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MP40024
KEY NOTE Utilities : October 2004

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This report covers: utilities, electricity, gas, water, sewerage, water use, energy, terrorist threats, wind farms, and, local politics, climate change, envitonmental issues, increasing utility costs, oil and gas prices, future water price increases, rising domestic gas prices, power cuts, sewerage networks,

Companies covered include: AWG, Centrica, EDF Energy, National Grid Transco, Powergen, UK, RWE Innogy, Scottish Power, Severn Trent, Thames Water Utilities, United Utilities,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
This report analyses the UK utilities market for electricity, gas and water services (water supply and sewerage). As well as presenting financial, power and water-service data, the report also includes the results from consumer research undertaken on behalf of Key Note into attitudes towards the purchase and marketing of utility services.
The largest sector in terms of turnover is electricity, due to the expensive process of converting primary fuel such as coal or gas into electrical power. Gas forms the second-largest sector with its major markets being direct use for heating and, increasingly, electricity generation. Water services is the smallest sector.
The opening up of the UK market for electricity and gas supply to competition means there is a range of companies offering both fuels. Most of these companies originated in the electricity industry, but some have their roots in the gas industry. Some electricity and gas suppliers are marketing organisations with no history of direct involvement in the electricity or gas sectors. Suppliers of electricity and gas are now considered to be energy companies rather than suppliers of one fuel or the other. The UK energy market includes major players that are subsidiaries of very large French and German companies.
Regulation in the electricity and gas markets is carried out through the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) to facilitate competition among supply companies, operate a licensing system, monitor prices, provide technical advice and address consumer issues. Energywatch, an independent body, provides help and advice on gas and electricity.
The UK electricity and gas sectors face fundamental challenges regarding security of supply and rising prices. Output from the UK's offshore gas industry will decrease and evidence of this decline is now emerging. With limited alternative environmentally acceptable primary fuels, the UK will import more of its gas requirements. Much of this gas will derive from regions that would not normally be preferred trade partners for energy supplies for the UK on account of differing political and cultural outlooks and remote distance from the UK.
The UK water-services market does not yet have open competition as in the case of electricity and gas markets. However, plans are being discussed for large industrial customers to be able to choose their water supplier from 2005. The UK water-services market is regulated through the Office of Water Services (Ofwat), with Water Voice providing a mechanism for help and advice for consumers. Structurally the water-service industry is operated by commercial companies, some providing water-only services and others providing water supply and sewerage services.
There has been a change in direction of the type of players in the UK utility market during the past few years. Following the opening of the electricity and gas markets from the mid-1990s, some of the major players adopted a broad position with activities in electricity, gas, telecommunications, water and waste management. However, there has been a general retreat from this position to the current one in which most players focus on either energy or water.
Due to concerns about the security of supplies, environmental issues, terrorist attacks and rising prices, the utility sector now has a high profile both at consumer and government level. Key Note forecasts that the rise in household final consumption expenditure on UK utilities between 2004 and 2008 will be approaching 20%.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Introduction
 
BACKGROUND
 
DEFINITIONS
 
Electricity
 
Production and Distribution of Electricity Section E 40
 
Production of Electricity (40.11)
 
Transmission of Electricity (40.12)
 
Distribution and Trade of Electricity (40.13)
 
Gas
 
Distribution and Trade of Gaseous Fuels Through Mains (40.22)
 
Water
 
Collection, Purification and Distribution of Water (41.00)
 
Sewerage
 
Collection and Treatment of Sewage (90.01)
 
2. Strategic Overview
 
MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION
 
Table 1: UK Utilities — Main Market Sectors by Final Consumption
 
Table 2: Total Turnover of UK Utilities at Current Prices (£bn), 1999-2003
 
Table 3: Household Final Consumption Expenditure on UK Utilities at Current Prices (£bn), 1999-2003
 
COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE
 
ADVERTISING
 
Table 4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Utilities for Business and Residential Customers (£000), Year Ending June 2004
 
