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MS35012

MSI RAIL & LIGHT RAIL SERVICE AND MAINTENANCE: UK: MAY 2002

Overview

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This report covers: Rail & Light Rail, service, maintenance, railways, railtrack, passenger services, freight, AEA Technology Rail, rolling stock, investment, consultancy, franchises, vehicles, equipment, electrification,

Companies covered include: ALSTOM, AMEC, Amey, Balfour Beatty, Bombardier Transportation, Brush Traction, Carillion, Corus Rail, First Engineering, Jarvos, Racal Electronics, Thales Telecommunications Systems, Siemens Transportation Systems, Westinghouse Brakes, WS Atkins,

Table of Contents
Executive Summary
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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 kEY FINDINGS 1

2 INTRODUCTION 3

2.1 Definitions 3

2.2 Methodology 4

2.3 UK Economy... 4

2.3.1 Overview 4

2.3.2 Interest Rates 7

2.3.3 Inflation 7

2.3.4 Forecasts 7

2.4 Exchange Rates.. 8

2.5 Abbreviations 8

3 Industry structure 11

3.1 Overview 11

3.2 Railtrack and Network Rail12

3.3 Passenger Services 14

3.4 Freight Services 21

3.5 Infrastructure Services 23

3.6 Rolling Stock 25

3.7 LRT Systems 26

3.8 PTEs And PTAs 27

4 Market Size 28

4.1 Investment Overview And Trends, 1997-2001 28

4.2 Investment Segmentation, 1997-2001 30

4.3 Factors Affecting Investment 36

4.4 Forecast Investment Overview And Trends, 2002-2006 42

4.5 Forecast Investment Segmentation, 2002-2006 45

5 RAIL CONSULTANCY 48

5.1 Market Overview And Trends, 1997-2001 48

5.2 Market Segmentation, 1997-2001 50

5.3 Factors Affecting Demand 51

5.4 Forecast Market Overview And Trends, 2002-2006 53

5.5 Forecast Market Segmentation, 2002-2006 55

6 Production 57

6.1 Overview 57

6.2 Critical Success Factors 60

7 INTERNATIONAL TRADE 64

7.1 Overview 64

7.2 Imports 64

7.2.1 Overview 64

7.2.2 Implications for Importers67

7.3 Exports 68

7.4 Trade Surplus (Deficit) 71

8 OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUPPLIERS 73

9 SUPPLIER INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 76

9.1 Overview 76

9.2 Supplier Profiles 78

9.2.1 ALSTOM 78

9.2.2 AMEC 80

9.2.3 Amey 82

9.2.4 Balfour Beatty 83

9.2.5 Bombardier Transportation 85

9.2.6 Brush Traction 86

9.2.7 Carillion (Carillion Infrastructure Management) 87

9.2.8 Corus Rail 89

9.2.9 First Engineering 91

9.2.10 Jarvis 92

9.2.11 Thales Telecommunications Systems (formerly Thales Translink) 94

9.2.12 Siemens Transportation Systems 96

9.2.13 Westinghouse Brakes (UK) 97

9.2.14 WS Atkins 98

10 MAGAZINE ADDRESSES 101

11 TRADE ASSOCIATION aND REGULATORY BODIES Addresses 102

12 TRADE EXHIBITIONS 104

List of Tables

1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 2000-2003 6

2. Railtrack’s Turnover, By Source, 2000 And 2001...... 14

3. UK Passenger Rail Franchise Awarded, By Operator, Franchise Start Date And Length Of Franchise, As At April 2002...... 17

