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MP52080
MAPS FORECOURT RETAILING NOVEMBER 2000
Overview

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Editor: Market Assessment
ISBN: 1-86111-328-5

This report covers: Forecourt retailers, ownership structure, wholesaler sites, independent sites, petrol retailing, food retailers, new car registrations, oil prices, supermarket price wars, non-fuel product mix, alcohol retailing, benzene emissions, confectionery, soft drinks, newspapers, magazines, books, cigarettes, tobacco, lottery, scratchcards, ice cream, ice lollies, cold snacks, dairy foods, flowers, houseplants, toiletries, hot drinks, video, music cassettes, frozen food, chilled food, contraceptives, ATM, automated teller machines, internet access

Companies covered include: BP Amoco, Elf Aquitaine, Esso, Jet, Conoco, Mobil, Murco, Save, Shell, Tesco, TotalFina, Alldays

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TABLE OF CONTENTS


1. Introduction


2. Definition

Ownership structure
Wholesaler Sites
Independent Sites
Types of Purchasing Decision


3. Executive Summary


4. Strategic Overview

Market Background
Factors Influencing the Development of Forecourt Retailing
Market Position in Relation to Total Food Retailing
Petrol retailing
Size of the UK Petrol Market
Table 1. - Sales Through all Food Retailers and Forecourt Retailers 1995-99e
Figure 1. - New Car Registrations 1994-99e
Table 3. - New Car Registrations 1995-99e
Table 4. - Average Daily Flow* of Motor Vehicles by Road Class 1981-98
Prices and Competition
Oil Prices
Petrol Prices
Table 5. - UK Petrol Prices 1995-99
Table 6. - A Comparison of EU and US Unleaded Petrol Prices 1999
Figure 2. - A Comparison of EU and US Unleaded Petrol Prices 1999
Table 7. - Profitability by Brand of Unleaded Premium by Prices in Pence per Litre 1999
1999
Supermarket Price Wars
Regional Pricing
Station Prices
Contraction of Forecourt Sites
Table 8. - Number of Forecourt Retailers by Type 1995-99e
Rise of the convenience store
1990-99
Table 10. - UK Household Size 1961-98
Figure 4. - UK Household Size 1961-98
Forecourt Retailers - Non-Fuel Product Mix
1998
Figure 5. - Average Forecourt Product Mix 1998
Alcohol Retailing on Forecourt Sites
Environmental Issues
Benzene Emissions
UK Ban on Leaded Petrol
Market size BY VALUE
Petrol Sales EU Comparison 1997
Table 13. - Sales from Forecourt Sites 1995-99e


5. Consumer Dynamics

Consumer Research Data
Table 14. - Regular Product Purchases from Forecourt Retailers Positive Responses 1994, 1998 and 1999
PURCHASING PREFERENCES AND PROFILES
Table 15. - Regular Purchasers of Confectionery and Soft Drinks 1999
Confectionery
Soft Drinks
Table 16. - Regular Purchasers of Newspapers etc and Snacks 1999
Newspapers/Magazines/Books
Savoury Snacks
1999
Cigarettes/Tobacco
Lottery/Scratchcards
1999
Ice Cream/Ice Lollies
Cold Snacks
Table 19. - Regular Purchasers of Dairy Foods and Batteries 1999
Dairy Foods
Batteries
1999
Canned/Packet Food
Hot Snacks
Table 21. - Regular of Purchasers of Flowers/Houseplants and Hot Drinks 1999
Flowers/Houseplants
Hot Drinks
1999
Toiletries
Video/Music Cassettes
Table 23. - Regular Purchasers of Frozen/Chilled Foods and Novelties/Gifts 1999
Frozen and Chilled Foods
Novelties and Gifts
Table 24. - Regular Purchasers of Contraceptives and Non Purchasers 1999
Contraceptives
None of These


6. Industry Trends

Industry Structure
Table 25. - Market Shares of UK Petrol Retailers 1999 (Sales Volume through Own Brand Sites)
Industry Consolidation
PROFILES
BP Amoco
Elf Aquitaine
Esso UK plc
Jet (Conoco)
Mobil
Murco
Save
Shell
Tesco
TotalFina
Q8
Other Retailers
Tesco and Esso
BP and Safeway
Somerfield and Elf
Total and Alldays
Table 26. - Company Tie Ups in Forecourt Retailing


7. Advertising and Promotion

Table 27. - Advertising by UK Petrol Retailers 1999


8. Future Prospects

Key Sector Trends
Pricing
Ban on Leaded Petrol
Consolidation and Joint Ventures
Automated Teller Machines (ATMs)
Internet Access
Home Shopping
Convenience Shopping
Demographic Changes
Market Forecasts
Figure 6. - Forecast Forecourt Fuel Sales 1999-2003
Table 28. - Forecast Forecourt Fuel Sales 1999-2003
Figure 7. - Forecast Forecourt Non-Fuel Sales 1999-2003
Table 29. - Forecast Forecourt Non-fuel Sales 1999-2003
Activities 1999-2003


9. Sources


10. Glossary of Terms

SOURCES USED

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In the late 1990s, the forecourt retailing market was largely influenced by the low profit margins of the major oil companies resulting from price competition from supermarkets. Stagnant demand for fuel arose as cars became more energy efficient.

The total market was estimated at £24.5bn, in 1999, which represents an increase of 25 percent since 1995. Much of this increase has been down to non-fuel sales. Forecourt retailers are having to find new ways of making money, and this has led to development into the convenience store market.

As a percentage of food retail, forecourt retailers have increased share from 3.6 percent to 4.4 percent between 1995 and 1999. The petrol market itself has decreased by 1.8 percent during the same period.

Retail petrol sales account for 98 percent of this. Premium unleaded petrol comprises 85 percent of this market.

The number of forecourt sites in the UK decreased by 22 percent between 1995 and 1999. This has been mainly a contraction in the number of independent sites. The supermarkets have increased their number of sites and are rolling out new sites at a rate of up to 50 a year. However, as a percentage of the total number of sites, supermarkets still remain fairly insignificant.

To increase profit margins, petrol retailers have developed into convenience stores. Supermarkets are cashing in on the convenience store (c-store) phenomenon and opening minimarkets with long opening hours linked to their petrol forecourts.

The product offering by forecourt retailers has moved on from the traditional mix and forecourt retailers are now offering fresh grocery items, frozen and chilled food to cater for top-up shopping and distress purchases.

Trends in consumer research show that an increasing number of people are buying from petrol forecourts on a regular basis. The proportion not buying from forecourts has decreased from 61 percent in 1994 to 36 percent in 1999. The typical purchaser from forecourts is a car owner, male, single and living in the South West.

In terms of market share, the oil company giants Esso, Shell and British Petroleum (BP) remain the largest with 48 percent sales volume between them. The supermarkets had a quarter (24 percent) share of the market in 1999.

In the future, price will remain a key weapon in this competitive market. There is likely to be further consolidation in the industry with many smaller oil companies ripe for takeover. Retail alliances will continue to be important to develop convenience stores.

Technological developments include Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) installed at forecourt sites, and eventually Internet access. Forecourts may also become a pick up location for home shopping orders.

The total market is forecast to increase by 24.5 percent, to reach £30.5bn in 2003. Fuel sales will decrease as a proportion of the market to 79 percent, whereas non-fuel sales will represent 21 percent.

Text © 2000 MAPS

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