THE CONSUMER
 
MARKET FORECASTS
 
Table 5: Forecast Household Final Consumption Expenditure on UK Utilities at Current Prices (£bn), 2004-2008
 
3. Energy Sector Overview
 
BACKGROUND
 
Table 6: Final Energy Consumption in the UK by Fuel Type (000 toe), 2001-2003
 
Table 7: Final Energy Consumption in the UK by Sector (000 toe), 2000-2003
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 8: The UK Energy Market — Total Turnover and Total Household Expenditure at Current Prices (£bn), 1999-2003
 
CONSUMER TRENDS
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
ADVERTISING
 
Main Media Advertising Expenditure
 
Table 9: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by UK Energy Utility Companies to Residential Customers (£000), Year Ending June 2004
 
4. Electricity
 
BACKGROUND
 
Generation
 
Transmission
 
Distribution
 
Supply
 
Legislation and Regulation
 
Market Structure
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 10: The UK Electricity Sector — Total Turnover and Total Household Expenditure on Electricity at Current Prices (£bn), 1999-2003
 
Table 11: Total Household Expenditure on Electricity at Current and Constant 2000 Prices (£m), 1993-2003
 
Table 12: Retail Price Index Fuel Component for Electricity (index 1990=100), 1993-2003
 
CONSUMER TRENDS
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
ADVERTISING
 
5. Gas
 
BACKGROUND
 
Suppliers
 
Legislation and Regulation
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 13: The UK Gas Sector — Total Turnover and Total Household Expenditure on Gas at Current Prices (£bn), 1999-2003
 
Table 14: Total Household Expenditure on Gas at Current and Constant 2000 Prices (£m), 1993-2003
 
Table 15: Retail Price Index Fuel Component for Gas (index 1990=100), 1993-2003
 
CONSUMER TRENDS
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
ADVERTISING
 
6. Water and Sewerage Services
 
BACKGROUND
 
Legislation and Regulation
 
Market Structure
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 16: The UK Water and Sewerage Sector — Turnover and Household Final Consumption Expenditure at Current Prices (£bn), 1999-2003
 
Table 17: Household Final Consumption Expenditure on UK Water Services at Current Prices (£m), 1999-2003
 
Table 18: Household Final Consumption Expenditure on UK Water Services Reference Year 2000 (£m), 1999-2003
 
Table 19: Annual Percentage Change in Household Final Consumption Expenditure on UK Water Services Sector at Current and Reference 2000 Prices, 2000-2003
 
CONSUMER TRENDS
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
ADVERTISING
 
7. An International Perspective
 
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
 
Electricity Demand
 
Table 20: Total Electricity Demand in the EU (TWh), 2002 and 2003
 
Gas Consumption
 
Table 21: Inland Sales of Natural Gas in Selected EU Countries (petajoules), 2003
 
Water Use
 
Table 22: Water Use in Selected EU Countries (million cubic metres), 1996/1997/1998/1999/2000/2001
 
COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT
 
Energy
 
Water
 
CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
 
Table 23: EU 15 Domestic Median Electricity Prices (pence per KWh), 2000-2003
 
Table 24: EU 15 Domestic Median Gas Prices (pence per KWh), 2000-2003
 
8. PEST Analysis
 
POLITICAL FACTORS
 
Future Energy Sources
 
Terrorist Threats
 
Wind Farms and Local Politics
 
Climate Change
 
Environmental Issues
 
ECONOMIC FACTORS
 
Increasing Utility Costs
 
Oil and Gas Prices
 
Future Water Price Increases
 
SOCIAL FACTORS
 
Rising Domestic Gas Prices
 
Power Cuts
 
Sewerage Networks
 
TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS
 
Water-Service Infrastructure
 
Electricity and Gas Infrastructure
 
Renewable Energy
 
Energy and Water Conservation
 
Remote Metering
 
9. Consumer Dynamics
 
OVERVIEW
 
Table 25: Summary of Responses (% of respondents), 2004
 
SWITCHING SUPPLIER
 
"I Have Changed My Electricity Supplier"
 
