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MAPS : Market Forecasts G-Z: February 2003

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This report covers: Market Forecasts G-Z

BRIEF DESCRIPTION

1 Drawing on proprietary research reports published during the preceding year, this two-volume publication provides a sector-by-sector analysis of 37 key markets, including consumer goods and services, financial services, the utilities, selected segments of the retail trade and target demographic markets. Information is provided on market size, trends, shares and segmentation within each product/services market.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Activity Holidays 1
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................... 1
Activity Holidays ........................................................................................................................ 1
Supplying Sectors ...................................................................................................................... 2
MARKET TRENDS...................................................................................................................... 2
MARKET SIZE ............................................................................................................................ 3
By Volume................................................................................................................................. 3
Table 1: The UK Activity Holiday Market by Sector by Volume
(million trips and %), 1998-2002 .............................................................................................. 3
By Value .................................................................................................................................... 4
Table 2: The UK Activity Holiday Market by Sector by Value
(£bn and %), 1998-2002............................................................................................................ 4
DISTRIBUTION.......................................................................................................................... 5
Table 3: Booking Characteristics for Domestic Holidays (million trips), 2002........................ 6
Advertising Agencies 7
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................... 7
Agency Job Functions................................................................................................................ 8
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 10
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 10
Table 4: Advertising Costs for Press and Television by Constant 1995
and Current Prices (1995=100), 1997-2001 ............................................................................ 11
Sector Expenditure .................................................................................................................. 12
Table 5: Media Expenditure by Channel (£000), Years Ending December 1998-2002 ........ 12
Table 6: Above-the-Line Advertising Expenditure on Media (£m),
Years Ending December 1998-2002........................................................................................ 13
Table 7: Top Ten Agencies by Media Expenditure (£m), 2002-2003 .................................... 14
Table 8: Direct Mail Percentage Volume Growth (million items, % and £m),
Years Ending December 1998-2002........................................................................................ 16
Table 9: Internet Advertising Expenditure (£m),
Years Ending December 1998-2002........................................................................................ 17
Table 10: Share of Advertising Expenditure by Medium (%),
Year Ending December 2002 .................................................................................................. 17
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 18
Table 11: Distribution of Advertising Agencies in the UK by Region,
Combined Gross Income and Number of Agencies (£m), 2001 ............................................ 18
Alternative Healthcare 19
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 19
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 20
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 20
Table 12: The UK Market for Herbal and Homeopathic Remedies
and Aromatherapy Products by Sector by Value (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 ............................ 21
DISTRIBUTION..............................................................................................................................21
Baby Products 23
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 23
Baby Transport and Furniture ................................................................................................ 23
Baby Monitors, Safety and Feeding Equipment.................................................................... 23
Disposable Nappies ................................................................................................................. 23
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 24
Demographic and Social Factors ............................................................................................ 24
The Role of Fashion................................................................................................................. 25
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 25
Table 13: The UK Baby Products Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1998-2002.................... 26
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 26
Call Centres 27
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 27
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 27
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 28
Number of Call/Contact Centres............................................................................................. 28
Table 14: Number of Call/Contact Centres in the UK, 1998-2003......................................... 28
Number of Workstations ........................................................................................................ 29
Table 15: Number of Workstations in UK Call Centres (000), 1998-2003............................. 29
Charity Funding 31
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 31
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 31
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 32
Table 16: Number of Main UK Registered Charities by Income Bracket
(number, % and £m), 2002 ..................................................................................................... 33
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 33
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 34
The National Lottery Distribution Fund................................................................................. 34
Grant-Making Trusts ............................................................................................................... 35
Business ................................................................................................................................... 35
Television Appeals................................................................................................................... 36
Charity Shops ........................................................................................................................... 36
Childcare 37
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 37
Types of Childcare ................................................................................................................... 37
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 38
The Child Population............................................................................................................... 38
Table 17: The UK Population Aged 0-9 Years Old
(000 and %), 1998, 2000-2003 ................................................................................................ 38
Working Mothers .................................................................................................................... 38
Table 18: Economic Activity Status of Women by Age of Youngest
Dependent Child (%), Autumn 2002...................................................................................... 39
Government Initiatives: The National Childcare Strategy .................................................... 39
The Consumer......................................................................................................................... 41
Employers and Childcare......................................................................................................... 41
Childcare Standards................................................................................................................. 42
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 42
Table 19: The UK Childcare Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1998-2002............................ 43
Figure 1: The UK Childcare Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1998-2002 ............................ 43
Condiments and Sauces 45
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 45
Table Sauces............................................................................................................................ 45
Salad Accompaniments ........................................................................................................... 45
