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| MAPS : General Insurance : May 2005 |
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| The general insurance industry underwent radical consolidation between 2000 and 2004, resulting in an industry dominated by five large companies, only two of which are UK centred. This has implications for competition, because premiums are able to rise faster in an oligopolistic market than in one with many equal players. The increase in banks as owners of general insurance businesses is notable. |
| The distribution of insurance has continued to change gradually, as company agents continue to lose market share to direct methods of insurance selling. The impact of the Internet is at last becoming noticeable, in association with call centres, as a result of considerable effort exerted to increase the use of websites. The role of the independent financial adviser (IFA) has not been superseded entirely, and the increased complexity of products in the market is likely to put a premium on the role of advisers. The depolarisation of the industry, and its regulation by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) from the beginning of 2005, is likely to cause some changes in 2005 and later years. |
| Motor insurance is an area where competition is still fierce; innovative or |
| cost-cutting companies advertise their websites and telephone contact numbers widely. Aggregators are already entering this market, although it is too early to say whether they will take market share from more traditional players. The dominant player is Direct Line. However, other traditional providers are producing interesting sites. The distribution of motor insurance through the population is still low, particularly among the lower-income groups. |
| Household insurance is much less dynamic. The rise in house prices might have increased the amount of insurance taken out, but the level of competition is lower. Buildings insurance is more valuable than contents insurance, but the link with mortgage lenders remains strong and the traditional insurers dominate. Contents insurance is different: the number of households without it is large, and social policy would have to be brought into play to ensure a larger market penetration for contents protection. Climate change is a growing issue. |
| Travel insurance is an example of a competitive market where traditional insurers act as suppliers to retailers offering travel insurance as a commodity. Here, too, there is a considerable need to penetrate the market further. |
| Accident and health insurance are vital to ensure that people are able to recover from bad luck and remain useful members of the community. The markets are not as large as they could be, and the penetration of health insurance across society remains very low. There are issues of price and suitability of products in this market. |
| This report also examines the main players in the general insurance industry, which is faced with the war on terrorism, global warming and increased awareness of natural disasters such as tsunamis. The report considers political, social, economic and technological issues. Key Note concludes that technology is no longer the exciting answer to the problems of the industry. In a dangerous world, the insurer is an increasingly vital part of the social and economic structure, and has a responsible role to play, in association with the Government. |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| Executive Summary |
| 1. Introduction |
| BACKGROUND |
| DEFINITION |
| 2. Strategic Overview |
| ECONOMIC INDICATORS |
| Unemployment |
| Table 1: UK Claimant Unemployment and Average Earnings Growth Rate (%), 2000-2004 |
| Prices, Interest Rates and Savings |
| Table 2: Consumer Expenditure and Retail Price Index (index 2001=100), 2000-2004 |
| Table 3: Base Rate, Savings Ratio, Equity Prices, Household Financial Balance and House Price Index (%, ratio, index 2001=100 and £m), 2000-2004 |
| MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION |
| Current Status of the Market |
| Table 4: The Ten Largest General Insurers by Total Net Written Premium (£m), 2003 |
| Total Industry Value and Growth |
| Table 5: Total UK Net Written Premium Income by Class of Business (£m), 1999-2004 |
| Largest Sector and Market Share |
| Table 6: UK General Insurance by Net Written Premium Income by Class of Business (%), 1988, 1998, 2000, 2003 and 2004 |
| The Market with the Highest Growth Rate |
| The Market with the Lowest Growth Rate |
| DISTRIBUTION |
| Total General Insurance Business |
| Table 7: Sources of Total UK General Insurance Business by Value (% and £m), 1999-2004 |
| Personal-Lines Business |
| Table 8: UK Sources of Personal-Lines Business by Value (% and £m), 1999-2004 |
| COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE |
| Table 9: Mergers and Acquisitions in the UK General Insurance Industry, 1998-2003 |
| ADVERTISING |
| Table 10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on General Insurance (£000), Year Ending December 2004 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS |
| CORPORATE GOVERNANCE |
| Table 11: Insurance Companies' Income and Expenditure General Funds (£m), 1999-2003 |
| REGULATION |
| General Insurance Standards Council |
| Financial Services Authority |
| MARKET FORECASTS |
