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KN60061 KEY NOTE RAIL TRAVEL AUGUST 2001

Editor: Jacob Howard
ISBN: 1-84168-235-7

This report covers: rail travel, passenger transport, national rail network, light rail, underground, international rail network, distance covered by mode of transport, bus, coach, car, air, road, passenger kilometres, passenger journeys, passenger revenues, average journey length, average revenue per kilometre, ordinary fares, season tickets, performance statistics, franchise holders

Companies covered include: Association of Train-Operating Companies, Railway Forum, Railway Industry Association, DTLR, Strategic Rail Authority, Office of the Rail Regulator, Rail Passenger Committees, Passenger Transport Executives, London Underground, Tyne & Wear Metro, Greater Manchester Metrolink, Docklands Light Railway, Glasgow Underground, Sheffield Supertram, TOC, train operating companies, Centro West Midland Metro, croydon Tramlink, Heathrow Express, Eurotunnel Shuttle, Arriva, Connex Rail, FirstGroup, Go-Ahead Group, National Express Group, Stagecoach Holdings, Virgin Rail, Railtrack

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Key Note estimates that the income generated by domestic rail transport increased by 1.4 percent to reach nearly £4.6bn in 2000/2001, despite the drop in demand following the restrictions put on the networks following the Hatfield train disaster in October 2000. The two main sectors of the UK rail travel market are the national rail network, and the light rail and underground networks. This report also discusses the international rail network (Eurotunnel Shuttle/Eurostar). Overall, the market demand for rail travel in the UK was in long-term decline until the middle of the 1990s. Since then, market demand has increased and rail travel has increased its share of the passenger transport industry. The national rail network and the London Underground account for almost all the expenditure on rail travel in the UK. In the past 5 years, revenues generated by the national rail network have grown at a faster rate than those of the London Underground, while the importance of light rail and underground systems are growing in importance.

The national system was completely privatised by 1997, with 25
train-operating companies (TOCs) providing passenger services, on an infrastructure owned and maintained by Railtrack PLC. Since the privatisation of the national rail network, the demand for rail travel has increased, although the demand was severely affected by the conditions imposed following the Hatfield train accident in October 2000. Nevertheless, passenger demand still increased for the 2000/2001 year as a whole, while the performance of the national rail network deteriorated severely. In 1999/2000, the Strategic Rail Authority (SRA) was a net contributor to TOCs with incentives for reaching performance criteria. In 2000/2001, the SRA was a net benefactor with penalties from TOCs that had failed to reach performance targets. Only two of the 25 TOCs improved against the SRA's new Public Performance Measure (PPM) in 2000/2001.

When the national rail network was privatised, 11 companies owned the 25 franchises. The National Express Group was the most successful franchise bidder and was awarded five franchises. Since then, National Express has acquired Prism Rail, which was awarded four franchises, making it the largest train operator in the UK.

In 2000, the Government launched its 10-year plan for transport, which was underpinned by the Transport Act 2000. One of the main aims of the plan is to increase the use of public transport. The Government's targets are to increase the number of light rail journeys by 100 percent in the UK, between 2000 and 2010, and the national rail target is to increase the number of passengers' kilometres by 50 percent in the UK by 2010.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary


1. Market Definition

REPORT COVERAGE
Market Sectors
The National Rail Network
Underground Networks
Market Trends
Market position
The UK
1965, 1990-2000
Overseas
( percent of passenger kilometres), 1998
Key Trade Associations
The Association of Train-Operating Companies
The Railway Forum
Association
Regulatory Authorities
Local Government and the Regions
Strategic Rail Authority
Regulator
Committees and Council
Executives
Source, 2000


2. Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET
1995/1996-1999/2000
1999/2000
BY MARKET SECTOR
The National Rail Network
Table 6: National Rail Network Performance Statistics, 1996/1997-2000/2001
by Ticket Type
and £m), 1996/1997-2000/2001
by Area
and £m), 1996/1997-2000/2001
Government Support
1999/2000
Underground Networks
London Underground
1999/2000
million passenger kilometres and percent), 1999/2000
Light Rail Networks
1999/2000
Heathrow Express
Network
1996-2000


3. Industry Background

Recent History
INFRASTRUCTURE
of stations), 1996/1997-2000/2001
Industry Concentration
Companies
June 2001
Employment
1996-2000
Market?


4. Competitor Analysis

The Marketplace
by Sector, 2000
1999/2000
1999/2000
Companies
1999/2000
2000 and 2001
Major Players
Arriva PLC
Connex Rail Ltd
Ltd
FirstGroup PLC
The Go-Ahead Group PLC
London Underground Ltd
PLC
Stagecoach Holdings PLC
Virgin Rail Group Ltd
Other companies
Croydon Tramlink
Manchester Metrolink
Midland Metro
Supertram
Tyne & Wear Metro
Outside Suppliers
Rolling Stock Companies
Railtrack PLC
Infrastructure Maintenance Companies
PROMOTION
and 2001
Threats
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats


6. Buying Behaviour

FREQUENCY OF TRAVEL
( percent of adults), 2000
( percent of adults), 2000
( percent of adults), 2000
DEMOGRAPHICS
2000


7. Current Issues

DISEASE
HATFIELD RAIL DISASTER
RENEGOTIATION
Tranche One
Chiltern
South Central
East Coast Main Line
Tranche Two
South West Trains
TransPennine Express
Central Trains
Thamseslink
Tranche Three
Wales & Borders
Wessex
London Underground Public/Private Partnership


8. The Global Market

THE TOTAL MARKET
1999 and 2000


9. Forecasts

FORECASTS 2000/2001 TO 2005/2006
(£m and million), 2000/2001-2004/2005


10. Company Profiles

Arriva PLC
FirstGroup PLC
The Go-Ahead Group PLC
PLC
Stagecoach Holdings PLC


11. Further Sources

Associations
Publications
Directories
General Sources
Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources

Understanding TGI Data

Penetration
Social Grade
Standard Region

Key Note Research

The Key Note Range of Reports

Text © 2001 Key Note

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 24th September 2001