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KN55023
KEY NOTE CATERING MARKET : DECEMBER 2003
Overview

Editor: Dominic Fenn
ISBN: 1-84168-588-7

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This report covers: restaurants, cafés, takeaways, licensed clubs, pubs, hotels, motels, canteens, contract catering, holiday centres, villages, camping, caravan sites, youth hostels, mountain refuges, state school meals, eating out occasions, railway stations, airports, motorway service stations, fish and chips, ethnic foods, sandwiches, pizzas, burgers, chicken, fast food, wine bars

Companies covered include: City Centre Restaurants, Compass Group Holdings, Hilton Group, Scottish & Newcastle, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Mitchells & Butlers, McDonalds Restaurants, Sodexho, JD Wetherspoon, Millennium & Copthorne, Burger King, De Vere Group, Enterprise Inns, Greene King, Pizza Express, Punch Taverns, Queens Moat Houses, Thistle Hotels, The Wolverhampton and Dudley Breweries, Yum! Brands Incorporated, Ask Central, City Centre Restaurants, Gaucho Grill, Giardino Group, Groupe Chez Gerard, Pizza Express, Whitbread, Benjy's Group, Delifrance, Domino's Pizzas, DPP Restaurants, Greggs, Kentucky Fried Chicken, O'Briens Irish Sandwich Bars, Perfect Pizza, Pizza Hut, Pret a Manger, Subway, Wimpy Restaurants Group, Caffé Nero Group, Coffee Rebuplic, Costa, Starbucks Conffee Company (UK), Sodexho, Aramark, Avenance, Initial Catering Services, Wilson Storey Halliday, Massarella Catering Group, Catering Alliance, Charlton House Catering Srvices, Lindley Catering, Accor (UK), CHE Group, Corus & Regal Hotels, De Vere Group, Hilton Group, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Jarvis Hotels, Le Meridien, MacDonald Hotels, Milennium & Copthorne Hotels, Mitchells & Butlers, Queens Moat Houses, Scottish & Newcastle PLC/Spirit Group, Thistle Hotels, TLLC, Whitbread, Bourne Leisure, Centers Parcs, Pontins,

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Executive Summary
2
3 1. Market Overview
4
5 REPORT COVERAGE
6
7 ECONOMIC TRENDS
8
9 Household Disposable Income
10
11 Table 1.1: Household Disposable Income in the UK (£), 1998-2002
12
13 Population
14
15 Table 1.2: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1998-2002
16
17 Gross Domestic Product
18
19 Table 1.3: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current Prices and Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1998-2002
20
21 Inflation
22
23 Table 1.4: UK Rate of Inflation ( percent), 1998-2002
24
25 Unemployment
26
27 Table 1.5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 1998-2002
28
29 MARKET SIZE
30
31 Table 1.6: The UK Catering Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
32
33 Table 1.7: Catering and General Retail Price Indices (13th January 1987=100), July 2001-July 2003
34
35 MARKET SEGMENTATION
36
37 Table 1.8: The UK Catering Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
38
39 Table 1.9: The UK Catering Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices ( percent), 1998-2002
40
41 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
42
43 Industry Synopsis
44
45 Restaurants
46
47 Table 1.10: Restaurants — Average Financial Performance (£000, percent and £), 2001/2002/2003
48
49 Bars
50
51 Table 1.11: Bar Operators — Average Financial Performance (£000, percent and £), 2001/2002/2003
52
53 Hotels
54
55 Table 1.12: Hotels — Average Financial Performance (£000, percent and £), 2001/2002/2003
56
57 Catering
58
59 Table 1.13: Catering Companies — Average Financial Performance (£000, percent and £), 2001/2002/2003
60
61 Number of UK Businesses
62
63 Table 1.14: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Catering and Allied Trades by Sector of Activity (number and percent), 2002 and 2003
64
65 Employment
66
67 Table 1.15: Number of Employees in Selected Sectors of the Catering Industry in Great Britain (000), June 2003
68
69 MARKET POSITION
70
71 Table 1.16: Household Consumption Expenditure in Selected Sectors at Current Prices (£m), 1999-2002
72
73 KEY TRENDS
74
75 Restaurants
76
77 Fast Food and Takeaways
78
79 Contract Catering and Food-Service Management
80
81 Hotels
82
83 Public Houses
84
85 Other Catering Markets
86
87 LEGISLATION
88
89 KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
90
91 British Beer & Pub Association
92
93 British Hospitality Association
94
95 HOTREC
96
97 2. PEST Analysis
98
99 POLITICAL FACTORS
100
101 ECONOMIC FACTORS
102
103 SOCIAL FACTORS
104
105 TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS
106
107 3. Key Note Primary Research
108
109 INTRODUCTION
110
111 Table 3.1: Popular Occasions for Eating Out ( percent of respondents), 2003