Pickles, Chutneys and Relishes................................................................................................ 45
Dish-Specific Sauces................................................................................................................. 45
Salt and Pepper ....................................................................................................................... 45
Vinegar.................................................................................................................................... 46
Mustard................................................................................................................................... 46
Marinades ............................................................................................................................... 46
MARKET TRENDS — KEY ISSUES .......................................................................................... 46
Extending Usage Occasions .................................................................................................... 46
Diversity Fuelling Growth ....................................................................................................... 47
Meal-Eating Habits.................................................................................................................. 48
Seasonal Influences ................................................................................................................. 48
Barbecues................................................................................................................................ 49
Growth of Prepacked Salads................................................................................................... 49
Own-Label Activity .................................................................................................................. 50
MARKET SIZE AND SEGMENTATION.................................................................................... 50
Table 20: The Condiments and Sauces Market by Value by Product Type
(£m at rsp), 1998-2002............................................................................................................. 51
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 52
Table Sauces............................................................................................................................ 52
Table 21: Table Sauces Market Share by Retailer by Value (%),
Year Ending 31st October 2002.............................................................................................. 52
Salad Accompaniments ........................................................................................................... 52
Table 22: Salad Accompaniment Market Share by Retailer (%), 1999-2001 ....................... 53
Pickles, Chutneys and Relishes................................................................................................ 54
Table 23: Sweet and Sour Pickles Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), Year Ending September 2002 ......................................................................................... 54
Dish-Specific Sauces................................................................................................................. 54
Table 24: Dish-Specific Sauces Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), 2001 and 2002 ................................................................................................................ 55
Salt and Pepper ....................................................................................................................... 55
Vinegar.................................................................................................................................... 56
Table 25: Vinegar Sales Market Share by Individual Retailer
by Value and Volume (%), 2001............................................................................................. 56
Cooking and Eating 57
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 57
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 57
Availability of Produce............................................................................................................ 57
Link Between Junk Food and Obesity.................................................................................... 57
Low Pay of Food Industry Workers ........................................................................................ 58
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 58
Table 26: Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices on Food by Sector
by Value (£m and %), Second and Third Quarters 2002....................................................... 59
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 59
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 60
Customer Relationship Management 61
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 61
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 61
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 61
Table 27: Global Revenues of the Top Four CRM Vendors ($m), 2001 and 2002 ................ 62
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 62
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 62
Customer Services in Financial Organisations 63
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 63
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 63
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 64
Table 28: Private-Sector Deposits in UK Banks by Value
(£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .................................................................................... 64
Table 29: Deposits in UK Building Societies by Value
(£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .................................................................................... 65
Table 30: UK Long-Term Insurance Premium Income by Net Written Premiums
by Value (£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002..................................................................... 65
Table 31: UK General Insurance Net Written Premiums by UK Risks
Net Written Premiums by Value (£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .............................. 66
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 66
Bank Branches ......................................................................................................................... 66
Building Society Branches ....................................................................................................... 66
ATMs ....................................................................................................................................... 67
Call Centres .............................................................................................................................. 67
Internet Sites........................................................................................................................... 67
Direct Insurance 69
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 69
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 69
TOTAL GENERAL INSURANCE ............................................................................................... 72
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 72
Table 32: Total General Insurance Business by Gross Written Premium
and Source of Business (£m and %), 1998-2002 .................................................................... 73
Figure 2: Total General Insurance Business by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002... 74
Table 33: General Insurance (Personal Lines) Business by Gross Written Premium
and Source of Business (£m and %), 1998-2002 .................................................................... 75
Figure 3: General Insurance (Personal Lines) Business by Gross Written Premium
(£m), 1998-2002....................................................................................................................... 76
Market Share ........................................................................................................................... 76
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 77
MOTOR INSURANCE .............................................................................................................. 80
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 80
Table 34: Personal Motor Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 .............. 80
Figure 4: Personal Motor Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002............... 81
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 82
Table 35: Personal Motor Insurance by Source of Business (%), 1998-2002 ........................ 83
HOUSE INSURANCE................................................................................................................ 85
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 85
Table 36: House Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1997-2001 ............................. 85
Figure 5: House Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1997-2001 .............................. 85
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 86
Table 37: Personal Household Insurance by Source of Business (%), 1998-2002................. 87
TRAVEL INSURANCE............................................................................................................... 88
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 88
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 88