4. Infrastructure Maintenance Contracts, From April 2002...... 24

5. UK Capital Investment In The Railways, 1997-2001............. 28

6. UK Capital Investment In The Railways, By Sector, 1997-2001............. 31

7. Franchise Plans For Rolling Stock Orders In The UK Rail Industry.. 33

8. Forecast UK Capital Investment In The Railways, 2002-2006............. 42

9. Forecast UK Capital Investment In The Railways, By Sector, 2002-2006............. 46

10. UK Market For Rail Consultancy, 1997-2001............. 48

11. UK Market For Rail Consultancy, By Sector, 1997-2001............. 50

12. Forecast UK Market For Rail Consultancy, 2002-2006............. 53

13. Forecast UK Market For Rail Consultancy, By Sector, 2002-2006............. 55

14. UK Production Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1997-2001............. 57

15. UK Production Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, By Sector, 1997-2001............. 59

16. UK Imports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1997-2001............. 65

17. UK Imports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, By Sector, 1997-2001............. 66

18. UK Exports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1997-2001............. 69

19. UK Exports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, By Sector, 1997-2001............. 70

20. UK Trade Surplus (Deficit) In Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1997-2001............. 71

21. UK Trade Surplus (Deficit) In Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, By Sector, 1997-2001 72

22. The UK Railway Supply Industry, 2001/2002............. 77

23. Financial Summary Of ALSTOM, 1997-2001............. 79

24. Financial Summary Of AMEC, 1996-2000............. 81

25. Financial Summary Of Amey, 1997-2001...... 83

26. Financial Summary Of Balfour Beatty, 1997-2001............. 85

27. Financial Summary Of FKI, 1997-2001...... 87

28. Financial Summary Of Carillion, 1998-2000............. 88

29. Turnover Of Carillion, By Sector, 1999 And 2000 89

30. Financial Summary Of Corus Group (Formerly British Steel), 1997-2001............. 90

31. Financial Summary Of First Engineering Holdings, 1997-2001............. 92

32. Financial Summary Of Jarvis, 1997-2001............. 94

33. Financial Summary Of Racal Electronics, 1996-1999............. 96

34. Net Sales Of Siemens Holdings, 2000 And 2001...... 97

35. Financial Summary Of WS Atkins, 1997-2001............. 99

36. Turnover Of WS Atkins, By Segment, 2000 And 2001..... 100

List of Diagrams

1. Capital Investment In The UK Railways, By Sector, 2001...... 36

KEY FINDINGS
·	In March 2002 Network Rail, a company limited by guarantee, placed a £9.0 billion (€14.5 billion) bid for Railtrack. Trade sources report that providing the majority of Railtrack's 250 000 shareholders accept the bid, there is a strong possibility that Network Rail will become the owner of the UK's rail infrastructure.
·	Rail Industry bodies have been seeking to extend franchise agreement periods for TOCs in order to increase the level of investment made by TOCs into the rail network, rolling stock, stations and services. Due to the uncertainty of the future of Railtrack and its predecessor, the actual future franchise periods at the time of writing had not been agreed.
·	UK capital investment in the railways fluctuated between 1997 and 2001. A noticeable increase of 12 percent occurred in 2000 which amounted to a capital investment level of £4.09 billion (€6.71 billion). Although UK capital investment continued to increase in 2001, the rate of growth slowed to 9 percent, which amounted to £4.48 billion (€7.21 billion).
·	In 2001 investment into rolling stock represented the majority of total capital investment. Indeed, the rolling stock sector accounted for 36 percent of the total. The electrification sector accounted for the smallest proportion of total capital investment. This sector accounted for just 4 percent of the total.
·	Forecast capital investment in the UK is expected to increase by 27 percent in real terms between 2002 and 2005. However, investment is expected to marginally decline in 2006. Capital investment into the rolling stock sector is expected to continue to account for the majority of total capital investment.
·	MSI have identified the following factors affecting investment in the UK railway industry:
-	government policy
-	re-franchising
-	environmental concerns
-	promotion of rail freight
-	UK economy
-	social pressures
-	safety standards
-	the London Underground
-	Railtrack in administration
·	The rail consultancy market continued to grow in value terms in 2001, albeit at a slower rate than in previous years of the review period. The management sector is estimated to have accounted for the largest proportion of the market in 2001. Indeed, MSI believe that this sector represented some 26 percent of the total market value

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