| KN92144 |
| KEY NOTE Market Review : TRAVEL & TOURISM UK : October 2004 |
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This report covers: travel, and, tourism, internal, UK, international, transport providers, airports, airlines, sea, road, rail, accommodiation providers, travel agents, tour operators, low cost airlines, key trade associations, holiday reepetition, abroad, Great Britain, Hotel guests,
Companies covered include: GB, UK, hotels, Choice hotels, Europe, Arriva, Stagecoach, The Go-Ahead Group, British Airways, Britannia Airways, FirstGroup, National Express, P & O Ferries, TUI, Bus & Coach , operators, train, airline, Corus & Regal Hotels, De Vere Group, fHilton, InterContinental Hotels, Group, Jarvis, Hotels, Le Meridien, Macdonald Millennium & Copthorne, Premier Travel Inn, Queens Moat Houses, Thistle Hotels, Travelodge, Bourne Leisure, Holidaybreak, Holiday Cottages, Holiday Camps, MyTravel, First Choice, Thomas Cook, Charter Airlines, MyTravel Airways, First Choice Airways, Monarch Airlines, Thomas Cook Airlines,
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| Executive Summary |
| In 2003, expenditure on UK travel and tourism (excluding international fares) was £67.32bn, a rise of around 3% on 2002. In 2003, 237.3 million trips and 1.31 billion overnight stays were made. |
| The UK travel and tourism industry serves three main markets domestic (tourism by UK residents within the UK), outbound (tourism by UK residents travelling abroad) and inbound (tourism by overseas residents travelling to the UK). |
| The Domestic Market |
| In 2003, the domestic travel and tourism market accounted for 63.6% of trips, 37.3% of bed nights (overnight stays) and 39.3% of total expenditure in the travel and tourism industry (excluding international fares). 71.1% of tourist trips were taken by UK residents, although the domestic market accounted for just 44.2% of bed nights. In 2003, expenditure on domestic tourism accounted for 47.8% of the total UK residents' expenditure on travel and tourism (excluding international fares) and reached £26.48bn. |
| Holidays dominate the domestic travel and tourism market. Although the domestic market contracted considerably in volume terms between 1999 and 2003, the proportion of domestic tourism accounted for by holidays and other purposes remained relatively constant. The contraction in demand was experienced across all sectors of the market, irrespective of the segmentation categorisation, including purpose, mode of transport, type of accommodation and type of destination. However, there is an underlying trend away from domestic travel towards outbound travel, which suggests that domestic travel and tourism is increasingly uncompetitive compared with outbound travel. |
| Key Note forecasts that, in 2004, the domestic market will grow marginally, followed by small annual increases between 2005 and 2008. There is unlikely to be any major innovations in the domestic market and the range, variability and competitiveness of the outbound market will continue to take share away from the domestic market. |
| The Outbound Market |
| In 2003, the outbound market accounted for just 25.9% of trips, but 47.1% of bed nights and 43% of total travel and tourism expenditure (excluding international fares). In 2003, expenditure on the outbound market was £28.94bn, 9.3% higher than the level recorded for domestic tourism. |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| Executive Summary |
| The Domestic Market |
| The Outbound Market |
| The Inbound Market |
| 1. Industry Overview |
| Report Coverage |
| Report Background |
| Economic Trends |
| Population |
| Table 1.1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003 |
| Inflation |
| Table 1.2: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003 |
| Household Disposable Income |
| Table 1.3: Household Disposable Income (£ and %), 1998-2002 |
| Market Size |
| The Total Market |
| Table 1.4: The Total UK Travel and Tourism Market by Value (£m), 1999-2003 |
| Market Segmentation |
| Table 1.5: The Total UK Travel and Tourism Market by Sector by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2003 |
