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KEY NOTE Market Review : TRAVEL & TOURISM UK : October 2004

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This report covers: travel, and, tourism, internal, UK, international, transport providers, airports, airlines, sea, road, rail, accommodiation providers, travel agents, tour operators, low cost airlines, key trade associations, holiday reepetition, abroad, Great Britain, Hotel guests,

Companies covered include: GB, UK, hotels, Choice hotels, Europe, Arriva, Stagecoach, The Go-Ahead Group, British Airways, Britannia Airways, FirstGroup, National Express, P & O Ferries, TUI, Bus & Coach , operators, train, airline, Corus & Regal Hotels, De Vere Group, fHilton, InterContinental Hotels, Group, Jarvis, Hotels, Le Meridien, Macdonald Millennium & Copthorne, Premier Travel Inn, Queens Moat Houses, Thistle Hotels, Travelodge, Bourne Leisure, Holidaybreak, Holiday Cottages, Holiday Camps, MyTravel, First Choice, Thomas Cook, Charter Airlines, MyTravel Airways, First Choice Airways, Monarch Airlines, Thomas Cook Airlines,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
 
In 2003, expenditure on UK travel and tourism (excluding international fares) was £67.32bn, a rise of around 3% on 2002. In 2003, 237.3 million trips and 1.31 billion overnight stays were made.
 
The UK travel and tourism industry serves three main markets — domestic (tourism by UK residents within the UK), outbound (tourism by UK residents travelling abroad) and inbound (tourism by overseas residents travelling to the UK).
 
The Domestic Market
 
In 2003, the domestic travel and tourism market accounted for 63.6% of trips, 37.3% of bed nights (overnight stays) and 39.3% of total expenditure in the travel and tourism industry (excluding international fares). 71.1% of tourist trips were taken by UK residents, although the domestic market accounted for just 44.2% of bed nights. In 2003, expenditure on domestic tourism accounted for 47.8% of the total UK residents' expenditure on travel and tourism (excluding international fares) and reached £26.48bn.
 
Holidays dominate the domestic travel and tourism market. Although the domestic market contracted considerably in volume terms between 1999 and 2003, the proportion of domestic tourism accounted for by holidays and other purposes remained relatively constant. The contraction in demand was experienced across all sectors of the market, irrespective of the segmentation categorisation, including purpose, mode of transport, type of accommodation and type of destination. However, there is an underlying trend away from domestic travel towards outbound travel, which suggests that domestic travel and tourism is increasingly uncompetitive compared with outbound travel.
 
Key Note forecasts that, in 2004, the domestic market will grow marginally, followed by small annual increases between 2005 and 2008. There is unlikely to be any major innovations in the domestic market and the range, variability and competitiveness of the outbound market will continue to take share away from the domestic market.
 
The Outbound Market
 
In 2003, the outbound market accounted for just 25.9% of trips, but 47.1% of bed nights and 43% of total travel and tourism expenditure (excluding international fares). In 2003, expenditure on the outbound market was £28.94bn, 9.3% higher than the level recorded for domestic tourism.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
The Domestic Market
 
The Outbound Market
 
The Inbound Market
 
1. Industry Overview
 
Report Coverage
 
Report Background
 
Economic Trends
 
Population
 
Table 1.1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003
 
Inflation
 
Table 1.2: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003
 
Household Disposable Income
 
Table 1.3: Household Disposable Income (£ and %), 1998-2002
 
Market Size
 
The Total Market
 
Table 1.4: The Total UK Travel and Tourism Market by Value (£m), 1999-2003
 
Market Segmentation
 
Table 1.5: The Total UK Travel and Tourism Market by Sector by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2003
 
UK Tourism
 
Table 1.6: The Total UK Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003
 
Internal Tourism
 
Table 1.7: The Total Internal Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003
 
International Tourism
 
Table 1.8: The Total International Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003
 
Industry Structure
 
Transport Providers
 
Table 1.9: Passenger Transport in the UK by Mode of Travel (billion passenger kilometres and %), 1999-2003
 
Airports and Airlines
 
Table 1.10: International and Domestic Air Traffic at UK Airports by Type and Nationality of Airline Operator (million and %), 1999-2003
 
Sea
 
Table 1.11: Structure of the International UK Ferry Industry by Area, 2004
 
Road
 
Table 1.12: Number UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Other Scheduled Passenger Land Transport and Other Passenger Land Transport by Turnover Sizeband (£000), 1999-2003
 
Rail
 
Accommodation Providers
 
Table 1.13: Accommodation Establishments in England by Type, 2002 and 2003
 
Table 1.14: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Hotels, 1990, 1995, 1997 and 1999-2003
 
Distribution
 
Table 1.15: Estimated Share of the UK Tourism Market Taken by Travel Agents and Tour Operators by Value (%), 2003
 
Travel Agents
 
Table 1.16: UK ABTA-Registered Travel Agents, 31st December 1999-2003
 
Tour Operators
 
Table 1.17: UK ABTA-Registered Tour Operators (number and million), 31st December 1999-2003
 