PRIVATE MEDICAL INSURANCE ............................................................................................ 90
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 90
Table 38: Number of Individuals in the UK Covered by Private Medical Insurance
(million and %), 1971, 1990 and 1999-2002 .......................................................................... 90
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 92
PET INSURANCE...................................................................................................................... 93
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 93
Table 39: Pet Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 .................................. 94
Figure 6: Pet Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 ................................... 94
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 94
Direct Mortgages 95
DEFINITION..........................................................................>Diversity Fuelling Growth ....................................................................................................... 47
Meal-Eating Habits.................................................................................................................. 48
Seasonal Influences ................................................................................................................. 48
Barbecues................................................................................................................................ 49
Growth of Prepacked Salads................................................................................................... 49
Own-Label Activity .................................................................................................................. 50
MARKET SIZE AND SEGMENTATION.................................................................................... 50
Table 20: The Condiments and Sauces Market by Value by Product Type
(£m at rsp), 1998-2002............................................................................................................. 51
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 52
Table Sauces............................................................................................................................ 52
Table 21: Table Sauces Market Share by Retailer by Value (%),
Year Ending 31st October 2002.............................................................................................. 52
Salad Accompaniments ........................................................................................................... 52
Table 22: Salad Accompaniment Market Share by Retailer (%), 1999-2001 ....................... 53
Pickles, Chutneys and Relishes................................................................................................ 54
Table 23: Sweet and Sour Pickles Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), Year Ending September 2002 ......................................................................................... 54
Dish-Specific Sauces................................................................................................................. 54
Table 24: Dish-Specific Sauces Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), 2001 and 2002 ................................................................................................................ 55
Salt and Pepper ....................................................................................................................... 55
Vinegar.................................................................................................................................... 56
Table 25: Vinegar Sales Market Share by Individual Retailer
by Value and Volume (%), 2001............................................................................................. 56
Cooking and Eating 57
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 57
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 57
Availability of Produce............................................................................................................ 57
Link Between Junk Food and Obesity.................................................................................... 57
Low Pay of Food Industry Workers ........................................................................................ 58
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 58
Table 26: Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices on Food by Sector
by Value (£m and %), Second and Third Quarters 2002....................................................... 59
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 59
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 60
Customer Relationship Management 61
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 61
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 61
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 61
Table 27: Global Revenues of the Top Four CRM Vendors ($m), 2001 and 2002 ................ 62
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 62
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 62
Customer Services in Financial Organisations 63
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 63
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 63
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 64
Table 28: Private-Sector Deposits in UK Banks by Value
(£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .................................................................................... 64
Table 29: Deposits in UK Building Societies by Value
(£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .................................................................................... 65
Table 30: UK Long-Term Insurance Premium Income by Net Written Premiums
by Value (£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002..................................................................... 65
Table 31: UK General Insurance Net Written Premiums by UK Risks
Net Written Premiums by Value (£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .............................. 66
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 66
Bank Branches ......................................................................................................................... 66
Building Society Branches ....................................................................................................... 66
ATMs ....................................................................................................................................... 67
Call Centres .............................................................................................................................. 67
Internet Sites........................................................................................................................... 67
Direct Insurance 69
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 69
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 69
TOTAL GENERAL INSURANCE ............................................................................................... 72
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 72
Table 32: Total General Insurance Business by Gross Written Premium
and Source of Business (£m and %), 1998-2002 .................................................................... 73
Figure 2: Total General Insurance Business by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002... 74
Table 33: General Insurance (Personal Lines) Business by Gross Written Premium
and Source of Business (£m and %), 1998-2002 .................................................................... 75
Figure 3: General Insurance (Personal Lines) Business by Gross Written Premium
(£m), 1998-2002....................................................................................................................... 76
Market Share ........................................................................................................................... 76
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 77
MOTOR INSURANCE .............................................................................................................. 80
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 80
Table 34: Personal Motor Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 .............. 80
Figure 4: Personal Motor Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002............... 81
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 82
Table 35: Personal Motor Insurance by Source of Business (%), 1998-2002 ........................ 83
HOUSE INSURANCE................................................................................................................ 85
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 85
Table 36: House Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1997-2001 ............................. 85
Figure 5: House Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1997-2001 .............................. 85
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 86
Table 37: Personal Household Insurance by Source of Business (%), 1998-2002................. 87
TRAVEL INSURANCE............................................................................................................... 88
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 88
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 88
