service Companies; Investment by the Water Only Companies; Investment by the National Rivers Authority/Environment Agency; Investment by the Scottish and Northern Ireland Water Industries; Forecast Capital Investment, 1998-2002; Overview; Investment by Sector; Investment by Company; Overview; Investment by the Water Service Companies; Investment by the Water Only Companies; Investment by the Environment Agency; Investment by the Scottish and Northern Ireland Water Companies
ELECTRICITY SUPPLY INDUSTRY: Capital Investment and Trends, 1993-1997; Investment Segmentation; Investment by Sector; Investment by Company; Forecast Capital Investment, 1998-2002; Investment by Sector; Investment by Company
ELECTRICITY GENERATION INDUSTRY: Capital Investment and Trends, 1993-1997; Investment Segmentation; Investment by Sector; Investment by Company; Forecast Capital Investment, 1998-2002; Investment by Sector; Investment by Company
GAS SUPPLY INDUSTRY: Capital Investment and Trends, 1993-1997; Investment Segmentation; Forecast Capital Investment, 1998-2002; Investment by Sector; Investment by Type
SUPPLY INDUSTRY STRUCTURE: Overview; Company Profiles; AMEC; Babcock International Group; Balfour Beatty; Birse Construction; Costain Group; Kvaerner; John Laing; Overview; John Laing's Construction Division; Alfred McAlpine Construction; The Miller Group; John Mowlem & Company; Overview; John Mowlem's Construction Activities and Services Division; Tarmac; Overview; Tarmac's Construction Services Division
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND REGULATORY BODIES
MAGAZINES
List of Tables: 1 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1989-1998; 2 Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, 1993-1997; 3 Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, By Sector, 1993-1997; 4 Capital Investment In The Utilities, By Sector And Industry,; 1993-1997; 5 Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, By Industry, 1993-1997; 6 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, By Sector, 1998-2002; 7 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, By Sector And Industry, 1998-2002; 8 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, By Industry, 1998-2002; 9 Capital Investment In The UK Water Industry, 1993-1997; 10 Capital Investment In The UK Water Industry, By Region, 1993-1997; 11 Windfall Tax On Water Companies In England And Wales, 1997 And 1998; 12 Capital Investment In The UK Water Industry, By Sector, 1993-1997; 13 Capital Investment By The Water Service Companies In England and Wales, By Company, 1993-1997; 14 Capital Investment By The Water Only Companies In England And Wales, 1993-1997; 15 Capital Investment By The Water Only Companies In England And Wales, By Company, 1996 And 1997; 16 Capital Investment By The National Rivers Authority/Environment Agency, 1993-1997; 17 Capital Investment In The Scottish And Northern Ireland Water Industries, 1993-1997; 18 Private Finance Initiative BOO Schemes In Scotland, Signed And Potential, By Water Authority, 1998; 19 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Water Industry, 1998-2002; 20 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Water Industry, By Sector, 1998-2002; 21 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Water Industry, By Region, 1998-2002; 22 Forecast Capital Investment By The Water Service Companies In England And Wales, By Company, 1998-2002; 23 Forecast Capital Investment By The Water Only Companies In England And Wales, 1998-2002; 24 Forecast Capital Investment By The Water Only Companies In England And Wales, By Company, 1998-2002; 25 Forecast Capital Investment By The Environment Agency, 1998-2002; 26 Forecast Capital Investment In The Scottish And Northern Ireland Water Industries, 1998-2002; 27 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Supply Industry, 1993-1997; 28 Windfall Tax On Electricity Supply Companies, 1997 And 1998; 29 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Supply Industry, By Sector, 1993-1997; 30 Investment In Information Technology By Selected Electricity Supply Companies, 1997; 31 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Supply Industry, By Company, 1993-1997; 32 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Supply Industry, By Sector, 1998-2002; 33 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Supply Industry, By Company, 1998-2002; 34 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Generation Industry, 1993-1997; 35 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Generation Industry, By Sector, 1993-1997; 36 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Generation Industry, By Company, 1993-1997; 37 Forecast UK Capital Investment In The Electricity Generation Industry, By Sector, 1998-2002; 38 Forecast UK Capital Investment In The Electricity Generation Industry, By Company, 1998-2002; 39 Capital Investment In The UK Gas Supply Industry, 1993-1997; 40 Licensed Domestic Gas Suppliers, October 1997; 41 Capital Investment In The UK Gas Supply Industry, By Sector, 1993-1997; 42 Capital Investment In The UK Gas Supply Industry, By Type, 1993-1997; 43 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Gas Supply Industry, By Sector, 1998-2002; 44 Forecast Capital Investment In The UK Gas Supply Industry, By Type, 1998-2002; 45 Financial Summary Of AMEC, 1992-1996; 46 Financial Summary Of Babcock International Group, 1993-1997; 47 Turnover Of Babcock International Group, By Division, 1996 And 1997; 48 Turnover Of Babcock International Group, By Geographical Destination, 1996 And 1997; 49 Financial Summary Of Balfour Beatty, 1992-1996; 50 Financial Summary Of Birse Construction, 1993-1997; 51 Financial Summary Of Costain Group, 1992-1996; 52 Costain Civil Engineering's Main Contracts In The Utilities Sector, 1997; 53 Financial Summary Of Kvaerner (Formerly Trafalgar House), 1992-1996; 54 Turnover Of Kvaerner, By Class Of Business, 1995 And 1996; 55 Financial Summary Of John Laing, 1992-1996; 56 Financial Summary Of John Laing's Construction Division, 1992-1996; 57 Financial Summary Of Alfred McAlpine Construction, 1992-1996; 58 Financial Summary Of The Miller Group, 1992-1996; 59 Financial Summary Of John Mowlem & Company, 1992-1996; 60 Financial Summary Of John Mowlem's Construction Activities And Services Division, 1994-1996; 61 Financial Summary Of Tarmac, 1992-1996; 62 Financial Summary Of Tarmac's Construction Services Division, 1995 And 1996
List of Diagrams: 1 Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, By Sector, 1993-2002; 2 Capital Investment In The UK Utilities, By Industry, 1993-2002; 3 Capital Investment In The UK Water Industry, By Sector, 1993-2002; 4 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Supply Industry, By Sector, 1993-2002; 5 Capital Investment In The UK Electricity Generation Industry, By Sector, 1993-2002; 6 Capital Investment In The UK Gas Supply Industry, By Sector, 1993-2002

