| KN72004 |
| KEY NOTE Market Report : Computer Services UK : August 2004 |
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This report covers: computer services
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| The UK computer services market was worth £18.57bn at the end of 2003, a 3.2% rise on 2002. After rapid growth until 2001, the industry has seen a sharp fall since 2001, reflecting a decrease in IT budgets, with major clients becoming much more cost-conscious and difficult to penetrate. Today, major clients are only investing in new projects after careful evaluation of the return on investment. |
| The market consists of four sectors: systems building; support services; operational services; and planning and design. As IT budgets have been cut back, organisations have postponed new projects, which has led to reduced interest in ad hoc, single-project contracts. This has hit demand for systems building and planning and design services. Operational services and support services, which tend to be based on long-term contracts, have fared better, although support services tends to be a mature sector of the market. |
| Operational services have been the main growth segment of the market since 2001 and, over 2003/2004, some very large outsourcing contracts have been awarded. The nature of many of the largest contracts has changed. Large organisations, especially in the public sector, now use consortia on major IT contracts rather than a single supplier. Lead contractors build consortia using a range of companies, with companies chosen on the basis of their skills and reputation rather than size. |
| As market growth has slowed, since 2001, so there has been an intense scramble for market share. Competition has been aggressive in all areas of the market, which has led to consolidation as larger firms have acquired smaller players and as the largest players have merged to improve scale and margins. Recent mergers include IBM and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), Logica and CMG, Capgemini and Ernst & Young, Schlumberger and Sema, and the subsequent takeover by Atos Origin of the merged SchlumbergerSema. |
| Among major organisational buyers, the Government has become an increasingly important client for the services, given large-scale plans to adopt e-Government and increased investment in the IT infrastructure for public bodies like the National Health Service (NHS). |
| The computer services market has experienced a change in its fortunes. High annual growth rates have given way to more modest annual increases in revenue. The market is now set on a mature phase of growth. Even after 2004, when Key Note predicts the fortunes of the industry will improve, annual market growth will be less than 10% in value terms. Key Note expects further consolidation in the industry and a growing convergence between computer telecommunications service providers. In the next 5 years, clients will be gaining the upper hand in the market and will be less willing to tolerate under-performance on contracts or projects. |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| Executive Summary |
| 1. Market Definition |
| REPORT COVERAGE |
| MARKET SECTORS |
| MARKET TRENDS |
| Back to the Future? |
| Shifts in IT Budgets |
| E-Business a Driver of Demand |
| Merger Mania |
| The Growth of Multisourcing |
| Offshore Outsourcing |
| Business Process Outsourcing |
| E-Government |
| ECONOMIC TRENDS |
| Inflation |
| Table 1: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003 |
| Unemployment |
| Table 2: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 1999-2003 |
| Population |
| Table 3: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003 |
| MARKET POSITION |
| The UK |
| Table 4: The UK Computer Services Market as a Share of The Total Computer Market (%), 2000-2004 |
| Overseas |
| 2. Market Size |
| THE TOTAL MARKET |
| Table 5: The Total UK Computer Services Market by Value (£m at rsp), 2000-2004 |
| Market Shares |
| by market sector |
| Systems Building |
| Table 6: UK Expenditure on the Systems Building Sector by Value (£m at end user prices), 2000-2004 |
| Support Services |
| Table 7: UK Expenditure on the Support Services Sector by Value (£m at end user prices), 2000-2004 |
| Operational Services |
| Table 8: UK Expenditure on the Operational Services Sector by Value(£m at end user prices), 2000-2004 |
| Planning and Design |
| Table 9: UK Expenditure on the Planning and Design Services Sector by Value (£m at end user prices), 2000-2004 |
| 3. Industry Background |
| RECENT HISTORY |
| INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS |
| Table 10: Average Financial Performance of Companies Engaged in Computers and Related Activities Companies by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit ( £000, % and £), 2003 |
| NUMBER OF COMPANIES |
| Table 11: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Computer Services Industry by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and %), 2003 |
| EMPLOYMENT |
| Table 12: The Structure of Employment in the Computer Market and Related Industries in the UK (£000 and %), December 2002 and 2003 |
| Table 13: The Number of UK Employees in the Computer Market and Related Industries,(000), 1999-2003 |
| HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? |
| LEGISLATION |
| General Legislation is Important |
| Transfer of Undertakings (Protection of Employment) Legislation |
| The Data Protection Act 1998 |
| The Regulation of Investigatory Powers Act |
| IR35 |
| The Conduct of Employment Agencies and Employment Business Regulations 2004 |
| The EU Agency Workers Directive (AWD) |
| KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS |
| Intellect |
| 4. Competitor Analysis |
| THE MARKETPLACE |
| MARKET LEADERS |
| Accenture |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Atos Origin |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| BT Group PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Capgemini UK PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Computer Sciences UK Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Electronic Data Systems Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Fujitsu Services Holdings PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Hewlett-Packard Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| IBM United Kingdom Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| LogicaCMG |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Other Companies |
| OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Table 14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Computer Software Companies by Type of Activity (£000), Year Ending March 2004 |
| Table 15: The Largest Investors in Main Media Advertising of Computer Services (£000), Year Ending March 2004 |
| 5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats |
| STRENGTHs |
| WEAKNESSES |
| OPPORTUNITIES |
| THREATS |
| 6. Buying Behaviour |
| iNTRODUCTION |
| Table 16: Breakdown of Business IT Expenditure by Sector by Value (%), 2000-2003 |
| UTILITY COMPANIES |
| BUSINESS SERVICES COMPANIES |
| RETAIL INDUSTRY |
| FINANCIAL SERVICES |
| PUBLIC SECTOR |
| 7. Current Issues |
| OFFSHORE OUTSOURCING |
| NHS Contracts |
| National Programme for IT |
| The Winners and Losers |
| Contract Problems with the London NHS Plan |
| BT Fined for Missing Deadlines |
| Inland Revenue Contract |
| Key Deals in 2004 |
| Jun-04 |
| May-04 |
| Mar-04 |
| Feb-04 |
| Jan-04 |
| 8. The Global Market |
| THE TOTAL MARKET |
| Table 17: The Global Computer Services Market by Value (£bn), 2002-2004 |
| 9. Forecasts |
| INTRODUCTION |
| Forecasts 2004 to 2008 |
| Table 18: The Total UK Forecast Computer Services Market by Value (£m at rsp), 2004-2009 |
| Table 19: The Forecast UK Computer Services Market by Sector by Value (%), 2004-2008 |
| FUTURE TRENDS |
| Growing Consolidation |
| Convergence of Telecom and Computer Services |
| New Demand |
| 10. Company Profiles |
| Atos Origin It Services Ltd |
| Capgemini Uk Plc |
| Computer Sciences Uk Ltd |
| Electronic Data Systems LTd |
| Hewlett-Packard LTd |
| Ibm UNITED Kingdom Ltd |
| Logicacmg Plc |
| 11. Further Sources |
| Associations |
| General Sources |
| Government Publications |
| Other Sources |
| Bonnier Information Sources |
Text © 2004 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous 2004