PRIVATE MEDICAL INSURANCE ............................................................................................ 90
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 90
Table 38: Number of Individuals in the UK Covered by Private Medical Insurance
(million and %), 1971, 1990 and 1999-2002 .......................................................................... 90
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 92
PET INSURANCE...................................................................................................................... 93
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 93
Table 39: Pet Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 .................................. 94
Figure 6: Pet Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 ................................... 94
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 94
Direct Mortgages 95
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 95
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 95
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 97
Total Industry Value and Growth........................................................................................... 97
Table 40: The UK Mortgage Market by Gross Lending (£m),
Second Quarter 2000-First Quarter 2003 ............................................................................... 97
Table 41: The UK Mortgage Market by Balances Outstanding and Approvals
(£m), 1997-2002....................................................................................................................... 98
Market Segmentation............................................................................................................. 98
Table 42: Mortgage Lending by Repayment Method by Type of Advance
(% of loans), First Quarter 2003 ............................................................................................. 99
MARKET SHARE.................................................................................................................... 100
Branch Sales ........................................................................................................................... 100
Table 43: Percentage of Mortgages Arranged Through Branches, 1996-2002 ................. 100
Telephone Sales..................................................................................................................... 100
Table 44: Percentage of Loans Arranged Over the Telephone, 1997-2003....................... 101
Internet Sales ......................................................................................................................... 101
Table 45: Percentage of Loans Arranged Through the Internet, 1997-2003..................... 101
DISTRIBUTION...................................................................................................................... 102
Branch Sales ........................................................................................................................... 102
Table 46: UK Bank Branch Networks (number of branches), 1998-2001 ........................... 103
Telephone Sales..................................................................................................................... 104
Table 47: Number of Telephone-Accessible Accounts Held at UK Clearing Banks
(number and %), 1996-2002................................................................................................. 104
Internet Sales ......................................................................................................................... 104
European Long-Term Insurance 105
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 105
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................. 105
MARKET SIZE ........................................................................................................................ 106
Table 48: Total Direct Life Premium Income of CEA Members
(€m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002.................................................................................. 106
MARKET SHARE.................................................................................................................... 107
Table 49: Market Share Taken by Life and Non-Life Premiums
Among All CEA Members (%), 1998-2002 ........................................................................... 107
DISTRIBUTION...................................................................................................................... 107
FSM to Start-Up Businesses and the Self-Employed 109
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 109
Financial Services ................................................................................................................... 109
The Self-Employed................................................................................................................. 109
Small Businesses..................................................................................................................... 109
Table 50: European Commission Definitions of Business Categories
by Number of Staff, Turnover and Balance Sheet Total (€m), 2003.................................. 110
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................. 110
MARKET SIZE ..............................................................................................................................111
MARKET SHARE..........................................................................................................................111
Table 51: Average Self-Employment Income in the UK by Industry
(000, £m and £), 2000/2001................................................................................................... 112
DISTRIBUTION............................................................................................................................113
FSM to the Retired and Elderly 115
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 115
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................. 115
Age Structure of The UK....................................................................................................... 115
Table 52: UK Population by Age Group (million), 1961-2026............................................. 116
Table 53: UK Life Expectancy at 65 Years of Age by Sex, 1983-2018................................. 117
Gender .................................................................................................................................. 118
Table 54: UK Population by Age and Gender (million), 2001............................................. 118
Houses ................................................................................................................................... 119
Table 55: Composition of Households in Great Britain by Number
of People and Number of Households (%, million households
and number of people), 1971-2002...................................................................................... 119
Table 56: Single-Person Households in England by Age of Householder
(%), 1971-2021....................................................................................................................... 120
Table 57: Households in the UK by Type of Tenure (%), 2000/2001 ................................. 121
Spending Power .................................................................................................................... 121
Table 58: Median Individual Net Income in Great Britain by Family Type
and Sex (£ per week), 2000/2001.......................................................................................... 122
Table 59: Median Net Income of Pensioner Units in the UK (£ per week),
1999/2000-2001/2002............................................................................................................. 123
Table 60: Household Savings by Household Type and Amount
in Great Britain (% and 000 households), 1999/2000.......................................................... 124
Table 61: Average and Total UK Weekly Household Expenditure
on Selected Goods and Services (£ and £m), 2001/2002 .................................................... 125
Table 62: Average Weekly Household Spending in the UK by Age (£), 2001/2002 .......... 126
The Internet and ‘Silver Surfers’ ........................................................................................... 126
Table 63: Percentage of UK Households with Access to the Internet, 2000-2003............. 127
Table 64: Adults in Great Britain Who Had Used the Internet in the 3 Months
Prior to Interview by Sex and Age (%), 2000-2003 ............................................................. 128
MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION ..................................................................... 129
UK Insurance Industry ........................................................................................................... 129
DISTRIBUTION...................................................................................................................... 130
Distribution Channels............................................................................................................ 130
Table 65: New Individual Business in the Insurance Industry by Channel
of Distribution (% based on APE and £m), 1998-2003........................................................ 130
Independent Financial Advisers............................................................................................ 131
