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KN40044
KEY NOTE Travel Agents and Overseas Tour Operators Market Report : June 2004

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This report covers: travel agents, overseas tour operators, outbound tourism, domestic tourism, inclusive tour packages, tourist boards, key, trade associations,

Companies covered include: First Choice Holidays, My Travel Group, Thomas Cook, TUI UK, Lunn POly, Team Lincoln, Travel House, Manchester Flights, Britannia Airways,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Key Note estimates that, in 2003, the total UK tourism market (excluding day trips) was worth £60.15bn, a rise of 2.8% on 2002. Between 2000 and 2003, the revenues generated by UK travel agents and tour operators rose gradually, by 6.6%, to £41.23bn. The majority of this revenue (91.4%) was derived from outbound travel arrangements and packages. Between 1999 and 2003, the penetration of adults who took a holiday in the last year remained fairly constant and rose by 3.2 percentage points to 65%.
Four integrated travel companies dominate the travel agents and tour operators market — First Choice Holidays PLC, MyTravel Group PLC, Thomas Cook UK Ltd and TUI UK Ltd. These companies are major players in the tour operators, retail travel agents and charter airlines industries. In the late 1990s, all four companies fought hard to increase market share, but, in the 2000s, the drive for market share has diminished following the difficult times faced by the entire market.
Many factors have adversely affected the travel agents and overseas tour operators market, including: terrorism and the war in Iraq; the outbreak of disease, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and foot-and-mouth disease; the growth of low-cost airlines; and the use of the Internet and other technology to make travel arrangements. These factors have proved to be problematic in different ways; the first two served to restrict the overall demand for outbound tourism, whereas the growth of the Internet and the use of other technology to book holidays has led to a reduction in the need to use travel agents or tour operators.
Since 2000, the number of travel agency outlets has declined, whereas the number of tour operators has increased. Although travel agents are losing business to direct sales through tour operators, they are increasing the level of bookings taken through call centres and via online systems. Nevertheless, the majority of people prefer to book a holiday through a face-to-face or telephone conversation when making complex or expensive travel arrangements.
The difficulties of the 2000s have led the travel and tourism market to become increasingly cost conscious and profit orientated. The philosophy of `pile them high and sell them cheap' is eroding, although outbound package holidays are often cheaper than self-packaged or independently organised holidays. The development of low-cost air travel is, in effect, dividing holiday travel behaviour and it is likely that independently organised holidays will gain market share at the expense of package holidays. In fact, package holidays will become more specialised and orientated towards the premium sector.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Market Definition
 
Report Coverage
 
MARKET SECTORS
 
Table 1: Estimated Share of the UK Tourism Market Taken by Travel Agents and Tour Operators by Value (%), 2003
 
MARKET TRENDS
 
Slow Growth
 
Table 2: The UK Tourism Market by Share of Gross Domestic Product (£bn and %), 1999-2003
 
New Technology Changing Booking Habits
 
Economic Trends
 
Population
 
Table 3: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003
 
Inflation
 
Table 4: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003
 
Household Disposable Income
 
Table 5: Household Disposable Income (£), 1998-2002
 
MARKET POSITION
 
The UK
 
Table 6: Share of the UK Tourism Market Taken by Outbound Tourism and Domestic Tourism by Value (%), 1999-2003
 
Table 7: Revenue in the UK Tourism Market by UK Residents by Sector by Value (£m), 1999-2003
 
Overseas
 
Table 8: Demand for Travel and Tourism by Country by Value ($bn and %), 2002
 
2. Market Size
 
TOTAL MARKET
 
Table 9: Growth in the UK Tourism Market by Sector by Value (£m and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 10: The UK Tourism Market by Number of Trips and Number of Nights Made by UK Residents by Sector (million and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 11: Share of Tourism Expenditure Accounted for by Travel Agents and Tour Operators (%), 1999-2003
 
By MARKET SECTOR
 
Outbound Tourism
 
Table 12: Growth in Expenditure, Visits and Nights Spent Overseas by UK Residents (£m and million), 1999-2003
 
Expenditure on Outbound Tourism
 
Table 13: The UK Outbound Tourism Sector by Purpose of Visit by UK Residents by Value (£m and %), 1999-2003
 
Number of Outbound Tourism Visits
 
Table 14: The UK Outbound Tourism Sector by Purpose of Visit by Volume (million and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 15: Outbound ATOLs† Passengers by Value and by Volume (million, % and £bn), 1999-2003
 
Table 16: Inclusive Tour Packages by Region (000 and %), 1999-2003
 
Domestic Tourism
 
Table 17: The UK Domestic Tourism Sector by Purpose of Visit by UK Residents by Value (£m and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 18: The UK Domestic Tourism Sector by Purpose of Visit by UK Residents by Volume (million visits and %), 1999-2003
 
