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MS15007 MSI FAST FOOD: UK: FEBRUARY 1997

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
Definitions
Methodology
The UK Economy
Abbreviations
MARKET SIZE
Market Overview and Trends, 1992-1996
Market Segmentation
Factors Affecting Demand
Consumer Expenditure
Demographic Trends
Lifestyle Trends
Competitive Products
Market Forecasts, 1997-2001
SANDWICHES
Market Overview, 1992-1996
Distribution
Market Forecasts, 1997-2001
HAMBURGERS
Market Overview, 1992-1996
Distribution
Market Forecasts, 1997-2001
PIZZA AND PASTA
Market Overview, 1992-1996
Distribution
Market Forecasts, 1997-2001
FISH AND CHIPS
Market Overview, 1992-1996
Distribution
Market Forecasts, 1997-2001
FRIED CHICKEN
Market Overview, 1992-1996
Distribution
Market Forecasts, 1997-2001
ETHNIC FAST FOOD
Market Overview, 1992-1996
Chinese And Indian Take-Away Meals
Distribution
Market Forecasts, 1997-2001
CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS
OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUPPLIERS
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Overview
Company Profiles
BurgerKing
Compass Group
Harry Ramsden's
Kentucky Fried Chicken (Great Britain)
McDonald's Restaurants
Pizza Hut (UK)
Pret a Manger
Whitbread
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
MAGAZINES
List of Tables
1 Economic Indicators On The UK Economy, 1988-1997
2 The UK Fast Food Market, 1992-1996
3 Average Weekly Expenditure On Take-Away Food, By Age, 1996
4 Average Weekly Expenditure On Take-Away Food, By Region, 1996
5 UK Fast Food Market, By Sector, 1992-1996
6 Proportional Importance Of The UK Fast Food Market, By Sector, 1992-1996
7 Changes in UK Real Personal Disposable Income Levels, 1993-1997
8 Household Expenditure On Catering In The UK, 1992-1996
9 UK Population By Age, 1991-2011
10 Forecast UK Fast Food Market, 1997-2001
11 Forecast UK Fast Food Market, By Sector, 1997-2001
12 The UK Market For Prepared Sandwiches, 1992-1996
13 The UK Market For Prepared Sandwiches, By Outlet Type, 1996
14 Forecast UK Market For Prepared Sandwiches, 1997-2001
15 The UK Market For Hamburgers, 1992-1996
16 Forecast UK Hamburger Market, 1997-2001
17 The UK Market For Pizza And Pasta, 1992-1996
18 Forecast UK Market For Pizza And Pasta, 1997-2001
19 The UK Market For Fish And Chips, 1992-1996
20 Forecast UK Market For Fish And Chips, 1997-2001
21 The UK Market For Fried Chicken, 1992-1996
22 Major Fast Food Fried Chicken Companies In The UK, 1996
23 Forecast UK Market For Fried Chicken, 1997-2001
24 The UK Market For Chinese Take-Away Meals, 1992-1996
25 The UK Market For Indian Take-Away Meals, 1992-1996
26 Forecast UK Market For Chinese Take-Away Meals, 1997-2001
27 Forecast UK Market For Indian Take-Away Meals, 1997-2001
28 Financial Summary Of BurgerKing, 1991-1995
29 Financial Summary Of Compass Group, 1991-1995
30 Number Of Branded Outlets (Including Own Branded Outlets) Operated By Compass Group, 1995
31 Financial Summary Of Harry Ramsden's, 1991-1995
32 Financial Summary Of Kentucky Fried Chicken (Great Britain), 1991-1995
33 Financial Summary Of McDonald's Restaurants, 1991-1995
34 Financial Summary Of Pizza Hut (UK), 1991-1995
35 Financial Summary Of BrightReasons Group, 1991-1995
List of Diagrams
1 Performance Of The UK Fast Food Market, By Sector, 1992-2001

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

MSI believe that the UK fast food market increased by a further 3 percent in 1996 to reach a value of £5.56 billion. However the performance of the individual fast food sectors varied significantly during the year.

The sandwich sector has been one of the main areas of growth in recent years. This trend continued in 1996, with the value of the market increasing by 8 percent to over £2 billion. The sandwich sector continued to increase in proportional importance in 1996 to account for 37 percent of all fast food sales. The growth in the market has been the result of the versatility of the product and the wide range of sandwiches available. The increased availability of sandwiches through sandwich bars, supermarkets and petrol station forecourts is also a factor in the continued expansion of the market.

The hamburger market also expanded significantly between 1992 and 1995. However in 1995 the Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy scare significantly affected sales which are believed to have declined by 15 percent at the height of the scare, but as consumer confidence returned the market declined by only 7 percent over the whole year. The expansion of the menu of the leading burger chains to include a higher proportion of non-beef products, and the public statements by the major operators that they had stopped using British beef is also believed to have contributed to limiting the extent of the decline in the value of the market.

The pizza and pasta market has also increased during the review period to reach a value of £840 million in 1996. MSI forecast that the sectors that will show the most growth in the forecast period is the premium end of the market with pasta restaurants in particular expected to be successful.

The more mature sectors of the fast food market, such as fish and chips and ethnic food, declined in real terms over the period 1992 to 1996. This was principally due to increased competition from other forms of fast food. The fragmented nature of these sectors has made it difficult for them to compete with the aggressive marketing carried out by some other sectors of the fast food market.

Some sectors of the fast food market, such as ethnic foods and pizza, have been affected by increased competition from supermarket ready meals. The selection available and quality of such products has improved significantly in recent years and now poses a significant threat to these sectors. However, if consumers like the ready meal version of a meal, which is usually cheaper than a take-away, they may be more likely to try a more authentic version from a take-away.

MSI believe there are a number of opportunities for suppliers to the fast food industry. One of the opportunities for suppliers with the most potential is believed to be the development of innovative packaging for the sandwich industry.

The majority of major fast food operators have stringent selection criteria for suppliers. Chosen suppliers have to work very closely with their customers and make significant investment in order to compete in the sector. MSI believe that most purchasing is carried out on a national scale and therefore only a small number of suppliers are used by the major fast food chains.

Text © 1997 MSI

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