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KN60074
KEY NOTE REPORT REVIEW : Railway Industry : May 2004
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This report covers: railway industry, passenger services, freight services, light rail industry, faltering growth in passenger market, declining demand for freight services, resurgence in urban rail systems, increasing investment, Changing Role of the Public Sector, Network Rail, Jarvis, Balfour Beatty, Carillion, rail services and the environment, Key trade associations, professional bodies, UK Trade Associations, Public/Private Partnerships, present and future schemes, foreign trade, safety, The Environment, impact of disability legislation, train warning and protection systems, automatic warning system, European Rail Traffic Management System, Maglev, the internet, outside suppliers/contractors, equipment manufacturers, rolling-stock leasing companies, (ROSCOs), Infrastructure Maintenance contractors, Vehicle Acceptance Bodies, Plant Acceptance Bodies,Train Engineering Service Companies, Train-Service Information Providers, Main Media Advertising, Exhibitions, Conferences and Trade Shows, freight operationg companies, rail freight group, new tramway developments, transport for London, Docklands Flight Railway, Rail Maintenance at Network Rail, Rail Maintenance at London Underground, Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies (ROSCOs), National Rail Contractors Group, Engineering Services and Equipment Companies,

Companies and Associations covered include: Network Rail, London Underground, Channel Tunnel Rail Link, Centre for Rail Skills, Heritage Railway Association, Railway Forum, Railway Industry Association, UK Professional Bodies, Institute of Logistics & Transport, Institution of Railway Operators, Engineering Institutions, L'Association Européenne pour le Développement du Transport Ferroviaire (AEDTF),Union Internationale des Chemins de Fer (UIC), Union des Industries Ferroviaires Européennes (UNIFE), English, Welsh & Scottish Railway, Great North Eastern Railway, South West Trains, West Coast Trains, ScotRail Railways, Great Western Trains Company, Arriva Trains Northern, South Central, North Western Trains Company, Eurostar, Eurotunnel, Strathclyde Passenger Transport, London Travelcard,Chiltern Railways, Network Rail, Eurotunnel, Channel Tunnel Rail Link, Train Operating Companies, Franchise Operators, Other Passenger Rail Services, Association of Train Operating Companies, National Express Group PLC, Qjump, Central Trains, Eurostar, FirstGroup, First Great Eastern, First Great Western, The Go-Ahead Group, Euro tunnel, Northern Ireland Railways Company, Freight liner, GB Railfreight, Light Rail Transit Association, Tyne & Wear Metro, Manchester Metrolink, Angel Trains, HSBC Rail, Porterbrook Leasing Company, Amey Rail, Bombardier Transportation, Jarvis Rail,Thames Water, WS Atkins,

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Industry Overview
 
REPORT COVERAGE
 
Report Structure
 
Standard Industrial Classification
 
Other Key Note Reports
 
REPORT BACKGROUND
 
Historical Background
 
Recent Legislative and Organisational Developments
 
ECONOMIC TRENDS
 
Population
 
Table 1.1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003
 
Gross Domestic Product
 
Table 1.2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1999-2003
 
Inflation
 
Table 1.3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003
 
Unemployment
 
Table 1.4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 1999-2003
 
Household Disposable Income
 
Table 1.5: Household Disposable Income per Head (£), 1999-2003
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 1.6: Total Passenger and Freight Receipts for Rail Services in Great Britain (£m), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
MARKET SEGMENTATION
 
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
 
Regulatory Framework
 
Office of the Rail Regulator
 
Strategic Rail Authority
 
Safety Regulation
 
Concentration
 
Table 1.7: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the `Transport via Railways' Sector† by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and %), 2003
 
Employment
 
Table 1.8: Number of Employee Jobs in the `Transport via Railways' Sector† in Great Britain by Sex (000), June 1999-2003
 
Distribution
 
Passenger Services
 
Freight Services
 
MARKET POSITION
 
Table 1.9: Use of Passenger and Freight Rail Services in the UK and Other Major EU Countries by Volume (million population, million passenger kilometres and million freight tonne kilometres), 2001
 
Table 1.10: Rail Turnover in the UK and Other Major EU Countries (em and %), 1999
 
KEY TRENDS
 
Faltering Growth in the Passenger Market
 
Declining Demand for Freight Services
 
Resurgence in Urban Rail Systems
 
Increasing Investment
 
Table 1.11: Investment in the Rail Industry in Great Britain (£m), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
Network Rail
 