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

MSI project that total capital investment in the UK utilities will increase by only 1 percent in the year to March 1998 to reach a value of £7.94 billion. This followed increases in investment of 5 percent and 2 percent during the 1996 and 1997 financial years respectively.

Capital investment in process plant in the UK utilities is projected to account for 42 percent of total investment in the 1998 financial year, representing a value of £3.36 billion. Capital investment in civil engineering and building projects is projected to account for a further 29 percent and 20 percent of investment respectively in the same period.

In the 1998 financial year the water industry is projected to account for 44 percent of total capital investment by the utilities. The high level of investment in the water industry is predominantly due to companies having to comply with legislation on water quality and sewage disposal. MSI believe that investment in the electricity supply and generation industries will account for 23 percent and 19 percent of expenditure respectively in the year to March 1998. Capital investment in the gas supply industry will account for the remaining 14 percent of total investment during this financial year.

The principal factors that have influenced the levels of capital expenditure in the UK utilities include:

- privatisation

- environmental legislation

- regulatory and governmental energy reviews

- the introduction of market competition

MSI forecast that capital investment in the utilities will increase by 3 percent in real terms during the 1999 financial year. However, capital expenditure is expected to decline between the 2000 and 2003 financial years.

Capital expenditure in the UK water industry is projected to fall by 5 percent to £3.51 billion in the 1998 financial year. Expenditure by companies in the water industry is forecast to decline continuously between the 1999 and 2003 financial years. Indeed, during the forecast period investment in the UK water industry is expected to decline by 26 percent in real terms.

Between the 1994 and 1997 financial years capital expenditure by the electricity supply companies is estimated to have increased by 12 percent in nominal terms to £1.75 billion. A further increase in investment of 5 percent is projected to occur in the year to March 1998. Furthermore, investment in the electricity supply industry is forecast to rise by 7 percent in real terms during the 1999 financial year.

Capital expenditure by the electricity generation companies is projected to increase by 7 percent to £1.54 billion in the year to March 1998, with further growth expected in the subsequent financial year. However, investment in the electricity generation industry is forecast to fall continuously between the financial years to March 2000 and March 2003.

Capital investment in the UK gas supply industry is estimated to have declined by a substantial 22 percent to £959 million between the 1994 and 1997 financial years, with an 11 percent rise in investment expected in the year to March 1998. Capital expenditure by the gas supply companies is expected to rise in real terms in the 1999 financial year and be maintained at a relatively high level during the remainder of the forecast period.

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