| MP22044 |
| MAPS : Book Retailing on the Internet: October 2004 |
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CLICK
TO BUY |
This report covers: book retailing, on the internet, leading book wholesalers, Online Booksellers, the academic, schools', and, childrens', market, school, books, online Childrens book groups, electonic book services, book tokens,
Companies and Awards covered include: Bertram Books, Gardners Books, The Big Read, British Book Awards, The Man Booker Prize for Fiction, Whitbread Book Awards, The Orange Prize for Fiction, The Samuel Johnson Prize for Non-Fiction, Bertelsmann, Hachette, Hfoltxbrinck, News Corporation, Pearson, Reed Elsevier, WH Smith, Taylor & Francis, Thomson Corporation, Time Warner, Wolters Kluwer, World Book Day, Blue Peter Book Awards, Nestlé Smarties Children's Book Award, Amazon, Amazon.co.uk, Bertram Books, Cambridge University Press, Lightning Source, Pearson, Swotbooks.com, VNU, Waterstone's, Booksellers, WH Smith,
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| Practically everyone in the UK now has access to the Internet, whether that be from home, work, school, college or the local library. In 2003, National Statistics figures (Individuals Accessing the Internet National Statistics Omnibus Survey Access to Internet from Home) showed that 48% of households have Internet access. Previous Book Retailing on the Internet Market Assessment reports have needed to also examine the market for Internet services, but advances in access now render this unnecessary. For this edition, Key Note looks at the consumer market for buying books online, the schools/academic/children's markets and, for the first time, the market for electronic services to the book trade. |
| There is also a growing demand for electronic books (ebooks) and this market is examined in some detail in this report. |
| The UK total book market was worth around £3bn in 2003. Industry estimates indicate that 6% of that market consists of books sold online, with Internet book sales worth around £215m in 2003. Consumer confidence in purchasing goods online is growing as more protection through the Data Protection Acts and through retailers' own technical securities is put in place. However, for online booksellers, credit card fraud is one of the main problems they face, with as up to 10% of sales estimated as fraudulent (according to the Internet Bookseller's group). |
| Amazon remains the market leader but, as barriers to creating an online presence are increasingly lowered, many more booksellers are able to provide online services in addition to their bricks-and-mortar outlets, particularly as one of the UK's largest book wholesalers provides ready-made Web templates for its customers. |
| There is a growing market for hard-to-find and secondhand books: the Internet, through online auction houses such as eBay, has helped to make those rare editions more accessible to the online community. The leader here is Abe, of which the database of secondhand and rare books continually grows as more and more secondhand booksellers join its network. Abe also works in partnership with Amazon.co.uk, which provides a secondhand book service through its website, linked to the Abe database. |
| The largest technological advances are, however, in the academic sector. Here, with a huge impetus coming from the Government to move a greater proportion of teaching resources online, advances are being made not only in online book procurement but also in electronically providing texts and other resources. It is within this sector that most advances in the production and refinement of ebooks are expected to be made. |
| As far as market size is concerned, 2003 was a disastrous year for publishers and retailers in the schools sector as many schools found themselves with funding shortfalls, which amounted to a national scandal. In the face of teacher redundancies, book budgets were cut drastically. |
| The Internet is pervading the whole bookselling supply chain. Electronic digital interchanges (EDIs) enable messaging between computers that can carry complicated transactional data. Industry bodies are exploring how these can be networked and opened up to enable a freeflow of information between booksellers, wholesalers and publishers in order to keep stock moving around the network. The development of these systems will help to ensure that inventory is not left sitting in distributors' and retailers' warehouses and stock rooms whilst demand is not being met elsewhere on the network. |
| The cost savings to be made with such systems are immediately apparent. At the same time, titles need never go out of print as the development of digital printing print on demand (PoD) enables short run, or even single, printing of books on demand at relatively low cost. |
