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KN60021 KEY NOTE DISTRIBUTION (UK) MARCH 2001

ISBN 1-85765-629-6

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This report covers: distribution, freight transport, road transport, rail transport, water transport, air transport, transport activities, freight forwarding, courier activities, pipeline, own-account transport, contract distribution, express parcels, bulk fuel, container, RoRo, roll-on, roll-off, semi-bulk, deep sea routes, short sea routes,

Companies covered include: Associated British Ports Holdings, British Airways, Eurotunnel, Exel, Ocean group, Freightliner, GeoLogistics, Jacobs Holdings, Nippon Express, P&O, Peninsular and Oriental Steam Navigation Company, Nedlloyd, railtrack, Christian Salvesen, Tibbett & Britten, TNT UK, TDG, Freighliner, EWS, Sea Containers UK,British Midland, DHL International, Kuehne & Nagel, MSAS Global Logistics, Nippon Express, UPS (UK), United Parcel Service,

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

MARKET OVERVIEW

Distribution is defined in this Review as the physical distribution of goods as part of the supply chain - particularly the movement of goods from suppliers to retailers and to the final consumer. The UK distribution industry provides services both to importers supplying the UK market and to UK manufacturers, which may supply both UK and foreign customers. The Review covers domestic and international distribution services, including transport by all modes - road, rail (including the Channel Tunnel), sea, inland waterway and air - and the services of agents such as freight forwarders.

Historically, many large companies in the UK have provided their own transport link in the distribution chain through their own transport fleets (normally provided in the form of 'own-account' road haulage operations). Now, this function is increasingly being contracted out to specialist transport companies, whose role is to provide a dedicated transport service, integrated with their client's own operations and managed as part of the client's overall logistics function.

The UK transport industry is, in general, highly fragmented - especially in those sectors that provide distribution services. This is less true of those sectors that provide transport links at an earlier stage in the supply chain. For instance, the sea and rail transport sectors - each of which has an important role in the bulk transport of fuels and other raw materials - exhibit a high degree of concentration relative to the highly fragmented road transport sector.

MARKET SIZE AND SEGMENTATION

Key Note estimates that the value of the UK distribution market in 2000, as measured by the gross output of the sector, was £23.3bn. This figure excludes turnover attributable to activities that are concerned with other stages in the supply chain, such as the transport of raw materials to manufacturers. However, because of the double counting that is involved (i.e. where part of the industry purchases services from another part, or subcontracts its activities) the value added in distribution is considerably lower than this figure. On the basis that gross value added in the transport and communications sector as a whole is around 45 percent of that sector's output at market prices, value added in the distribution sector can be estimated at around £10bn.

Road transport is estimated to account for around 40 percent of the total turnover of the British freight transport industry, making it the dominant sector. If allowance is made for double counting, and if sectors such as freight forwarding and other supporting activities are eliminated from the comparison, the dominance of road transport is even more marked. By comparison, rail and water transport have a relatively minor role. Air transport also has a minor role, but its share of turnover is not an accurate measure of its economic importance, since air freight accounts for a large share of the country's foreign trade when measured by the value of goods carried.

The UK market for transport and distribution services may also be split between domestic and international distribution - the latter comprising the distribution of products exported from the UK and the distribution within the UK of products imported from overseas. However, the establishment of the Single European Market has blurred the distinction between domestic and international transport in respect of the carriage of freight between the UK and the EU. In other words, the EU is itself taking on many of the characteristics of a 'domestic' market. The consequences of this development have been felt, in particular, by the customs agent sector of the freight forwarding business, whose services are now no longer required where distribution on an intra-EU basis is concerned.

CHOICE OF TRANSPORT MODE

The distribution function is an important link in the supply chain, and managers in manufacturing, retailing and other sectors are becoming increasingly aware of the need to consider the supply chain as a whole. Failures at any stage can affect the efficiency of the whole logistics operation. Managers are now less inclined to see the transport and distribution stages of the process as being somehow less important than other links in the supply chain.

