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KN70007 KEY NOTE ESTATE AGENTS SEPTEMBER 1997

ISBN 1-85765-737-3

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
Market Definition
INTRODUCTION
MARKET SECTORS
MARKET TRENDS
Table 1: Estimated Number of Estate Agency Offices, 1988-1997
Table 2: Breakdown of the Types of Agreement Offered by Estate Agents, 1997
Table 3: Estimated Breakdown of Total Estate Agency Revenue ( percent), 1997
Table 4: Index of UK House Prices at Current Prices, 1989-1996
Table 5: Seasonality of Estate Agency Business in England and Wales (000 transactions), 1996
Market Size
THE TOTAL MARKET
THE NEW HOUSING MARKET
REGIONAL HOUSE PRICES
COMMERCIAL PROPERTY
Table 6: Property Market Transactions in England and Wales (million transactions), 1988-1997
Table 7: Estimated Total Estate Agency Revenue in England and Wales (£m), 1997
Table 8: House Builders Federation Monthly Survey - Factors Affecting Sales ( percent of builders who consider the factor to be a major constraint), March 1995,
1996 and 1997
Table 9: Average UK House Prices by Region (£), April to June 1997
Industry Background
RECENT HISTORY
INCREASING CONCENTRATION IN THE INDUSTRY
FRANCHISES
ESTATE AGENCY NETWORKS
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
Competitor Analysis
THE MARKETPLACE
MARKET LEADERS
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
Table 10: The Leading 30 UK Estate Agencies (number of branches), December 1995 and 1996
Table 11: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Estate Agents (£000), 12 Months to March 1997
Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT)
STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS
Buying Behaviour
HOUSEBUYING TRENDS
HOUSEBUYING INTENTIONS
Table 12: Housebuying Intentions Over the Next 5 Years by Sex and Age ( percent of adults), May 1997
Table 13: Housebuying Intentions Over the Next 5 Years by Social Class ( percent of adults), May 1997
Outside Suppliers to the Industry
SALE BOARDS
PHOTOGRAPHIC SERVICES
IT EQUIPMENT
PRINTING AND GRAPHICS
SOLICITORS
SURVEYORS
MORTGAGE FINANCE INSTITUTIONS
INSURANCE COMPANIES
Current Issues
MARKET CONDITIONS
THE JUNE 1997 BUDGET
INNER-CITY DEVELOPMENTS
LETTINGS
ACQUISITIONS
SOLE AGENTS AND THE LAW
OFFICE OF FAIR TRADING INTERVENTION
THE SCOTTISH SYSTEM
Forecasts
FORECASTS 1998 TO 2002
NEW PRACTICES, NEW LEGISLATION
Table 14: Forecast Property Market Transactions in England and Wales (million transactions), 1998-2002
Table 15: Forecast Estate Agents' Revenue in England and Wales (£bn), 1998-2002
Table 16: Forecast Number of Estate Agency Offices, 1998-2002
Company Profiles
INTRODUCTION
DEFINITIONS
FURTHER INFORMATION
Further Sources
ASSOCIATIONS
PERIODICALS
DIRECTORIES
GENERAL SOURCES
HBI UK INFORMATION SOURCES
GOVERNMENT PUBLICATIONS
OTHER SOURCES

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report looks at the UK's estate agency industry, focusing on High Street residential agencies. Consequently, it excludes specialised property services; such as auctioneers, valuers, estate managers, property companies and property consultants.

The industry has had a good year in 1997 -- indeed, its best since 1990. Key Note estimates that the number of property transactions in England and Wales in 1997 has been 11.3 percent higher than in 1996. On this basis, around 1.4 million residential properties will have been sold in England and Wales by the end of 1997.

In 1997, total estate agency revenue in England and Wales was £2.81bn, according to Key Note estimates. This represents an increase of 44.7 percent on the figure for 1994. As with most growing markets, estate agents have been recording strong turnover in every sector of the market, including lettings and auctions.

The market has improved for several reasons. Confidence in the economy has revived, interest rates are relatively low, and mortgage finance is more readily available. The only factor holding the market back is the insufficient supply of properties for sale.

The industry seems to be settling down after a turbulent period of restructuring in the early 1990s. Many of the big building societies and insurance companies that entered the market in the 1980s have now disposed of their acquisitions. Even so, the dominance of the big corporate financial service-based agencies remains in place; seven of the top ten estate agencies being owned by financial institutions. Key Note estimates that there are 12,350 estate agencies in 1997, which represents a decline of 17.7 percent since 1988. This industry is still oversupplied and there is a strong likelihood that there will be a gradual consolidation over the next 5 to 10 years. Total estate agency income for England and Wales is likely to rise minimally at current prices, but in real terms, it will fall over the next 3 years.

A complete Government review of housing market practices is underway. Two issues will be prominent in this review -- the incidence of `gazumping' and Scottish house selling practice. While some initiatives may be forthcoming to rule out gazumping, it seems improbable that England, Wales and Northern Ireland will adopt the Scottish mode of buying and selling residential property.

Text © 1997 Key Note

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