| By making books available in electronic format, publishers can also produce ebooks. The dotcom boom saw many enthusiasts extolling the virtues of books available in electronic format and forecasting that they would soon outnumber paper books. Lovers of the bound book, both publishers and consumers, were sceptical but technology has driven the production of ebooks forward and there is a growing consumer market downloading ebooks to portable devices such as laptop computers and personal digital assistants (PDAs). The largest advances in ebooks are being made in the academic sector: the potential for electronic reference works is enormous and it is within this sector that online booksellers have the most to gain. |
| Industry reports show that the 2003 Christmas period was a bonanza for online retailers and there is no doubt that the Internet is being increasingly used to purchase books. However, this increase is not as great as earlier industry forecasters predicted. The exclusive survey commissioned by Key Note for the 2001 Book Retailing on the Internet report revealed that 5% of respondents bought fiction books and 7% bought non-fiction books online. |
| In 2003, respondents were asked if they had bought at least one book over the Internet during the previous 6 months: 11% of respondents said that they had. |
| The profile of online bookbuyers is still predominantly AB grade 24 to 44 year-olds, with those living in the South East as the most likely to buy online. However, survey data revealed that people living in Scotland are also likely to be online consumers. |
| Key Note concludes that the new trends examined in this report PoD, ebooks and Internet-enabled supply-chain infrastructure show that the Internet has become an integral part of the whole bookselling market. Selling actual books online is just part of that. |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| Executive Summary 9 |
| 1. Introduction 11 |
| REPORT FOCUS 11 |
| Definition 12 |
| 2. Strategic Overview 13 |
| BACKGROUND 13 |
| MARKET DYNAMICS 13 |
| MARKET SIZE 14 |
| Table 1: Total UK Publishers' Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1999-2003 14 |
| Table 2: Total UK Book Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1999-2003 15 |
| Table 3: Total UK Book Sales by Quarter (£m), 2000-2003 15 |
| Table 4: Household Spending on Recreation and Culture by Sector by Value and Share (£m and %), 2002 16 |
| Table 5: UK Book Sales on the Internet by Value and Share |
| of the Total Book Market (£m and %), 1999-2003 17 |
| Table 6: Internet Access in UK Households |
| (% and percentage point), 1998-2003 18 |
| Table 7: UK Internet Subscriptions by Access Plan (%), September 2002 and 2003 18 |
| Table 8: Adult Use of the Internet by Purpose of Access |
| in Great Britain (%), July 2001-2003 19 |
| DISTRIBUTION 20 |
| Book Databases 21 |
| Leading Book Wholesalers 21 |
| Bertram Books 21 |
| Gardners Books 22 |
| Total Home Entertainment 22 |
| Pricing 22 |
| COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE 23 |
| Online Booksellers 23 |
| Table 9: Top Ten UK Book Websites by Market Share (%), November 2003 24 |
| ADVERTISING 26 |
| Table 10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure |
| by Internet Service Providers (£000), |
| Years Ending September 2002 and 2003 27 |
| Table 11: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Booksellers (£000), Years Ending September 2002 and 2003 29 |
| THE CONSUMER 29 |
| MARKET FORECASTS 30 |
| Table 12: Forecast UK Book Sales on the Internet by Value and Share of the Total Book Market (£m and %), 2004-2008 31 |
| 3. The Consumer Market 32 |
| BACKGROUND 32 |
| Table 13: Number of Complete Books Read for Pleasure by Sex (%), July 2001-June 2002 33 |
| Table 14: Key Drivers in Book Reading by Sex (%), June 2002 33 |
| Table 15: Personal Reading in Previous Seven Days by Sex (%), |
| June 2002 34 |
| Table 16: Personal Reading in Previous Seven Days |
| by Age Group (%), June 2002 35 |
| MARKET SIZE 36 |
| Table 17: The UK Consumer Market for Books by Value by Distribution Channel (% and £m) , 1998-2002 36 |
| Table 18: UK Consumer Book Sales on the Internet by Value and Market Share of the Total Consumer Books Market |
| (£m and %), 1998-2002 37 |
| Table 19: Number of Online Shoppers and Bookbuyers |
| in the Previous 6 Months in the UK (million and %), |
| November 2001-2003 37 |
| Table 20: New and Revised Titles by Volume |
| by Genre (number),1998-2002 38 |
| Table 21: UK Sales of Fiction, Literature and Classics |
