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KN55010 KEY NOTE RESTAURANTS JULY 2000

Editor: Jane Griffiths
ISBN: 1-84168-096-6

Our price £383.87

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This report covers: burger restaurants, pub restaurants, pizza and pasta restaurants, roadside restaurants, popularity of brands

Companies covered include: Allied-Domecq, Bass, Burger King, City Centre restaurants, Granada group, McDonald's restaurants, Pizza Express, Punch Taverns, Scottish & Newcastle, Whitbread, Aberdeen Steak Houses Group, Ask Central, Belgo Group, Brannigans, Conran Restaurants, Fatty Arbuckles, Groupe Chez Gerard, Groupe Flo, Luminar leisure, Mongolian Barbeque, Morland, Nando's Chickenland, Oriental Restaurant Group, Passion for Food, The Rank Group, Roadchef, Shimla Pinks, Simpsons of Cornhill, Spaghetti House, Welcome Break

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK restaurants market registered annual sales growth of 5.5 percent at current prices in 1999, with sales at £10.15bn. Sales growth was lower in 1999 than in the previous 2 years but the restaurants sector is still a dynamic one with new brand innovations and menu diversification maintaining consumer interest. The restaurant market is also benefiting from the key socio-economic trends that have been prevalent in recent years. These include increased disposable income, time pressures at work and at home, increased tourism numbers, and a growing number of ‘cash-rich, time-poor’ consumers who are using restaurants and cafés as alternatives to home cooking for essential as well as special occasion meals.

In this report, the restaurants market is divided into five main sectors. The largest is the other restaurants sector, including a diverse range of outlets from small, low-cost operations through to some fast food branded outlets and premium restaurants. Burger restaurants represent the second largest sector, followed by public house (pub) restaurants, pizza and pasta restaurants and roadside restaurants. Sales in the pizza and pasta sector increased in 1999 following some sector restructuring and growth of premium brands, while more branded outlets and sites boosted sales in the roadside restaurants sector.

Eating out is now a part of the lives of most consumers, with 62 percent of Target Group Index (TGI) respondents stating that they eat in restaurants in the evenings and 50.8 percent reporting that they eat in restaurants during the day. The customer bases are quite different at these different times of day, dominated by younger adults in the evening but by much older consumers in the daytime. Restaurant brand owners are increasingly targeting outlets and menus at specific consumer groups, and this process of market segmentation is likely to continue.

While the majority of operators in the sector are small companies, the larger brand owners have been increasing their presence in the market through acquisitions, disposals of non-core activities and some organic growth. The leading restaurant company, Whitbread PLC, has sold its brewing interests and Bass PLC has done the same to focus on retailing. Scottish & Newcastle PLC is in the process of selling some non-catering businesses. Granada Group PLC and Compass Group PLC have announced a merger of their food service and hotel businesses, while specialist companies in specific markets, such as Pizza Express and Ask Central, have expanded quickly — mainly through organic growth.

The socio-economic factors noted above, which have boosted sales in the market in the last 2 years, should continue to help sales growth in the next few years. An older population will require some new outlet concepts and menus. There could also be some brand rationalisation by the major players and a concentration on the development of core brands. In 2000, the market is expected to grow by a similar level to 1999 (5.7 percent), and by 2004 the market is forecast to reach £12.61bn.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary


1. Market Definition

INTRODUCTION
MARKET SECTORS
Burger Restaurants
Public House Restaurants
Pizza and Pasta Restaurants
Roadside Restaurants
Other Restaurants
Table 1: The UK Restaurant Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m and percent), 1995 and 1999
MARKET POSITION
Table 2: The UK Catering and Restaurant Markets by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1995-1999
Table 3: Share of UK Catering Market Taken by Restaurants ( percent), 1995-1999
Table 4: Consumer Expenditure on Food and Drink Consumed in the Home and Food and Drink Eaten Out (£ per week), 1994-1998
MARKET TRENDS
Increases in Disposable Income
Table 5: Gross Disposable Income (£m), 1995-1999
Lifestyle Changes
More Restaurant Choices
Increased Tourism
Cookery Programmes and Foreign Travel
Leisure Experiences


2. Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET
Table 6: The UK Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices, Including All Fast Food Sales (£m), 1995-1999
Table 7: The UK Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices, Including Eat-In Fast Food Sales (£m), 1995-1999
Table 8: Retail Price Indices — Restaurants and Total RPI (1995=100), March 1999-March 2000
Table 9: The UK Restaurant Market by Value at Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1995-1999
BY MARKET SECTOR
Burger Restaurants
Table 10: The UK Burger Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1995-1999
Public House Restaurants
Table 11: The UK Public House Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1995-1999
Pizza and Pasta Restaurants
Table 12: The UK Pizza and Pasta Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1995-1999
Roadside Restaurants
Table 13: The UK Roadside Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1995-1999
Other Restaurants
Table 14: The UK Other Restaurants Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1995-1999


3. Industry Background

INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION
Table 15: Number of UK Restaurant Enterprises Registered for VAT, 1992-1999
Table 16: Number of UK Restaurant Enterprises by Turnover Size (£000 and percent), 1999
EMPLOYMENT
Table 17: Employment in the Restaurants Sector (000), 1998 and 1999
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
British Hospitality Association
Hotel & Catering International Management Association
The Restaurant Association