Ensuring the timely and safe delivery of products is more than just a matter of deciding on the mode of transport to be used. In some cases, it may be appropriate to establish a distribution network based on a single mode - perhaps a road-based network of services to supply retail stores, or one based on the use of air freight for the specialist distribution of high-value or perishable items. However, in the present competitive environment, a particular mode of transport may be unable to prove that it can offer any special competitive advantages over other modes.

There are many markets where intermodal competition is intense - especially at the interface between different lengths of haul, where the advantage experienced by one mode decreases and that enjoyed by a competing mode increases. Hence, road competes with rail or air as the length of haul increases. The Freight Shuttle services operated by Eurotunnel also offer direct competition to the cross-channel vehicle ferries in the carriage of road-based freight. Similarly, the through-rail freight services operated through the Tunnel have the potential to compete with other modes in a variety of markets, although there is little evidence that this potential is currently being realised.

In such instances, it is likely that the choice of mode of transport will be made on the basis of price, as well as on the basis of the inherent characteristics of the transport mode itself.

In some circumstances - especially in the case of smaller companies which are unable to operate their own fleets of vehicles - there is a particular role for specialists such as freight forwarders or integrated carriers. The decision as to the most suitable mode of transport can be delegated to them. The client may have no need to specify the mode to be used, but may merely wish to set out the conditions to be met regarding security and timeliness of delivery. It can then be left to the specialist to decide on the mode that meets these criteria.

DEVELOPMENTS IN THE INDUSTRY

Information Technology

The transport and distribution industry uses many applications from the field of information technology (IT). Many of these are employed by a wide spectrum of businesses. Such applications include e-mail, the Internet and mobile phones, as well as long-established computer-based systems such as accounting and payroll packages, word-processing software and personnel record systems.

More industry-specific applications include electronic data interchange (EDI), providing for the automation of the process of preparing and transmitting documents to all parties involved in the transport of goods across international boundaries. Tracking and tracing systems are also of particular importance in the air freight and courier and express businesses. As pressures increase to reduce the amount of capital tied up in inventory, shippers wish to be able to check on the passage of their consignment at each stage in its movement along the chain of distribution.

Fuel Taxes

There are a number of reasons for the imposition of fuel taxes at a particular level, and these cross economic, political and social boundaries. The concept of raising fuel duties at a rate above that of general inflation (now apparently abandoned) was aimed at securing a reduction in the polluting emissions attributable to the use of the internal combustion engine, but critics of the Government's taxation policies suggest that high taxes on the transport and distribution sector (especially road goods vehicles) are imposed mainly to increase government revenues.

The opposition parties have also used public discontent with increasing fuel taxes to improve their own appeal to the electorate by promising cuts in such taxes if they are elected in 2001.

The Environment

Concern for the environment has other consequences for the UK transport and distribution sector than changes to government taxation policies. It has also led to changes in vehicle design, direct controls on vehicle emissions and noise levels, and a reduction in road construction programmes. Furthermore, it has resulted in questions as to the desirability of the 'just?in?time' techniques aimed at reducing inventories. This concern has centred on the adverse consequences on the environment of the need for a larger number of smaller vehicles on the roads.

THE FUTURE

There are some general conclusions that have relevance for the distribution sector as a whole:

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary 1
MARKET OVERVIEW 1
MARKET SIZE AND SEGMENTATION 1
CHOICE OFTRANSPORT MODE 2
DEVELOPMENTS INTHE INDUSTRY 3
Information Technology 3
Fuel Taxes 3
The Environment 3
THE FUTURE 4
1. Market Overview 5
INTRODUCTION 5
DEFINITION 5
Terms Used 5
Standard Industrial Classification 6
Table 1.1: The Main SIC Codes Applicable to the UK Freight Transport and Distribution Industry,2001 6
Report Coverage 10
Other RecentKey Note Reports 11
MARKET SIZE 11
Table 1.2: The UK Market for Freight Transport and Distribution Services by Value and Volume(£m and million tonnes), 1995-2000 11
MARKET SEGMENTATION 12
By Major Sector 12
Table 1.3: Turnover of UK Companies from Freight Transport and Distribution Services by Major Sector (£m), 1995-2000 12
Choice of Transport Mode 14
Characteristics of the Different Modes of Transport 15
Road 15
Rail 15
Water 16
Air 16
Domestic and International Distribution 17
By Mode of Transport 18
Domestic Freight 19
Table 1.4: Volume of Domestic Freight Transported in Great Britain by Mode of Transport (million tonnes),1995-2000 19
International Freight 20
Table 1.5: Volume of International Freight Transported to and from the UK by Mode of Transport (million tonnes),1995-2000 20
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 21
Providers of Transport and Distribution Services 21
Own-Account andContracted-Out Transport 21
Transport ’For Hireor Reward’ 21
Transport Agents 22
Number of Companies 22
Table 1.6: Breakdown of VAT-Based Enterprises in the Major UK Transport and Distribution Sectors by Turnover (£000, numberand percent), 2000 22
Employment 23
Table 1.7: Number of Employees in the Major Transport and Distribution Sectors in Great Britain (000), June 2000 24
Trends in Employment 25
Table 1.8: Number of Employees in the Major Transport and Distribution Sectors in Great Britain (000), March 1995-2000 25
Trade Associations and Professional Bodies 26
Institute of Logistics and Transport 26
Freight TransportAssociation Ltd 27
Use of InformationTechnology 28
KEY TRENDS AND PROSPECTS 28
The Distribution Sector andthe Economy as a Whole 28
Table 1.9: Output of Key Sectors of the UK Economy — Gross Value Added at Current Basic Prices (£bn), 1995-2000 29
PEST ANALYSIS 30
Political Factors 30
Political Background 30
Transport Legislation 31
Transport Regulation 31
Economic Factors 31
The Euro 31
Fuel Taxes 31
The Influence of the Economy 32
Social Factors 32
Environmental Awareness 32
Employment and OtherSocial Legislation 32
Consumer Power 32
Technological Factors 33
Information Technology 33
Emission Controls 33
Other Technologies 33
A EUROPEANPERSPECTIVE 33
Income Generated from Transport Activities 34
Size of Transport Enterprises 34
Modes of Transport Used 34
Table 1.10: Modes of Freight Transport in the Countries of the EU — Market Shares by Volume ( percent), 1997 34
Road Transport 35
Rail Transport 36
Water Transport 36
Air Transport 36
2. Key Note Field Research 37
INTRODUCTION 37
COMPANY OBJECTIVES 37
Table 2.1: Stated Objectives of Selected Major Companies in the UK Transport and Distribution Industry, 1999/2000/2001 37
COMPANY STRATEGIES 39
Table 2.2: Stated Strategies of Selected Major Companies in the UK Transport and Distribution Industry, 1999/2000/2001 40
3. Competitor Analysis 43
INTRODUCTION 43
MARKET LEADERS 43
Associated British Ports Holdings PLC 43
Principal Activities 43
Company Structure 43
Financial Results 44
British Airways PLC 44
Principal Activities 44
Company Structure 44
Financial Results 44
Eurotunnel 44
Principal Activities 44
Company Structure 45
Financial Results 45
Exel PLC 45
Principal Activities 45
Company Structure 45
Financial Results 46