| UK Tourism |
| Table 1.6: The Total UK Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003 |
| Internal Tourism |
| Table 1.7: The Total Internal Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003 |
| International Tourism |
| Table 1.8: The Total International Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003 |
| Industry Structure |
| Transport Providers |
| Table 1.9: Passenger Transport in the UK by Mode of Travel (billion passenger kilometres and %), 1999-2003 |
| Airports and Airlines |
| Table 1.10: International and Domestic Air Traffic at UK Airports by Type and Nationality of Airline Operator (million and %), 1999-2003 |
| Sea |
| Table 1.11: Structure of the International UK Ferry Industry by Area, 2004 |
| Road |
| Table 1.12: Number UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Other Scheduled Passenger Land Transport and Other Passenger Land Transport by Turnover Sizeband (£000), 1999-2003 |
| Rail |
| Accommodation Providers |
| Table 1.13: Accommodation Establishments in England by Type, 2002 and 2003 |
| Table 1.14: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Hotels, 1990, 1995, 1997 and 1999-2003 |
| Distribution |
| Table 1.15: Estimated Share of the UK Tourism Market Taken by Travel Agents and Tour Operators by Value (%), 2003 |
| Travel Agents |
| Table 1.16: UK ABTA-Registered Travel Agents, 31st December 1999-2003 |
| Tour Operators |
| Table 1.17: UK ABTA-Registered Tour Operators (number and million), 31st December 1999-2003 |
| Market Position |
| Table 1.18: The Leading Ten Travel and Tourism Economies ($m), 2004 |
| Table 1.19: The Leading Ten Tourism Destinations in the World by International Tourist Arrivals (million and %), 1999-2003 |
| Key Trends |
| Slow Growth |
| New Technology Changing Booking Habits |
| Low-Cost Airlines |
| Legislation |
| Key Trade Associations |
| Air Transport Users Council |
| Airports Council International |
| Association of British Travel Agents |
| Association of European Airlines |
| Association of Independent Tour Operators |
| British Air Transport Association |
| Civil Aviation Authority |
| Federation of Tour Operators |
| Guild of Business Travel Agents |
| International Air Transport Association |
| International Civil Aviation Organisation |
| Passenger Shipping Association |
| 2. PEST Analysis |
| Political factors |
| Economic factors |
| Social factors |
| Technological factors |
| 3. Key Note Primary Research |
| Consumer penetration and profile |
| Table 3.1: Penetration of Holidays Taken in the Last 12 Months and Method of Booking Last Holiday (% of adults), 1999-2003 |
| Penetration of Holidays Taken |
| Table 3.2: Penetration of Holidays Taken in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2003 and 2004 |
| Profile of Domestic Holidaymakers |
| Table 3.3: Profile of UK Domestic Holidaymakers (% of adults), 2000-2003 |
| Holiday Repetition |
| Great Britain |
| Table 3.4: Holiday Repetition in Great Britain in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2004 |
| Abroad |
| Table 3.5: Holiday Repetition Abroad in the Last 12 Months, (% of adults), 2004 |
| Factors Influencing Choice of Holiday |
| Table 3.6: Factors Influencing Choice of Holiday (% of adults), 1998, 2000 and 2003 |
| 4. Competitive Structure |
| The Marketplace |
| Table 4.1: Market Leaders in the UK Travel and Tourism Industry by Markets and Industry, 2003 |
| Market Leaders |
| British Airways PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Britannia Airways Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| FirstGroup PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| National Express Group PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| P&O Ferries Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| TUI UK Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Main Media Advertising Expenditure |
| Table 4.2: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Main Sectors in the Travel and Tourism Industry (£000), Years Ending March 2000-2004 |
| 5. The Domestic Market |
| Introduction |
| Market Size |
| Table 5.1: The Total UK Domestic Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003 |
