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KN92194
KEY NOTE REPORT : Free-To-Air TV : May 2004
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This report covers:Free-To-Air TV, rise of multichannel TV Household, fragmented target audience, collapse of ITV Digital, Home as a leisure centre, end of Analogue, too much to see, FTA households, Digital FTA, Analogue FTA, legislation, key trade associations, ITN, Exhibitions, current issues, changes to the ITV Licence, increased scale in the TV Advertisement Market, a new TV advertising regulator?, a new pay-TV Competition, Top-UP TV, Top-fUp TV clash with BBC, the Global market, Europe, US, Asia Pacific, Latin America, importance of Global market to the UK, future trends,

Companies and brand names covered include: Chanel 4 Television Corporation, Channel 5 Television Group, Freeview/DTV Services, ITV, SMG, Ulster Television Group, GMTV,

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Market Definition
 
REPORT COVERAGE
 
MARKET SECTORS
 
MARKET TRENDS
 
The Rise of the Multichannel TV Household
 
A Fragmented Target Audience
 
Consolidation
 
The Collapse of ITV Digital
 
The End of Analogue
 
The Home as a Leisure Centre
 
Too Much to See?
 
ECONOMIC TRENDS
 
Population
 
Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000 and %), Mid-Years 1998-2002
 
Household Disposable Income
 
Table 2: UK Household Disposable Income (£ and %), 1998-2002
 
Gross Domestic Product
 
Table 3: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1998-2002
 
Inflation
 
Table 4: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1998-2002
 
Unemployment
 
Table 5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million and %), 1998-2002
 
MARKET POSITION
 
The UK
 
Table 6: UK Television Households† Able to Receive FTA Services (% of households), Q3 2002-Q4 2003
 
2. Market Size
 
THE TOTAL MARKET
 
FTA Households
 
Table 7: The Total Number of FTA UK Households† (million), Q3 2002-Q4 2003
 
Revenue
 
Table 8: Estimated Net Advertising Revenue of the UK FTA Terrestrial Television Channels (£m), 1999-2003
 
Market Shares
 
Table 9: The Share of the UK FTA Market Taken by the Main Platforms (%), Q4 2002 and Q4 2003
 
Table 10: Estimated Breakdown of UK FTA Advertising Revenue by Value (£m and %), 2002
 
BY MARKET SECTOR
 
Digital FTA
 
Table 11: The Number of UK FTA Digital Television Households (million and %), Q3 2002-Q4 2003
 
Market Shares
 
Table 12: The UK's Major Digital FTA Providers (% of households), Q4 2002 and Q4 2003
 
Table 13: Channel Shares on UK Digital Terrestrial Television by Viewing Times (%), Q3 2003
 
Analogue FTA
 
Table 14: The Number of UK FTA Analogue Television Households† (million), Q3 2002-Q4 2003
 
Market Shares
 
Table 15: Channel Shares on Analogue Terrestrial Television by Viewing Times (%), Q3 2003
 
3. Industry Background
 
RECENT HISTORY
 
INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS
 
Table 16: Average Financial Results of Leading Companies† Engaged in Television by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£000, %, and £), 2002/2003
 
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
 
EMPLOYMENT
 
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE
 
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
 
LEGISLATION
 
Communications Act 2003
 
Office of Communications (Ofcom)
 
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
 
Advertising Association
 
Broadcast Advertising Clearance Centre
 
Broadcasters' Audience Research Board Ltd
 
Digital Terrestrial Television Action Group (DigiTAG)
 
4. Competitor Analysis
 
THE MARKETPLACE
 
MARKET LEADERS
 
Channel 4 Television Corporation
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Channel 5 Television Group Ltd (Five)
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Freeview/DTV Services Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
ITV PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
SMG PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Ulster Television Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
OTHER COMPANIES
 
GMTV Ltd
 
Channel Television Ltd
 
ITN Ltd
 
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
Table 17: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Terrestrial TV Companies, Year Ending September (£000), 2003
 
Exhibitions
 
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
 
STRENGTHS
 
WEAKNESSES
 
OPPORTUNITIES
 
THREATS
 
6. Buying Behaviour
 
Television: THE MOST POPULAR LEISURE ACTIVITY
 
Table 18: The Most Popular Evening and Weekend Leisure Activities (% of adults), 2003
 
The Analogue-Terrestrial-Only Viewer
 
Table 19: Penetration of Households That Do Not Currently Have Cable, Satellite or Digital TV (% of adults), 2003
 
Table 20: Penetration of Adults Viewing ITV1 and Channel 4 Per Day (% of adults), 2003
 
Table 21: Penetration of Adults Viewing Channel 5 Per Week (% of adults), 2003
 
Table 22: Penetration of Adults Viewing GMTV Per Week (% of adults), 2003
 
7. Current Issues
 
CHANGES TO THE ITV LICENCE
 
INCREASED SCALE IN THE TV ADVERTISING MARKET
 
A NEW TV ADVERTISING REGULATOR?
 