Direct Sales Forces ................................................................................................................. 131
Direct Marketing ................................................................................................................... 131
Diversity and Focus................................................................................................................ 132
’Bancassurance’ and the ’one-stop shop’............................................................................. 132
New Media............................................................................................................................ 133
Competitive Structure........................................................................................................... 133
Table 66: Largest Ten General UK Insurance Groups Based on UK Premiums
(£m), 2002 .............................................................................................................................. 134
Table 67: Largest Ten Long-Term UK Insurance Groups Based on UK Premiums
(£m), 2002 .............................................................................................................................. 135
Forecourt Retailing 137
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 137
Fuel Retailing........................................................................................................................ 137
Non-Fuel Retailing................................................................................................................. 137
MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION.........................................................................137
Total Market Size by Value................................................................................................... 137
Table 68: The UK Forecourt Retailing Market by Type of Sale by Value
(£bn at rsp, index 1998=100 and %), 1998-2002 ................................................................. 138
DISTRIBUTION............................................................................................................................138
Key Note Research 139
The Key Note Range of Reports 141
 
Independent Financial Advisers 1
DEFINITION..................................................................................................................>Diversity Fuelling Growth ....................................................................................................... 47
Meal-Eating Habits.................................................................................................................. 48
Seasonal Influences ................................................................................................................. 48
Barbecues................................................................................................................................ 49
Growth of Prepacked Salads................................................................................................... 49
Own-Label Activity .................................................................................................................. 50
MARKET SIZE AND SEGMENTATION.................................................................................... 50
Table 20: The Condiments and Sauces Market by Value by Product Type
(£m at rsp), 1998-2002............................................................................................................. 51
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 52
Table Sauces............................................................................................................................ 52
Table 21: Table Sauces Market Share by Retailer by Value (%),
Year Ending 31st October 2002.............................................................................................. 52
Salad Accompaniments ........................................................................................................... 52
Table 22: Salad Accompaniment Market Share by Retailer (%), 1999-2001 ....................... 53
Pickles, Chutneys and Relishes................................................................................................ 54
Table 23: Sweet and Sour Pickles Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), Year Ending September 2002 ......................................................................................... 54
Dish-Specific Sauces................................................................................................................. 54
Table 24: Dish-Specific Sauces Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), 2001 and 2002 ................................................................................................................ 55
Salt and Pepper ....................................................................................................................... 55
Vinegar.................................................................................................................................... 56
Table 25: Vinegar Sales Market Share by Individual Retailer
by Value and Volume (%), 2001............................................................................................. 56
Cooking and Eating 57
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 57
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 57
Availability of Produce............................................................................................................ 57
Link Between Junk Food and Obesity.................................................................................... 57
Low Pay of Food Industry Workers ........................................................................................ 58
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 58
Table 26: Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices on Food by Sector
by Value (£m and %), Second and Third Quarters 2002....................................................... 59
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 59
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 60
Customer Relationship Management 61
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 61
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 61
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 61
Table 27: Global Revenues of the Top Four CRM Vendors ($m), 2001 and 2002 ................ 62
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 62
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 62
Customer Services in Financial Organisations 63
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 63
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 63
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 64
Table 28: Private-Sector Deposits in UK Banks by Value
(£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .................................................................................... 64
Table 29: Deposits in UK Building Societies by Value
(£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .................................................................................... 65
Table 30: UK Long-Term Insurance Premium Income by Net Written Premiums
by Value (£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002..................................................................... 65
Table 31: UK General Insurance Net Written Premiums by UK Risks
Net Written Premiums by Value (£m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 .............................. 66
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 66
Bank Branches ......................................................................................................................... 66
Building Society Branches ....................................................................................................... 66
ATMs ....................................................................................................................................... 67
Call Centres .............................................................................................................................. 67
Internet Sites........................................................................................................................... 67
Direct Insurance 69
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 69
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 69
TOTAL GENERAL INSURANCE ............................................................................................... 72
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 72
Table 32: Total General Insurance Business by Gross Written Premium
and Source of Business (£m and %), 1998-2002 .................................................................... 73
Figure 2: Total General Insurance Business by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002... 74
Table 33: General Insurance (Personal Lines) Business by Gross Written Premium
and Source of Business (£m and %), 1998-2002 .................................................................... 75
Figure 3: General Insurance (Personal Lines) Business by Gross Written Premium
(£m), 1998-2002....................................................................................................................... 76
Market Share ........................................................................................................................... 76
