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MS35010 MSI RAIL & LIGHT RAIL ENGINEERING: UK: JUNE 2000


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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
Definitions
Methodology
UK Economy
Overview
Political Climate
Interest Rates
Inflation
Taxation
Household Income and Consumer Expenditure
Manufacturing Output
Services
Investment
Forecasts
Exchange Rates
Abbreviations
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Overview
Railtrack
Passenger Services
Freight Services
Infrastructure Services
Rolling Stock
LRT Systems
PTEs And PTAs
MARKET SIZE
Investment Overview and Trends, 1995-1999
Investment Segmentation, 1995-1999
Factors Affecting Investment
Forecast Investment Overview, 2000-2004
Forecast Investment Segmentation, 2000-2004
MAINTENANCE AND SERVICE
Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999
Market Segmentation, 1995-1999
Factors Affecting Demand
Market Forecasts, 2000-2004
Critical Success Factors
PRODUCTION
Overview
Critical Success Factors
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Overview
Imports
Overview
Implications For Importers
Exports
Trade Surplus (Deficit)
OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUPPLIERS
SUPPLIER INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Overview
Supplier Profiles
AEA Technology Rail
Overview
Business Profile
Adtranz
Overview
ALSTOM
Overview
Business Profile
AMEC
Overview
Business Profile
Amey
Overview
Business Profile
Balfour Beatty
Overview
Business Profile
Brush Traction
Overview
Business Profile
Carillion (Carillion Infrastructure Management) Overview
Business Profile
Corus Rail
Overview
Business Profile
Jarvis
Overview
Business Profile
Racal Translink
Overview
Business Profile
Prorail
Overview
Business Profile
Siemens
Overview
Business Profile
Westinghouse Brake and Signal Holdings
Overview
Business Profile
WS Atkins
Overview
Business Profile
MAGAZINES
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND REGULATORY BODIES

LIST OF TABLES

1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1992-2000
2. Railtrack's Income, By Source, 1998 And 1999
3. UK Passenger Rail Franchises Awarded, By Operator, Franchise Start Date And Length Of Franchise, As At March 2000
4. IMUs and TRUs, By Ownership, 1999
5. UK Capital Investment In The Railways, 1995-1999
6. UK Capital Investment In The Railways, By Sector, 1995-1999
7. Forecast UK Capital Investment In The Railways, 2000-2004
8. Forecast UK Capital Investment In The Railways, By Sector, 2000-2004
9. UK Market For Maintenance And Service In The Railways, 1995-1999
10. UK Market For Service And Maintenance In The Railways, By Sector, 1995-1999
11. Forecast UK Market For Maintenance And Service In The Railways, 2000-2004
12. Forecast UK Market For Maintenance And Service In The Railways, By Sector, 2000-2004
13. UK Production Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1995-1999
14. UK Production Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, By Sector, 1995-1999
15. UK Imports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1995-1999
16. UK Imports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, By Sector, 1995-1999
17. UK Exports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1995-1999
18. UK Exports Of Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equpment, By Sector, 1995-1999
19. UK Trade Surplus (Deficit) In Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, 1995-1999
20. UK Trade Surplus (Deficit) In Railway And Tramway Vehicles And Equipment, By Sector, 1995-1999
21. The UK Railway Supply Industry, 2000
22. Financial Summary Of AEA Technology, 1996-1999
23. Financial Summary Of GEC ALSTOM, 1997-1999
24. Financial Summary Of AMEC, 1995-1999
25. Financial Summary Of Amey, 1995-1999
26. Financial Summary Of Balfour Beatty, 1995-1999
27. Financial Summary Of FKI, 1995-1999
28. Turnover Of FKI, By Activity, 1998 And 1999
29. Financial Summary Of Carillion, 1998 And 1999
30. Turnover Of Carillion, By Sector, 1998 And 1999
31. Financial Summary Of British Steel, 1995-1999
32. Turnover For British Steel, By Region, 1995-1999
33. Financial Summary Of Jarvis, 1994-1999
34. Financial Summary Of Racal Electronics, 1995-1999
35. Turnover Of Racal Electronics, By Division, 1998 And 1999
36. Financial Summary Of Prorail, 1995-1999
37. Turnover Of Siemens Holdings, 1995-1999
38. Financial Summary Of Westinhouse Brake And Signal Holdings, 1995-1999
39. Financial Summary Of WS Atkins, 1995-1999
40. Turnover Of WS Atkins, By Segment, 1998 And 1999
41. Turnover Of WS Atkins, By Geographic Location, 1998 And 1999