Market Position
 
Table 1.18: The Leading Ten Travel and Tourism Economies ($m), 2004
 
Table 1.19: The Leading Ten Tourism Destinations in the World by International Tourist Arrivals (million and %), 1999-2003
 
Key Trends
 
Slow Growth
 
New Technology Changing Booking Habits
 
Low-Cost Airlines
 
Legislation
 
Key Trade Associations
 
Air Transport Users Council
 
Airports Council International
 
Association of British Travel Agents
 
Association of European Airlines
 
Association of Independent Tour Operators
 
British Air Transport Association
 
Civil Aviation Authority
 
Federation of Tour Operators
 
Guild of Business Travel Agents
 
International Air Transport Association
 
International Civil Aviation Organisation
 
Passenger Shipping Association
 
2. PEST Analysis
 
Political factors
 
Economic factors
 
Social factors
 
Technological factors
 
3. Key Note Primary Research
 
Consumer penetration and profile
 
Table 3.1: Penetration of Holidays Taken in the Last 12 Months and Method of Booking Last Holiday (% of adults), 1999-2003
 
Penetration of Holidays Taken
 
Table 3.2: Penetration of Holidays Taken in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2003 and 2004
 
Profile of Domestic Holidaymakers
 
Table 3.3: Profile of UK Domestic Holidaymakers (% of adults), 2000-2003
 
Holiday Repetition
 
Great Britain
 
Table 3.4: Holiday Repetition in Great Britain in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2004
 
Abroad
 
Table 3.5: Holiday Repetition Abroad in the Last 12 Months, (% of adults), 2004
 
Factors Influencing Choice of Holiday
 
Table 3.6: Factors Influencing Choice of Holiday (% of adults), 1998, 2000 and 2003
 
4. Competitive Structure
 
The Marketplace
 
Table 4.1: Market Leaders in the UK Travel and Tourism Industry by Markets and Industry, 2003
 
Market Leaders
 
British Airways PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Financial Results
 
Britannia Airways Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Financial Results
 
FirstGroup PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Financial Results
 
National Express Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Financial Results
 
P&O Ferries Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Financial Results
 
TUI UK Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Financial Results
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
Main Media Advertising Expenditure
 
Table 4.2: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Main Sectors in the Travel and Tourism Industry (£000), Years Ending March 2000-2004
 
5. The Domestic Market
 
Introduction
 
Market Size
 
Table 5.1: The Total UK Domestic Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003
 
By Purpose of Trip
 
Table 5.2: The Total UK Domestic Travel and Tourism Market by Purpose of Trip (million), 1999-2003
 
By Destination
 
Table 5.3: Distribution of UK Domestic and International Tourism (millions, £m and %), 2002
 
Table 5.4: Distribution of UK Domestic Tourism by Government Office Region (million, £m and %), 2003
 
Table 5.5: Origin of UK Tourists Visiting by Government Office Region (% of expenditure), 2003
 
By Mode of Transport
 
Table 5.6: UK Domestic Tourism by Mode of Transport (%), 2000-2003
 
By Type of Accommodation
 
Table 5.7: UK Domestic Tourism by Type of Accommodation (%), 2000-2003
 
Table 5.8: UK Domestic Tourism by Accommodation Type (% of expenditure), 2000-2003
 
By Type of Tourist Attraction
 
Table 5.9: The Number of Visits to Tourist Attractions by Type of Attraction (million), 2000-2003
 
Supply Structure
 
Transport Operators
 
Bus and Coach Operators
 
Table 5.10: Leading Bus Operators in the UK (% and number), 2003
 
Train Operators
 
Table 5.11: Passenger Train Network Ownership, March 2004
 
Airline Operators
 
Table 5.12: Aircraft in Service by UK Airlines (number of aircraft), 1995, 1998, 2002 and 2003
 
Table 5.13: The Number of Domestic Passengers Uplifted on Scheduled Services by UK Airlines (000 and %), 1995, 2002 and 2003
 
Accommodation Providers
 
Table 5.14: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Hotels and Motels with Restaurants Industry by Turnover Sizeband (£000 and %), 2002 and 2003
 
Major Players
 
Transport Operators
 
Bus and Coach Operators
 
Arriva PLC
 
Stagecoach Group PLC
 
The Go-Ahead Group PLC
 
Bus and Coach Operators — Marketing Activity
 
Table 5.15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Bus and Coach Operators (£000), Years Ending December 1999-2003
 
Train Operators
 
Table 5.16: Main Railway Train Operating Companies, March 2004
 
Table 5.17: Main Railway Train Operating Companies (million passenger kilometres), 2001/2002 and 2003/2004
 
Table 5.18: Main Railway Train Operating Companies by Train Kilometres, Passenger Journeys, Route Kilometres and Number of Stations (million kilometres, million, kilometres and number), 2003
 
Table 5.19: Market Share of Main Railway Network Owners by Passenger Kilometres Travelled (million and %), 2003/2004
 