112
113 SURVEY RESULTS
114
115 Eating Out for Special Occasions and Get-Togethers
116
117 Table 3.2: Those Who Eat Out for Special Occasions and Get-Togethers with Family or Friends by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2003
118
119 Eating Out at Travel Locations and Terminals
120
121 Table 3.3: Those Who Eat Out at Railway Stations/Airports and While Travelling on Motorways by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2003
122
123 Eating Out Before or After the Cinema/Pub
124
125 Table 3.4: Those Who Eat Out Before or After Cinema Visits and Before or After a Night at the Pub/Club by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2003
126
127 Eating Out While Shopping or on Holiday
128
129 Table 3.5: Those Who Eat Out While Shopping and While on Holiday by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2003
130
131 Eating Out at Sunday Lunchtimes and for Breakfast
132
133 Table 3.6: Those Who Eat Out at Sunday Lunchtimes and for Breakfast by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2003
134
135 Eating Out for Snacks/Drinks and After Work
136
137 Table 3.7: Those Who Eat Out for Snacks/Drinks between Meals and Those Who Eat Out Straight After Work by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2003
138
139 4. Competitive Structure
140
141 THE MARKETPLACE
142
143 Table 4.1: Selected Corporate Activities by Major UK Catering Companies, December 2002-October 2003
144
145 MARKET LEADERS
146
147 The Top Ten Catering Companies by Turnover
148
149 Table 4.2: The Top Ten UK-Registered Catering Companies by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£m), 2001/2002/2003
150
151 Compass Group PLC
152
153 Financial Results
154
155 Table 4.3: Compass Group PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 30th September 2000-2002
156
157 Hilton Group PLC
158
159 Financial Results
160
161 Table 4.4: Hilton Group PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 31st December 2000-2002
162
163 Scottish & Newcastle PLC
164
165 Financial Results
166
167 Table 4.5: Scottish & Newcastle PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending April 2001-2003
168
169 InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
170
171 Financial Results
172
173 Whitbread PLC
174
175 Financial Results
176
177 Table 4.6: Whitbread PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending March 2001-2003
178
179 Mitchells & Butlers PLC
180
181 Financial Results
182
183 McDonald's Restaurants Ltd
184
185 Financial Results
186
187 Table 4.7: McDonald's Restaurants Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 31st December 2000-2002
188
189 Sodexho Ltd
190
191 Financial Results
192
193 Table 4.8: Sodexho Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 31st August 1999-2001
194
195 JD Wetherspoon PLC
196
197 Financial Results
198
199 Table 4.9: JD Wetherspoon PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending July 2001-2003
200
201 Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC
202
203 Financial Results
204
205 Table 4.10: Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 31st December 2000-2002
206
207 Other Companies
208
209 Burger King
210
211 Financial Results
212
213 City Centre Restaurants PLC
214
215 Financial Results
216
217 Table 4.11: City Centre Restaurants PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 31st December 2000-2002
218
219 De Vere Group PLC
220
221 Financial Results
222
223 Table 4.12: De Vere Group PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending September/October 2000-2002
224
225 Enterprise Inns PLC
226
227 Financial Results
228
229 Table 4.13: Enterprise Inns PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 30th September 2000-2002
230
231 Greene King PLC
232
233 Financial Results
234
235 Table 4.14: Greene King PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending April/May 2001-2003
236
237 PizzaExpress Ltd
238
239 Financial Results
240
241 Table 4.15: PizzaExpress Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending 30th June 2000-2002
242
243 Punch Taverns PLC
244
245 Financial Results
246
247 Queens Moat Houses PLC
248
249 Financial Results
250
251 Table 4.16: Queens Moat Houses PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending December 2000-2002
252
253 Thistle Hotels Ltd
254
255 Financial Results
256
257 Table 4.17: Thistle Hotels Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending December 2000-2002
258
259 The Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries PLC
260
261 Financial Results
262
263 Table 4.18: The Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries PLC — Financial Performance (£m and percent), Years Ending September 2000-2002