London Underground
 
Channel Tunnel Rail Link
 
The Changing Role of the Public Sector
 
Network Rail
 
London Underground
 
Consumer Protection
 
Safety
 
Corporate Activity
 
Jarvis
 
Balfour Beatty
 
Carillion
 
Rail Services and the Environment
 
LEGISLATION
 
Office of the Rail Regulator
 
Strategic Rail Authority
 
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND PROFESSIONAL BODIES
 
UK Trade Associations
 
Centre for Rail Skills
 
Heritage Railway Association
 
Railway Forum
 
Railway Industry Association
 
Other Trade Associations
 
UK Professional Bodies
 
Institute of Logistics & Transport
 
Institution of Railway Operators
 
Engineering Institutions
 
International Bodies
 
L'Association Européenne pour le Développement du Transport Ferroviaire (AEDTF)
 
Union Internationale des Chemins de Fer (UIC)
 
Union des Industries Ferroviaires Européennes (UNIFE)
 
2. PEST Analysis
 
POLITICAL FACTORS
 
Background
 
Regulation
 
Strategic Rail Authority
 
Office of the Rail Regulator
 
Government Financial Support to the Private Sector
 
Network Rail
 
Public/Private Partnerships
 
Present and Future Schemes
 
ECONOMIC FACTORS
 
The Railway Sector and the Economy
 
Passenger Services
 
Freight Services
 
Foreign Trade
 
SOCIAL FACTORS
 
Safety
 
The Environment
 
Impact of Disability Legislation
 
TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS
 
Background
 
Train Warning and Protection Systems
 
Automatic Warning System
 
Train Protection and Warning System
 
Automatic Train Protection
 
European Rail Traffic Management System
 
The Internet
 
Maglev
 
3. Key Note Primary Research
 
INTRODUCTION
 
Overview of Results
 
Table 3.1: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain by Reason for Travel (% of respondents), 2003
 
JOURNEY TO WORK, SCHOOL OR COLLEGE
 
Table 3.2: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Journey to Work, School or College (% of respondents), 2003
 
BUSINESS TRIP
 
Table 3.3: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Business Trip (% of respondents), 2003
 
SHOPPING TRIP
 
Table 3.4: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Shopping Trip (% of respondents), 2003
 
LEISURE TRIP
 
Table 3.5: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for a Leisure Trip (% of respondents), 2003
 
OTHER PERSONAL REASONS
 
Table 3.6: Frequency of Rail Travel in Great Britain for Other Personal Reasons (% of respondents), 2003
 
4. Competitive Structure
 
THE MARKETPLACE
 
Primary Suppliers
 
Other Suppliers
 
MARKET LEADERS
 
Table 4.1: The Top Ten Companies in the UK Rail Industry by Annual Turnover (£m), 2002/2003
 
London Underground Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
English, Welsh & Scottish Railway Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
Great North Eastern Railway Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
South West Trains Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
West Coast Trains Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
ScotRail Railways Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
Great Western Trains Company Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
Arriva Trains Northern Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
South Central Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
North Western Trains Company Ltd
 
Financial Results
 
OTHER COMPANIES
 
Northern Ireland Railways Company
 
Eurostar
 
Eurotunnel
 
Strathclyde Passenger Transport
 
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS/CONTRACTORS
 
Equipment Manufacturers
 
Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies (ROSCOs)
 
Infrastructure Maintenance Contractors
 
Vehicle Acceptance Bodies
 
Plant Acceptance Bodies
 
Train Engineering Service Companies
 
Train-Service Information Providers
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
Main Media Advertising
 
Table 4.2: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by the Rail Industry in Great Britain (£000), Years Ending September 2002 and 2003
 
Other Marketing Activity
 
London Travelcard
 
Chiltern Railways
 
Exhibitions, Conferences and Trade Shows
 
Table 4.3: Key Trade Events for the Rail Industry in Western Europe, 2004
 
5. Infrastructure Providers
 
INTRODUCTION
 
KEY TRENDS
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 5.1: Network Rail — Number of Passenger Stations and Route Kilometres Open for Traffic in Great Britain, Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
Table 5.2: Network Rail — Expenditure and Income (£m), Year Ending 31st March 2003
 
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
 
MAJOR PLAYERS
 
Network Rail
 
Eurotunnel
 
Channel Tunnel Rail Link
 
FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008
 
Table 5.3: Network Rail — Forecast Expenditure and Income at Constant 2002/2003 prices (£m), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008
 
6. Train Operating Companies
 
INTRODUCTION
 
KEY TRENDS
 
Franchises
 
Role of the Office of Fair Trading
 
Performance
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 6.1: Train Operating Companies — Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
 