| 3. Motor Insurance |
| BACKGROUND |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 12: UK Domestic Motor Insurance by Net Written Premiums and Net Claims Incurred (£m and index 1999=100), 1999-2004 |
| Market Penetration |
| MARKET SHARE |
| Table 13: Top Ten Private Motor Insurers by UK Net Written Premiums, 2002 and 2003 |
| DISTRIBUTION |
| Table 14: Sources of Personal Motor Insurance Business by Value (% and £m), 1999-2004 |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Main Media Advertising |
| Table 15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Motor Insurance (£000), Year Ending December 2004 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS |
| Claims |
| Table 16: Average Weekly Expenditure per Household on Motor Insurance (£), 2001/2002 and 2002/2003 |
| 4. Housing Insurance |
| BACKGROUND |
| Definitions |
| Contents Insurance |
| Buildings Insurance |
| Mortgage Lenders |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 17: UK Property Damage Insurance by Net Written Premiums (£m and index 1999=100), 1999-2004 |
| MARKET SHARE |
| Table 18: Top Ten Household (Domestic Property) Insurers by UK Net Written Premiums, 2002 and 2003 |
| CLAIMS |
| Theft |
| Fire |
| Weather |
| Subsidence |
| DISTRIBUTION |
| Table 19: Sources of Personal Household Insurance Premiums by Value (% and £m), 1999-2004 |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Main Media Advertising |
| Table 20: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Buildings and Contents Insurance (£000), Year Ending December 2004 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS |
| Shopping Around for Buildings Insurance |
| Shopping Around for Contents Insurance |
| Household Characteristics |
| 5. Travel Insurance |
| MARKET SIZE |
| MARKET SHARE |
| ABTA |
| DISTRIBUTION |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Main Media Advertising |
| Table 21: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Travel and Sport Insurance (£000), Year Ending December 2004 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS |
| Paying Premiums for Travel Insurance |
| Overseas Visits |
| Table 22: Visits Abroad by UK Residents (million), 1999-2004 |
| 6. Accident and Health Insurance |
| BACKGROUND |
| Definitions |
| Personal Accident |
| Private Medical Insurance |
| Long-Term Care |
| Table 23: Projections for the Cost of Long-Term Care (£bn and %), 1995-2051 |
| Sickness Insurance |
| Cash Plans |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 24: UK Accident and Health Insurance by Net Written Premiums (£m and index 1999=100), 1999-2004 |
| Table 25: The Private Medical Insurance Market by Volume (000), 1999-2004 |
| MARKET SHARE |
| Table 26: Largest Accident and Health Insurers by Net Premium Income (£m), 2002 |
| Accident Insurers |
| Table 27: Top Ten Accident Insurers by Net Written Premiums, 2002 and 2003 |
| Health Insurance |
| Table 28: Top Ten Health Insurers by Net Written Premiums, 2002 and 2003 |
| DISTRIBUTION |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Main Media Advertising |
| Table 29: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Private Healthcare (£000), Year Ending December 2004 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS |
| Paying Premiums for Health Insurance |
| Paying Premiums for Accident Insurance |
| Insurance for Long-Term Care in Old Age |
| Household Expenditure |
| Table 30: Average Annual UK Household Expenditure on Medical Insurance (£ and %), 1999/2000-2003/2004 |
| 7. General-Liability Insurance |
| BACKGROUND |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 31: UK General-Liability Insurance by Net Written Premiums (£m and index 1999=100), 1999-2004 |
| MARKET SHARE |
| Table 32: Top Ten Liability Insurers, 2002 and 2003 |
| 8. Pecuniary Loss and Other Insurance |
| PECUNIARY LOSS: MORTGAGE PAYMENT PROTECTION INSURANCE AND MORTGAGE INDEMNITY INSURANCE |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 33: UK Pecuniary Loss Insurance by Net Written Premiums (£m and index 1999=100), 1999-2004 |
| MARKET SHARE |
| Table 34: Top Ten Pecuniary Loss Insurers by Net Written Premiums, 2002 and 2003 |
| 9. An International Perspective |
| BACKGROUND |
| LARGEST NON-LIFE PREMIUM MARKETS |
| Table 35: Non-Life Insurance Premium Volumes ($ and %), 2002 and 2003 |
| Insurance Opportunities |
| Table 36: Non-Life Insurance Density in the Largest Insurance Markets (% and $), 2003 |
| Table 37: Non-Life Business Insurance Density Premiums per Capita ($), 2003 |
| TRENDS IN EUROPEAN DISTRIBUTION |
| LEADING PLAYERS IN EUROPEAN GENERAL INSURANCE |
| EMERGING MARKETS |
| 10. PEST Analysis |
| POLITICAL FACTORS |
| ECONOMIC FACTORS |
| SOCIAL FACTORS |
| TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS |
| 11. Consumer Dynamics |
| OVERVIEW |
| Table 38: Summary of Responses (% of respondents), 2005 |
| LAYOUT OF SMALL PRINT AND IMPORTANCE OF REPUTATION |
| "All Clauses In The Small Print Should Be Laid Out Clearly And Worded In A Way That Everyone Can Understand" |
| "The Reputation Of A Company Is Important When Deciding Which Insurance Provider To Choose" |
| Table 39: Attitudes Towards the Layout of Small Print, and the Importance of Companies' Reputations (% of respondents), 2005 |
| IMPORTANCE OF WORD OF MOUTH, AND INSISTANCE THAT INSURANCE PACKAGES ARE ALWAYS LAID OUT CAREFULLY |