264
265 Yum! Brands Incorporated
266
267 Financial Results
268
269 OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
270
271 MARKETING ACTIVITY
272
273 Table 4.19: Main Media Advertising Expenditure in Selected Sectors of the UK Catering Market (£m), Years Ending June 2002 and 2003
274
275 5. Restaurants
276
277 DEFINITION
278
279 KEY TRENDS
280
281 MARKET SIZE
282
283 Table 5.1: The UK Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
284
285 MARKET SEGMENTATION
286
287 Pub-Restaurants
288
289 Table 5.2: The UK Pub-Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
290
291 Roadside Catering
292
293 Table 5.3: The UK Roadside Catering Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
294
295 Other Restaurants
296
297 Table 5.4: The UK `Other Restaurants' Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
298
299 SUPPLY STRUCTURE
300
301 Number of UK Businesses
302
303 Table 5.5: Number of UK VAT-Based Restaurant Enterprises, 1999-2003
304
305 By Turnover
306
307 Table 5.6: Number of UK VAT-Based Restaurant Enterprises by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and percent), 2003
308
309 Employment
310
311 Table 5.7: Number of Employees in the Restaurants Sector in Great Britain by Sex and Type of Contract (000), December 2000-2002
312
313 MAJOR PLAYERS
314
315 Ask Central PLC
316
317 City Centre Restaurants PLC
318
319 Gaucho Grill Ltd
320
321 Giardino Group PLC
322
323 Groupe Chez Gerard PLC
324
325 Mitchells & Butlers PLC
326
327 Nando's Chicken Ltd
328
329 PizzaExpress Ltd
330
331 Scottish & Newcastle PLC/Spirit Group Ltd
332
333 TLLC Ltd
334
335 Whitbread PLC
336
337 ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
338
339 Table 5.8: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Selected Restaurant Brands (£000), Years Ending June 2002 and 2003
340
341 BUYING BEHAVIOUR
342
343 Table 5.9: Visitors to Restaurants in the Day and in the Evening by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2003
344
345 Table 5.10: Frequency of Visits to Restaurants in the Day and in the Evening ( percent of adults), 2003
346
347 Table 5.11: Those Who Had Visited a Specified Restaurant Chain in the Previous 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), May 2003
348
349 FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007
350
351 Table 5.12: The Forecast UK Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
352
353 6. Fast Food and Takeaways
354
355 DEFINITION
356
357 KEY TRENDS
358
359 MARKET SIZE
360
361 Table 6.1: The UK Fast-Food and Takeaway Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
362
363 MARKET SEGMENTATION
364
365 Sandwiches
366
367 Table 6.2: The UK Sandwich Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
368
369 Burgers
370
371 Table 6.3: The UK Burger Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
372
373 Fish and Chips
374
375 Table 6.4: The UK Fish and Chip Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
376
377 Pizzas
378
379 Table 6.5: The UK Pizza Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
380
381 Chicken
382
383 Table 6.6: The UK Chicken Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
384
385 Other Fast Food and Takeaway
386
387 Table 6.7: The UK `Other Fast Food and Takeaway' Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
388
389 SUPPLY STRUCTURE
390
391 MAJOR PLAYERS
392
393 Food Retailers
394
395 Benjy's Group Ltd
396
397 Burger King Ltd
398
399 Compass Group PLC
400
401 Delifrance (UK) Ltd
402
403 Domino's Pizza UK & IRL PLC
404
405 DPP Restaurants Ltd
406
407 Greggs PLC
408
409 Kentucky Fried Chicken (Great Britain) Ltd
410
411 McDonald's Restaurants Ltd
412
413 O'Briens Irish Sandwich Bars (UK) Ltd
414
415 Perfect Pizza Ltd
416
417 Pizza Hut (UK) Ltd
418
419 Pret A Manger (Europe) Ltd
420
421 Subway
422
423 Wimpy Restaurants Group Ltd
424
425 Coffee Shops
426
427 Caffè Nero Group PLC
428
429 Coffee Republic PLC
430
431 Costa Ltd
432
433 Starbucks Coffee Company (UK) Ltd
434
435 ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
436
437 Table 6.8: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Selected Fast-Food Brands (£000), Years Ending June 2002 and 2003
438
439 BUYING BEHAVIOUR
440
441 Lunch Choices
442
443 Table 6.9: The Top Ten Food Choices for Lunch in the UK ( percent of workers), 2000 and 2002
444
445 Visits to Fast-Food and Takeaway Outlets
446
447 Table 6.10: Visitors to Fast-Food and Takeaway Outlets by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2003
448
449 Table 6.11: Frequency of Visiting Fast-Food and Takeaway Outlets ( percent of adults), 2003
450
451 FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007
452