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 77
MOTOR INSURANCE .............................................................................................................. 80
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 80
Table 34: Personal Motor Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 .............. 80
Figure 4: Personal Motor Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002............... 81
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 82
Table 35: Personal Motor Insurance by Source of Business (%), 1998-2002 ........................ 83
HOUSE INSURANCE................................................................................................................ 85
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 85
Table 36: House Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1997-2001 ............................. 85
Figure 5: House Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1997-2001 .............................. 85
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 86
Table 37: Personal Household Insurance by Source of Business (%), 1998-2002................. 87
TRAVEL INSURANCE............................................................................................................... 88
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 88
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 88
PRIVATE MEDICAL INSURANCE ............................................................................................ 90
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 90
Table 38: Number of Individuals in the UK Covered by Private Medical Insurance
(million and %), 1971, 1990 and 1999-2002 .......................................................................... 90
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 92
PET INSURANCE...................................................................................................................... 93
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 93
Table 39: Pet Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 .................................. 94
Figure 6: Pet Insurance by Gross Written Premium (£m), 1998-2002 ................................... 94
Distribution............................................................................................................................. 94
Direct Mortgages 95
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 95
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 95
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 97
Total Industry Value and Growth........................................................................................... 97
Table 40: The UK Mortgage Market by Gross Lending (£m),
Second Quarter 2000-First Quarter 2003 ............................................................................... 97
Table 41: The UK Mortgage Market by Balances Outstanding and Approvals
(£m), 1997-2002....................................................................................................................... 98
Market Segmentation............................................................................................................. 98
Table 42: Mortgage Lending by Repayment Method by Type of Advance
(% of loans), First Quarter 2003 ............................................................................................. 99
MARKET SHARE.................................................................................................................... 100
Branch Sales ........................................................................................................................... 100
Table 43: Percentage of Mortgages Arranged Through Branches, 1996-2002 ................. 100
Telephone Sales..................................................................................................................... 100
Table 44: Percentage of Loans Arranged Over the Telephone, 1997-2003....................... 101
Internet Sales ......................................................................................................................... 101
Table 45: Percentage of Loans Arranged Through the Internet, 1997-2003..................... 101
DISTRIBUTION...................................................................................................................... 102
Branch Sales ........................................................................................................................... 102
Table 46: UK Bank Branch Networks (number of branches), 1998-2001 ........................... 103
Telephone Sales..................................................................................................................... 104
Table 47: Number of Telephone-Accessible Accounts Held at UK Clearing Banks
(number and %), 1996-2002................................................................................................. 104
Internet Sales ......................................................................................................................... 104
European Long-Term Insurance 105
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 105
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................. 105
MARKET SIZE ........................................................................................................................ 106
Table 48: Total Direct Life Premium Income of CEA Members
(€m and index 1998=100), 1998-2002.................................................................................. 106
MARKET SHARE.................................................................................................................... 107
Table 49: Market Share Taken by Life and Non-Life Premiums
Among All CEA Members (%), 1998-2002 ........................................................................... 107
DISTRIBUTION...................................................................................................................... 107
FSM to Start-Up Businesses and the Self-Employed 109
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 109
Financial Services ................................................................................................................... 109
The Self-Employed................................................................................................................. 109
Small Businesses..................................................................................................................... 109
Table 50: European Commission Definitions of Business Categories
by Number of Staff, Turnover and Balance Sheet Total (€m), 2003.................................. 110
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................. 110
MARKET SIZE ..............................................................................................................................111
MARKET SHARE..........................................................................................................................111
Table 51: Average Self-Employment Income in the UK by Industry
(000, £m and £), 2000/2001................................................................................................... 112
DISTRIBUTION............................................................................................................................113
FSM to the Retired and Elderly 115
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 115
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................. 115
Age Structure of The UK....................................................................................................... 115
Table 52: UK Population by Age Group (million), 1961-2026............................................. 116
Table 53: UK Life Expectancy at 65 Years of Age by Sex, 1983-2018................................. 117
Gender .................................................................................................................................. 118
Table 54: UK Population by Age and Gender (million), 2001............................................. 118
Houses ................................................................................................................................... 119
Table 55: Composition of Households in Great Britain by Number
of People and Number of Households (%, million households
and number of people), 1971-2002...................................................................................... 119
Table 56: Single-Person Households in England by Age of Householder
(%), 1971-2021....................................................................................................................... 120
Table 57: Households in the UK by Type of Tenure (%), 2000/2001 ................................. 121
Spending Power .................................................................................................................... 121
Table 58: Median Individual Net Income in Great Britain by Family Type
and Sex (£ per week), 2000/2001.......................................................................................... 122
Table 59: Median Net Income of Pensioner Units in the UK (£ per week),
1999/2000-2001/2002............................................................................................................. 123
Table 60: Household Savings by Household Type and Amount
in Great Britain (% and 000 households), 1999/2000.......................................................... 124
