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MS26071 MSI DOMESTIC DOORS & PATIO DOORS: UK FEBRUARY 2001

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Executive Summary 1
2 INTRODUCTION 3
2.1 Definitions 3
2.2 Methodology 4
2.3 UK Economy 4
2.3.1 Overview 4
2.3.2 Interest Rates 6
2.3.3 Inflation 7
2.3.4 Exchange Rates 7
2.3.5 Taxation 8
2.3.6 Household Income and Consumer Expenditure 9
2.3.7 Manufacturing Output 10
2.3.8 Services 11
2.3.9 Investment 11
2.3.10 Forecasts 12
2.4 Exchange Rates 13
2.5 Abbreviations 13
3 MARKET OVERVIEW 15
3.1 Market Size And Trends, 1996-2000 15
3.2 Market Segmentation 19
3.2.1 Overview 19
3.2.2 Private Sector 24
3.2.2.1 By Type Of Work 24
3.2.2.1.1 By Material 26
3.2.2.1.2 Refurbishment Market 26
3.2.2.2 New Build Market 29
3.2.3 Public Sector 30
3.2.3.1 By Type Of Work 30
3.2.3.2 By Material 32
3.2.3.2.1 Refurbishment Market 32
3.2.3.2.2 New Build Market 33
3.2.4 By Use 34
3.2.4.1 External Doors 36
3.2.4.1.1 By Type Of Work 36
3.2.4.1.2 By Material 37
3.2.4.1.2.1 Refurbishment Market 37
3.2.4.2 New Build Market 39
3.2.4.2.1 Internal Doors 40
3.2.4.2.1.1 By Type Of Work 40
3.3 Factors Affecting Demand 41
3.4 Market Forecasts, 2001-2005 45
3.4.1 Overview 45
3.4.2 Forecast Segmentation, 2001-2005 47
3.4.2.1 By Sector 47
3.4.2.2 By Type Of Work 49
3.4.2.3 By Use 51
4 Patio Doors 52
4.1 Market Overview And Trends, 1996-2000 52
4.1.1 Overview 52
4.1.2 By Type 53
4.1.3 By Material 54
4.2 Market Forecasts, 2001-2005 57
4.2.1 Overview 57
4.2.2 By Type 58
5 Distribution 60
5.1 Overview
5.2 Distribution To The New Build Sector 60
5.3 Distribution To The Refurbishment Sector 61
6 Production 63
6.1 Overview
6.2 Critical Success Factors 65
7 International Trade 70
7.1 Imports
7.1.1 Overview 70
7.1.2 Implications For Importers 72
7.2 Exports
7.3 Trade Deficit 75
8 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 77
8.1 Overview
8.2 Company Profiles 78
8.2.1 Anglian Group 78
8.2.2 BAC 79
8.2.3 Bowater Windows 80
8.2.4 CDW Products (formerly Caradon Windows and doors) 81
8.2.5 Dale Joinery 82
8.2.6 Deceuninck 83
8.2.7 Drawn Metal 84
8.2.8 Epwin Group 85
8.2.9 Everest (formerly Caradon Everest) 87
8.2.10 Heywood Williams 88
8.2.11 Jeld-Wen UK (formerly Rugby Joinery UK) 89
8.2.12 LB Plastics 91
8.2.13 Marshall-Tufflex 92
8.2.14 Permacell Finesse 93
8.2.15 Plastmo Profiles 94
8.2.16 Premdor Crosby 96
8.2.17 Rehau 97
8.2.18 Solair 98
8.2.19 Shepley Window Systems Company 99
8.2.20 Smart Systems 100
8.2.21 Veka 101
9 Magazines 104
10 Trade Associations 106
List of Tables
1.     Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1995-2002 6
2.     The UK Volume Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, 1996-2000 15
3.     The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, 1996-2000 16
4.     Total Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Type Of Work And By Sector, 1996-2000 17
5.     Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, 1996-2000 18
6.     UK Population, 1995-1999 18
7.     Number Of Households In England And Wales, 1991, 1996 And 2021 19
8.     The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By End User Sector, 1996-2000 20
9.     New Housing Construction In Great Britain, By Sector, 1996-2000 21
10.  RMI Work In Great Britain, By Sector, 1996-2000 21
11.  UK Stock Of Dwellings, By Sector, 1988-1998 22
12.  Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 1996-2000 23
13.  Activity Undertaken By The Housing Corporation, 1996-2000 24
14.  Private Sector Housing Construction Activity, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 25
15.  The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Private Sector Work, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 26
16.  Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 1996-2000 27
17.  The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Private Sector Refurbishment Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 29
18.  The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Private Sector New Build Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 30
19.  Public Sector Housing Construction Activity, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 31
20.  The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Public Sector Work, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 32
21.  The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Public Sector Refurbishment Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 33
22.  The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Public Sector New Build Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 34
23.  The UK Volume Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Use, 1996-2000 35
24.  The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Use, 1996-2000 36