Freightliner Ltd 46
Principal Activities 46
Company Structure 46
Financial Results 46
GeoLogistics Ltd 46
Principal Activities 46
Company Structure 47
Financial Results 47
Jacobs Holdings PLC 47
Principal Activities 47
Company Structure 47
Financial Results 47
Nippon Express (UK) Ltd 48
Principal Activities 48
Company Structure 48
Financial Results 48
Peninsular and OrientalSteam Navigation Company 48
Principal Activities 48
Company Structure 48
Financial Results 49
Railtrack Group PLC 49
Principal Activities 49
Company Structure 49
Financial Results 50
Christian Salvesen PLC 50
Principal Activities 50
Company Structure 50
Financial Results 50
Tibbett & BrittenGroup PLC 50
Principal Activities 50
Company Structure 51
Financial Results 51
TNT UK Ltd 51
Principal Activities 51
Company Structure 51
Financial Results 51
4. Road Transport 53
DEFINITION 53
MARKET SIZE 53
Turnover of UK Companies 53
Table 4.1: Turnover of UK Companies from Road Freight Transport by Major Sector (£m), 1995-2000 53
Domestic Road Transport 54
Table 4.2: Domestic Road Haulage in Great Britain by Commodity Grouping by Volume (million tonnes), 1995-2000 54
Table 4.3: Domestic Road Haulage in Great Britain by Major Sector by Volume (million tonnes),1995-2000 56
International Road Transport 56
Table 4.4: Number of Road Goods Vehicles Travelling from the UK to Mainland Europe by Country of Disembarkation (000),1995-2000 57
MARKET STRUCTURE 57
Introduction 57
Specialist Sectors of Road Freight Transport 58
’Own-Account’ Transport 58
Contract DistributionServices 58
Domestic Courier, Expressand Parcels Services 58
Number of Companies 58
Table 4.5: Breakdown of VAT-Based Enterprises in the UK Road Transport Sector by Turnover (£000, number and percent), 2000 59
Employment 59
Trade Associations 59
Road Haulage Association 60
Despatch Association 60
MAJOR PLAYERS 60
Exel PLC 61
Products and Brands 61
Market Shares 61
Christian Salvesen PLC 61
Products and Brands 61
Market Shares 61
TDG PLC 61
Products and Brands 61
Market Shares 61
Tibbett & BrittenGroup PLC 61
Products and Brands 61
Market Shares 62
BUYING BEHAVIOUR 62
FORECASTS 2001 TO 2005 62
Table 4.6: Forecast Turnover of UK Companies from Road Freight Transport at Current and Constant 2000 Prices (£m and index, 2000=100), 2001-2005 63
5. Rail Transport 65
DEFINITION 65
MARKET SIZE 65
Turnover ofBritish Companies 65
Table 5.1: Turnover of British Companies from Rail Freight Transport by Major Sector (£m), 1995-2000 65
Domestic Rail Transport 66
Table 5.2: Volume of Domestic Freight Transported by Rail in Great Britain by Commodity Grouping (million tonnes), 1995-2000 66
International Rail Transport 66
Table 5.3: Volume of International Freight Transported by Rail by British Operators by Type of Transport (million tonnes), 1995-2000 67
MARKET STRUCTURE 67
Introduction 67
Domestic Railway Infrastructure and Services 67
International Railway Infrastructure and Services (Channel Tunnel) 67
Number of Companies 67
Table 5.4: Breakdown of VAT-Based Enterprises in the UK Rail Transport Sector by Turnover (£000, number and percent), 2000 68
Employment 68
Table 5.5: Number of Employees in the Rail Transport Sector in Great Britain (000), June 2000 68
Trade Associations 69
MAJOR PLAYERS 69
BUYING BEHAVIOUR 69
FORECASTS 2001 TO 2005 70
Table 5.6: Forecast Turnover of British Companies from Rail Freight Transport at Current and Constant 2000 Prices (£m and index, 2000=100), 2001-2005 70
6. Water Transport 71
DEFINITION 71
MARKET SIZE 71
Turnover of UK Companies 71
Table 6.1: Turnover of UK Companies from Water Freight Transport by Major Sector (£m), 1995-2000 72
Domestic Water Transport 72