Table 61: Average and Total UK Weekly Household Expenditure
on Selected Goods and Services (£ and £m), 2001/2002 .................................................... 125
Table 62: Average Weekly Household Spending in the UK by Age (£), 2001/2002 .......... 126
The Internet and ‘Silver Surfers’ ........................................................................................... 126
Table 63: Percentage of UK Households with Access to the Internet, 2000-2003............. 127
Table 64: Adults in Great Britain Who Had Used the Internet in the 3 Months
Prior to Interview by Sex and Age (%), 2000-2003 ............................................................. 128
MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION ..................................................................... 129
UK Insurance Industry ........................................................................................................... 129
DISTRIBUTION...................................................................................................................... 130
Distribution Channels............................................................................................................ 130
Table 65: New Individual Business in the Insurance Industry by Channel
of Distribution (% based on APE and £m), 1998-2003........................................................ 130
Independent Financial Advisers............................................................................................ 131
Direct Sales Forces ................................................................................................................. 131
Direct Marketing ................................................................................................................... 131
Diversity and Focus................................................................................................................ 132
’Bancassurance’ and the ’one-stop shop’............................................................................. 132
New Media............................................................................................................................ 133
Competitive Structure........................................................................................................... 133
Table 66: Largest Ten General UK Insurance Groups Based on UK Premiums
(£m), 2002 .............................................................................................................................. 134
Table 67: Largest Ten Long-Term UK Insurance Groups Based on UK Premiums
(£m), 2002 .............................................................................................................................. 135
Forecourt Retailing 137
DEFINITION........................................................................................................................... 137
Fuel Retailing........................................................................................................................ 137
Non-Fuel Retailing................................................................................................................. 137
MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION.........................................................................137
Total Market Size by Value................................................................................................... 137
Table 68: The UK Forecourt Retailing Market by Type of Sale by Value
(£bn at rsp, index 1998=100 and %), 1998-2002 ................................................................. 138
DISTRIBUTION............................................................................................................................138
Key Note Research 139
The Key Note Range of Reports 141
 
Independent Financial Advisers 1
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................... 1
MARKET SIZE ............................................................................................................................ 1
Number of IFAs.......................................................................................................................... 1
MARKET SHARE........................................................................................................................ 1
Table 69: Independent Financial Advisers’ Share of New Business Measured
by APE by Product Type (%), 1998-First Quarter of 2002 ....................................................... 2
DISTRIBUTION.......................................................................................................................... 3
Top Ten IFAs .............................................................................................................................. 3
Table 70: The Top Ten Independent Financial Advisers by Turnover
and Size of Salesforce (£m), 2002............................................................................................. 3
Women...................................................................................................................................... 3
Regional Variations ................................................................................................................... 3
Low-Fat & Low-Sugar Foods 5
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................... 5
MARKET TRENDS...................................................................................................................... 5
MARKET SIZE ............................................................................................................................ 6
Table 71: The Low-Fat and Low-Sugar Foods Market by Sector by Value
(£m), 1998-2002......................................................................................................................... 7
MARKET SHARE.............................................................................................................................8
DISTRIBUTION................................................................................................................................8
Marketing in the Digital Age 9
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................... 9
MARKET TRENDS...................................................................................................................... 9
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 10
Table 72: Actual and Planned Marketing Budget Allocations by Category
(% of marketing expenditure), 2001-2003 ............................................................................ 11
Segmentation .......................................................................................................................... 12
Table 73: Share of Multichannel TV Market by Type of Platform
(% of households), Q1 2003 ................................................................................................... 13
Marketing to Children 4-11 15
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 15
TOYS AND GAMES ................................................................................................................. 15
Market Size............................................................................................................................. 15
Table 74: The UK Toys and Games Market by Sector by Value (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 ...... 15
Figure 7: The UK Toys and Games Market by Value (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 ....................... 16
Market Share ........................................................................................................................... 16
Table 75: The UK Traditional Toys and Games Market by Sector
by Market Share (%), 2002 ..................................................................................................... 17
Figure 8: The UK Traditional Toys and Games Market by Sector
by Market Share (%), 2002 ..................................................................................................... 18
SNACK FOODS ..............................................................................................................................18
Market Size and Share ............................................................................................................ 18
Table 76: The UK Snack Foods Market by Value (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 ............................. 19
Figure 9: The UK Snack Foods Market by Value (£m at rsp), 1998-2002.............................. 19
Table 77: The UK Snack Foods Market by Sector by Value
(£m at rsp and %), 1998 and 2002 ......................................................................................... 20
Figure 10: The UK Snack Foods Market by Sector by Market Share (%), 2002 ................... 21
CONFECTIONERY.........................................................................................................................21
Market Size and Share ............................................................................................................ 21
Table 78: The UK Confectionery Market by Sector by Value
(£bn at rsp), 1998-2002 ........................................................................................................... 22
Figure 11: The UK Confectionery Market by Sector by Market Share (%), 2002 ................ 22
Chocolate Confectionery............................................................................................................... 23