"I Have Changed My Gas Supplier"
 
Table 26: Experience of Switching Suppliers (% of respondents), 2004
 
"A Single Company Now Supplies Me With Both Gas And Electricity"
 
Table 27: Experience of Switching Suppliers (% of respondents), 2004
 
DIFFICULTIES IN SWITCHING SUPPLIER
 
"I Have Experienced Difficulties In Transferring My Electricity Or Gas Account From One Supplier To Another"
 
"I Have Experienced Difficulties In Transferring My Combined Electricity And Gas Account To Another Company Also Supplying Electricity And Gas"
 
Table 28: Difficulties in Switching Suppliers (% of respondents), 2004
 
"The Difficulties I Have Experienced In Switching Electricity And/Or Gas Supplier Would Lessen My Willingness To Transfer To Another Supplier Again In The Future"
 
Table 29: Past Difficulties Affecting Willingness to Switch Supplier (% of respondents), 2004
 
SATISFACTION WITH BILLING
 
"I Have Experienced Errors, Including Delays, In My Gas And/Or Electricity Bills"
 
"I Have Experienced Errors, Including Delays, In Receiving My Water And/Or Sewerage Bills"
 
Table 30: Satisfaction with Billing (% of respondents), 2004
 
MARKETING OF ELECTRICITY AND GAS
 
"I Receive An Unwelcome Amount Of Sales Literature, Phone Calls Or Personal Approaches From Gas And/Or Electricity Companies Trying To Persuade Me To Change Supplier"
 
Table 31: Marketing of Electricity and Gas (% of respondents), 2004
 
PREFERRED METHOD OF PAYMENT OF UTILITY BILLS
 
"I Prefer To Pay My Electricity/Gas/Water/Sewerage Bills By Cash Or Cheque"
 
"I Prefer To Pay My Electricity/Gas/Water/Sewerage Bills By Standing Order/Direct Debit"
 
Table 32: Preference for Paying Utility Bills by Cash or Cheque, or by Standing Order (% of respondents), 2004
 
"I Prefer To Pay My Electricity/Gas/Water/Sewerage Bills Online"
 
Table 33: Preference for Paying Utility Bills Online (% of respondents), 2004
 
PREFERRED TYPE OF UTILITY SUPPLIER
 
"I Would Prefer To Have Separate Suppliers For Gas/Electricity/Water/Sewerage"
 
"I Would Prefer To Have A Combined Supplier For Electricity And Gas"
 
Table 34: Preference for a Separate Supplier of all Utilities and for a Combined Electricity and Gas Supplier (% of respondents), 2004
 
"I Would Prefer To Have A Combined Supplier For Gas/Electricity/Water And Sewerage"
 
Table 35: Preference for a Combined Supplier for all Utilities (% of respondents), 2004
 
10. Company Profiles
 
AWG PLC
 
Company Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
CENTRICA PLC
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Advertising
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
EDF ENERGY PLC
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Advertising
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
NATIONAL GRID TRANSCO PLC
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
POWERGEN UK PLC (NOW E.ON UK PLC)
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Advertising
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
RWE INNOGY PLC (NOW RWE NPOWER PLC)
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Advertising
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
SCOTTISH POWER UK PLC
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Advertising
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
SEVERN TRENT PLC
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
THAMES WATER UTILITIES LTD
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Developments
 
UNITED UTILITIES PLC
 
Corporate Strategy
 
Product and Brand Development
 
Market Development
 
Strengths and Weaknesses
 
Advertising
 
Distribution
 
Profitability
 
Future Company Development
 
11. The Future
 
INCREASING IMPORTANCE OF UTILITIES
 
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
 
ELECTRICITY
 
GAS
 
WATER
 
Forecasts
 
Table 36: Forecast Household Final Consumption Expenditure on UK Utilities at Current Prices (£bn), 2004-2008
 
12. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
General Sources
 
Government Publications
 
Other Sources
 
Bonnier Information Sources

Text © 2004 Key Note

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