453 Table 6.12: The Forecast UK Fast-Food and Takeaway Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
454
455 7. Contract Catering and Food-Service Management
456
457 DEFINITION
458
459 KEY TRENDS
460
461 MARKET SIZE
462
463 Table 7.1: The UK Market for Contract Catering and Food-Service Management by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
464
465 MARKET SEGMENTATION
466
467 Business and Industry
468
469 Table 7.2: The UK Market for Business and Industry Contract Catering by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
470
471 Education
472
473 Table 7.3: The UK Market for Education Contract Catering by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
474
475 Catering for the Public
476
477 Table 7.4: The UK Market for Catering for the Public by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
478
479 Healthcare
480
481 Table 7.5: The UK Market for Healthcare Contract Catering by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
482
483 Other Contract Catering
484
485 Table 7.6: The UK Market for Other Contract Catering by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
486
487 SUPPLY STRUCTURE
488
489 Number of UK Businesses
490
491 Table 7.7: Number of UK VAT-Based Contract-Catering Enterprises, 1990-2003
492
493 Table 7.8: Number of UK VAT-Based Contract-Catering Enterprises by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and percent), 2003
494
495 Employment
496
497 MAJOR PLAYERS
498
499 Table 7.9: The Top Ten Companies in the UK Contract-Catering Market by Turnover (£m), 2001/2002
500
501 Compass Group PLC
502
503 Sodexho Ltd
504
505 Aramark Ltd
506
507 Avenance PLC
508
509 Initial Catering Services Ltd
510
511 Wilson Storey Halliday Ltd
512
513 Massarella Catering Group Ltd
514
515 Catering Alliance Ltd
516
517 Charlton House Catering Services Ltd
518
519 Lindley Catering Ltd
520
521 BUYING BEHAVIOUR
522
523 Household Expenditure
524
525 Table 7.10: Average Weekly Household Expenditure on Workplace and School Meals (£), 1997/1998-2001/2002
526
527 Eating Habits
528
529 FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007
530
531 Table 7.11: The Forecast UK Market for Contract Catering and Food-Service Management by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
532
533 8. Hotels
534
535 DEFINITION
536
537 KEY TRENDS
538
539 MARKET SIZE
540
541 Total Sales
542
543 Table 8.1: The UK Hotel Market — Total Turnover at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
544
545 Table 8.2: The UK Hotel Market — Total Turnover by Type of Client at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
546
547 Catering Sales
548
549 Table 8.3: The UK Hotel Market — Catering Turnover at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
550
551 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
552
553 Table 8.4: Number of UK VAT-Based Hotel Enterprises, 1998-2003
554
555 Table 8.5: Number of UK VAT-Based Hotel Enterprises by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and percent), 2003
556
557 Table 8.6: The UK's Leading Budget-Hotel Brands by Number of Outlets, Spring 2003
558
559 MAJOR PLAYERS
560
561 Accor (UK) Ltd
562
563 CHE Group PLC
564
565 Corus & Regal Hotels PLC
566
567 De Vere Group PLC
568
569 Hilton Group PLC
570
571 InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
572
573 Jarvis Hotels PLC
574
575 Le Meridien
576
577 MacDonald Hotels PLC
578
579 Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC
580
581 Mitchells & Butlers PLC
582
583 Queens Moat Houses PLC
584
585 Scottish & Newcastle PLC/Spirit Group Ltd
586
587 Thistle Hotels Ltd
588
589 TLLC Ltd
590
591 Whitbread PLC
592
593 ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
594
595 Table 8.7: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Selected Leading UK Hotel Brands (£000), Years Ending June 2002 and 2003
596
597 BUYING BEHAVIOUR
598
599 Table 8.8: Visitors to UK Hotels in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2003
600
601 Table 8.9: Frequency of Visits to UK Hotels by Length of Stay ( percent of adults), 2003
602
603 FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007
604
605 Table 8.10: The Forecast UK Hotel Market — Total Turnover at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
606
607 Table 8.11: The Forecast UK Hotel Market — Catering Turnover at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
608
609 9. Public Houses
610
611 DEFINITION
612
613 KEY TRENDS
614
615 MARKET SIZE
616
617 Total Sales
618
619 Table 9.1: The UK Public-House Market — Total Turnover at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
620
621 Table 9.2: Sales Mix in the Average UK Pub ( percent), 1996, 2000 and 2002
622
623 Catering Sales
624