Table 79: The UK Chocolate Confectionery Market by Sector
by Market Share (%), 2002 ..................................................................................................... 23
Figure 12: The UK Chocolate Confectionery Market by Sector
by Market Share (%), 2002 ..................................................................................................... 24
Sugar Confectionery..................................................................................................................... 24
Table 80: The UK Sugar Confectionery Market by Sector
by Market Share (%), 2002 ..................................................................................................... 25
Men’s Toiletries & Fragrances 27
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 27
Toiletries ................................................................................................................................. 27
Fragrances............................................................................................................................... 27
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 27
Demographics......................................................................................................................... 27
Table 81: The UK Male Population by Age (000), 1998-2003 .............................................. 28
Image-Conscious Men ............................................................................................................. 28
A Complicated Market ............................................................................................................ 28
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 29
Table 82: The Total UK Men’s Toiletries and Fragrances Market by Value
at Current Prices (£m at rsp and index 1998=100), 1998-2002 ............................................. 29
DISTRIBUTION..............................................................................................................................29
Nutraceuticals 31
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 31
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 31
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 32
The Total Market..................................................................................................................... 32
Table 83: The UK Nutraceuticals Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1998-2002.................... 32
Functional Foods ..................................................................................................................... 32
Table 84: The UK Functional Foods Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1998-2002 ............... 33
Vitamins, Minerals and Supplements..................................................................................... 33
Table 85: The UK Vitamins, Minerals and Supplements Market by Sector
by Value (£m), 1998-2002 ....................................................................................................... 34
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 34
Organic Food 35
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 35
Genetically-Modified Crops ..................................................................................................... 35
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 36
General Issues Driving or Affecting The Market ................................................................... 36
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 39
Total Market ............................................................................................................................ 39
By Sector ................................................................................................................................. 40
Table 86: The UK Organic Foods Market by Sector by Value and Market Share
(£m at rsp and %), Years Ending April 2000-2003 ................................................................ 41
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 50
Retail Sales ............................................................................................................................... 50
Table 87: UK Organic Foods Retail Sales by Type of Outlet by Value
and Market Share (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending April 2001-2003 ................................. 51
Table 88: Market Share of Organic Foods Sales by Multiple
(% of value), Year Ending September 2003 ......................................................................... 52
Table 89: Number of Organic Products in Store by Multiple, 2003...................................... 53
Personal Banking 55
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 55
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 55
MARKET SIZE ..................>Diversity Fuelling Growth ....................................................................................................... 47
Meal-Eating Habits.................................................................................................................. 48
Seasonal Influences ................................................................................................................. 48
Barbecues................................................................................................................................ 49
Growth of Prepacked Salads................................................................................................... 49
Own-Label Activity .................................................................................................................. 50
MARKET SIZE AND SEGMENTATION.................................................................................... 50
Table 20: The Condiments and Sauces Market by Value by Product Type
(£m at rsp), 1998-2002............................................................................................................. 51
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 52
Table Sauces............................................................................................................................ 52
Table 21: Table Sauces Market Share by Retailer by Value (%),
Year Ending 31st October 2002.............................................................................................. 52
Salad Accompaniments ........................................................................................................... 52
Table 22: Salad Accompaniment Market Share by Retailer (%), 1999-2001 ....................... 53
Pickles, Chutneys and Relishes................................................................................................ 54
Table 23: Sweet and Sour Pickles Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), Year Ending September 2002 ......................................................................................... 54
Dish-Specific Sauces................................................................................................................. 54
Table 24: Dish-Specific Sauces Market Share by Value by Retailer
(%), 2001 and 2002 ................................................................................................................ 55
Salt and Pepper ....................................................................................................................... 55
Vinegar.................................................................................................................................... 56
Table 25: Vinegar Sales Market Share by Individual Retailer
by Value and Volume (%), 2001............................................................................................. 56
Cooking and Eating 57
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 57
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 57
Availability of Produce............................................................................................................ 57
Link Between Junk Food and Obesity.................................................................................... 57
Low Pay of Food Industry Workers ........................................................................................ 58
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 58
Table 26: Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices on Food by Sector
by Value (£m and %), Second and Third Quarters 2002....................................................... 59
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 59
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 60
Customer Relationship Management 61
DEFINITION............................................................................................................................. 61
MARKET TRENDS.................................................................................................................... 61
MARKET SIZE .......................................................................................................................... 61
Table 27: Global Revenues of the Top Four CRM Vendors ($m), 2001 and 2002 ................ 62
MARKET SHARE...................................................................................................................... 62
DISTRIBUTION........................................................................................................................ 62
Customer Services in Financial Organisations 63
DEFINITION............................