Table 6.2: Volume of Freight Transported by Water in the UK by Type of Traffic (million tonnes),1995-2000 73
InternationalWater Transport 73
Table 6.3: Volume of International Freight Transported by Sea to and from British Ports by Mode of Transport (million tonnes), 1995-2000 74
Short Sea Routes 74
Deep Sea Trades 74
MARKET STRUCTURE 74
Introduction 74
Number of Companies 75
Table 6.4: Breakdown of VAT-Based Enterprises in the UK Water Transport Sector by Type of Activity by Turnover (£000 and number), 2000 75
Employment 75
Trade Associations 76
The Chamber of Shipping 76
MAJOR PLAYERS 76
Associated British Ports Holdings PLC 76
Jacobs Holdings PLC 76
Peninsular and OrientalSteam Navigation Company 77
Sea Containers UK Ltd 77
BUYING BEHAVIOUR 77
FORECASTS 2001 TO 2005 77
Table 6.5: Forecast Turnover of UK Companies from Water Freight Transport at Current and Constant 2000 Prices (£m and index, 2000=100), 2001-2005 78
7. Air Transport 79
DEFINITION 79
MARKET SIZE 79
Markets Served byAir Transport 79
Turnover of UK Companies 80
Table 7.1: Turnover of UK Companies from Air Freight Transport by Major Sector (£m), 1995-2000 80
International andDomestic Services 81
Table 7.2: Volume of Domestic and International Air Freight Transported by UK Airlines (000 tonnes), 1995-2000 81
MARKET STRUCTURE 81
Introduction 81
Number of Companies 82
Table 7.3: Breakdown of VAT-Based Enterprises in the UK Air Transport Sector by Type of Activity by Turnover (£000 and number), 2000 82
Employment 82
Trade Associations 83
The International AirTransport Association 83
The Baltic Air Charter Association 83
The International Air Cargo Association 83
MAJOR PLAYERS 84
British Airways PLC 84
British Midland PLC 84
Foreign Airlines Serving UK Freight Markets 84
BUYING BEHAVIOUR 85
FORECASTS 2001 TO 2005 85
Table 7.4: Forecast Turnover of UK Companies from Air Freight Transport at Current and Constant 2000 Prices (£m and index, 2000=100), 2001-2005 85
8. Freight Forwarding 87
DEFINITION 87
MARKET SIZE 87
Turnover of UK Companies 87
Table 8.1: Turnover of UK Freight Forwarding Companies (£m),1995-2000 88
MARKET STRUCTURE 88
Introduction 88
Number of Companies 89
Table 8.2: Breakdown of VAT-Based Enterprises in the UK Freight Forwarding Sector by Turnover (£000, number and percent), 2000 89
Employment 89
Trade Associations 90
The British International Freight Association 90
Association of International Courier and Express Services 90
The International Federation of Freight Forwarders 90
The International Express Carriers Conference 91
MAJOR PLAYERS 91
DHL International (UK) Ltd 91
GeoLogistics Ltd 92
Kuehne & Nagel Ltd 92
MSAS GlobalLogistics (UK) Ltd 93
Nippon Express (UK) Ltd 93
UPS (UK) Ltd 93
BUYING BEHAVIOUR 94
FORECASTS 2001 TO 2005 94
Table 8.3: Forecast Turnover of UK Freight Forwarding Companies at Current Prices and Constant 2000 Prices (£m and index, 2000=100), 2001-2005 94
9. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats 95
STRENGTHS 95
WEAKNESSES 95
OPPORTUNITIES 95
THREATS 96
10. The Future 97
FORECASTS 2001 TO 2005 97
At Current Prices 97
Table 10.1: Forecast Turnover of UK Companies from Freight Transport and Distribution Services by Major Sector at Current Prices (£m), 2001-2005 97
At Constant 2000 Prices 98
Table 10.2: Forecast Turnover of UK Companies from Freight Transport and Distribution Services by Major Sector at Constant 2000 Prices (indices, 2000=100), 2001-2005 99
FUTURE TRENDS 99
11. Further Sources 101
Associations 101
Periodicals 104
Directories 106
General Sources 106
Bonnier Information Sources 107
Government Publications 108
Other Sources 109
Key Note Research 111
The Key Note Rangeof Reports 113

Text © 2001 Key Note

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