4. Brands

KEY BRANDS
Table 18: Major UK Restaurant Operators by Key Brands and Sectors, 2000
CONSUMER RESEARCH
Table 19: Popularity of Selected Restaurant Brands by Sex ( percent of adults visiting in last year), 2000
By Age
Table 20: Popularity of Selected Restaurant Brands by Age ( percent of adults visiting in last year), 2000
By Social Grade
Table 21: Popularity of Selected Restaurant Brands by Social Grade ( percent of adults visiting in last year), 2000
By Region
Table 22: Popularity of Selected Restaurant Brands in Regions in the South of England, and Wales ( percent of adults visiting in the last year), 2000
Table 23: Popularity of Selected Restaurant Brands in Regions in the Midlands and the North ( percent of adults visiting in the last year), 2000
BRAND DEVELOPMENTS
Belgo
Little Chef and Harry Ramsden’s
Little Chef
McDonald’s
Pizza Express
Pizza Piazza
Scottish & Newcastle
Whitbread
Yo! Sushi
BRAND ADVERTISING
Table 24: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Restaurant Brands (£000), Years to December 1997-1999


5. Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE
LEADING COMPANIES
Table 25: Selected Leading Companies in the UK Restaurant Sector by Annual Turnover (£m), 1998/1999/2000
Allied-Domecq PLC
Financial Results
Bass PLC
Financial Results
Burger King Ltd
Financial Results
City Centre Restaurants PLC
Financial Results
Granada Group PLC
Financial Results
McDonald’s Restaurants Ltd
Financial Results
Pizza Express PLC
Financial Results
Punch Taverns Ltd
Financial Results
Scottish & Newcastle PLC
Financial Results
Whitbread PLC
Financial Results
Other Restaurant Chains
Aberdeen Steak Houses Group PLC
Financial Results
Ask Central PLC
Financial Results
Belgo Group PLC
Financial Results
Brannigans
Conran Restaurants Ltd
Financial Results
Fatty Arbuckles Ltd
Financial Results
Groupe Chez Gerard PLC
Financial Results
Groupe Flo (UK) Ltd
Financial Results
Luminar Leisure Ltd
Financial Results
Mongolian Barbecue
Morland PLC
Financial Results
Nando’s Chickenland Ltd
Financial Results
Oriental Restaurant Group PLC
Financial Results
Passion for Food Ltd
Financial Results
The Rank Group PLC
Financial Results
Roadchef Ltd
Financial Results
Shimla Pinks
Simpsons of Cornhill PLC
Financial Results
Spaghetti House Ltd
Financial Results
Yo! Sushi
Welcome Break Ltd
Financial Results
ADVERTISING
AND PROMOTION
Table 26: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Restaurants (£000), Years to December 1997-1999


6. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats

STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS


7. Buying Behaviour

EXPENDITURE ON EATING OUTSIDE THE HOME
Table 27: Average Weekly Expenditure per Person on Food and Drink Eaten Outside the Home (£), 1998
Table 28: Average Weekly Expenditure per Person on Food and Drink Eaten Outside the Home (£), 1998
CONSUMER PENETRATION
Restaurants
Table 29: Penetration for Going to Restaurants During the Day and In the Evening ( percent of all adults), 1999
Visits During the Day
Table 30: Profile and Penetration for Going to Restaurants During the Day by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of all adults), 1999
Visits in the Evening
Table 31: Profile and Penetration for Going to Restaurants in the Evening by Sex. Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of all adults), 1999
Frequency of Visits
Table 32: Frequency of Visits to Restaurants During the Day and In the Evening ( percent of all adults), 1999
Fast Food Restaurants
Table 33: Profile and Penetration for Going to Fast Food Restaurants to Eat In by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of all adults), 1999
Frequency of Visits
Table 34: Frequency of Visits to Fast Food Restaurants to Eat In ( percent of all adults), 1999


8. Outside Suppliers to the Industry

INTRODUCTION
FOOD MANUFACTURERS AND DISTRIBUTORS
CATERING EQUIPMENT SUPPLIERS


9. Current Issues

CORPORATE DEVELOPMENTS
Gowrings PLC
Granada Group PLC and Compass Group PLC
Hartford Group PLC
Itsu
Scottish & Newcastle PLC
The Slug & Lettuce Group PLC
TelePizza SA
EUROPEAN LEGISLATION
PART-TIME WORKERS
BETTER REGULATION TASK FORCE
MOTORWAY SERVICE AREAS
WEBSITES


10. Forecasts

SOCIO-ECONOMIC TRENDS
Table 35: Population Projections by Age Group (000), 1996-2011
FORECASTS 2000 TO 2004
Table 36: The Forecast UK Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices, Including Eat-In Fast Food Sales (£m and percent change),
2000-2004
By Market Sector
Burger Restaurants
Public House Restaurants
Pizza and Pasta Restaurants
Roadside Restaurants
Other Restaurants
Table 37: The Forecast UK Restaurant Market by Market Sector by Value (£m), 2000-2004


11. Market Growth

Figure 1: The UK Restaurant Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1995-2004


12. Company Profiles

Burger King Ltd
City Centre Restaurants PLC
Granada Group PLC
Mcdonald's Restaurants Ltd
Pizza Express PLC
Scottish & Newcastle PLC
Whitbread PLC


13. Company Financials


14. Further Sources

Associations
Periodicals
Directories
General Sources
Bonnier Information Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources

Understanding TGI Data

Number, Profile, Penetration
Social Grade
Standard Region

Key Note Research

Text © 2000 Key Note

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 22th October 2000