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MS32011 MSI Electronic Security Systems: UK : October 2001

This report covers: Access control, intruder alarms, central monitoring station services, Electronic Security Systems, Remote Signal Intruder Alarm, installations, CCTV, On-Line Access Control,

Companies covered include :Ademco Microtech, ADT Fire and Security, Blick, PAC International, C&K Systems, Chubb Electronic Security, Cooper Industries (UK), Dedicated Microcomputers Group The Gardiner Group, Group 4 Technology, Norbain SD, Remsdaq, Rentokil Initial,



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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
2 INTRODUCTION 3
2.1 Definitions 3
2.2 Methodology 5
2.3 Economic Background 5
2.3.1 Overview 5
2.3.2 Interest Rates 7
2.3.3 Inflation 7
2.3.4 Household Income And Expenditure 7
2.3.5 Services And Manufacturing Output 8
2.3.6 The Budget 2001 9
2.3.7 Forecasts 9
2.4 Exchange Rates 10
2.5 Abbreviations 10
3 MARKET OVERVIEW 12
3.1 Market Overview And Trends, 1997-2001 12
3.2 Market Segmentation 25
3.3 Factors Affecting Demand 27
3.4 Forecast Segmentation, 2002-2006 31
4 INTRUDER ALARMS 38
4.1 Market Overview And Trends, 1997-2001 38
4.2 Market Segmentation, By Purchased Or Rented 40
4.3 Market Segmentation, By Type Of Cost 42
4.4 Market Segmentation, By End User 43
4.5 Market Segmentation, By System Type 45
4.6 Market Forecasts, 2002-2006 48
4.7 Distribution 50
5 CENTRAL MONITORING STATION SERVICES 52
5.1 Market Overview And Trends, 1997–2001 52
5.2 Market Segmentation, By Signal Type 54
5.3 Market Forecasts, 2002-2006 55
6 CCTV 58
6.1 Market Overview And Trends, 1997-2001 58
6.2 Market Segmentation, By Purchased Or Rented 60
6.3 Market Segmentation, By End Use Application 63
6.4 Market Segmentation, By Type Of Cost 65
6.5 Market Segmentation, By End User 66
6.6 Market Segmentation, By Type Of System 67
6.7 Market Segmentation, By Type Of Camera 68
6.8 Market Forecasts, 2002-2006 69
6.9 Distribution 71
7 ACCESS CONTROL 74
7.1 Market Overview And Trends, 1997-2001 74
7.2 Market Segmentation, By System Type 76
7.3 Market Segmentation, By End User 80
7.4 Market Forecasts, 2002-2006 83
7.5 Distribution 85
8 CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS 87
9 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 92
9.1 Overview 92
9.2 Company Profiles 93
9.2.1 Ademco Microtech 93
9.2.2 ADT Fire and Security 95
9.2.3 Blick 96
9.2.3.1 Overview 97
9.2.3.2 PAC International 98
9.2.4 C&K Systems 100
9.2.5 Chubb Electronic Security 101
9.2.6 Cooper Industries (UK) 103
9.2.7 Dedicated Microcomputers Group 105
9.2.8 The Gardiner Group 107
9.2.9 Group 4 Technology 109
9.2.10 Norbain SD 111
9.2.11 Remsdaq 112
9.2.12 Rentokil Initial 114
10 MAGAZINES 116
11 TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 117
12 TRADE EXHIBITIONS 118