LIST OF DIAGRAMS

1. UK Capital Investment In The Railways, By Sector, 1999

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The privatisation of the UK railway industry was fully completed in February 1997. The privatisation was facilitated by the Railways Act 1993, which enabled the existing British Rail businesses to be transferred to the private sector in order to increase investment and competition in the UK rail network.

Following the privatisation of the UK railway industry, the former British Rail services businesses were divided into 25 train operating companies. In 1994 British Rail's infrastructure services became the responsibility of Railtrack and the remaining British Rail businesses were transferred to individual private sector companies.

The privatisation of the UK railway industry, as intended, has led to a significant increase in the level of capital investment in the UK railways. MSI estimate that total capital investment has increased by some 36 percent, since the privatisation was fully completed in 1997, despite a 4 percent decline in 1999. Capital investment in the UK railways was estimated to have amounted to £3.64 billion (euro5.64 billion) in 1999.

As a consequence of privatisation, franchise agreements were created by The Office of Passengers Rail Franchise, which has since changed to the shadow Strategic Rail Authority. The shadow Strategic Rail Authority is responsible for maintaining high levels of investment in the UK railway industry and has done so by creating franchise agreements for the train operating companies and Railtrack. Under the franchise agreements, the train operating companies are committed to carry out work to enhance and improve the overall standard of the UK rail network. Trade sources report that the franchise agreements have been a significant factor in stimulating capital investment in the UK railways.

The content of the franchise agreements has a direct impact on the level of investment in the UK railways. MSI have identified a number of additional factors, which affect investment in the rail network. These include:

* regulation
* environmental issues
* integrated transport systems
* the rejuvenation of rail freight
* social pressures
* the future of London Underground

Total capital expenditure by the UK railway industry is expected to decrease significantly in 2000, before investment is stimulated by the re-negotiated franchise agreements. Indeed, the process for re-negotiation will be on-going. However, once the first franchise agreements are re-awarded there will be a significant increase in investment. This will be due to the higher demands and commitments that are expected to be met by the franchises as part of the franchise agreements in order to meet the rail industry's objective of increasing investment in the UK railways.

MSI believe that the UK market for rail maintenance and service increased during the review period. Indeed, it is estimated that the total value of the UK rail maintenance and service market rose by 11 percent between 1995 and 1999. MSI believe that rolling stock maintenance accounted for some 46 percent of the total UK maintenance and service market during 1999. The remaining 54 percent was accounted for by infrastructure maintenance work.

MSI forecast that the UK market for maintenance and service will marginally increase during the forecast period. The marginal increase in the value of the market will be largely attributable to the increasing emphasis that the industry is placing on critical asset management and the use of higher quality parts and equipment.

As a result of an increase in the level of capital investment in the UK railway industry, UK production of railway and tramway vehicles and equipment has been stimulated. Trade sources report that the increase in UK production of railway and tramway vehicles and equipment reflects the high levels of domestic demand in the UK railway sector, since the privatisation of the industry.

MSI believe that there has been a significant increase in the level of imports of UK railway and tramway vehicles and equipment since 1997. As a reflection of the increase in the level of capital investment by the UK railway industry, MSI estimate that the level of UK imports of railway and tramway and equipment increased by some 96 percent during 1999.

Text © 2000 MSI

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Last updated by Paul Tucker 6th September 2000