MS32020 MSI ELECTRONIC SECURITY SYSTEMS: FRANCE: February 2000

- English language version

Executive Summary

Table of Contents

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The French market for electronic security systems remained buoyant during 1999 with an estimated 8 percent increase in value terms. The market has been affected by a number of factors including the development of new technologies that have contributed to increase the reliability of electronic security systems. Market growth was strong despite the increased competition in the industry which resulted in reduced market prices in all security sectors.

MSI forecast that demand for electronic security systems will continue to increase steadily at an annual rate of 8 percent until 2003, and at a marginally lower rate of 7 percent in 2004. The replacement market is expected to be the main factor stimulating demand for electronic security systems in the short term.

The market for intruder alarms has encountered the lowest growth rates between 1994 and 1999 compared with other security sectors. As a result of fierce competition in this sector prices declined significantly thus reflecting a slower rate of growth in value terms. Yet, the market has increased significantly in volume terms, boosted by an increasing demand in the private residential sector.

The rate of growth in the central monitoring station equipment & services market has gradually decreased from some 14 percent in 1997 to an estimated 7 percent in value terms during 1999. The restructuring of the industry with the three market leaders being taken over in 1998 reflects the strong interest that international companies are showing in this sector.

Demand for electronic access control has increased significantly between 1994 and 1999 to reach FF2.64 billion (euro4.02 billion) in 1999. Market growth for on-line systems has been particularly strong during the review period, reflecting a shift in demand for more sophisticated systems.

The market for CCTV equipment has fluctuated between 1994 and 1999 affected by the introduction of new legislation. The market is expected to increase steadily until 2004, reflecting an increased demand for CCTV equipment used in conjunction with access control systems and central monitoring station services.

The electronic security industry has evolved significantly in recent years with a number of mergers and acquisitions. This trend towards concentration has generated strong competition. The following factors have affected the industry:

* rapid technological developments requiring strong investment * increasing demand for further quality in the service offered * increased demand for integrated solutions

* strong pressures on prices

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY INTRODUCTION Definitions Economic Background Methodology Exchange Rates Abbreviations Regions of France MARKET OVERVIEW

Market Size and Trends, 1995-1999 Market Segmentation

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004 FACTORS AFFECTING DEMAND

The Crime Rate

Construction Activity

Overview

House Building Work

Non-House Building Work Construction Forecasts

Economic Activity

Legislation

Insurance Companies

Year 2000

New Technologies

Demographic Trends

INTRUDER ALARMS

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999 Market Segmentation, by System Type Market Segmentation, by End User Market Segmentation, by Type of Cost Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

CENTRAL MONITORING STATIONS & SERVICES Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999

Market Segmentation by Equipment and Service Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999

Market Segmentation, by System Type

Market Segmentation, by End User

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

CCTV

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

DISTRIBUTION

CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Overview

Company Profiles

Atral

Compagnie Europenne de Tlscurit - CET

CS Security

Cerberus

Fichet-Bauche

Gardiner France

Intervox Systmes

Legrand

Philips Communication, Security & Imaging Securitas France

Sensormatic

Thomson CSF

Overview

ISR

Thomson CSF Scurit

Tyco International

Overview

ADT Scurit Service

Cipe France

Westinghouse Security Electronics

MAGAZINES

TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

LIST OF TABLES

1. French Economic Indica90tors, 1996-1999

2. The French Market For Electronic Security Systems, 1995-1999

3. The French Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 1995-1999

4. Forecast French Market For Electronic Security Systems, 2000-2004

5. Forecast French Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 2000-2004

6. Criminal Offences Recorded By The Police In France, 1991-1998

7. Reported Thefts In France, By Type, 1994-1998

8. French Crime Rate, By Administrative Region, 1998

9. Reported Thefts In France, By Type, 1994-1998

10. Building Construction Output In France, By Sector, 1995-1999

11. House Building Starts In France, By Type Of Dwelling, 1995-1999

12. Non-House Building Starts In France, 1994-1998

13. Non-House Building Construction Starts In France, By Sector, 1995-1998

14. Forecast Building Construction Output In France, By Sector, 2000-2004

15. Forecast House Building Starts In France, By Type Of Dwelling, 2000-2004

16. Total Population In France, 1968-1999

17. Segmentation Of The French Population, By Age Group, 1995-1999

18. The French Market For Intruder Alarms, 1995-1999

19. The French Market For Intruder Alarms, By Type Of System, 1996 and 1999

20. The French Market For Intruder Alarms, By End User Sector, 1999

21. The French Market For Intruder Alarms, By Type Of Cost, 1999

22. Forecast French Market For Intruder Alarms, 2000-2004

23. The French Market For Central Monitoring Stations & Services, 1995-1999

24. Segmentation Of The French Market For Central Monitoring Stations & Services, 1995-1999

25. Forecast French Market For Central Monitoring Stations & Services, 2000-2004

26. The French Market For Electronic Access Control Systems, 1995-1999

27. The French Market For Electronic Access Control Systems, By System Type, 1997 And 1999

28. The French Market For On-Line Systems, By Reader Type, 1999

29. The French Market For Electronic Access Control Systems, By End User Sector, 1999

30. Forecast French Market For Electronic Access Control Systems, 2000-2004

31. The French Market For CCTV, 1995-1999

32. Forecast French Market For CCTV, 2000-2004

33. Financial Summary Of Atral, 1994-1997

34. Financial Summary Of CET, 1994-1998

35. Turnover Of Compagnie Des Signaux, By Activity, 1998

36. Financial Summary Of Cerberus, 1994-1998

37. Financial Summary Of Fichet-Bauche, 1997-1998

38. Turnover Of Fichet-Bauche, By Activity, 1998

39. Turnover Of Gardiner Group, By Geographical Region, 1998 40. Financial Summary Of Intervox Systmes, 1995-1997

41. Financial Summary Of Legrand, 1994-1998

42. Turnover Of Legrand, By Geographical Region, 1998

43. Financial Summary of Proteg Scurit, 1994-1998

44. Sales Achieved by Securitas in France, 1998

45. Financial Summary Of Sensormatic France, 1994-1998

46. Financial Summary Of ISR, 1994-1998

47. Financial Summary Of Thomson CSF Scurit, 1994-1998

48. Financial Summary Of Cipe France, 1994-1998

Text © 2000 MSI

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 20th February 2000