25.  The UK Volume Market For External Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 36
26.  The UK Value Market For External Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 37
27.  The UK Volume Market For External Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Refurbishment Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 38
28.  The UK Value Market For External Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For Refurbishment Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 38
29.  The UK Volume Market For External Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For New Build Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 39
30.  The UK Value Market For External Domestic Doors And Doorframes Used For New Build Work, By Type Of Material, 1996-2000 40
31.  The UK Volume Market For Internal Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 41
32.  The UK Value Market For Internal Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Type Of Work, 1996-2000 41
33.  Forecast UK Volume Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, 2001-2005 45
34.  Forecast UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, 2001-2005 46
35.  Forecast Total Housing Construction Output In Great Britain, By Type Of Work And By Sector, 2001-2005 47
36.  Forecast UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By End User Sector, 2001-2005 48
37.  Forecast Housing Starts And Completions In Great Britain, By Sector, 2001-2005 49
38.  Forecast UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Type Of Work, 2001-2005 50
39.  Forecast Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales, 2001-2005 50
40.  Forecast UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By Use, 2001-2005 51
41.  The UK Volume Market For Patio Doors, 1996-2000 52
42.  The UK Value Market For Patio Doors, 1996-2000 53
43.  UK Volume Market For Patio Doors, By Type Of Door, 1996-2000 54
44.  UK Value Market For Patio Doors, By Type Of Door, 1996-2000 54
45.  The UK Volume Market For Patio Doors, By Material Type, 1996-2000 56
46.  The UK Value Market For Patio Doors, By Material Type, 1996-2000 56
47.  Forecast UK Volume Market For Patio Doors, 2001-2005 57
48.  Forecast UK Value Market For Patio Doors, 2001-2005 57
49.  The Forecast UK Volume Market For Patio Doors, By Type Of Door, 2001-2005 58
50.  The Forecast UK Value Market For Patio Doors, By Type Of Door, 2001-2005 59
51.  Distribution Of Domestic Doors And Doorframes For New Build Work In The UK, By Type Of Distribution Channel, 2000 61
52.  Distribution Of Domestic Doors And Doorframes For Refurbishment Work In The UK, By Type Of Distribution Channel, 2000 62
53.  UK Production Of Windows And Doors, 1996-2000 63
54.  UK Production Of Windows And Doors, By Material, 1996-2000 64
55.  UK Imports Of Windows And Doors, 1996-2000 70
56.  UK Imports Of Windows And Doors, By Material, 1996-2000 71
57.  UK Exports Of Windows And Doors, 1996-2000 74
58.  UK Exports Of Windows And Doors, By Material, 1996-2000 74
59.  UK Trade Deficit In Windows And Doors, 1996-2000 75
60.  UK Trade Surplus (Deficit) In Windows And Doors, By Material, 1996-2000 76
61.  Financial Summary Of Anglian Group, 1996-2000 79
62.  Financial Summary Of BAC, 1995-1998 80
63.  Financial Summary Of Bowater Windows, 1995-1999 81
64.  Financial Summary Of CDW Products, 1995-1999 82
65.  Financial Summary Of Dale Joinery, 1995-1999 83
66.  Financial Summary Of Deceuninck, 1995-1999 84
67.  Financial Summary Of Drawn Metal, 1996 - 2000 85
68.  Financial Summary Of Epwin Group, 1995-1999 86
69.  Financial Summary Of Everest, 1995-1999 87
70.  Financial Summary Of Heywood Williams, 1995-1998 89
71.  Financial Summary Of Jeld-Wen UK, 1996-1999 90
72.  Turnover Of Jeld-Wen UK, By Region, 1998 And 1999 90
73.  Financial Summary Of LB Plastics, 1994-1998 92
74.  Financial Summary Of Marshall-Tufflex, 1997-1999 93
75.  Financial Summary Of Permacell Finesse, 1996-1999 94
76.  Financial Summary Of Plastmo Profiles, 1995-1999 95
77.  Turnover Of Plastmo Profiles, By Region, 1996-1999 95
78.  Financial Summary Of Premdor Crosby, 1996-1999 96
79.  Financial Summary Of Rehau, 1995-1999 97
80.  Turnover Of Rehau, By Region, 1998 And 1999 98
81.  Financial Summary Of Solair, 1995-1999 99
82.  Turnover Of Solair, By Region, 1998 And 1999 99
83.  Financial Summary Of Shepley Window Systems Company, 1996-2000 100
84.  Financial Summary Of Smart Systems, 1995-1999 101
85.  Financial Summary Of Veka, 1995-1999 102
86.  Turnover Of Veka, By Region, 1998 And 1999 103
List of Diagrams
1.     The UK Value Market For Domestic Doors And Doorframes, By End User Sector, 1996-2005 48
2.     The UK Value Market For Patio Doors, By Type, 1996-2005 59

