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| MP15161 |
| MAPS BABY FOODS MAY 2001 |
| Overview |
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This report covers: baby meals, baby milks, baby drinks, baby finger foods, rusks, cereals, wet baby meal,
Companies covered include: HJ Heinz, Koninklijke (Royal) Numico, sma nutrition, Hipp KG, Boots, baby organix
| 1 | Executive Summary 1 |
| 2 | 1. Introduction 9 |
| 3 | Definitions 9 |
| 4 | Baby Meals 9 |
| 5 | Baby Milks 9 |
| 6 | Baby Drinks 10 |
| 7 | Baby Finger Foods and Rusks 10 |
| 8 | 2. Strategic Overview 11 |
| 9 | KEY issues 11 |
| 10 | Birth Rates 11 |
| 11 | Table 1: Total Births and Birth Rate in the UK (000 and number of births), 1971-1999 11 |
| 12 | Deferred Child Birth 12 |
| 13 | Table 2: Number of Births in England and Wales, by Age of Mother, 1961-1999 12 |
| 14 | Table 3: Fertility Rates in England and Wales by Age Group, 1961-1999 12 |
| 15 | Table 4: Average Age of Mother at Birth of Child in England and Wales, 1961-1999 13 |
| 16 | Changing UK Household Structure 14 |
| 17 | Table 5: Changing Household Structure in Great Britain ( percent of households), 1979-1998 15 |
| 18 | High Cost of Children 15 |
| 19 | Total Baby Care Market 15 |
| 20 | Table 6: Baby Care Retail Market by Sector by Value, (£m and percent),1999 and 2000 16 |
| 21 | Coping With The Financial Burden 16 |
| 22 | Table 7: The Need to Save Money to be Able to Afford the Expenses of Having Children ( percent of respondents), 2001 18 |
| 23 | Table 8: Pressure of Earning a Living Delays Parenthood ( percent of respondents), 2001 20 |
| 24 | Working Mothers 21 |
| 25 | Table 9: Number of Working Women Aged 16 to 59 in Employment in the UK (000 and percent), 1984-2000 21 |
| 26 | Table 10: Working Women Aged 16 to 59 ( percent), 1990, 1995 and 2000 22 |
| 27 | Table 11: Working While Children are Young ( percent of respondents), 2001 24 |
| 28 | Only the Best for Babies 25 |
| 29 | Table 12: Home Preparation of Baby Foods Versus Ease of Preparation ( percent of respondents), 2001 26 |
| 30 | Breast Feeding is Best 27 |
| 31 | Table 13: Economic Activity Status of Mothers with Youngest Child Aged 0 to 4 ( percent), 1990, 1995 and 2000 28 |
| 32 | The Rise of Organic Baby Foods 29 |
| 33 | Dynamics and Trends 29 |
| 34 | The Consumer 29 |
| 35 | Table 14: Organic Baby Food ( percent of respondents), 2001 31 |
| 36 | market size TOTAL 32 |
| 37 | Table 15: The Total Baby Food and Drink Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1995-2000 32 |
| 38 | Figure 1: The Total Baby Food and Drink Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1995-2000 33 |
| 39 | AdVERTising and promotion 33 |
| 40 | Table 16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Baby Foods (£m), Year to End December 1997-2000 34 |
| 41 | DISTRIBUTION issues 34 |
| 42 | Table 17: Baby Food and Drink Sales Through Independent Pharmacies by Sector (£m and percent), 1999 and 2000 35 |
| 43 | Figure 2: Baby Food and Drink Sales Through Independent Pharmacies by Sector (£m and percent), 1999 and 2000 35 |
| 44 | 3. Baby Meals 36 |
| 45 | market size and Segmentation 36 |
| 46 | Baby Meals by Value 36 |
| 47 | Table 18: The Baby Meals Market by Sector by Value (£m and percent), 1995-2000 36 |
| 48 | Baby Meals by Volume 37 |
| 49 | Table 19: The Baby Meals Market by Sector by Volume (million units and percent), 1999 and 2000 37 |
| 50 | Baby Meals by Age Range 37 |
| 51 | Table 20: Wet Baby Meal Sales by Age ( percent of unit sales), 1999 and 2000 38 |
| 52 | Figure 3: Wet Baby Meal Sales by Age ( percent of unit sales), 1999 and 2000 38 |
| 53 | Baby Meals by Type of Meal 38 |
| 54 | Table 21: Wet Baby Meal Sales by Type of Meal ( percent), 2000 39 |
| 55 | Suppliers and Brand shares 39 |