Franchise Operators
 
Table 6.2: Number of Train Operating Franchises Held by Each Franchisee, 2004
 
Other Passenger Rail Services
 
Distribution
 
Association of Train Operating Companies
 
MAJOR PLAYERS
 
Table 6.3: The Top Ten Train Operating Companies in Great Britain by Share of Turnover (%), 2003
 
National Express Group PLC
 
Brands
 
Table 6.4. National Express Group PLC — Passenger Train Brands and Product Range, 2004
 
Marketing Initiatives/Product Development
 
Qjump
 
Central Trains
 
Eurostar
 
FirstGroup PLC
 
Brands
 
Marketing Initiatives/Product Development
 
First Great Eastern
 
First Great Western
 
The Go-Ahead Group PLC
 
Eurotunnel
 
Northern Ireland Railways Company
 
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
 
Table 6.5: Patterns of Travel by Surface Rail in Great Britain — Distance Travelled, Trip Time and Average Number of Trips (miles, hours, minutes and trips), 2002
 
FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008
 
Table 6.6: Train Operating Companies — Forecast Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008
 
7. Freight Operating Companies
 
INTRODUCTION
 
KEY TRENDS
 
The Role of the Strategic Rail Authority
 
Performance
 
Central Railway
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 7.1: Freight Operating Companies — Freight Receipts, Goods Lifted and Goods Moved on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m, million tonnes and billion tonne kilometres), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
 
Freight Operating Companies
 
Table 7.2: The Five Rail Freight Operating Companies and Their Owners, 2004
 
Other Operators
 
Distribution
 
Rail Freight Group
 
MAJOR PLAYERS
 
English, Welsh & Scottish Railway Ltd
 
Product Range
 
Marketing and Distribution
 
Freightliner
 
Product Range
 
Marketing and Distribution
 
GB Railfreight Ltd
 
Product Range
 
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
 
FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008
 
Table 7.3: Freight Operating Companies — Forecast Freight Receipts, Goods Lifted and Goods Moved on the National Rail Network in Great Britain (£m, million tonnes and billion tonne kilometres), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008
 
8. Urban Rail Transport Operators
 
INTRODUCTION
 
KEY TRENDS
 
Public/Private Partnerships
 
Safety
 
Table 8.1: Number of Fatalities on the London Underground by Category, Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
New Tramway Developments
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 8.2: Urban Rail Transport Operators — Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
 
Responsibility for Services
 
Light Rail Transit Association
 
MAJOR PLAYERS
 
Table 8.3: The Leading Urban Railway Systems in Great Britain by Share of Passenger Receipts (%), 2003
 
Transport for London
 
London Underground
 
Docklands Light Railway
 
Tyne & Wear Metro
 
Manchester Metrolink
 
Buying Behaviour
 
Table 8.4: Patterns of Travel by London Underground — Distance Travelled, Trip Time and Average Number of Trips (miles, hours, minutes and trips), 2002
 
FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008
 
Table 8.5: Urban Rail Transport Operators — Forecast Passenger Receipts, Passenger Journeys and Passenger Kilometres in Great Britain (£m and million), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008
 
9. Suppliers and Contracted-Out Service Providers
 
INTRODUCTION
 
KEY TRENDS
 
Rail Maintenance at Network Rail
 
Rail Maintenance at London Underground
 
MARKET SIZE
 
Table 9.1: The Railway Supply Market — Turnover (£m), Years Ending 31st March 1999-2003
 
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
 
Background
 
Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies (ROSCOs)
 
Trade Associations
 
National Rail Contractors Group
 
Centre for Rail Skills
 
MAJOR PLAYERS
 
Rolling-Stock Leasing Companies
 
Angel Trains
 
HSBC Rail
 
Porterbrook Leasing Company
 
Engineering Services and Equipment Companies
 
Amey Rail
 
Balfour Beatty Rail
 
Bombardier Transportation
 
Carillion Rail
 
Jarvis Rail
 
Thames Water
 
WS Atkins
 
FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008
 
Table 9.2: The Railway Supply Market — Forecast Turnover (£m), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008
 
10. A Global Perspective
 
WORLD COMPARISONS
 
THE EUROPEAN INDUSTRY
 
Infrastructure
 
Table 10.1: The Rail Infrastructure in the UK and Other Major EU Countries (million, 000 kilometres and %), 2001
 
Trans-European Rail Networks
 
Light Rail Systems
 
Industry Structure
 
Employment
 
Number of Enterprises
 
Turnover
 
Table 10.2: Turnover in the Railway Sector in the UK and Other Major EU Countries (em), 2000
 
