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KN64014
KEY NOTE Commercial Radio : May 2004
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This report covers:commercial radio, content providers, rights owners, software applications, developers, hardware, operational and production services, radio content, independent production companies, news sources, satellite media services, syndicators, listeners, amount of time per week spent listening to the radio, etc.

Companies covered include: Capital Radio, Chrysalis Group, EMAP, Guardian Media Group, GWR Group, Scottish Radio, Holdings,SMG, The Wireless Group, CN Group, Forever Broadcasting, KM Radio, Lincs FM, Milestone Group, Radio Investments, Sunrise Radio, Tindle Radio, UBC Media Group, UKRD Group,

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Market Definition
 
REPORT COVERAGE
 
MARKET SECTORS
 
MARKET TRENDS
 
Digital Audio Broadcasting
 
New Media
 
Concentration of Ownership
 
ECONOMIC TRENDS
 
Population
 
Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003
 
Gross Domestic Product
 
Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (£m), 1999-2003
 
Inflation
 
Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003
 
Unemployment
 
Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 1999-2003
 
Household Disposable Income
 
Table 5: Average Annual UK Household Disposable Income (£), 1998-2002
 
MARKET POSITION
 
The UK
 
Table 6: Commercial Radio's Share of UK Display Advertising (%), 1999-2003
 
Table 7: Commercial Radio's Share of UK Listening (%), Fourth Quarter 1999-2003
 
2. Market Size
 
THE TOTAL MARKET
 
Revenue
 
Table 8: Total UK Commercial Radio Revenues from Advertising, Sponsorship and Promotion (£m), 1999-2003
 
Listening
 
Table 9: Commercial Radio Listening Trends Among UK Adults (million and %), Fourth Quarter 1999-2003
 
Market Shares
 
Table 10: Market Shares of Commercial Radio Listening by Company (hours and %), Fourth Quarter 2003
 
Table 11: Estimated Market Shares of Commercial Radio Advertising by Company by Value (%), 2003
 
BY MARKET SECTOR
 
National Radio
 
Advertising Revenue
 
Table 12: Advertising Revenue Generated by National Commercial Radio Stations (£m and %), 1999-2003
 
Listening
 
Table 13: National Commercial Radio Listening Trends Among UK Adults (million and %), Fourth Quarter 1999-2003
 
Market Shares
 
Table 14: Market Shares of National Commercial Radio Listening by Company and Station (hours and %), Fourth Quarter 2003
 
Local Radio
 
Advertising Revenue
 
Table 15: Advertising Revenue Generated by Local Commercial Radio Stations (£m and %), 1999-2003
 
Listening
 
Table 16: Local Commercial Radio Listening Trends Among UK Adults (million and %), Fourth Quarter 1999-2003
 
Market Shares
 
Table 17: Market Shares of Local Commercial Radio Listening (hours and %), Fourth Quarter 2003
 
Sponsorship and Promotion
 
Revenue
 
Table 18: Sponsorship and Promotion Revenue Generated by National and Local Radio (£m and %), 1999-2003
 
3. Industry Background
 
RECENT HISTORY
 
INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS
 
Table 19: Average Financial Performance of Radio Companies (£000, % and £), 2002/2003
 
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
 
Table 20: Number of Commercial Radio Licences in the UK by Type, End of February 2004
 
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKET
 
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
 
LEGISLATION
 
Communications Act 2003
 
Ofcom
 
Types of Independent Radio Licence — Broadcasting Acts 1990 and 1996
 
National Licences
 
Local Licences
 
Cable and Satellite Licences
 
Digital Radio Licences
 
Ofcom Radio Advertising and Sponsorship Code
 
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
 
Advertising Association
 
Advertising Standards Authority
 
Commercial Radio Companies Association
 
Digital Radio Development Bureau
 
The RAB
 
The Radio Advertising Clearance Centre
 
Radio Joint Audience Research Ltd
 
4. Competitor Analysis
 
THE MARKETPLACE
 
Table 21: The Ownership Structure of Major UK Commercial Radio Stations by Company (number of stations), February 2004
 
MARKET LEADERS
 
Capital Radio PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Chrysalis Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
EMAP PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Guardian Media Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
GWR Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Scottish Radio Holdings PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
SMG PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
The Wireless Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Other Companies
 
CN Group Ltd
 
Forever Broadcasting PLC
 
KM Radio Ltd
 
Lincs FM PLC
 
Milestone Group PLC
 
Radio Investments Ltd
 
Sunrise Radio Ltd
 
Tindle Radio Ltd
 
UBC Media Group PLC
 
UKRD Group Ltd
 
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
 
Content Providers/Rights Owners
 
Software Applications/Developers
 
Hardware
 
Operational and Production Services
 
Radio Content
 
Independent Production Companies
 
News Sources
 
Satellite Media Services
 
Syndicators
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
Table 22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Commercial Radio Companies (£000), Year To December 2003
 