| By Purpose of Trip |
| Table 5.2: The Total UK Domestic Travel and Tourism Market by Purpose of Trip (million), 1999-2003 |
| By Destination |
| Table 5.3: Distribution of UK Domestic and International Tourism (millions, £m and %), 2002 |
| Table 5.4: Distribution of UK Domestic Tourism by Government Office Region (million, £m and %), 2003 |
| Table 5.5: Origin of UK Tourists Visiting by Government Office Region (% of expenditure), 2003 |
| By Mode of Transport |
| Table 5.6: UK Domestic Tourism by Mode of Transport (%), 2000-2003 |
| By Type of Accommodation |
| Table 5.7: UK Domestic Tourism by Type of Accommodation (%), 2000-2003 |
| Table 5.8: UK Domestic Tourism by Accommodation Type (% of expenditure), 2000-2003 |
| By Type of Tourist Attraction |
| Table 5.9: The Number of Visits to Tourist Attractions by Type of Attraction (million), 2000-2003 |
| Supply Structure |
| Transport Operators |
| Bus and Coach Operators |
| Table 5.10: Leading Bus Operators in the UK (% and number), 2003 |
| Train Operators |
| Table 5.11: Passenger Train Network Ownership, March 2004 |
| Airline Operators |
| Table 5.12: Aircraft in Service by UK Airlines (number of aircraft), 1995, 1998, 2002 and 2003 |
| Table 5.13: The Number of Domestic Passengers Uplifted on Scheduled Services by UK Airlines (000 and %), 1995, 2002 and 2003 |
| Accommodation Providers |
| Table 5.14: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Hotels and Motels with Restaurants Industry by Turnover Sizeband (£000 and %), 2002 and 2003 |
| Major Players |
| Transport Operators |
| Bus and Coach Operators |
| Arriva PLC |
| Stagecoach Group PLC |
| The Go-Ahead Group PLC |
| Bus and Coach Operators Marketing Activity |
| Table 5.15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Bus and Coach Operators (£000), Years Ending December 1999-2003 |
| Train Operators |
| Table 5.16: Main Railway Train Operating Companies, March 2004 |
| Table 5.17: Main Railway Train Operating Companies (million passenger kilometres), 2001/2002 and 2003/2004 |
| Table 5.18: Main Railway Train Operating Companies by Train Kilometres, Passenger Journeys, Route Kilometres and Number of Stations (million kilometres, million, kilometres and number), 2003 |
| Table 5.19: Market Share of Main Railway Network Owners by Passenger Kilometres Travelled (million and %), 2003/2004 |
| Accommodation Providers |
| Hotels |
| Choice Hotels Europe |
| Corus & Regal Hotels PLC |
| De Vere Group PLC |
| Hilton Group PLC |
| InterContinental Hotels Group PLC |
| Jarvis Hotels PLC |
| Le Meridien |
| Macdonald Hotels PLC |
| Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC |
| Premier Travel Inn |
| Queens Moat Houses PLC |
| Thistle Hotels Ltd |
| Travelodge Ltd |
| Hotels Marketing Activity |
| Table 5.20: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Major Hotels and Hotel Package Holiday Brands (£000), Years Ending December 2000-2003 |
| Holiday Camps, Short-Break Operators and Holiday Cottage Lettings |
| Bourne Leisure Group Ltd |
| Holidaybreak PLC |
| Holiday Cottages Group Ltd |
| Holiday Camps Marketing Activity |
| Table 5.21: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Holiday Camps (£000), Years Ending December 1999-2003 |
| Buying Behaviour |
| Hotel Guests |
| Table 5.22: Penetration of Adults Staying at a Hotel in Great Britain in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 1996 and 2001-2004 |
| Table 5.23: Profile and Penetration of Adults Staying at a Hotel in Great Britain in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2003 and 2004 |
| Forecasts |
| Table 5.24: The Forecast Total UK Domestic Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008 |
| 6. The Outbound Market |
| Introduction |
| By Purpose of Trip |
| By Destination |
| By Mode of Transport |
| By Type of Arrangement |
| Market Size |
| Table 6.1: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003 |
| By Purpose of Trip |
| Table 6.2: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Number and Purpose of Trip (000 and %), 1999-2003 |
| Table 6.3: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Purpose of Visit and Main Destination Countries (000 and %), 2003 |