| 56 | Total Baby Meals 39 |
| 57 | Table 22: Total Baby Meal Brand Shares by Value (£m and percent ), 1999 and 2000 40 |
| 58 | Figure 4: Total Baby Meal Brand Shares by Value (£m and percent ), 1999 and 2000 41 |
| 59 | Wet Baby Meals 41 |
| 60 | Table 23: Wet Baby Meal Brand Shares by Value (£m and percent), 1999 and 2000 42 |
| 61 | Figure 5: Wet Baby Meal Brand Shares by Value (£m and percent), 1999 and 2000 43 |
| 62 | Dry Baby Meals 43 |
| 63 | Table 24: Dry Baby Meal Brand Shares by Volume (£m and percent ), 1999 and 2000 44 |
| 64 | Figure 6: Dry Baby Meal Brand Shares by Volume (£m and percent ), 1999 and 2000 45 |
| 65 | advertising and promotion 45 |
| 66 | Table 25: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Baby Meals by Major Brand (£000), Year to End December 1997-2000 45 |
| 67 | consumer dynamics 46 |
| 68 | Penetration of Baby/Junior Foods 46 |
| 69 | Table 26: Penetration of Baby or Junior Foods ( percent of housewives ), 1995, 1997, 1999 and 2000 47 |
| 70 | Attitudes Wet Versus Dry Baby Meals 47 |
| 71 | Table 27: Wet Versus Dry Baby Meals ( percent of respondents), 2001 48 |
| 72 | distribution 49 |
| 73 | Table 28: Wet Versus Dry Baby Meal Sales by Retail Outlet by Value ( percent), 1999 and 2000 49 |
| 74 | 4. Baby Milks 50 |
| 75 | market size and segmentation 50 |
| 76 | Table 29: The Baby Milks Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1995 and 2000 50 |
| 77 | suppliers and brand shares 51 |
| 78 | Table 30: Baby Milk Brand Shares by Value (£m and percent), 1999 and 2000 52 |
| 79 | Figure 7: Baby Milk Manufacturer Brand Shares by Volume ( percent), 1999 and 2000 53 |
| 80 | advertising and promotion 53 |
| 81 | Table 31: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Baby Milks by Major Brand (£000), Year to End December 1997-2000 54 |
| 82 | consumer dynamics 55 |
| 83 | Penetration of Baby Milks 55 |
| 84 | Table 32: Penetration of Baby Milks ( percent of housewives), 1995, 1997, 1999 and 2000 55 |
| 85 | Attitudes 55 |
| 86 | Table 33: Manufactured Baby Milk Versus Breast-Fed Milk ( percent of respondents), 2001 57 |
| 87 | Table 34: Brand Reliability and Information Sources ( percent of respondents), 2001 59 |
| 88 | distribution 60 |
| 89 | Table 35: Baby Milk Sales by Outlet Type by Volume ( percent), 1995 and 2000 60 |
| 90 | Figure 8: Baby Milk Sales by Outlet Type by Volume ( percent), 1995 and 2000 61 |
| 91 | 5. Baby Drinks 62 |
| 92 | Market Size and Segmentation 62 |
| 93 | Table 36: The Baby Drinks Market by Sector by Value (£m and percent), 1995, 1999 and 2000 62 |
| 94 | Figure 9: The Baby Drinks Market by Sector by Value (£m), 1995, 1999 and 2000 63 |
| 95 | suppliers and brand shares 63 |
| 96 | Table 37: Baby Drinks Brand Shares by Value (£m and percent), 1999 and 2000 64 |
| 97 | Figure 10: Baby Drinks Brand Shares by Value (£m), 1999 and 2000 65 |
| 98 | 6. Baby Finger Foods 66 |
| 99 | market size and segmentation 66 |
| 100 | Table 38: The Baby Finger Foods Sales by Type (£m and percent), 1999 and 2000 66 |
| 101 | suppliers and brand shares 66 |
| 102 | Table 39: Baby Finger Food Brand Shares by Value ( percent), 1999 and 2000e 67 |
| 103 | Figure 11: Baby Finger Food Brand Shares by Value ( percent), 1999 and 2000e 68 |
| 104 | advertising and promotion 68 |
| 105 | Consumer Dynamics 69 |
| 106 | Incidence of Usage 69 |
| 107 | Table 40: Penetration of Baby Cereals and Rusks Consumption ( percent of housewives), 1995, 1997, 1999 and 2000 69 |
| 108 | Attitudes to Sugar Content 69 |
| 109 | Table 41: Sugar Content of Baby Foods ( percent of respondents), 2001 70 |
| 110 | distribution 71 |
| 111 | 7. An International Perspective 72 |
| 112 | Market VALUES 72 |
| 113 | Total Markets 72 |