Passenger Transport
 
Freight Transport
 
11. The Future
 
INTRODUCTION
 
Table 11.1: Forecasts for the UK Economy (% and million), 2004-2008
 
FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008
 
Table 11.2: Forecast Total Passenger and Freight Receipts for Rail Services in Great Britain (£m), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008
 
FUTURE TRENDS
 
Demographics
 
Table 11.3: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2004-2008
 
Political Uncertainties
 
The International Scene
 
The Domestic Scene
 
Rail Investment
 
Table 11.4: Planned Public Expenditure and Private Investment in the Rail Infrastructure in Great Britain at Current Prices (£bn), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2008
 
Technological Developments
 
Franchise Developments
 
12. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
General Sources
 
Government Sources
 
Other Sources
 
Bonnier Information Sources

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary In the year ending 31st March 2003, receipts from passenger and freight rail services in Great Britain totalled £5.59bn. In the same year, the market for contracted-out services and other products supplied to UK railway operators was worth an estimated £8.01bn — a figure that includes current expenditure and investment in track, signalling, stations, locomotives and other vehicles. The UK railway industry includes providers of infrastructure, operators of passenger and freight services on the national network, and operators of urban rail services.

The largest sector by far is passenger services on the national rail network, but London Underground and the freight operators also have significant market shares. Almost all railway systems in the UK have been affected by many years of underinvestment in vehicles and infrastructure, and many of the industry's current problems stem from this fact. Some observers take the view that the organisational framework governing the operations of the national railway network is also to blame for the industry's current malaise. For this reason, the Government has announced a review of the industry, which is expected to deal with the allocation of responsibilities between Network Rail, the Office of the Rail Regulator (ORR) and the Strategic Rail Authority (SRA).

Among the questions likely to be considered as part of this review is the extent to which the operation of the system is hampered by the fragmented nature of the current organisational structure. Should track and trains be brought back together and managed as part of a single organisation, possibly on a regional basis? Another question relates to the role of government ministers. Since large sums of public money are being spent on the rail infrastructure, even under a privatised regime, should the Government have greater powers to intervene in the operation of the railway system? In London, there is a parallel debate on the role of the public sector, with the Mayor of London having reluctantly accepted the public/private partnership for investment in London Underground.

The partnership provides for the upgrading and continuing maintenance of the Underground infrastructure by the private-sector operators Metronet and Tube Lines, at a cost of over £23bn over the next 15 years. The UK economy, and government finances in particular, are currently in a reasonably healthy state — certainly in comparison with many of the UK's overseas competitors. This means that the Chancellor is able to make a significant contribution to the programme of investment required to create a more efficient railway system. Particular sectors have problems specific to their area of the industry.

In the rail freight market, for example, the positive impact of economic growth has been overshadowed by other factors. Since the 1960s, the sector has had to contend with the competitive advantage enjoyed by road haulage — an advantage attributable to its flexibility and the fact that virtually all commercial and residential premises are directly linked to the road network, whereas few are directly connected to the rail network. As a consequence, in contrast to the recent resurgence in demand for passenger travel by rail, the rail freight market has continued to lose out to road transport. Another sector experiencing difficulties is the market for contracted-out services.

The infrastructure of the national railway system is controlled by Network Rail. Until October 2003, the major share of the maintenance of this infrastructure was contracted out to a number of specialist firms. However, following a number of highly publicised incidents involving accusations of poor workmanship, Network Rail has taken the decision to bring all such maintenance (although not renewals) in-house. Among the trends that are likely to have an impact on rail patronage in the future is the ageing nature of the UK population.

This will have implications for the passenger market, with commuter and business travel likely to be affected by a decline in the number of people of working age. The nature of the leisure-travel market will also change, with more attention having to be paid to the needs of the older sections of the population — already a significant proportion of travellers on some urban rail systems. The threat of terrorism has a potential impact not only on activity in the UK economy as a whole but also on business and leisure travel.

Transport systems are always near the top of the list of terrorist targets, and the UK railway system (which includes London Underground and the Channel Tunnel) might well be badly affected by any such threats. In the shorter term, changes to the train operators' franchise networks are likely to affect public perception of the railways. Several franchises are being redefined; a new Greater Anglia franchise will replace the existing Anglia, Great Eastern and West Anglia rail services, and consultation has begun on a new Integrated Kent Franchise, with the aim of integrating new high-speed domestic services using the Channel Tunnel Rail Link with existing services in the area from 2007.

Text © 2004Key Note

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