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MS27029 MSI STEEL STOCKHOLDING: UK AUGUST 1999

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2 INTRODUCTION
3 Definitions
4 Methodology
5 Economic Background
6 Overview
7 Political Climate
8 Interest Rates
9 Inflation
10 Exchange Rates
11 Taxation
12 Household Income and Consumer Expenditure
13 Output
14 Investment
15 Forecasts
16 Exchange Rates
17 Abbreviations
18 MARKET SIZE
19 Market Overview and Trends, 1989-1998
20 Market Segmentation
21 Overview
22 Strip Mill Products
23 General Steels
24 Tubes & Hollow Sections
25 Engineering & Bright Steels
26 Stainless Steel
27 Factors Affecting Demand
28 FORECAST MARKET SIZE
29 Overview, 1999-2003
30 Strip Mill Products
31 General Steels
32 Tubes & Hollow Sections
33 Engineering & Bright Steels
34 Stainless Steel
35 PRODUCTION
36 Overview
37 Critical Success Factors
38 INTERNATIONAL TRADE
39 Imports
40 Overview
41 Import Penetration
42 Implications For Importers
43 Exports
44 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
45 Overview
46 Company Profiles
47 Amari Metals
48 Overview
49 Aalco Metals
50 Amari Aerospace
51 ASD
52 Austin Trumanns Group
53 Avesta Sheffield Distribution
54 BSD Steel Service Centres (National Contracts)
55 Barrett Steel
56 Brown & Tawse Steelstock
57 Hallco 1812
58 Macreadys Carbon & Alloy Steels
59 Murray International Metals
60 Perry Willenhall Steel Service Centres
61 Richardsons Westgarth
62 Steel & Alloy Processing
63 END USER SECTORS
64 Overview
65 Aerospace
66 Automotive
67 Overview
68 Cars
69 Commercial Vehicles
70 Construction
71 Mechanical Engineering
72 Process Industries
73 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
74 UK Economy
75 Overview
76 Political Climate
77 Interest Rates
78 Inflation
79 Exchange Rates
80 Taxation
81 Household Income and Consumer Expenditure
82 Manufacturing Output
83 Services
84 Investment
85 Forecasts
86 Construction Trends, 1995-2004
87 MAGAZINES
88 TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