| By Destination |
| Table 6.4: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Destination of Trips (000), 1999-2003 |
| By Mode of Transport |
| Table 6.5: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Mode of Transport (000 trips), 1999-2003 |
| By Type of Arrangement |
| Table 6.6: The Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Holiday Market by Type of Arrangement and Mode of Transport (000 trips and %), 1999-2003 |
| Table 6.7: The UK Open Sea Cruise Market by Destination (000 trips), 1999-2003 |
| Supply Structure |
| Outbound Tour Operators |
| Table 6.8: The Number of ABTA-Registered Tour Operators in the UK, December 2000-2003 |
| Table 6.9: Market Shares of Top Four Air Inclusive Tour Operator Groups by Volume (%), 1999-2003 |
| Table 6.10: Passengers Licensed to, or Planned by, the Leading Tourism Groups and Companies (000 and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004 |
| Table 6.11: Market Shares of Leading AIT Operators by Volume (000 and %), Years Ending September 1999-2003 |
| Travel Agents |
| Table 6.12: The Number of ABTA-Registered Travel Agents in the UK, 2001-2003 |
| Table 6.13: Leading UK Travel Agents by Number of Branches (number and %), 1999-2003 |
| Major Players |
| MyTravel Group PLC |
| First Choice PLC |
| Thomas Cook UK Ltd |
| Charter Airlines |
| MyTravel Airways Ltd |
| First Choice Airways Ltd |
| Monarch Airlines Ltd |
| Thomas Cook Airlines UK Ltd |
| Marketing Activity |
| Main Media Advertising Expenditure |
| Tour Operators |
| Table 6.14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Tour Operators (£000), Years Ending December 2000-2003 |
| Travel Agents |
| Table 6.15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Travel Agents (£000), Years Ending December 2000-2003 |
| Forecasts |
| Table 6.16: The Forecast Total UK Outbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008 |
| 7. The Inbound Market |
| Introduction |
| By Purpose of Trip |
| By Country of Origin |
| By Mode of Transport |
| By Type of Arrangement |
| Market Size |
| Table 7.1: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 1999-2003 |
| By Purpose of Trip |
| Table 7.2: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Number and Purpose of Trips (000 and %), 1999-2003 |
| Table 7.3: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Purpose of Trip and Main Country of Origin (000 trips and %), 2003 |
| Table 7.4: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Type of Trip (000 trips), 1999-2003 |
| By Country of Origin |
| Table 7.5: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Country of Origin (000 trips), 1999-2003 |
| By Mode of Transport |
| Table 7.6: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Mode of Transport (000 trips), 1999-2003 |
| By Type of Arrangement |
| Table 7.7: The Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Holiday Market by Type of Arrangement and Mode of Transport (000 trips and %), 1999-2003 |
| Table 7.8: The Total UK Inbound Holiday Market by Type of Arrangement by Country of Origin (000 trips and %), 2003 |
| Supply Structure |
| Buying Behaviour |
| Table 7.9: Profile of Overseas Visitors to the UK by Age (000 and %), 1998, 2001 and 2003 |
| Forecasts |
| Table 7.10: The Forecast Total UK Inbound Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008 |
| 8. A Global Perspective |
| Global Markets |
| Leading Tourism Destinations |
| World Air Travel Demand |
| Table 8.1: World Air Travel Demand by Total Number of Passengers (million and %), Year Ending June 2004 |
| 9. The Future |
| Introduction |
| Table 9.1: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2004-2008 |
| Table 9.2: The Forecast Total UK Air Travel Market by Volume (000 passengers and %), 2004-2008 |
| Forecasts |
| Table 9.3: The Forecast Total UK Travel and Tourism Market by Value and Volume (£m and million), 2004-2008 |
| FUTURE TRENDS |
| 10. Further Sources |
| Associations |
| General Sources |
| Government Publications |
| Other Sources |
| Bonnier Information Sources |
Text © 2004 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous February 2004