Table 19: UK Domestic Holidays by Number of Nights by Value (million and £m), 1999-2003
 
3. Industry Background
 
RECENT HISTORY
 
Industry Synopsis
 
Table 20: Average Financial Performance of Companies Engaged in the Travel Agents and Tour Operators Market (£000, % and £), Latest Financial Year
 
Number of Companies
 
Travel Agents
 
Table 21: UK ABTA†-Registered Travel Agents, 31st December 1999-2003
 
Table 22: Offices per Member, Trips per Member and Trips per Office (number and million), 31st December 1999-2003
 
Overseas Tour Operators
 
Number of Tour Operators
 
Table 23: UK ABTA†-Registered Tour Operators (number and million), 31st December 1999-2003
 
Distribution
 
Table 24: Domestic Holiday Arrangements by Method of Booking (%), 2002
 
Tourist Boards
 
Table 25: Method of Making Travel Arrangements for Last Holiday Taken (%), 2002 and 2003
 
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
 
LEGISLATION
 
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
 
Association of British Travel Agents
 
Association of Independent Tour Operators
 
Federation of Tour Operators
 
Guild of Business Travel Agents
 
4. Competitor Analysis
 
THE MARKETPLACE
 
Travel Agents
 
Table 26: Leading UK Travel Agents by Number of Branches (number and %), 1999-2003
 
Tour Operators
 
Table 27: Passengers Carried Under Leading ATOLs (000 and %), Years Ending September 2002 and 2003
 
Table 28: Passengers Licensed to, or Planned by, the Leading Tourism Groups and Companies (000 and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004
 
MARKET LEADERS
 
First Choice Holidays PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
MyTravel Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Thomas Cook UK Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
TUI UK Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Lunn Poly
 
Team Lincoln
 
Travel House Group
 
Manchester Flights
 
Britannia Airways Ltd
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
 
Table 29: Number of Passengers Uplifted by UK Airlines on Charter Services (000), 1997, 2000 and 2002
 
Table 30: UK Residents Travelling to Europe by Final Destinations (000 visits), 1999-2003
 
Table 31: UK Residents Travelling on Package Holidays by Destination (%), 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000 and 2002
 
Marketing Activity
 
Main Media Advertising Expenditure
 
Travel Agents
 
Table 32: Main Media Advertising on Travel Agents (£000), Years Ending September and December 2002 and 2003
 
Tour Operators
 
Table 33: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Tour Operators (£000), Years Ending September and December 2002 and 2003
 
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
 
Strengths
 
Weaknesses
 
Opportunities
 
Threats
 
6. Buying Behaviour
 
CONSUMER PENETRATION AND REPEAT PURCHASE
 
Table 34: Consumer Penetration of Holidays (number and %), 1999-2003
 
PROFILE OF Repeat HOLIDAYMAKERS
 
Table 35: Consumer Profile of Repeat Holidaymakers by Number of Holidays in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2003
 
Holidaymaking by Age
 
Table 36: Age Profile of Adult Holidaymakers (% of adults), 1997, 2000 and 2003
 
Holidaymaking by Month
 
Table 37: Holidays Taken in the Last 12 Months by Month of Departure (% of adults), 2001 and 2003
 
Holidaymaking by Type of Arrangement
 
Travel Agents
 
Table 38: Consumer Profile of Holidaymakers in the Last 12 Months by Travel Agent Arrangement (% of adults), 2003
 
Tour Operators
 
Table 39: Consumer Profile of Holidaymakers in the Last 12 Months by Tour Operator Arrangement (% of adults), 2003
 
7. Current Issues
 
LOW COST AIRLINES AND SEAT-ONLY CHARTERS
 
Threat Of Terrorism
 
ONLINE BOOKINGS
 
SUSTAINABLE TOURISM
 
8. The Global Market
 
Market Size
 
Table 40: International Tourist Arrivals by Region (million), 1990, 1995, 2000-2002
 
Table 41: International Tourist Arrivals by Source Market (million and %), 1990, 1995, 2000-2002
 
9. Forecasts
 
INTRODUCTION
 
The Economy
 
Table 42: Forecast UK Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2004-2008
 
Forecasts 2004 To 2008
 
Table 43: The Forecast Total UK Outbound Tourism Market by Value (£m and million), 2004-2008
 
Table 44: The Forecast Total UK Outbound Tourism Market by Purpose of Visit by Value (£m), 2004-2008
 
Table 45: Forecast International Arrivals by Region (million), 2002, 2010 and 2020
 
Future Trends
 
10. Company Profiles
 
First Choice Holidays Plc
 
Mytravel Group Plc
 
Thomas Cook UK Ltd
 
Tui Uk Ltd
 
11. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
Publications
 
General Sources
 
Government Publications
 
Other Sources
 
Bonnier Information Sources

Text © 2004 Key Note

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Last updated by Amanda Porteous July 2004

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