Table of Contents

Executive Summary

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION

Definitions

Methodology

The UK Economy

Overview

Political Climate

Interest Rates

Inflation

Exchange Rates

Taxation

Consumer Demand

Output

Investment

Forecasts

Abbreviations

MARKET SIZE

Market Overview and Trends, 1994-1998

Market Segmentation

Market Forecasts, 1999-2003

FACTORS AFFECTING DEMAND

The Crime Rate

Construction Activity

Economic Activity

Regulatory Influences

Insurance Companies

Demographic Trends

New Product Development

INTRUDER ALARMS

Market Overview and Trends, 1994-1998

Market Segmentation, by Purchased or Rented

Market Segmentation, by Type of Cost

Market Segmentation, by End User

Market Segmentation, by System Type

Market Forecasts, 1999-2003

Distribution

CENTRAL MONITORING STATION SERVICES

Market Overview and Trends, 1994-1998

Market Segmentation, by Signal Type

Market Forecasts, 1999-2003

Industry Structure

ACCESS CONTROL

Market Overview and Trends, 1994-1998

Market Segmentation, by System Type

Market Segmentation, by End User

Market Forecasts, 1999-2003

Distribution

CCTV

Market Overview and Trends, 1994-1998

Market Segmentation, by Purchased or Rented

Market Segmentation, by End Use Application

Market Segmentation, by Type of Cost

Market Segmentation, by End User

Market Segmentation, by Product Type

Market Forecasts, 1999-2003

Distribution

CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Overview

Company Profiles

ADT Fire and Security

Overview

Thorn Security Group

The Gardiner Group

Menvier Group

Norbain

PAC International

Rentokil Initial

Williams (Incorporating Chubb Security)

TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND REGULATORY BODIES

MAGAZINES

List of Tables

1 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1990-1999

2 The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, 1994-1998

3 The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 1994-1998

4 Forecast UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, 1999-2003

5 Forecast UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 1999-2003

6 Notifiable Offences Recorded By The Police In The UK, 1993-1997

7 Number Of Violent Crimes Recorded By The Police In The UK, 1993-1997

8 Number Of Burglary Offences Recorded By The Police In The UK, By Type, 1993-1997

9 Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1994-1998

10 Forecast Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1999-2003

11 Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain By Sector, 1994-2000

12 Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 1994-2003

13 National Intruder Alarm Call Statistics For England, Wales And Northern Ireland, 1996 And 1997

14 Number Of Theft Claims In The UK, By Type Of Theft, 1993-1997

15 Value Of Theft Claims In The UK, By Type Of Theft, 1993-1997

16 Population In England And Wales, By Age Group, 1996-2021

17 The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, 1994-1998

18 The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, By Rented Or Purchased, 1994-1998

19 The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, By Type Of Cost, 1998

20 Analysis Of New Professional Intruder Alarm Installations In The Uk, By End User, 1991, 1997 And 1998

21 Analysis Of New Professional Intruder Alarm Installations In The UK, By System Type, 1991, And 1998

22 Forecast UK Market For Intruder Alarms, 1999-2003

23 The UK Market For Central Monitoring Station Services, 1994-1998

24 Analysis Of New Professional Remote Signal Installations In The UK, By Signal Type, 1998

25 Forecast UK Market For Central Monitoring Station Services, 1999-2003

26 The UK Market For Access Control, 1994-1998

27 The UK Market For Access Control, By System Type, 1997 And 1998

28 The UK Market For On-Line Systems, By Reader Type, 1998

29 The UK Market For Access Control, By End User, 1998

30 Forecast UK Market For Access Control, 1999-2003

31 Distribution Of Access Control In The UK, By Distribution Channel, 1998

32 The UK Market For CCTV, 1994-1998

33 The UK Market For CCTV, By Rented Or Purchased, 1994-1998

34 The UK Market For CCTV, By End Use Application, 1994-1998

35 The UK Market For CCTV, By Type Of Cost, 1998

36 The UK Market For CCTV, By End User, 1998

37 Sales Of CCTV Equipment By Members Of The CCTV MDA, By Product Type, 1995-1998

38 Forecast UK Market For CCTV, 1999-2003

39 Financial Summary Of ADT Fire And Security (Previously Electric Protection Services), 1993-1997

40 Turnover Of Thorn Security Group, 1995 And 1996

41 Turnover Of Thorn Security Group, By Geographical Destination, 1995 And 1996

42 Financial Summary Of The Gardiner Group, 1993-1997

43 Turnover Of The Gardiner Group, By Geographical Origin, 1996 And 1997

44 Financial Summary Of Menvier Group, 1994-1997

45 Turnover Of Menvier Group, By Activity, 1997

46 Turnover Of Menvier Group, By Geographical Destination, 1997

47 Financial Summary Of Norbain, 1994-1998

48 Turnover Of Norbain, By Geographical Destination, 1997 And 1998

49 Financial Summary Of PAC International, 1993-1997

50 Turnover Of PAC International, By Geographical Region, 1996 And 1997

51 Financial Summary Of Rentokil Initial, 1993-1997

52 Turnover Of Rentokil Initial, By Business Stream, 1996 And 1997

53 Turnover Of Rentokil Initial, By Geographical Region, 1996 And 1997

54 Financial Summary Of Williams, 1993-1997

55 Turnover Of Williams, By Activity, 1996 And 1997

56 Turnover Of Williams, By Geographical Origin, 1996 And 1997

List of Diagrams

1 The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Type, 1998

2 The UK Market For CCTV, By Rented Or Purchased, 1994-1998

3 Routes To The Market For CCTV Equipment In The UK, 1998

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK market for electronic security systems is believed to have grown continuously between 1994 and 1998. MSI project that the market will increase by 7 percent in real terms in 1998.

The intruder alarms sector has accounted for the largest proportion of the UK market for electronic security systems between 1994 and 1998. However, growth in the demand for intruder alarms has slowed due to the mature nature of the sector. MSI project that the intruder alarms sector will increase by 3 percent in real terms in 1998.

The introduction of the Association of Chief Police Officers' false alarms policy in 1995 has had significant implications for various sectors of the UK electronic security systems market, including the intruder alarms and central monitoring station service sectors. Indeed, MSI believe the policy has been a key factor contributing to the increase in the market for central monitoring station services in recent years. The central monitoring station services sector is projected to increase by 10 percent in real terms in 1998.

MSI believe that the UK market for access control systems increased by 54 percent between 1994 and 1997 and is projected to grow by 9 percent in real terms in 1998. Increased public acceptance of the use of access control has stimulated demand for the systems. Furthermore, the rate of technological advance has served to expand the market for access control.

The closed circuit television sector is believed to have increased by 59 percent between 1994 and 1997, with real growth of 17 percent expected to occur in 1998. MSI believe that the high profile of closed circuit television in the media is a factor which has stimulated demand in the market.

MSI have identified a number of factors which are believed to affect demand for electronic security equipment. These are:

- the crime rate, both actual and perceived

- construction activity

- economic activity

- regulatory influences

- preconditions on policies imposed by insurance companies

- demographic trends

- new product development

The level of competition in the UK electronic security industry has increased the importance of being competitively priced. Furthermore, it is important for suppliers to be aware of the strong purchasing power of some end users, such as in the retail sector, which can have a relatively high degree of influence on price.

A further factor which is believed to be critical to the success of companies operating in the electronic security market is to be accredited to one of the recognised bodies in the industry, such as the National Approval Council for Security Systems, to satisfy end users that they are providing high quality products and services. The importance of being accredited by regulatory bodies has also been influenced by the stipulation by many insurance companies that electronic security systems must consist of approved equipment and be installed by accredited installers.

It is believed that the UK electronic security systems industry is fragmented to a relatively high degree. A significant proportion of market share is attributable to medium and small sized independent companies. MSI believe that some companies are reporting higher levels of growth than the market growth rate reflecting the high level of acquisitional activity which has taken place in the UK electronic security systems industry.

Text © 1998 MSI

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