| by Value and Volume (£000), 1998-2002 39 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS 39 |
| Table 22: Comparison of Consumer Internet Access |
| (% of respondents), 2001 and 2003 40 |
| Table 23: Profile of UK Online Shoppers (%), October 2003 43 |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY 44 |
| The Big Read 44 |
| Table 24: Top 21 Big Read Titles by Rank and Sales, |
| 11th May-11th October 2003 45 |
| British Book Awards 46 |
| Other Main UK Book Awards 46 |
| The Man Booker Prize for Fiction 46 |
| Whitbread Book Awards 47 |
| The Orange Prize for Fiction 47 |
| The Samuel Johnson Prize for Non-Fiction 47 |
| COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT 47 |
| Table 25: Bookseller Chains by Number of Branches in Great Britain, 2003 48 |
| Key Suppliers and Trade Associations 50 |
| Publishers 50 |
| Bertelsmann (German Owned) 50 |
| Hachette (French Owned) 50 |
| Holtzbrinck (US Owned) 50 |
| News Corporation (Australian/US Owned) 51 |
| Pearson (UK Owned) 51 |
| Reed Elsevier (UK Owned) 51 |
| WH Smith (UK Owned) 51 |
| Taylor & Francis 51 |
| Thomson Corporation (UK Owned) 51 |
| Time Warner (US Owned) 51 |
| Wolters Kluwer 52 |
| Trade Associations and Periodicals 52 |
| 4. The Academic, Schools' and Children's Markets 53 |
| BACKGROUND 53 |
| MARKET SIZE 56 |
| Table 26: New and Revised Children's and General |
| Non-Consumer Titles by Volume, 1998-2002 56 |
| Table 27: UK Schoolbook Spending (% and £), |
| Fiscal Years 2001-2003 57 |
| Table 28: UK Sales of Childrens' Books by Value and Volume, Excluding Picture, Drawing and Colouring Books (£000), |
| 1998-2002 58 |
| Table 29: UK Sales of Social Sciences, Business Studies |
| and Humanities Books by Value and Volume (£000), 1998-2002 59 |
| Table 30: UK Sales of Natural Science, Medicine |
| and Technology Books by Value and Volume |
| (£000), 1998-2002 59 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS 59 |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY 60 |
| World Book Day 61 |
| Book Tokens 61 |
| Children's Book Awards 62 |
| Blue Peter Book Awards 62 |
| Nestlé Smarties Children's Book Awards 62 |
| Guardian Children's Fiction Prize 62 |
| COMPETITIVE PROFILE 63 |
| Key Suppliers and Trade Authorities 64 |
| Wholesalers and Distributors 64 |
| Publishers 64 |
| Online Children's Book Groups 65 |
| Trade Authorities 65 |
| 5. Electronic Book Services 66 |
| BACKGROUND 66 |
| MARKET SIZE 67 |
| CONSUMER TRENDS 68 |
| Strategy Projects 68 |
| Mapping the Market 68 |
| Strategy and Vision for e-Text Books 69 |
| Investigation into Free eBooks 69 |
| Promoting the Uptake of eBooks in UK Higher and Further Education 69 |
| The Open eBook Forum Surveys 69 |
| Table 31: Reasons for Buying ebooks in the US (%), 2003 70 |
| Table 32: Top 20 Desired ebook Features in the US (%), 2002 71 |
| Table 33: Ten Least Desired eBook Features in the US (%), 2002 72 |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY 72 |
| COMPETITIVE PROFILE 73 |
| Key Suppliers and Trade Authorities 74 |
| Digital Printers 74 |
| Digital Content Distributors 74 |
| Build Your Own Bookstore 75 |
| 6. An International Perspective 76 |
| MARKET DEVELOPMENTS 76 |
| Table 34: UK Exports of Books by Value by Region (£m), January-June 2002 and 2003 76 |
| Competitor Environment 77 |
| The EU Market 77 |
| The US Market 77 |
| Consumer Behaviour 77 |
| Table 35: Comparison of UK and US Consumer Online Market Share (% of bookbuyers), 2001 and 2002 78 |
| 7. PEST Analysis 79 |
| POLITICAL FACTORS 79 |
| ECONOMIC FACTORS 79 |
| SOCIAL FACTORS 80 |
| TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS 80 |
| 8. Consumer Dynamics 81 |
| OVERVIEW 81 |
| INTERNET BEHAVIOUR 82 |
| I Have Purchased At Least One Book Using The Internet In The Last 6 Months (S1) 82 |
| I Intend To Buy More Books Over the Internet In The Next |
| 12 Months (S2) 82 |
| Table 36: Purchasing Over the Internet |
| (% of respondents), 2003 83 |
| INTERNET PREFERENCES 85 |
| I Am More Likely To Buy Books Over The Internet Than Any Other Goods Such As Clothes (S3) 85 |
| I Am More Likely To Buy A Book Over The Internet Than From A Bookstore (S4) 85 |
| Table 37: Likelihood of Buying Books Rather Than Other Products and of Buying Online Rather Than from a Bookstore (% of respondents), 2003 86 |
| INTERNET OPINION 88 |
| I Think Buying Books Over The Internet Is More Convenient Than Going To A Bookstore (S5) 88 |
| I Think There Is Much Greater Choice Of Books In An Internet |
| Bookstore (S6) 88 |
| Table 38: Attitudes Towards Book Buying Online |
| for Convenience and Choice (% of respondents), 2003 89 |
| PERCEPTIONS OF PRICE AND AVAILABILITY 91 |
| I Think Generally Books Bought Over The Internet Are Less |
