Table of Contents

Executive Summary

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY INTRODUCTION Definitions Methodology

Economic Background Political Climate Interest Rates Inflation

Exchange Rates Taxation

Household Income and Consumer Expenditure Manufacturing Output

Services

Investment

Forecasts

Exchange Rates

Abbreviations

MARKET SIZE

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999 Market Segmentation

Factors Affecting Demand

Forecast Segmentation, 2000-2004

INTRUDER ALARMS

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999 Market Segmentation, by Purchased or Rented Market Segmentation, by Type of Cost

Market Segmentation, by End User

Market Segmentation, by System Type

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

Distribution

CENTRAL MONITORING STATION SERVICES

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999 Market Segmentation, by Signal Type

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

ACCESS CONTROL

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999 Market Segmentation, by System Type

Market Segmentation, by End User

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

Distribution

CCTV

Market Overview and Trends, 1995-1999 Market Segmentation, by Purchased or Rented Market Segmentation, by End Use Application Market Segmentation, by Type of Cost

Market Segmentation, by End User

Market Segmentation, by Product Type

Market Forecasts, 2000-2004

Distribution

CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Overview

Company Profiles

ADT Fire and Security

Overview

Thorn Security

Modern Security Systems

Cooper Industries (UK)

Dedicated Micros

The Gardiner Group

Group 4 Technology

Norbain

PAC International

Remsdaq

Overview

Remsdaq (Deeside)

Rentokil Initial

Williams (Incorporating Chubb Security) Overview

Chubb Security

MAGAZINES

TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND REGULATORY BODIES

LIST OF TABLES

1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1992-2000

2. The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, 1995-1999

3. Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1995-1999

4. Forecast Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 2000-2004

5. Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 1994-2001

6. Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 1995-2004

7. Notifiable Offences Recorded By The Police In The UK, 1994-1998

8. Number Of Violent Crimes Recorded By The Police In The UK, 1994-1998

9. Number Of Burglary Offences Recorded By The Police In The UK, By Location, 1994-1998

10. National Intruder Alarm Statistics In England And Wales And Northern Ireland, 1997 And 1998

11. Number Of Theft Claims In The UK, By Type Of Theft, 1994-1998

12. Value Of Theft Claims In The UK, By Type Of Theft, 1994-1998

13. Population In England And Wales, By Age Group, 1996-2021 14. The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 1995-1999

15. Forecast UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, 2000-2004

16. Forecast UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 2000-2004

17. The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, 1995-1999

18. The UK Market For INtruder Alarms, by Rented Or Purchased, 1995-1999

19. The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, By Type Of Cost, 1999 20. New Professional Intruder Alarm Installations In The UK, By End User, 1991, 1998 And 1999

