| KN60074 |
| KEY NOTE REPORT REVIEW : Railway Industry : May 2004 |
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This report covers: railway industry, passenger services, freight services, light rail industry, faltering growth in passenger market, declining demand for freight services, resurgence in urban rail systems, increasing investment, Changing Role of the Public Sector, Network Rail, Jarvis, Balfour Beatty, Carillion, rail services and the environment, Key trade associations, professional bodies, UK Trade Associations, Public/Private Partnerships, present and future schemes, foreign trade, safety, The Environment, impact of disability legislation, train warning and protection systems, automatic warning system, European Rail Traffic Management System, Maglev, the internet, outside suppliers/contractors, equipment manufacturers, rolling-stock leasing companies, (ROSCOs), Infrastructure Maintenance contractors, Vehicle Acceptance Bodies, Plant Acceptance Bodies,Train Engineering Service Companies, Train-Service Information Providers, Main Media Advertising, Exhibitions, Conferences and Trade Shows, freight operationg companies, rail freight group, new tramway developments, transport for London, Docklands Flight Railway, Rail Maintenance at Network Rail, Rail Maintenance at London Underground, Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies (ROSCOs), National Rail Contractors Group, Engineering Services and Equipment Companies,
Companies and Associations covered include: Network Rail, London Underground, Channel Tunnel Rail Link, Centre for Rail Skills, Heritage Railway Association, Railway Forum, Railway Industry Association, UK Professional Bodies, Institute of Logistics & Transport, Institution of Railway Operators, Engineering Institutions, L'Association Européenne pour le Développement du Transport Ferroviaire (AEDTF),Union Internationale des Chemins de Fer (UIC), Union des Industries Ferroviaires Européennes (UNIFE), English, Welsh & Scottish Railway, Great North Eastern Railway, South West Trains, West Coast Trains, ScotRail Railways, Great Western Trains Company, Arriva Trains Northern, South Central, North Western Trains Company, Eurostar, Eurotunnel, Strathclyde Passenger Transport, London Travelcard,Chiltern Railways, Network Rail, Eurotunnel, Channel Tunnel Rail Link, Train Operating Companies, Franchise Operators, Other Passenger Rail Services, Association of Train Operating Companies, National Express Group PLC, Qjump, Central Trains, Eurostar, FirstGroup, First Great Eastern, First Great Western, The Go-Ahead Group, Euro tunnel, Northern Ireland Railways Company, Freight liner, GB Railfreight, Light Rail Transit Association, Tyne & Wear Metro, Manchester Metrolink, Angel Trains, HSBC Rail, Porterbrook Leasing Company, Amey Rail, Bombardier Transportation, Jarvis Rail,Thames Water, WS Atkins,
| Executive Summary |
| 1. Industry Overview |
| REPORT COVERAGE |
| Report Structure |
| Standard Industrial Classification |
| Other Key Note Reports |
| REPORT BACKGROUND |
| Historical Background |
| Recent Legislative and Organisational Developments |
| ECONOMIC TRENDS |
| Population |
| Table 1.1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003 |
| Gross Domestic Product |
| Table 1.2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1999-2003 |
| Inflation |
| Table 1.3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003 |
| Unemployment |
| Table 1.4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 1999-2003 |
| Household Disposable Income |
| Table 1.5: Household Disposable Income per Head (£), 1999-2003 |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 1.6: Total Passenger and Freight Receipts for Rail Services in Great Britain (£m), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| MARKET SEGMENTATION |
| INDUSTRY STRUCTURE |
| Regulatory Framework |
| Office of the Rail Regulator |
| Strategic Rail Authority |
| Safety Regulation |
| Concentration |
| Table 1.7: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the `Transport via Railways' Sector by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and %), 2003 |
| Employment |
| Table 1.8: Number of Employee Jobs in the `Transport via Railways' Sector in Great Britain by Sex (000), June 1999-2003 |
| Distribution |
| Passenger Services |
| Freight Services |
| MARKET POSITION |
| Table 1.9: Use of Passenger and Freight Rail Services in the UK and Other Major EU Countries by Volume (million population, million passenger kilometres and million freight tonne kilometres), 2001 |
| Table 1.10: Rail Turnover in the UK and Other Major EU Countries (em and %), 1999 |
| KEY TRENDS |
| Faltering Growth in the Passenger Market |
| Declining Demand for Freight Services |
| Resurgence in Urban Rail Systems |
| Increasing Investment |
| Table 1.11: Investment in the Rail Industry in Great Britain (£m), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| Network Rail |
| London Underground |
| Channel Tunnel Rail Link |
| The Changing Role of the Public Sector |
| Network Rail |
| London Underground |
| Consumer Protection |
| Safety |
| Corporate Activity |
| Jarvis |
| Balfour Beatty |
| Carillion |
| Rail Services and the Environment |
| LEGISLATION |
| Office of the Rail Regulator |
| Strategic Rail Authority |
| KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND PROFESSIONAL BODIES |
| UK Trade Associations |
| Centre for Rail Skills |
| Heritage Railway Association |
| Railway Forum |
| Railway Industry Association |
| Other Trade Associations |
| UK Professional Bodies |
| Institute of Logistics & Transport |