LIST OF TABLES

1 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1992-2000
2 Deliveries To UK Stockholders, By Source, 1994-1998
3 Stockholders' Share Of UK Steel Mills' Deliveries To The UK Market, 1989-1998
4 Deliveries To UK Stockholders, By Source And Product Sector, 1994-1998
5 Deliveries To UK Steel Stockholders, By Source And Product Sector, 1998
6 Deliveries Of Strip Mill Products To Stockholders, By source And Product Sector, 1994-1998
7 Proportional Importance Of UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of Strip Mill Products To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
8 Deliveries Of General Steels To Stockholders, By Source And Product Sector, 1994-1998
9 Proportional Importance Of UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of General Steels To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
10 Deliveries Of Tubes & Hollow Sections To Stockholders, By Source, 1994-1998
11 Deliveries Of Engineering & Bright Steels To Stockholders, By Source And Product Sector, 1994-1998
12 Proportional Importance Of UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of Engineering & Bright Steels To Stockholders, By Product
13 Deliveries Of Stainless Steel To Stockholders, By Source, 1994-1998
14 Forecast Deliveries To UK Steel Stockholders, 1999-2003
15 Forecast UK Steel Mills' Deliveries To Stockholders, 1999-2003
16 Forecast UK Steel Mills' Deliveries To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1999-2003
17 Forecast UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of Strip Mill Products To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1999-2003
18 Forecast Proportional Importance Of UK Steel Mills'Deliveries Of Strip Mill Products To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1999-2003
19 Forecast UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of General Steels To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1999-2003
20 Forecast Proportional Importance Of UK Steel Mills' Sector, 1999-2003
21 Forecast UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of Tubes & Hollow Sections To Stockholders, 1999-2003
22 Forecast UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of Engineering & Bright Steels To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1999-2003
23 Forecast Proportional Importance Of UK Steel Mills' Dekiveries Of Engineering And Bright Steels To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1999-2003
24 Forecast UK Steel Mills' Deliveries Of Stainless Steel To Stockholders, 1999-2003
25 UK Production Of Finished Steel, 1994-1998
26 Net Home And Export Deliveries Of Finished Steel By UK Producers, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
27 UK Imports Of Steel, 1994-1998
28 UK Imports Of Steel, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
29 Proportional Importance Of UK Imports Of Steel, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
30 Import Penetration Of The UK Steel Sector, 1994-1998
31 UK Exports Of Steel, 1994-1998
32 UK Exports Of Steel, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
33 Proportional Importance Of UK Exports Of Steel, By Product Sector, 1994-1998
34 Financial Summary Of Amari Metals, 1997 and 1998
35 Turnover Of Amari Metals, By Region, 1998
36 Financial summary Of Aalco Metals, 1993-1997
37 Turnover Of Aalco Metals, By Region, 1996 And 1997
38 Financial Summary Of Amari Aerospace, 1994-1998
39 Turnover Of Amari Aerospace, By Region, 1997 And 1998
40 Financial Summary Of ASD, 1994-1998
41 Financial Summary Of Austin Trumanns Group, 1995-1999
42 Financial Summary Of Avesta Sheffield Distribution, 1994-1999
43 Turnover Of British Steel's UK Distribution Operations, 1994-1999
44 Financial Summary Of Barrett Steel, 1995-1999
45 Turnover Of Barrett Steel, By Region, 1998 And 1999
46 Financial Summary Of Brown & Tawse Steelstock, 1997-1999
47 Financial Summary Of Hallco 1812, 1997-1998
48 Financial Summary Of Murray International Metals, 1995-1999
49 Turnover Of Murray International Metals, By Region, 1998 And 1999
50 Financial Summary Of Perry Willenhall Steel Service Centres, 1994-1998
51 Turnover Of Perry Willenhall Steel Service Centres, By Region, 1997 And 1998
52 Financial Summary Of Richardsons Westgarth, 1994-1998
53 Financial Summary Of Steel & Alloy Processing, 1995-1999
54 Turnover Of Steel & Alloy Processing, By Region, 1998 And 1999
55 UK Consumption Of Steel, By End User Industry, 1998
56 UK Aerospace Equipment Manufacturing Turnover, 1994-1998
57 UK Aerospace Equipment Manufacturing Turnover, By Sector, 1994-1998
58 UK Production Of Cars, 1990-1999
59 UK Production Of Commercial Vehicles, 1990-1999
60 Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1994-1998
61 Forecast Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1999-2003
62 Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 1994-2000
63 UK Mechanical Engineering Output, 1994-1998
64 Capital Expenditure By The UK Process Industries, 1994-1998
65 Capital Expenditure By The UK Process Industries, By Sector, 1994-1998
66 UK Process Plant Expenditure, By Sector, 1994-1998
67 Forecast Capital Expenditure By The UK Process Industries, By Sector, 1999-2002
68 Forecast UK Process Plant Expenditure, By Sector, 1999-2002
69 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1992-2000
70 Total Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 1995-1999
71 Forecast Construction Output In Great Britain, By Sector, 2000-2004
72 Housing Starts and Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 1994-2000

LIST OF DIAGRAMS

1 Importance Of Steel Stockholders To UK Steel Mills' Deliveries, 1989-1998
2 UK Steel Mills' Deliveries To Stockholders, By Product Sector, 1998
3 Analysis Of UK Steel Consumption By End User Sector, 1998

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Total deliveries to steel stockholders in the UK reached 8.3 million tonnes in 1998, of which 53 percent was accounted for by imports.

UK steel mills' deliveries to stockholders totalled 3.9 million tonnes in 1998, which represented a 5 percent decline in volume terms in comparison with 1997. MSI believe the principle cause of this decline was the high value of Sterling which subsequently meant that the UK market for steel was subject to higher levels of imports.

The level of service offered by UK stockholders is a significant factor affecting the demand for steel products. MSI believe that competition in the market has encouraged stockholders to invest substantial amounts in projects to improve their operational efficiency and subsequently their level of service.

MSI forecast that UK steel mills' deliveries to stockholders will decline by 2 percent in volume terms during 1999. MSI believe the principal cause of this decline will be a continuation of the unfavourable economic conditions that affected the industry in 1998. However, the volume of steel deliveries to stockholders is expected to increase between 2000 and 2002.

MSI estimate that in 1998 UK production of finished steel declined by some 6 percent in volume terms to 16.2 million tonnes following steady growth between 1994 and 1997. MSI believe that the downturn was attributable to the influx of cheaper imports, which met a higher proportion of domestic demand during the year.

The factors that are critical to the success of companies operating in the steel stockholding sector include:

The UK steel market suffered from increased import penetration during 1998. Indeed, UK imports of steel increased by some 15 percent in volume terms in the same year. In contrast, UK exports of steel decreased by a significant 14 percent in volume terms during 1998.

There has been a large amount of acquisition activity within the UK steel stockholding sector and consequently the level of concentration of the industry has increased significantly. This acquisition activity has been driven by the acquisition of UK stockholders by overseas steel producers, and the withdrawal of more broadly-based UK engineering companies from stockholding activities.

Text © 1999 MSI

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