| Expensive Than Books Bought From A Store (S7) 91 |
| I Have Been Able To Get Books Over The Internet That I Cannot Find In A Bookstore (S8) 91 |
| Table 39: Attitudes Towards Price and Hard-to-Find Books |
| (% of respondents), 2003 92 |
| CAN BUY BUT WON'T BUY 94 |
| I Have Internet Access But I Am More Likely To Buy A Book |
| From A Bookstore Than Over The Internet (S9) 94 |
| I Have Internet Access But I Am More Likely To Buy Tickets |
| Or Holidays Than Books Over The Internet (S10) 94 |
| Table 40: Buying from a Bookstore and Buying Tickets or Holidays (% of respondents), 2003 95 |
| CONSUMER CHOICE 97 |
| I Am More Inclined To Buy Business Or Academic Or Self-help Books Than Fiction Over The Internet (S11) 97 |
| I Would Buy More Books Over The Internet If I Could Read Some Of The Pages, Like You Can In A Bookstore (S12) 97 |
| Table 41: Type of Books Bought and Features Desired |
| (% of respondents), 2003 98 |
| DON'T BUY ONLINE/buy more from bookstores 100 |
| I Have Internet Access But I Have Never Purchased Anything |
| Over The Internet (S13) 100 |
| I Buy Books From Bookstores And Over The Internet, |
| But More From Bookstores (S14) 100 |
| Table 42: Non-Purchasing/Purchasing from Bookstores |
| (% of respondents), 2003 101 |
| 9. Company Profiles 103 |
| AMAZON.Com Inc. 103 |
| Corporate Strategy 103 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 103 |
| New Product Development 103 |
| Brand Development 104 |
| Appointments 105 |
| Distribution 105 |
| Profitability 105 |
| Amazon.co.uk 105 |
| Table 43: Financial Results for Amazon.co.uk (£000), |
| Years Ending 31st December 2000-2002 105 |
| Amazon.com 106 |
| BERTRAM BOOKS 106 |
| Corporate Strategy 106 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 106 |
| New Product Development 106 |
| Brand Development 106 |
| Innovations 107 |
| New Research 107 |
| Appointments 107 |
| Advertising and Marketing 107 |
| Distribution 107 |
| Profitability 107 |
| CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS 108 |
| Corporate Strategy 108 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 108 |
| New Product Development 108 |
| Brand Development 108 |
| Innovations 108 |
| Appointments 109 |
| Advertising 109 |
| Distribution 109 |
| Profitability 109 |
| Future Company Developments 110 |
| LIGHTNING SOURCE 110 |
| Corporate Strategy 110 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 110 |
| New Product Development 110 |
| Brand Development 110 |
| Innovations 110 |
| Appointments 111 |
| Advertising 111 |
| Distribution 111 |
| Profitability 111 |
| PEARSON PLC 111 |
| Corporate Strategy 111 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 111 |
| New Product Development 112 |
| Brand Development 112 |
| Innovations 112 |
| Appointments 112 |
| Advertising 112 |
| Profitability 113 |
| Table 44: Financial Results for Pearson PLC (£m), |
| Years Ending 31st December 2000-2002 113 |
| SWOTBOOKS.COM 113 |
| Corporate Strategy 113 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 113 |
| New Product Development 113 |
| Brand Development 114 |
| Innovations 114 |
| Appointments 114 |
| Distribution 114 |
| Profitability 114 |
| VNU 114 |
| Corporate Strategy 114 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 115 |
| New Product Development 115 |
| Brand Development 115 |
| Innovations 116 |
| Appointments 116 |
| Profitability 116 |
| Table 45: Financial Results for VNU (em), |
| Years Ending December 2000-2002 116 |
| WATERSTONE'S BOOKSELLERS LTD 116 |
| Corporate Strategy 116 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 117 |
| New Product Development 117 |
| Brand Development 117 |
| Appointments 117 |
| Advertising 118 |
| Profitability 118 |
| Table 46: Financial Results for Waterstone's Booksellers Ltd (£000), Years Ending 28th April 2001, 27th April 2002 |
| and 26th April 2003 118 |
| WH SMITH PLC 118 |
| Corporate Strategy 118 |
| Strengths and Weaknesses of Company 118 |
| New Product Development 119 |
| Brand Development 119 |
| Innovations 119 |
| New Research 119 |
| Appointments 119 |
| Advertising 119 |
| Distribution 120 |
| Profitability 120 |
| Table 47: Financial Results for WH Smith PLC (£m), |
| Years Ending 31st August 2001-2003 120 |
| Future Company Developments 120 |
| 10. The Future 121 |
| MARKET FORECASTS 121 |
| Table 48: Forecast UK Book Sales on the Internet by Value and Share of the Total Book Market (£m and %), 2004-2008 123 |
| 11. Further Sources 124 |
| Associations 124 |
| Publications 124 |
| General Sources 125 |
| Government Sources 125 |
| Other Sources 126 |
| Bonnier Information Sources 127 |
Text © 2004 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous November 2004