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KN52094 KEY NOTE CTNS JULY 1994

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
Industry Structure
INTRODUCTION
DEFINITION
TYPE OF OWNERSHIP
TYPE OF OUTLET
EMPLOYMENT
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
Table 1: Profile of Convenience Retailers, 1994
Table 2: Number of CTNs by Type of Ownership, 1990-1993
Customer Profile
DEMOGRAPHICS
CONFECTIONERY
TOBACCO
NEWSPAPERS AND MAGAZINES
Table 3: Penetration of Confectionery and Snack Purchasing ( percent buying), 1993
Table 4: Where Children Purchase Chocolate ( percent), 1993
Table 5: Penetration of Cigarette, Cigar and Tobacco Smoking ( percent), 1993
Table 6: Profile of National Newspaper Readership ( percent of total population), 1992
Table 7: Reading of the Most Popular Magazines by Sex and Age ( percent), 1992
Industry Supply
THE INDEPENDENT CTNS
THE MULTIPLE CTNS
MARKET SHARES
HOME DELIVERY
DISTRIBUTION
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
Table 8: Profile of CTN Sector by Size of Turnover, 1993
Table 9: Leading Multiple CTN Chains (number of outlets), 1994
Table 10: Performance of WH Smith Group PLC (£m), May 1992-November 1993
Table 11: Performance of John Menzies PLC (£m), Year Ending 1992 and 1993
Table 12: Forbuoys PLC (number of outlets), 1990-1994
Table 13: T & S Stores PLC (number of outlets), 1992-1994
Table 14: CTN Market Shares ( percent by sales), 1993
Table 15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Major Chains (£000), Year to September 1993
Industry Forum
COMPETITION
NUMBER OF OUTLETS
MAJOR PRODUCTS
MAJOR ISSUES
SUNDAY TRADING
MMC LEGISLATION
SERVICE
OUTLOOK
Market Size
THE MAJOR MARKETS
Table 16: Retail Sales by All Businesses and CTNs (£m), 1987-1993
Table 17: Index of Retail Sales for the CTN Sector and Retail Sector (1990=100), 1987-1993
Table 18: CTNs' Market Share of Major Product Sales by Value (£m at rsp), 1993
Table 19: Consumers' Expenditure on Confectionery (£m at rsp), 1986-1994
Table 20: Consumers' Expenditure on Cigarettes and Other Tobacco (£m at constant 1990 prices), 1986-1993
Table 21: UK Tobacco Market (£m at current prices), 1994
Table 22: Consumers' Expenditure on Newspapers and Magazines (£m at constant 1990 prices), 1986-1993
Table 23: Top Selling Magazines (£m at rsp), 1993
Recent Developments
THE SUPPLY OF NATIONAL NEWSPAPERS
SUNDAY TRADING
EMPLOYMENT LEGISLATION
ICE-CREAM FREEZER EXCLUSIVITY
NEW VOLUNTARY AGREEMENT ON TOBACCO
TOBACCO AND THE REMOVAL OF TRADE BARRIERS
WARNINGS ON TOBACCO PRODUCTS
NEWSPAPER VENDING MACHINES
EC LEGISLATION IMPACT ON HOME DELIVERY
THE NATIONAL LOTTERY
Table 24: Typical Price of 200 King-Size Cigarettes in Selected European Countries (£), 1994
Future Prospects
SALES OF KEY PRODUCTS
OUTLETS
DEMOGRAPHICS
SALES TRENDS
Table 25: Symbol Group Convenience Stores Selling Newspapers ( percent), 1994
Table 26: Neighbourhood CTN Product Mix ( percent), 1994 and 1997
Table 27: Age Profile of the UK Population (000) 1991 and 2001
Table 28: Forecast Sales for the CTN Sector (£m at current prices), 1994-2000
Company Profiles
Further Sources
ASSOCIATIONS
PERIODICALS
DIRECTORIES
GENERAL SOURCES
ICC INFORMATION SOURCES
ICC INFORMATION GROUP LTD
GOVERNMENT PUBLICATIONS
OTHER SOURCES

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Confectioners, tobacconists and newsagents, or CTNs, form one of the UK's longest-established retail sectors. They are primarily sited in three main positions, locally, in the High Street or out-of-town shopping centres, or in heavy commuter traffic areas as kiosks. As well as offering a counter service the neighbourhood CTN has traditionally offered a home delivery service for newspapers.

The industry has a clear structure, with 90 percent of outlets being independently owned. However, the 10 percent of shops which form parts of multiple chains account for 20 percent of CTN sales. The majority of these sales lie in the core product areas, but other goods also form part of the mix including snack products, ice cream, soft drinks, greetings cards and social stationery. The CTN sector generates sales of £11.4bn in 1993. Turnover has been rising ahead of the full retail sector for a number of years and this trend only began to falter in 1993. The market for two of the three primary products retailed by CTNs are in gradual decline and it is through diversification that many operators have managed to maintain and improve sales.

The recession had less of an impact on the CTN sector than many other areas of the economy, primarily because the items sold are fairly low priced in nature and habitual or impulse purchases. However, many operators face tough trading conditions due to the competition they are facing in key markets from other retailers. The rise of the convenience store and petrol forecourt retailing have impacted on the target markets of the local CTN. The trend towards one-stop supermarket shopping and the drift towards out-of-town retail developments have also decreased customers for the smaller outlets. The result has been an increase in the number of business failures in recent years and this seems set to continue in the short term.

There have been significant developments in the sector during 1993/1994. In November 1993, the MMC released the results of its investigations into the supply of newspapers. The final outcome of this has yet to be decided, but it is likely that the CTNs' traditional control of the newspaper retailing sector will be lost.

The tobacco trade continues to come under pressure and a new voluntary code agreed between the Government and the tobacco manufacturers will mean a reduction in the level of product advertising. Part of this deal is the removal of tobacco fascias from retail outlets by the end of 1996. It seems likely that the manufacturers of other key core CTN products will fill the gap this leaves in shop front advertising. The high levels of tax levied on UK tobacco products are encouraging the purchase of goods from elsewhere in the EC following the removal of trade barriers and there is increasing concern that this will further reduce sales by UK retailers.

The long-term outlook for the sector is positive. Sales of traditional CTN lines are being lost to supermarkets and other retailers, but diversification into the convenience market will ensure continued survival for many operators. The ageing nature of the UK population will contribute towards ensuring the survival of the local outlets, which form the backbone of the sector.

Text © 1994 Key Note

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