NEW PAY-TV COMPETITION
 
Top-Up TV
 
Top-Up TV Clash with the BBC
 
8. The Global Market
 
Introduction
 
EUROPE
 
the US
 
ASIA-PACIFIC
 
LATIN AMERICA
 
Importance of the Global Market to the UK
 
Table 23: International Transactions of Television Material (£m), 1998-2002
 
Table 24: International Transactions of Television Material by Region (£m), 2002
 
9. Forecasts
 
INTRODUCTION
 
Forecasts 2004 to 2008
 
Table 25: Forecast Total UK Number of FTA UK Households† (million), 2004-2008
 
Table 26: Forecast Net Advertising Revenue of the FTA Terrestial Television Channels (£m), 2004-2008
 
future trends
 
10. Company Profiles
 
introduction
 
CHANNEL 4 TELEVISION CORPORATION
 
Company Structure
 
Product Information
 
Recent Developments
 
DTV SERVICES LTD
 
Company Structure
 
Product Information
 
Recent Developments
 
ITV PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Product Information
 
Recent Developments
 
SMG PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Product Information
 
Recent Developments
 
ULSTER TELEVISION GROUP PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Product Information
 
Recent Developments
 
11. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
General Sources
 
Government Publications
 
Other Sources
 
Bonnier Information Sources

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This Key Note report reviews the market for free-to-home (FTH) or free-to-air (FTA) television services, in other words television channels where the consumer does not have to pay a fee for viewing the service. In 2003, the UK FTA television market was worth an estimated £3.03bn in terms of net advertising revenue.

The market has largely stagnated in revenue terms since 2001, reflecting a reluctance on the part of some large companies to invest in mass-media television advertising and growing competition for television audiences from the BBC (British Broadcasting Corporation) and non-terrestrial television. At the end of 2003, FTA television accounted for an estimated 58.6% of all UK households that had a television and for 26.9% of UK multichannel and 29.1% of UK digital households. There were 14.43 million FTA households in the UK at the end of 2003, a decrease of 4.2% from the end of 2002.

The FTA market divides into digital services, including Freeview and satellite services, and analogue terrestrial services. Analogue terrestrial services are declining in the market, while digital services are growing strongly. However, the UK market remains dominated by the terrestrial platform, which in turn is monopolised by one key player, ITV PLC, which is both the leading platform operator and a leading content provider. The market has shown over its 20-year history that scale is a key driver of commercial success, which has led to consolidation.

Today the industry is effectively an oligopoly, with only five key players: ITV PLC, Channel 4, Channel Five (terrestrial television), and Freeview and BSkyB (digital). A number of the leading companies in the industry, like ITV PLC, Channel 4 and Freeview, either are not commercial companies in the traditional sense, or have not been operating long enough for a run of audited accounts to be available. Consequently, unlike other Key Note reports, this report does not include company financials in Chapter 10 — Company Profiles.

The major players are, however, profiled in the Chapter 4 — Competitor Analysis and latest turnover and profit figures are shown, where available. Considering the main companies in the market, it is important to differentiate between ITV PLC and the ITV network. ITV PLC was formally Carlton and Granada and is the main holder of ITV franchises in the UK, the owner of LWT and also owns 50.5% of GMTV. The ITV network consists of ITV PLC as well as owners of ITV franchises in Scotland (SMG PLC), Northern Ireland (Ulster TV) and the Channel Island (Channel Television). ITV PLC is the dominant ITV franchise hold but is not the whole ITV network. Despite consolidation of the industry, which has seen ITV in England and Wales become a single operation, competition remains intense and the introduction of a digital FTA competitor to the analogue market has made competitive pressures even stronger. The level of competition will intensify in the future as new competitors, such as Top-Up TV and low-cost pay-TV packages from BSkyB, enter the market.

Today the market is in crisis. Digital television is taking a growing share of the market, while the analogue FTA terrestrial sector is increasingly losing out to the pay-TV platform. By 2008, the FTA market will essentially be a digital, not an analogue, market — a fact ensured by the proposed `switch off' of the analogue television signal progressively between 2006 and 2010. The proposed `switch off' of the analogue television signal will create a competitive battle to sign up the remaining television households that currently do not access digital television.

At present, Freeview appears to have an edge in this regard, as it is appealing to people who have been sceptical about subscribing to digital pay-TV. However, the pay-TV operators are set to alter their marketing and service packages to compete. The analogue television providers will progressively change to a digital platform. Key Note predict that between 2004 and 2008, advertising revenue for the FTA platform providers will grow by 20% in current price terms.

Text © 2004Key Note

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Last updated by Amanda Porteous June 2004

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