| 114 | Table 42: The Baby Foods and Drinks Market, Total Population and Birth Rate in Selected European Countries |
| 115 | (£m, million, and births per 1,000 of population), 1999 72 |
| 116 | By Sector 72 |
| 117 | Table 43: The Baby Food and Drinks Market in Selected European Countries by Sector by Value ( percent), 1999 73 |
| 118 | Figure 12: The Baby Food and Drinks Market in Selected European Countries by Sector by Value ( percent), 1999 74 |
| 119 | Spain 74 |
| 120 | Table 44: Total Baby Food and Drink Market by Sector by Volume and Value (tonnes, pesetas and percent) 1998 and 1999 75 |
| 121 | FRANCE 75 |
| 122 | Table 45: Total Baby Milk Market by Sector by Volume and Value (tonnes, FFr and percent), Year to March 1998 and 1999 76 |
| 123 | MEAL TYPES 76 |
| 124 | Table 46: Wet Baby Product Sales in Germany and France by Recipe Type by Value ( percent), 1999 76 |
| 125 | Figure 13: Wet Baby Product Sales in Germany and France by Recipe Type by Value ( percent), 1999 78 |
| 126 | Suppliers and Brands 78 |
| 127 | Supplier Concentration 78 |
| 128 | Supplier Shares by Country and Product Type 79 |
| 129 | France 79 |
| 130 | Table 47: Total Baby Foods and Drink Manufacturer Shares in France ( percent), 1999 79 |
| 131 | Table 48: The French Baby Milks Market by Brand Share by Value ( percent), 1999 80 |
| 132 | Table 49: Wet Baby Meal Brand Shares in France ( percent), Year to March 2000 80 |
| 133 | Germany 80 |
| 134 | Table 50: Total Baby Foods and Drink Brand Shares in Germany ( percent), 1999 and 2000 81 |
| 135 | Spain 81 |
| 136 | Table 51: Baby Milks and Wet Baby Foods Brand Shares in Spain by Value ( percent), 1999 82 |
| 137 | distribution 82 |
| 138 | Table 52: The Baby Foods and Drinks Market in Spain by percentage Share Taken by Pharmacies by Sector by Value ( percent), 1999 83 |
| 139 | 8. PEST Analysis 84 |
| 140 | POLITICAL FACTORS 84 |
| 141 | Government Plans to Help Parents Gain Flexible Work 84 |
| 142 | Lessening Financial Burdens 84 |
| 143 | Work Provides Us with the Best Time of Our Lives 84 |
| 144 | ECONOMIC FACTORS 85 |
| 145 | Table 53: Main Economic Indicators (£bn and percent change), 1995-2004 86 |
| 146 | SOCIAL FACTORS 87 |
| 147 | Birth Rates 87 |
| 148 | Deferred Childbirth 87 |
| 149 | Table 54: Number of Births by Age of Mother in England and Wales (years and percent), 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 1995 and 1999 87 |
| 150 | Working Mothers 88 |
| 151 | TEchnological Factors 89 |
| 152 | 9. Consumer Dynamics 90 |
| 153 | Table 55: Proportion of Adults Agreeing with Individual Statements about Having a Family and Baby Food Products ( percent of respondents), 2001 91 |
| 154 | 10. Supplier Profiles 93 |
| 155 | HJ Heinz 93 |
| 156 | Table 56: Worldwide Sales for HJ Heinz by Main Product Group ($m),Years Ending 29th April 1998 and 1999 and 3rd May 2000 93 |
| 157 | Koninklijke (Royal) Numico NV 94 |
| 158 | Table 57: Financial Results for Numico NV (£m), 1995-1999 95 |
| 159 | sma nutrition 96 |
| 160 | Hipp KG 97 |
| 161 | The boots company plc 98 |
| 162 | Table 58: Financial Results for Boots The Chemists (£m), 1996-2000 99 |
| 163 | Table 59: Boots The Chemists, Sales Split by Category ( percent), 2000 99 |
| 164 | baby organix 100 |
| 165 | 11. The Future 101 |
| 166 | PROJECTED BIRTHS 101 |
| 167 | Table 60: Projected Number of Births per Annum (000), 1998-2001-2011-2016 101 |
| 168 | FORECASTS 2001 TO 2004 101 |
| 169 | Table 61: The Forecast Baby Foods and Drinks Market by Sector by Value at Current and Constant 2000 Prices (£m and percent), 2001-2004 102 |
| 170 | 12. Further Sources 104 |
| 171 | Companies 104 |
| 172 | Publications 104 |
| 173 | General Sources 105 |
| 174 | Bonnier Information Sources 106 |
| 175 | Government Publications 107 |
| 176 | Other Sources 108 |