Accommodation Providers
 
Hotels
 
Choice Hotels Europe
 
Corus & Regal Hotels PLC
 
De Vere Group PLC
 
Hilton Group PLC
 
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
 
Jarvis Hotels PLC
 
Le Meridien
 
Macdonald Hotels PLC
 
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC
 
Premier Travel Inn
 
Queens Moat Houses PLC
 
Thistle Hotels Ltd
 
Travelodge Ltd
 
Hotels — Marketing Activity
 
Table 5.20: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Major Hotels and Hotel Package Holiday Brands (£000), Years Ending December 2000-2003
 
Holiday Camps, Short-Break Operators and Holiday Cottage Lettings
 
Bourne Leisure Group Ltd
 
Holidaybreak PLC
 
Holiday Cottages Group Ltd
 
Holiday Camps — Marketing Activity
 
Table 5.21: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Holiday Camps (£000), Years Ending December 1999-2003
 
Buying Behaviour
 
Hotel Guests
 
Table 5.22: Penetration of Adults Staying at a Hotel in Great Britain in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 1996 and 2001-2004
 
Table 5.23: Profile and Penetration of Adults Staying at a Hotel in Great Britain in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2003 and 2004
 
Forecasts
 
Table 5.24: The Forecast Total UK Domestic Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008
 
6. The Outbound Market
 
Introduction
 
By Purpose of Trip
 
By Destination
 
By Mode of Transport
 
By Type of Arrangement
 
Market Size
 
Table 6.1: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003
 
By Purpose of Trip
 
Table 6.2: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Number and Purpose of Trip (000 and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 6.3: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Purpose of Visit and Main Destination Countries (000 and %), 2003
 
By Destination
 
Table 6.4: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Destination of Trips (000), 1999-2003
 
By Mode of Transport
 
Table 6.5: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Mode of Transport (000 trips), 1999-2003
 
By Type of Arrangement
 
Table 6.6: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Holiday Market by Type of Arrangement and Mode of Transport (000 trips and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 6.7: The UK Open Sea Cruise Market by Destination (000 trips), 1999-2003
 
Supply Structure
 
Outbound Tour Operators
 
Table 6.8: The Number of ABTA-Registered Tour Operators in the UK, December 2000-2003
 
Table 6.9: Market Shares of Top Four Air Inclusive Tour Operator Groups by Volume (%), 1999-2003
 
Table 6.10: Passengers Licensed to, or Planned by, the Leading Tourism Groups and Companies (000 and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004
 
Table 6.11: Market Shares of Leading AIT Operators by Volume (000 and %), Years Ending September 1999-2003
 
Travel Agents
 
Table 6.12: The Number of ABTA-Registered Travel Agents in the UK, 2001-2003
 
Table 6.13: Leading UK Travel Agents by Number of Branches (number and %), 1999-2003
 
Major Players
 
MyTravel Group PLC
 
First Choice PLC
 
Thomas Cook UK Ltd
 
Charter Airlines
 
MyTravel Airways Ltd
 
First Choice Airways Ltd
 
Monarch Airlines Ltd
 
Thomas Cook Airlines UK Ltd
 
Marketing Activity
 
Main Media Advertising Expenditure
 
Tour Operators
 
Table 6.14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Tour Operators (£000), Years Ending December 2000-2003
 
Travel Agents
 
Table 6.15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Travel Agents (£000), Years Ending December 2000-2003
 
Forecasts
 
Table 6.16: The Forecast Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008
 
7. The Inbound Market
 
Introduction
 
By Purpose of Trip
 
By Country of Origin
 
By Mode of Transport
 
By Type of Arrangement
 
Market Size
 
Table 7.1: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003
 
By Purpose of Trip
 
Table 7.2: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Number and Purpose of Trips (000 and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 7.3: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Purpose of Trip and Main Country of Origin (000 trips and %), 2003
 
Table 7.4: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Type of Trip (000 trips), 1999-2003
 
By Country of Origin
 
Table 7.5: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Country of Origin (000 trips), 1999-2003
 
By Mode of Transport
 
Table 7.6: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Mode of Transport (000 trips), 1999-2003
 
By Type of Arrangement
 
Table 7.7: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Holiday Market by Type of Arrangement and Mode of Transport (000 trips and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 7.8: The Total UK Inbound Holiday Market by Type of Arrangement by Country of Origin (000 trips and %), 2003
 
Supply Structure
 
Buying Behaviour
 
Table 7.9: Profile of Overseas Visitors to the UK by Age (000 and %), 1998, 2001 and 2003
 
Forecasts
 
Table 7.10: The Forecast Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008
 
8. A Global Perspective
 
Global Markets
 
Leading Tourism Destinations
 
World Air Travel Demand
 
Table 8.1: World Air Travel Demand by Total Number of Passengers (million and %), Year Ending June 2004
 
9. The Future
 
Introduction
 
Table 9.1: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2004-2008
 
Table 9.2: The Forecast Total UK Air Travel Market by Volume (000 passengers and %), 2004-2008
 
Forecasts
 
Table 9.3: The Forecast Total UK Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008
 
FUTURE TRENDS
 
10. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
General Sources
 
Government Publications
 
Other Sources
 
Bonnier Information Sources

Text © 2004 Key Note

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