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KN72004
KEY NOTE Market Report : Computer Services UK : August 2004

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This report covers: computer services

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK computer services market was worth £18.57bn at the end of 2003, a 3.2% rise on 2002. After rapid growth until 2001, the industry has seen a sharp fall since 2001, reflecting a decrease in IT budgets, with major clients becoming much more cost-conscious and difficult to penetrate. Today, major clients are only investing in new projects after careful evaluation of the return on investment.
The market consists of four sectors: systems building; support services; operational services; and planning and design. As IT budgets have been cut back, organisations have postponed new projects, which has led to reduced interest in ad hoc, single-project contracts. This has hit demand for systems building and planning and design services. Operational services and support services, which tend to be based on long-term contracts, have fared better, although support services tends to be a mature sector of the market.
Operational services have been the main growth segment of the market since 2001 and, over 2003/2004, some very large outsourcing contracts have been awarded. The nature of many of the largest contracts has changed. Large organisations, especially in the public sector, now use consortia on major IT contracts rather than a single supplier. Lead contractors build consortia using a range of companies, with companies chosen on the basis of their skills and reputation rather than size.
As market growth has slowed, since 2001, so there has been an intense scramble for market share. Competition has been aggressive in all areas of the market, which has led to consolidation as larger firms have acquired smaller players and as the largest players have merged to improve scale and margins. Recent mergers include IBM and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), Logica and CMG, Capgemini and Ernst & Young, Schlumberger and Sema, and the subsequent takeover by Atos Origin of the merged SchlumbergerSema.
Among major organisational buyers, the Government has become an increasingly important client for the services, given large-scale plans to adopt e-Government and increased investment in the IT infrastructure for public bodies like the National Health Service (NHS).
The computer services market has experienced a change in its fortunes. High annual growth rates have given way to more modest annual increases in revenue. The market is now set on a mature phase of growth. Even after 2004, when Key Note predicts the fortunes of the industry will improve, annual market growth will be less than 10% in value terms. Key Note expects further consolidation in the industry and a growing convergence between computer telecommunications service providers. In the next 5 years, clients will be gaining the upper hand in the market and will be less willing to tolerate under-performance on contracts or projects.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Market Definition
 
REPORT COVERAGE
 
MARKET SECTORS
 
MARKET TRENDS
 
Back to the Future?
 
Shifts in IT Budgets
 
E-Business a Driver of Demand
 
Merger Mania
 
The Growth of Multisourcing
 
Offshore Outsourcing
 
Business Process Outsourcing
 
E-Government
 
ECONOMIC TRENDS
 
Inflation
 
Table 1: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003
 
Unemployment
 
Table 2: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 1999-2003
 
Population
 
Table 3: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003
 
MARKET POSITION
 
The UK
 
Table 4: The UK Computer Services Market as a Share of The Total Computer Market (%), 2000-2004
 
Overseas
 
2. Market Size
 
THE TOTAL MARKET
 
Table 5: The Total UK Computer Services Market by Value (£m at rsp), 2000-2004
 
Market Shares
 
by market sector
 
Systems Building
 
Table 6: UK Expenditure on the Systems Building Sector by Value (£m at end user prices), 2000-2004
 
Support Services
 
Table 7: UK Expenditure on the Support Services Sector by Value (£m at end user prices), 2000-2004
 
Operational Services
 
Table 8: UK Expenditure on the Operational Services Sector by Value(£m at end user prices), 2000-2004
 
Planning and Design
 
Table 9: UK Expenditure on the Planning and Design Services Sector by Value (£m at end user prices), 2000-2004
 
3. Industry Background
 
RECENT HISTORY
 
INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS
 
Table 10: Average Financial Performance of Companies Engaged in Computers and Related Activities Companies by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit ( £000, % and £), 2003
 
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
 
Table 11: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Computer Services† Industry by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and %), 2003
 
EMPLOYMENT
 
Table 12: The Structure of Employment in the Computer Market† and Related Industries in the UK (£000 and %), December 2002 and 2003
 
Table 13: The Number of UK Employees in the Computer Market† and Related Industries,(000), 1999-2003
 
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
 
LEGISLATION
 
General Legislation is Important
 
Transfer of Undertakings (Protection of Employment) Legislation
 
The Data Protection Act 1998
 
The Regulation of Investigatory Powers Act
 
IR35
 
The Conduct of Employment Agencies and Employment Business Regulations 2004
 
The EU Agency Workers Directive (AWD)
 
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
 
Intellect
 
4. Competitor Analysis
 
THE MARKETPLACE
 
MARKET LEADERS
 
Accenture
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Atos Origin
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
BT Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Capgemini UK PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Computer Sciences UK Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Electronic Data Systems Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Fujitsu Services Holdings PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Hewlett-Packard Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
IBM United Kingdom Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
LogicaCMG
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Other Companies
 
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
Table 14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Computer Software Companies by Type of Activity (£000), Year Ending March 2004
 
Table 15: The Largest Investors in Main Media Advertising of Computer Services (£000), Year Ending March 2004
 
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
 
STRENGTHs
 
WEAKNESSES
 
OPPORTUNITIES
 
THREATS
 
6. Buying Behaviour
 
iNTRODUCTION
 
Table 16: Breakdown of Business IT Expenditure by Sector by Value (%), 2000-2003
 
UTILITY COMPANIES
 
BUSINESS SERVICES COMPANIES
 
RETAIL INDUSTRY
 
FINANCIAL SERVICES
 
PUBLIC SECTOR
 
7. Current Issues
 
OFFSHORE OUTSOURCING
 
NHS Contracts
 
National Programme for IT
 
The Winners and Losers
 
Contract Problems with the London NHS Plan
 
BT Fined for Missing Deadlines
 
Inland Revenue Contract
 
Key Deals in 2004
 
Jun-04
 
May-04
 
Mar-04
 
Feb-04
 
Jan-04
 
8. The Global Market
 
THE TOTAL MARKET
 
Table 17: The Global Computer Services Market by Value (£bn), 2002-2004
 
9. Forecasts
 
INTRODUCTION
 
Forecasts 2004 to 2008
 
Table 18: The Total UK Forecast Computer Services Market by Value (£m at rsp), 2004-2009
 
Table 19: The Forecast UK Computer Services Market by Sector by Value (%), 2004-2008
 
FUTURE TRENDS
 
Growing Consolidation
 
Convergence of Telecom and Computer Services
 
New Demand
 
10. Company Profiles
 
Atos Origin It Services Ltd
 
Capgemini Uk Plc
 
Computer Sciences Uk Ltd
 
Electronic Data Systems LTd
 
Hewlett-Packard LTd
 
Ibm UNITED Kingdom Ltd
 
Logicacmg Plc
 
11. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
General Sources
 
Government Publications
 
Other Sources
 
Bonnier Information Sources

Text © 2004 Key Note

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