Despite falling birth rates, the baby foods and milks market continues to grow, increasing by 28.2 percent, in value terms, between 1995 and 2000. Changing lifestyles - associated with the increased number of working women, starting a family later in life, and acceptance of the need to make some sort of financial provision for having children - are amongst factors contributing towards ability and willingness to pay for quality products, some of which are sold at a premium. A number of the findings from the consumer research commissioned especially for this report, confirm widespread acceptance of combining work and bringing up babies, from a very early age.
A steady stream of product innovations, whether it be new recipes, introduction of organic lines, new milk formulations or finger foods, have contributed towards market growth, in what might otherwise be a static or even declining market. Increased targeting of older toddlers, in order to keep mothers in the market for longer, has been seen as another opportunity by manufacturers to grow the market, despite a static or falling birth rate.
The report discusses the dynamics and trends surrounding increased sales of organic baby foods. The German-owned baby foods manufacturer Hipp has gained substantial share in the UK as a result of its organic range. Even mainstream players such as Heinz and Cow & Gate have launched organic baby meal ranges.
Baby meals have overtaken baby milks as the largest single sector within the baby foods and drinks market. Wet baby meals have increased their dominance over dry meals, mainly for convenience-related reasons. A vast range of recipes are available, with Key Note's enquiries revealing over 600 different wet meal products (taking into account different brands) and around 280 for dry meals, in March 2001.
Follow-on milks have been the main source of growth, as mothers follow official recommendations to avoid unmodified cow's milk, until the baby is at least 12 months of age. Unlike infant formulas, suppliers are allowed to advertise follow-on milks. A number of the leading follow-on milk brands, such as SMA, spent significant amounts on above-the-line advertising in 2000. Within the infant formula sector, second stage (curd based) products for babies aged 3 months and over account for over half by sales of value and volume. Making commercially produced milks as close as possible to breast-fed milks continues to be the focus of much new product development (NPD). `Breast is best' continues to be widely promoted by government and health experts in general.
Finger foods and baby drinks are small sectors. Innovations by a number of suppliers have resulted in significant sales growth of finger foods, other than rusks, albeit from a small base. The baby drinks sector has remained static, due to competition from a number of alternative drinks.
In the UK, as well as other baby food and drinks markets in Europe (France, Germany and Spain) also covered in this report, a few major pharmaceutical food processing firms account for the majority of baby food and drink sales. There are obviously differences in the relative shares of key multinationals between countries. Retailer labels continue to have a negligible share in all countries. The sales mix varies between different countries. In Germany, for example, follow-on milk is more important than infant formulas than in France, the UK and Spain. Key Note is forecasting a 13.7 percent value increase in real terms in overall sales of baby foods and drinks in the UK between 2000 and 2004. Baby meals, followed by baby milks, are set to enjoy the greatest rate of sales increase.
Text © 2001 MAPS
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© 2001 www.the-list.co.uk Ariadne
Last updated by Paul Tucker 22nd August 2001