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The total UK volume market for domestic doors and doorframes rose to 12.8 million doors in 2000. This represented an increase of some 6 percent compared with 1999.

The value market also increased during the review period to £810 million (€1 361 million) in 2000, also representing an increase of 6 percent compared with 1999. The UK value market for domestic doors and doorframes in the private sector increased significantly during the review period. Indeed, the private sector accounted for as much as 80 percent of the total market in 2000. Furthermore, the value reached some £648 million (€1 089 million), representing an increase of as much as 13 percent compared with the 1999 value. The market benefited from growth in both private new build and refurbishment work.

The UK value market for domestic doors and doorframes in the public sector has declined since 1997. Indeed, the value market for domestic doors and doorframes for the public sector declined to some £162 million (€27 million) in 2000. Growth has been restricted by a decline in construction output within the public sector as well as a reduction in government expenditure.

In both the private and public sectors, the value of the refurbishment market has increased during the review period. Indeed, refurbishment work accounted for some 80 percent of the total market value for domestic doors and doorframes in the private sector during 2000. The value of the private refurbishment sector amounted to some £518 million (€870 million) in 2000.

Furthermore, the refurbishment market in the public sector totalled £149 million (€250 million) in 2000. Timber continued to be the most popular material used in the domestic door and doorframes market. This can be largely attributed to the significant number of internal doors included in the total, which are largely made from softwood. The market for PVC-U doors has increased marginally during the review period, although the most significant growth has occurred in the market for composite and steel-faced doors.

Internal doors accounted for as much as 74 percent of the total volume market for domestic doors and doorframes in 2000. However, due to the higher price of external doors, the value market for internal doors totalled £495 million (€832 million) in 2000.

Along with construction activity MSI has identified a number of important factors affecting demand for domestic doors and doorframes. These include:

· economic factors
· new building regulations
· price
· environmental concerns
· security considerations
· new product development

MSI believe that the volume market for domestic doors and doorframes will follow an unsteady pattern between 2001 and 2005. Indeed, it is expected that the volume market will increase between 2001 and 2003, but will decrease by a marginal 1 percent in 2004 and 2005 respectively. MSI believe that the value of the market will increase slowly to 2005.

The total value market for patio doors has followed an unsteady trend during the review period. Indeed, the value market declined by some 3 percent in 1998. An increase of 1 percent in 1999 was followed by a further decrease of 1 percent in 2000 to £307 million (€516 million). Side-hung doors continued to be the most popular type of patio doors, accounting for some 64 percent of the total value market in 2000.

MSI believe that the volume market for patio doors will decline by some 3 percent between 2001 and 2005. In the value market, MSI expect that there will be an increase of some 2 percent between 2002 and 2003, although it is believed that the value market will then decrease by approximately 3 percent between 2004 and 2005.

The domestic doors and doorframes industry is characterised by a high level of fragmentation. There are a number of different companies operating within the industry and the majority of these players also manufacture and install other building materials, particularly windows. There are a number of larger companies emerging in the market, mainly due to lower pricing as a result of mass production. The industry for domestic doors has become increasingly mature during the review period and is characterised by rationalisation and a high level of competition. However, there is still a demand for the personalised service offered by the local door supplier.

Text © 2001 MSI

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 20th February 2001