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
 
STRENGTHS
 
WEAKNESSES
 
OPPORTUNITIES
 
THREATS
 
6. Buying Behaviour
 
RADIO'S POPULARITY AS A LEISURE ACTIVITY
 
Table 23: The Most Popular Evening Leisure Activities (% of adults), 2003
 
THE RADIO LISTENER
 
Table 24: Amount of Time Per Week Spent Listening to Radio (% of adults), 2003
 
By Demographic Subgroup
 
Table 25: Amount of Time Per Week Spent Listening to Radio by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Household Income (% of adults), 2003
 
Intensity of Listening
 
Heavy Listeners
 
Medium Listeners
 
Light Listeners
 
7. Current Issues
 
JOINT CONSULTATION ON SPECTRUM TRADING
 
Ofcom's Case
 
Commercial Radio Companies Association's Case
 
A NEW RADIO ADVERTISING REGULATOR?
 
RADIO MERGERS
 
COMMUNITY RADIO
 
8. The Global Market
 
IS THERE A GLOBAL MARKET?
 
GLOBAL RADIO ADVERTISING REVENUE
 
9. Forecasts
 
INTRODUCTION
 
Forecast Economic Trends
 
Population
 
Table 26: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), 2004-2008
 
Gross Domestic Product
 
Table 27: Forecast UK Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2004-2008
 
Inflation
 
Table 28: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2004-2008
 
Unemployment
 
Table 29: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2004-2008
 
FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008
 
Table 30: Forecast UK Commercial Radio Revenues from Advertising Sponsorship and Promotion (£m), 2004-2008
 
Table 31: Forecast UK Commercial Radio Revenues from Advertising, Sponsorship and Promotion by Type (£m and %), 2004-2008
 
FUTURE TRENDS
 
Digital Listening
 
Consolidation and Competition
 
10. Company Profiles
 
Capital Radio Plc
 
Chrysalis Group Plc
 
Emap Plc
 
Guardian Media Group Plc
 
Gwr Group Plc
 
Scottish Radio Holdings Plc
 
SMG PLC
 
THE WIRELESS GROUP PLC
 
11. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
General Sources
 
Government Sources
 
Other Sources

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report examines the UK market for commercial radio, which is defined as any free-to-home radio service, broadcast terrestrially or non-terrestrially, that derives all or most of its revenue from the sale of advertising airtime. In 2003, UK revenues from commercial radio advertising, sponsorship and promotion reached £601m, which represents an increase of 6.8% on 2002 and 17.8% since 1999. In terms of revenue, the commercial radio market is segmented into three sectors: advertising on national radio stations, advertising on local radio stations, and sponsorship and promotion on both national and local stations.

National radio stations account for the largest share of total revenues but, since 2000, local radio has taken share from national stations. Sponsorship and promotion have also shown strong growth. Highly targeted audiences and strong brand-building capabilities have made the radio highly attractive to commercial organisations. In 2003, radio accounted for 6.8% of UK display advertising, compared with 5.5% in 1999. As the number of stations increases, each offering its own advertising and sponsorship opportunities, radio is proving to be a flexible medium for marketing investment.

Digital technology, in the shape of digital audio broadcasting (DAB), the Internet, and cable and satellite TV, is playing an increasing role in the market and has paved the way for new broadcast channels, fresh listening experiences and even additional revenue streams. While radio is essentially a very fragmented medium, it is becoming increasingly dominated by large groups such as GWR Group PLC, Capital Radio PLC, EMAP PLC and Chrysalis Group PLC. These are the only broadcasting groups commanding more than 10% of commercial radio listening hours. GWR Group is the clear market leader, being the largest national commercial radio broadcaster in terms of its share of listening.

Capital Radio is the second-largest group and is the largest local radio broadcaster. In terms of advertising revenue, GWR Group and Capital Radio are the largest players in the market and are of broadly equal size. Only one other company, Chrysalis Group, holds more than 10% of the market.

Consolidation has allowed the industry to build strong brands and raise programming quality. This has improved radio as an advertising medium, as numerous individual local stations have been replaced by national, regional or pan-local networks of stations, making it easier for advertisers to build campaigns that stretch across several local franchise areas.

Key Note forecasts strong growth in revenue from radio advertising between 2004 and 2008. The commercial radio market will increasingly be shaped by the growth of new digital means of listening, including DAB, the Internet and digital TV. Moreover, there will be growing competition in the market as the number of new services continues to grow and licence trading comes into force. As competition increases, the market will become steadily more fragmented, with the largest operators taking a growing share of revenues.

Text © 2004Key Note

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Last updated by Amanda Porteous June 2004

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