21. New Professional Intruder Alarm Installations In The UK, By System Type, 1998 And 1999

22. Forecast UK Market For Intruder Alarms, 2000-2004

23. The UK Market For Central Monitoring Station Services, 1995-1999

24. Analysis Of New Professional Remote Signal Intruder Alarm Installations In The UK, By Signal Type, 1999

25. Forecast UK Market For Central Monitoring Station Services, 2000-2004

26. The UK Market For Access Control, 1995-1999

27. The UK Market For Access Control, By System Type, 1998 And 1999

28. The UK Market For On-Line Access Control Systems, by Reader Type, 1999

29. The UK Market For Access Control, By End User, 1999

30. Forecast UK Market For Access Control, 2000-2004

31. Distribution Of Access Control In The UK, By Distribution Channel, 1999

32. The UK Market For CCTV, 1995-1999

33. Sales Of CCTV Equipment By Members Of The CCTV MDA, 1996-1999

34. The UK Market For CCTV, By Rented Or Purchased, 1995-199970

35. The UK Market For CCTV, By End Use Application, 1995-199972

36. The UK Market For CCTV, By Type Of Cost, 1999

37. The UK Market For CCTV, By End USer Sector, 1999

38. Sales Of CCTV Equipment By Members Of The CCTV MDA, By Product Type, 1996-1999

39. Forecast UK Market For CCTV, 2000-2004

40. Financial Summary Of ADT Fire And Security (Previously Electric Protection Services), 1994-1998

41. Financial Summary Of Thorn Security, 1995 And 1996

42. Financial Summary Of Modern Security Systems, 1994-1998 43. Financial Summary Of Cooper Industries (UK), 1998

44. Turnover Of Cooper Industries (UK), By Activity, 1998

45. Financial Summary Of Dedicated Micros, 1993-1997

46. Turnover Of Dedicated Micros, By Geographical Region, 1996 and 1997

47. Financial Summary Of The Gardiner Group, 1993-1997

48. Turnover Of The Gardiner Group, By Geographical Origin, 1996 And 1997

49. Financial Summary of Group 4 Technology, 1994-1998

50. Financial Summary Of Norbain, 1994-1998

51. Turnover Of Norbain, By Geographical Region, 1997 And 1998 52. Financial Summary Of PAC International, 1994-1998

53. Turnover Of PAC International, By Geographical Region, 1997 And 1998

54. Financial Summary Of Remsdaq, 1998

55. Turnover of Remsdaq, By Geographical Region, 1998

56. Financial Summary Of Remsdaq (Deeside), 1994-1998

57. Turnover of Remsdaq, By Geographical Region, 1997 And 1998 58. Financial Summary Of Rentokil Initial, 1994-1998

59. Turnover Of Rentokil Initial, By Business Stream, 1997 And 1998

60. Turnover Of Rentokil Initial, By Geographical Region, 1997 And 1998

61. Financial Summary Of Williams, 1994-1998

62. Turnover Of Williams, By Activity, 1997 And 1998

63. Turnover Of Williams, By Geographical Region, 1997 And 1998

64. Financial Summary of Chubb Security Installations, 1994-1997

LIST OF DIAGRAMS

1. The UK Diagram For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 1999

2. The UK Market For CCTV, By Rented Or Purchased, 1995-1999 3. Routes To The Market For CCTV Equipment In The UK, 1999

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK electronic security systems market is expected to increase by some 2 percent in real terms during 1999. MSI believe the intruder alarms sector accounted for the largest proportion of the UK market in 1999. However, the UK market for intruder alarms is projected to decrease by 1 percent during 1999.

MSI believe that the UK market for central monitoring station services increased by 40 percent between 1995 and 1998 and is projected to rise by a further 5 percent in real terms in 1999. MSI believe that this is largely attributable to the ACPO policy, introduced in 1995, which discourages police from responding to alarm systems unless they are connected to a monitoring centre.

Technological change across the access control and CCTV sectors has been a major contributory factor to an increase in demand from end users between 1995 and 1998. MSI project that the value of the access control and CCTV markets will increase by 5 percent and 2 percent respectively during 1999, with market value growth severely constrained by declining prices in some product sectors.

MSI forecast that the total market for electronic security systems will increase by 3 percent during 2000. MSI believe that technological developments and lower prices will continue to stimulate demand from end users.

The factors that are critical to the success of companies operating in the UK electronic security sector include:

* new product development * market research

* product quality

* adaptability

* diversification

MSI report that a high level of research and development has been undertaken by companies operating in the electronic security systems market. Indeed, technological change across security sectors such as CCTV and access control has resulted in the improvement of existing product ranges and to extend the life of existing products.

There has been a large amount of acquisition activity within the electronic security systems industry during the 1990s and the concentration of the industry has increased significantly. MSI believe that the principal reasons why companies have undertaken acquisitional activity include:

* to strengthen market position

* to improve service levels to customers

* extend product portfolio, particularly with the development of integrated security systems

* to compete in the global market place

* to achieve cost savings and economies of scale

* to achieve increased capital efficiency

Text © 1999 MSI

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 20th February 2000