625 Table 9.3: The UK Public-House Market — Catering Turnover at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
626
627 Table 9.4: The UK Public-House Market — Catering Turnover Excluding Pub-Restaurants at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
628
629 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
630
631 Table 9.5: Number of Public Houses and Total Full On-Licences in the UK, 1990-2002
632
633 Table 9.6: Number of UK VAT-Based Bar Enterprises by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and percent), 2003
634
635 MAJOR PLAYERS
636
637 Table 9.7: The UK's Leading Multiple Public-House Owners by Number of Outlets, Spring 2003
638
639 Enterprise Inns PLC
640
641 Punch Taverns PLC
642
643 Unique/Voyager
644
645 Pubmaster Ltd
646
647 Scottish & Newcastle PLC/Spirit Group Ltd
648
649 Mitchells & Butlers PLC
650
651 Greene King PLC
652
653 The Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries PLC
654
655 InnSpired Group Ltd
656
657 Avebury Taverns Ltd
658
659 Whitbread PLC
660
661 JD Wetherspoon PLC
662
663 ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
664
665 BUYING BEHAVIOUR
666
667 Table 9.8: Frequency of Visits to Pubs in the Day and in the Evening by Purpose of Visit ( percent of adults), 2003
668
669 FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007
670
671 Table 9.9: The Forecast UK Public-House Market — Total Turnover at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
672
673 Table 9.10: The Forecast UK Public-House Market — Catering Turnover Excluding Pub-Restaurants at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
674
675 10. Other Catering Markets
676
677 INTRODUCTION
678
679 KEY TRENDS
680
681 HOLIDAY CAMPS AND CARAVAN/CAMPING SITES
682
683 Definition
684
685 Market Size
686
687 Table 10.1: The UK Market for Catering at Holiday Camps and Caravan/Camping Sites by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
688
689 Supply Structure
690
691 Table 10.2: Number of UK VAT-Based Camping Site and Caravan Site Enterprises by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and percent), 2003
692
693 Table 10.3: Number of UK VAT-Based Holiday Centres, Holiday Villages and Other Short-Stay Accommodation Enterprises by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and percent), 2003
694
695 Major Players
696
697 Bourne Leisure Ltd
698
699 Center Parcs
700
701 Pontin's Ltd
702
703 Advertising and Promotion
704
705 Table 10.4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Holiday Resorts (£000), Years Ending June 2002 and 2003
706
707 Forecasts 2003 to 2007
708
709 Table 10.5: The Forecast UK Market for Catering at Holiday Camps and Caravan/Camping Sites by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
710
711 LICENSED CLUBS
712
713 Definition
714
715 Market Size
716
717 Table 10.6: The UK Market for Catering at Licensed Clubs by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
718
719 Supply Structure
720
721 Major Players
722
723 Gala Group Ltd
724
725 London Clubs International PLC
726
727 Luminar PLC
728
729 The Rank Group PLC
730
731 Stanley Leisure PLC
732
733 Urbium PLC
734
735 Advertising and Promotion
736
737 Table 10.7: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Nightclubs and Discotheques and by Clubs and Associations (£000), Years Ending June 2002 and 2003
738
739 Buying Behaviour
740
741 Table 10.8: Frequency of Visits to Nightclubs and Other Licensed Clubs ( percent of adults), 2003
742
743 Forecasts 2003 to 2007
744
745 Table 10.9: The Forecast UK Market for Catering at Licensed Clubs by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
746
747 11. A Global Perspective
748
749 WORLD TOURISM
750
751 SELECTED CATERING MARKETS
752
753 Restaurants and Fast Food
754
755 Contract Catering and Food-Service Management
756
757 12. The Future
758
759 INTRODUCTION
760
761 The Economy
762
763 Tourism
764
765 The UK Population
766
767 Table 12.1: UK Population Projections by Age Group (000), 2000-2011
768
769 FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007
770
771 Table 12.2: The Forecast UK Catering Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
772
773 FUTURE TRENDS
774
775 Table 12.3: The Forecast UK Catering Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007
776
777 13. Further Sources
778
779 Associations
780
781 Publications
782
783 General Sources
784
785 Bonnier Information Sources
786
787 Government Publications

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Key Note estimates that the UK catering market, as defined by this report, was worth a total of £26.76bn in 2002. The market staged a recovery during the year, with a 4.8 percent increase in sales at current prices, following a poor performance in 2001.