| "Word Of Mouth Or Other People's Recommendations Are Important In Choosing Insurance Providers" |
| "I Would Always Insist Insurance Packages Are Carefully Laid Out, To Be Sure There Are No Hidden Clauses That Might Cause Problems In The Event Of Making A Claim" |
| Table 40: Importance of Recommendation, and Insistance on Carefully Laying Out Insurance Packages (% of respondents), 2005 |
| WANTING TO MEET A COMPANY REPRESENTATIVE, AND PREFERRING THE ADVICE OF AN INDEPENDENT ADVISER OR BROKER |
| "Before Taking Out Insurance, I Would First Like To Meet A Company Representative In Person To Discuss My Needs" |
| "I Prefer To Take The Advice Of An Independent Adviser Or Broker" |
| Table 41: Wanting to Meet a Company Representative, and Preference for Advice from an Independent Adviser or Broker (% of respondents), 2005 |
| RENEWING EXISTING POLICIES, AND USING THE INTERNET TO SOURCE INFORMATION |
| "I Usually Renew Existing Insurance Policies Without Checking Out Alternatives" |
| "I Already, Or Would Like To, Obtain Information On Insurance Products Using The Internet" |
| Table 42: Automatic Renewal of Insurance Policies, and Using the Internet to Obtain Information on Insurance Products (% of respondents), 2005 |
| TAKING OUT INSURANCE OVER THE TELEPHONE, AND INSURERS TAKING ADVANTAGE OF PEOPLE'S INSECURITIES |
| "I Am Happy To Take Out Insurance Over The Telephone" |
| "Insurers Take Advantage Of People's Insecurity To Sell Them Unnecessary Insurance" |
| Table 43: Taking Out Insurance Over the Telephone, and Insurers Taking Advantage of People's Insecurities (% of respondents), 2005 |
| PAYING PREMIUMS FOR HEALTH AND ACCIDENT INSURANCE |
| "I Am Happy To Pay Premiums For Health Insurance" |
| "I Am Happy To Pay Premiums For Accident Insurance" |
| Table 44: Attitudes Towards Paying Premiums for Health and Accident Insurance (% of respondents), 2005 |
| PAYING PREMIUMS FOR TRAVEL INSURANCE, AND INSURING AGAINST LONG-TERM CARE |
| "I Am Happy To Pay Premiums For Travel Insurance" |
| "I Do, Or Would Like To, Insure Against Having To Pay For Long-Term Care In My Old Age" |
| Table 45: Attitudes Towards Paying for Travel and Long-Term Care Insurance (% of respondents), 2005 |
| SHOPPING AROUND FOR BUILDINGS AND CONTENTS INSURANCE |
| "I Prefer To Shop Around For Buildings Insurance" |
| "I Prefer To Shop Around For Contents Insurance" |
| Table 46: Attitudes Towards Shopping Around for Contents and Buildings Insurance (% of respondents), 2005 |
| 12. Company Profiles |
| ALLIANZ CORNHILL INSURANCE PLC |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Strengths and Weaknesses |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 47: Financial Results for Allianz Cornhill Insurance PLC (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2001-2003 |
| Future Company Developments |
| AVIVA PLC |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Strengths and Weaknesses |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Innovations |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 48: Financial Results for Aviva PLC (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2001-2003 |
| Future Company Developments |
| AXA |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 49: Financial Results for AXA Insurance PLC (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2001-2003 |
| Future Company Developments |
| BUPA |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Strengths and Weaknesses |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 50: Financial Results for BUPA Insurance Ltd (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2002-2004 |
| Future Company Developments |
| CHURCHILL INSURANCE COMPANY LTD |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Strengths and Weaknesses |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 51: Financial Results for Churchill Insurance Company Ltd (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2001-2003 |
| Future Company Developments |
| DIRECT LINE INSURANCE |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Strengths and Weaknesses |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 52: Financial Results for Direct Line Insurance PLC (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2001-2003 |
| Future Company Developments |
| ROYAL & SUNALLIANCE |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Strengths and Weaknesses |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Innovations |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 53: Financial Results for Royal & SunAlliance Group PLC (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2001-2003 |
| Future Company Developments |
| ZURICH FINANCIAL SERVICES |
| Corporate Strategy |
| Product and Brand Development |
| Innovations |
| Advertising |
| Distribution |
| Profitability |
| Table 54: Financial Results for Zurich Financial Services (UKISA) Ltd (£000), Years Ending 31st December 2001-2003 |
| Future Company Developments |
| 13. The Future |
| FORECAST MARKET SIZE |
| Total Industry Value and Growth |
| Table 55: Forecast Total UK Net Written Premium Income by Class of Business (£m), 2005-2009 |
| Largest Sector and Market Size |
| Table 56: Forecast UK General Business by Net Written Premium by Class of Business by Value (%), 2005-2009 |
| Motor Insurance Forecasts |
Text © 2005 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous 2005