| Institution of Railway Operators |
| Engineering Institutions |
| International Bodies |
| L'Association Européenne pour le Développement du Transport Ferroviaire (AEDTF) |
| Union Internationale des Chemins de Fer (UIC) |
| Union des Industries Ferroviaires Européennes (UNIFE) |
| 2. PEST Analysis |
| POLITICAL FACTORS |
| Background |
| Regulation |
| Strategic Rail Authority |
| Office of the Rail Regulator |
| Government Financial Support to the Private Sector |
| Network Rail |
| Public/Private Partnerships |
| Present and Future Schemes |
| ECONOMIC FACTORS |
| The Railway Sector and the Economy |
| Passenger Services |
| Freight Services |
| Foreign Trade |
| SOCIAL FACTORS |
| Safety |
| The Environment |
| Impact of Disability Legislation |
| TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS |
| Background |
| Train Warning and Protection Systems |
| Automatic Warning System |
| Train Protection and Warning System |
| Automatic Train Protection |
| European Rail Traffic Management System |
| The Internet |
| Maglev |
| 3. Key Note Primary Research |
| INTRODUCTION |
| Overview of Results |
| Table 3.1: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain by Reason for Travel (% of respondents), 2003 |
| JOURNEY TO WORK, SCHOOL OR COLLEGE |
| Table 3.2: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Journey to Work, School or College (% of respondents), 2003 |
| BUSINESS TRIP |
| Table 3.3: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Business Trip (% of respondents), 2003 |
| SHOPPING TRIP |
| Table 3.4: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Shopping Trip (% of respondents), 2003 |
| LEISURE TRIP |
| Table 3.5: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Leisure Trip (% of respondents), 2003 |
| OTHER PERSONAL REASONS |
| Table 3.6: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for Other Personal Reasons (% of respondents), 2003 |
| 4. Competitive Structure |
| THE MARKETPLACE |
| Primary Suppliers |
| Other Suppliers |
| MARKET LEADERS |
| Table 4.1: The Top Ten Companies in the UK Rail Industry by Annual Turnover (£m), 2002/2003 |
| London Underground Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| English, Welsh & Scottish Railway Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| Great North Eastern Railway Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| South West Trains Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| West Coast Trains Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| ScotRail Railways Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| Great Western Trains Company Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| Arriva Trains Northern Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| South Central Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| North Western Trains Company Ltd |
| Financial Results |
| OTHER COMPANIES |
| Northern Ireland Railways Company |
| Eurostar |
| Eurotunnel |
| Strathclyde Passenger Transport |
| OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS/CONTRACTORS |
| Equipment Manufacturers |
| Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies (ROSCOs) |
| Infrastructure Maintenance Contractors |
| Vehicle Acceptance Bodies |
| Plant Acceptance Bodies |
| Train Engineering Service Companies |
| Train-Service Information Providers |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Main Media Advertising |
| Table 4.2: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by the Rail Industry in Great Britain (£000), Years Ending September 2002 and 2003 |
| Other Marketing Activity |
| London Travelcard |
| Chiltern Railways |
| Exhibitions, Conferences and Trade Shows |
| Table 4.3: Key Trade Events for the Rail Industry in Western Europe, 2004 |
| 5. Infrastructure Providers |
| INTRODUCTION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 5.1: Network Rail Number of Passenger Stations and Route Kilometres Open for Traffic in Great Britain, Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| Table 5.2: Network Rail Expenditure and Income (£m), Year Ending 31st March 2003 |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Network Rail |
| Eurotunnel |
| Channel Tunnel Rail Link |
| FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 |
| Table 5.3: Network Rail Forecast Expenditure and Income at Constant 2002/2003 prices (£m), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008 |
| 6. Train Operating Companies |
| INTRODUCTION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| Franchises |
| Role of the Office of Fair Trading |
| Performance |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 6.1: Train Operating Companies Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Franchise Operators |
| Table 6.2: Number of Train Operating Franchises Held by Each Franchisee, 2004 |
| Other Passenger Rail Services |
| Distribution |
| Association of Train Operating Companies |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Table 6.3: The Top Ten Train Operating Companies in Great Britain by Share of Turnover (%), 2003 |
| National Express Group PLC |
| Brands |
| Table 6.4. National Express Group PLC Passenger Train Brands and Product Range, 2004 |
| Marketing Initiatives/Product Development |
| Qjump |
| Central Trains |
| Eurostar |
| FirstGroup PLC |
| Brands |
| Marketing Initiatives/Product Development |
| First Great Eastern |
| First Great Western |
| The Go-Ahead Group PLC |
| Eurotunnel |
| Northern Ireland Railways Company |
| BUYING BEHAVIOUR |
| Table 6.5: Patterns of Travel by Surface Rail in Great Britain Distance Travelled, Trip Time and Average Number of Trips (miles, hours, minutes and trips), 2002 |
| FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 |
| Table 6.6: Train Operating Companies Forecast Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008 |
| 7. Freight Operating Companies |
| INTRODUCTION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| The Role of the Strategic Rail Authority |
| Performance |
| Central Railway |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 7.1: Freight Operating Companies Freight Receipts, Goods Lifted and Goods Moved on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m, million tonnes and billion tonne kilometres), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Freight Operating Companies |
| Table 7.2: The Five Rail Freight Operating Companies and Their Owners, 2004 |
| Other Operators |
| Distribution |
| Rail Freight Group |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| English, Welsh & Scottish Railway Ltd |
| Product Range |
| Marketing and Distribution |
| Freightliner |
| Product Range |
| Marketing and Distribution |
| GB Railfreight Ltd |
| Product Range |
| BUYING BEHAVIOUR |
| FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 |
| Table 7.3: Freight Operating Companies Forecast Freight Receipts, Goods Lifted and Goods Moved on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m, million tonnes and billion tonne kilometres), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008 |
| 8. Urban Rail Transport Operators |
| INTRODUCTION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| Public/Private Partnerships |
| Safety |
| Table 8.1: Number of Fatalities on the London Underground by Category, Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| New Tramway Developments |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 8.2: Urban Rail Transport Operators Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Responsibility for Services |
| Light Rail Transit Association |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Table 8.3: The Leading Urban Railway Systems in Great Britain by Share of Passenger Receipts (%), 2003 |
| Transport for London |
| London Underground |
| Docklands Light Railway |
| Tyne & Wear Metro |
| Manchester Metrolink |
| Buying Behaviour |
| Table 8.4: Patterns of Travel by London Underground Distance Travelled, Trip Time and Average Number of Trips (miles, hours, minutes and trips), 2002 |
| FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 |
| Table 8.5: Urban Rail Transport Operators Forecast Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008 |
| 9. Suppliers and Contracted-Out Service Providers |
| INTRODUCTION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| Rail Maintenance at Network Rail |
| Rail Maintenance at London Underground |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Table 9.1: The Railway Supply Market Turnover (£m), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003 |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Background |
| Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies (ROSCOs) |
| Trade Associations |
| National Rail Contractors Group |
| Centre for Rail Skills |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies |
| Angel Trains |
| HSBC Rail |
| Porterbrook Leasing Company |
| Engineering Services and Equipment Companies |
| Amey Rail |
| Balfour Beatty Rail |
| Bombardier Transportation |
| Carillion Rail |
| Jarvis Rail |
| Thames Water |
| WS Atkins |
| FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 |
| Table 9.2: The Railway Supply Market Forecast Turnover (£m), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008 |
| 10. A Global Perspective |
| WORLD COMPARISONS |
| THE EUROPEAN INDUSTRY |
| Infrastructure |
| Table 10.1: The Rail Infrastructure in the UK and Other Major EU Countries (million, 000 kilometres and %), 2001 |
| Trans-European Rail Networks |
| Light Rail Systems |
| Industry Structure |
| Employment |
| Number of Enterprises |
| Turnover |
| Table 10.2: Turnover in the Railway Sector in the UK and Other Major EU Countries (em), 2000 |
| Passenger Transport |
| Freight Transport |
| 11. The Future |
| INTRODUCTION |
| Table 11.1: Forecasts for the UK Economy (% and million), 2004-2008 |
| FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 |
| Table 11.2: Forecast Total Passenger and Freight Receipts for Rail Services in Great Britain (£m), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008 |
| FUTURE TRENDS |
| Demographics |
| Table 11.3: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2004-2008 |
| Political Uncertainties |
| The International Scene |
| The Domestic Scene |
| Rail Investment |
| Table 11.4: Planned Public Expenditure and Private Investment in the Rail Infrastructure in Great Britain at Current Prices (£bn), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008 |
| Technological Developments |
| Franchise Developments |
| 12. Further Sources |
| Associations |
| General Sources |
| Government Sources |
| Other Sources |
| Bonnier Information Sources |
Executive Summary In the year ending 31st March 2003, receipts from passenger and freight rail services in Great Britain totalled £5.59bn. In the same year, the market for contracted-out services and other products supplied to UK railway operators was worth an estimated £8.01bn a figure that includes current expenditure and investment in track, signalling, stations, locomotives and other vehicles. The UK railway industry includes providers of infrastructure, operators of passenger and freight services on the national network, and operators of urban rail services.