Five main sectors are covered by this report: restaurants, fast food and takeaways, contract catering and food-service management, hotels and public houses. The markets for catering at holiday camps and caravan/camping sites, and at licensed clubs, are also included in the figures and are discussed briefly. The report excludes all institutional catering supplied by local authorities and other public-sector agencies, unless this is contracted out to a private-sector company.
The market grew by a total of 22 percent at current prices between 1998 and 2002, but the strongest growth was seen in the first half of this period. Price increases played a significant part in increasing the market's value in the latter year, and real growth in sales was low. The sectors that experienced the strongest growth in 2002 were public houses, contract catering and food-service management, and fast food and takeaways.
Traditionally, the restaurants sector has been among the market's strongest performers, but its annual growth has slowed in the last 2 years. However, roadside catering and premium restaurants, two subsectors of this market, are still performing reasonably well. The fast-food and takeaways sector is home to a range of individual markets and suppliers. The largest of these markets, sandwiches, continues to experience healthy sales growth, and pizza and chicken restaurants are also doing well. The burger market, however, has experienced difficulties in the last couple of years.
The number of public houses is in long-term decline, but pub food sales are increasing, as is their share of total pub turnover. After a disastrous year for the hotel industry in 2001, there has been some recovery in recent months, driven by improved branding at the top end of the market and strong budget-hotel revenues at the lower end of the market.
An increasing number of organisations are outsourcing non-core operations, and this trend continues to boost sales in the contract catering and food-service management sector. In addition, the lines between public catering and institutional catering are becoming blurred as traditional contract caterers move into catering for the public. Refurbishment of catering facilities and improved menus have helped to maintain sales growth for licensed clubs and for holiday camps and caravan/camping sites.
The catering market is influenced by a number of external factors, including the work-life balance, trends in food consumption, trends in tourism, the weather and consumer confidence. Work commitments, coupled with lifestyles that have generally become busier, have encouraged eating out and the supply of quick and convenient eating options. The trend towards snacking has also had an impact on the catering market. In the workplace, for example, traditional restaurants and canteens are being replaced by snack bars and other snack-based concepts. Healthier meal options are also becoming more popular across all sectors of the market.
Tourism trends affect most catering sectors, but particularly hotels and restaurants. Inbound tourist numbers suffered in 2002, but there has been some recovery in 2003. In addition, more UK residents took UK holidays and short breaks in 2002, boosting revenues for some regional hotels and restaurants. Growth in personal disposable income has been strong in recent years, and consumer confidence remains relatively high.
In 2002, many of the leading companies in the restaurant, fast food, hotel and public-houses sectors rationalised their brand portfolios and concentrated their resources on their core brands. This was a response to brand saturation in some segments, and was part of a strategy to improve margins. Sectors such as contract catering and food-service management, and restaurants, have witnessed price increases, but others, such as hotels and fast food, have had to resort to price cuts and promotions to attract customers. All sectors of the UK catering industry have had to deal with an increase in regulations and legislation, which has driven up costs, and there has also been a shortage of trained staff.
Over the next 5 years, the UK catering market is forecast to grow at a slower rate than it did between 1998 and 2002. Only modest increases in tourist numbers are expected, and growth in the UK's gross domestic product (GDP) will also be lower than in previous years. However, the rationalisation of brands and greater investment in brand refurbishment should be positive factors for the market.

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Last updated by Amanda Porteous December 2003