LIST OF TABLES

1. Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1996-2003 6
2. The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, 1997-2001 12
3. Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1997-2001 13
4. Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, 1997-2001 15
5. Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 1997-2001 16
6. Notifiable Offences Recorded By The Police In The UK, 1996-2000 17
7. Number Of Violent Crimes Recorded By The Police In The UK, 1996-2000 17
8. Number Of Burglary Offences Recorded By The Police In The UK, By Location, 1996-2000 19
9. Number Of Detentions in Great Britain, 1995-1999 19
10. National Intruder Alarm Statistics In England And Wales And Northern Ireland, 1999 And 2000 22
11. Number Of Theft Claims In The UK, By Type Of Theft, 1996-2000 23
12. Value Of Theft Claims In The UK, By Type Of Theft, 1996-2000 24
13. Population In England And Wales, By Age Group, 1996-2021 25
14. The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Sector, 1997-2001 26
15. Forecast UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, 2002-2006 32
16. Forecast Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 2002-2006 33
17. Forecast Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, 2002-2006 35
18. Forecast Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 2002-2006 35
19. Forecast UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Sector, 2002-2006 36
20. The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, 1997-2001 38
21. The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, By Rented Or Purchased, 1997-2001 41
22. The UK Market For Intruder Alarms, By Type Of Cost, 2001 42
23. New Professional Intruder Alarm Installations In The UK, By End User, 1998-2001 44
24. New Professional Intruder Alarm Installations In The UK, By Type Of System, 1998-2001 46
25. Forecast UK Market For Intruder Alarms, 2002-2006 48
26. Distribution Of Intruder Alarms In The UK, By Distribution Channel, 2001 51
27. The UK Market For Central Monitoring Station Services, 1997-2001 52
28. Analysis Of New Professional Remote Signal Intruder Alarm Installations In The UK, By Type Of Signal, 1999-2001 54
29. Forecast UK Market For Central Monitoring Station Services, 2002-2006 55
30. The UK Market For CCTV, 1997-2001 58
31. The UK Market For CCTV, By Rented Or Purchased, 1997-2001 61
32. The UK Market For CCTV, By End Use Application, 1997-2001 64
33. The UK Market For CCTV, By Type Of Cost, 2001 65
34. The UK Market For CCTV, By Type Of End User, 2000 And 2001 66
35. The UK Market For CCTV, By Type Of System, 2001 67
36. The UK Market For CCTV, By Type Of Camera, 2000 And 2001 69
37. Forecast UK Market For CCTV, 2002-2006 70
38. The UK Market For Access Control, 1997-2001 74
39. The UK Market For Access Control, By Type Of System, 2000 And 2001 77
40. The UK Market For On-Line Access Control, By Type Of Reader, 1998-2001 78
41. The UK Market For Access Control, By End User, 2000 And 2001 81
42. Forecast UK Market For Access Control, 2002-2006 83
43. Forecast UK Market For Access Control Systems, By Type Of System, 2002-2006 84
44. Distribution Of Access Control In The UK, By Distribution Channel, 2001 86
45. Financial Summary Of Ademco Microtech, 1995-1999 94
46. Turnover Of Ademco Microtech, By Geographical Area, 1998 And 1999 94
47. Financial Summary Of ADT Fire and Security, 1996-2000 96
48. Financial Summary Of Blick, 1996-2000 97
49. Turnover Of Blick, By Geographical Region, 2000 98
50. Financial Summary Of PAC International 99
51. Turnover Of PAC International, By Geographical Region, 1999 And 2000 100
52. Financial Summary Of C&K Systems, 1998 And 1999 101
53. Financial Summary Of Chubb Electronic Security, 1995-1999 102
54. Financial Summary Of Cooper Industries (UK), 1998 And 1999 103
55. Turnover Of Cooper Industries (UK), By Type Of Activity, 1998 And 1999 104
56. Turnover Of Cooper Industries (UK), By Geographical Area, 1998 And 1999 105
57. Financial Summary Of Dedicated Microcomputers Group, 1996-2000 106
58. Turnover Of Dedicated Microcomputers Group, By Geographical Origin, 1999 And 2000 107
59. Financial Summary Of The Gardiner Group, 1994-1998 108
60. Turnover Of The Gardiner Group, By Geographical Origin, 1997 And 1998 109
61. Financial Summary Of Group 4 Technology, 1995-1999 110
62. Turnover Of Group 4 Technology, By Geographical Destination, 1998 And 1999 110
63. Financial Summary Of Norbain SD, 1996-2000 111
64. Turnover Of Norbain SD, By Geographical Region, 1999 And 2000 112
65. Financial Summary Of Remsdaq, 1998-2000 113
66. Turnover Of Remsdaq, By Geographical Region, 1999 And 2000 114
67. Financial Summary Of Rentokil Initial, 1996-2000 115
LIST OF DIAGRAMS
1. The UK Market For Electronic Security Systems, By Sector, 2001 27
2. The UK Market For CCTV Systems, By Rented Or Purchased, 1997-2001 63
3. Routes To Market For CCTV Systems In The UK, 2001 72

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK market for electronic security systems is projected to increase by 3 percent at 2000 end user prices in 2001. MSI believe that the intruder alarms sector will continue to represent the largest proportion of the UK electronic security systems market in 2001. Furthermore, the UK market for intruder alarms is projected to increase by some 2 percent in real value terms in 2001. MSI believe that this increase will be due to the Association of Chief Police Officers requirements that all new alarm systems must be remote two signal systems. Furthermore, old systems with faults must be replaced by the new two signal systems that are compliant with the policy.

The UK market for central monitoring station services is projected to increase by 5 percent in real value terms in 2001. The central monitoring station services sector accounted for the second largest proportion of the UK market for electronic security systems throughout the review period. MSI believe that the growth in the market is largely attributable to the continuous reviews to the Association of Chief Police Officers policy, which was originally introduced in 1995. Indeed, the Association of Chief Police Officers policy prevents the police responding to an alarm call unless it is connected to a monitoring station.

MSI believe that the UK market for closed circuit television has shown strong growth during the review period. MSI project that the closed circuit television sector will rise by 5 percent in real value terms during 2001. MSI believe that the substantial growth in this sector is largely attributable to Home Office investment and technological developments.

The access control sector of the UK market for electronic security systems is expected to increase by 2 percent in real terms during 2001. MSI believe that growth during the review period in this sector has been mainly due to technological advances in this market, which have caused end users to update existing systems and to specify more sophisticated technology.

MSI believe that the factors that affect demand within the UK market for electronic security systems include:

There has been a large amount of acquisitional activity within the electronic security systems industry during the review period. Consequently, MSI believe that concentration within the industry has increased. The main objectives behind this acquisitional activity include: -

The recent terrorist attacks in the USA are expected to have a significant impact on the demand for electronic security products in the UK. Almost immediately following the events of the 11th of September 2001, trade sources reported an increase in enquiries for security systems, particularly CCTV systems and access control products. These enquiries are expected to translate into orders in late 2001 and early 2002, which will increase the value of the UK electronic

Text © 2001 MSI

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Last updated by Mandy Porteous 9th October 2001