The largest sector by far is passenger services on the national rail network, but London Underground and the freight operators also have significant market shares. Almost all railway systems in the UK have been affected by many years of underinvestment in vehicles and infrastructure, and many of the industry's current problems stem from this fact. Some observers take the view that the organisational framework governing the operations of the national railway network is also to blame for the industry's current malaise. For this reason, the Government has announced a review of the industry, which is expected to deal with the allocation of responsibilities between Network Rail, the Office of the Rail Regulator (ORR) and the Strategic Rail Authority (SRA).
Among the questions likely to be considered as part of this review is the extent to which the operation of the system is hampered by the fragmented nature of the current organisational structure. Should track and trains be brought back together and managed as part of a single organisation, possibly on a regional basis? Another question relates to the role of government ministers. Since large sums of public money are being spent on the rail infrastructure, even under a privatised regime, should the Government have greater powers to intervene in the operation of the railway system? In London, there is a parallel debate on the role of the public sector, with the Mayor of London having reluctantly accepted the public/private partnership for investment in London Underground.
The partnership provides for the upgrading and continuing maintenance of the Underground infrastructure by the private-sector operators Metronet and Tube Lines, at a cost of over £23bn over the next 15 years. The UK economy, and government finances in particular, are currently in a reasonably healthy state certainly in comparison with many of the UK's overseas competitors. This means that the Chancellor is able to make a significant contribution to the programme of investment required to create a more efficient railway system. Particular sectors have problems specific to their area of the industry.
In the rail freight market, for example, the positive impact of economic growth has been overshadowed by other factors. Since the 1960s, the sector has had to contend with the competitive advantage enjoyed by road haulage an advantage attributable to its flexibility and the fact that virtually all commercial and residential premises are directly linked to the road network, whereas few are directly connected to the rail network. As a consequence, in contrast to the recent resurgence in demand for passenger travel by rail, the rail freight market has continued to lose out to road transport. Another sector experiencing difficulties is the market for contracted-out services.
The infrastructure of the national railway system is controlled by Network Rail. Until October 2003, the major share of the maintenance of this infrastructure was contracted out to a number of specialist firms. However, following a number of highly publicised incidents involving accusations of poor workmanship, Network Rail has taken the decision to bring all such maintenance (although not renewals) in-house. Among the trends that are likely to have an impact on rail patronage in the future is the ageing nature of the UK population.
This will have implications for the passenger market, with commuter and business travel likely to be affected by a decline in the number of people of working age. The nature of the leisure-travel market will also change, with more attention having to be paid to the needs of the older sections of the population already a significant proportion of travellers on some urban rail systems. The threat of terrorism has a potential impact not only on activity in the UK economy as a whole but also on business and leisure travel.
Transport systems are always near the top of the list of terrorist targets, and the UK railway system (which includes London Underground and the Channel Tunnel) might well be badly affected by any such threats. In the shorter term, changes to the train operators' franchise networks are likely to affect public perception of the railways. Several franchises are being redefined; a new Greater Anglia franchise will replace the existing Anglia, Great Eastern and West Anglia rail services, and consultation has begun on a new Integrated Kent Franchise, with the aim of integrating new high-speed domestic services using the Channel Tunnel Rail Link with existing services in the area from 2007.
Text © 2004Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous June
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