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KN52090 KEY NOTE CTNS MAY 2000

This report covers:

Companies covered include:

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary


1. Market Definition


INTRODUCTION
MARKET SECTORS
Table 1: Number of CTNs by Type of Ownership, 1995-1999
Local Neighbourhood Outlets
High Street Outlets
Kiosks
MARKET POSITION
Table 2: Sales Through CTNs as a percentage of Total UK Retail Sales (£m and percent), 1995-1999
MARKET TRENDS
Diversification
The Changing Newspaper Retail Market
Longer Opening Hours
Newspaper Money-Off Vouchers
Tobacco Sales Remain Critical Despite Smuggling
Upmarket Chocolates Gain Popularity
The National Lottery as a New Source of Income
Greeting Cards — a Growth Market for CTNs
Books Remain a Niche Sector for CTNs


2. Market Size


THE TOTAL MARKET
Table 3: Total Sales Through CTNs (£m), 1995-1999
MARKET SECTORS
by Value ( percent), 1999
Tobacco Products
Newspapers and Magazines
Confectionery
Food and Drink


3. Industry Background


RECENT HISTORY
INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION
EMPLOYMENT
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
National Federation of Retail Newsagents
Retail Confectioners and Tobacconists Association


4. Competitor Analysis


THE MARKETPLACE
Table 5: Selected Leading CTNs by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£m and £000), 1998/2000
MAJOR PLAYERS
WH Smith PLC
T&S Stores PLC
Thorntons PLC
United News Shops Ltd
The Sweet Factory (International) Ltd
Godiva Chocolatier Incorporated
TM Group Holdings PLC
Newspoint Ltd
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
Table 6: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by CTNs (£000), Year Ending December 1998 and 1999


5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats


STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS


6. Buying Behaviour


CUSTOMER PROFILE
Local Community
Passing Trade
Commuters


7. Outside Suppliers to the Industry


NEWSPAPER WHOLESALERS
CONFECTIONERY SUPPLIERS
LOTTERY OPERATORS
WHOLESALERS
Batleys PLC
Bestway Cash & Carry Ltd
Booker PLC
NISA Today’s (Holdings) Ltd
Makro Self-Service Wholesalers Ltd


8. Current Issues


PHONE CARDS
MILLENNIUM EXPERIENCE
MAGAZINES
EXTENSION OF PRODUCT RANGES
OFFICE SERVICES
HOME DELIVERY
ICE CREAM AND THE COMPETITION ACT
OTHER SOURCES


9. Forecasts


FACTORS INFLUENCING THE MARKET
The Future of the National Lottery
Threats from Supermarketsand Convenience Stores
Rising Power of Regional Chains
Growth of Airtime Sales on the Internet
Evolution of CTNs to One-Stop Shops
FORECASTS 2000 TO 2004
Table 7: Forecast Sales Through CTNs (£m), 2000-2004


10. Company Profiles


Thorntons PLC
T&S Stores PLC
WH Smith PLC


11. Further Sources


Associations
Periodicals
Directories
General Sources
Bonnier Information Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources

Key Note Research

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

CTNs — confectioners, tobacconists and newsagents — are an established part of the UK retail scene, found in almost every community, transport terminus and major commercial centre. The sector is still based on the small, independent corner shop that serves a local community with basic groceries, newspapers, confectionery and cigarettes, but the majority now provide a growing range of other products, including books, stationery and greetings cards.

The total market for sales through CTNs reached £12.36bn in 1999, following a 1.9 percent increase on 1998. Unlike most other retail markets, which are dominated by multiples, the bulk of sales are via small, independent outlets. Between 1995 and 1999, the market grew by 8.6 percent.

Recent years have witnessed several changes to the market, notably the rise of the in-store CTN within the major supermarkets and the growth of convenience-store chains. These have undoubtedly taken business from the traditional CTNs, which have responded by broadening their product offering and, in many cases, extending their opening hours.

A large number of CTNs now include off-licences, a wider range of magazines and books, office services such as stationery and fax facilities, and the provision of other outsourced services, including dry cleaning and shoe repairs. A major new source of revenue has been the National Lottery, while sales of travel cards and phone cards have also become new streams of revenue. While the independents still control the majority of the market, the major chains such as WH Smith and RS McColl are expanding and gaining market share. Additionally, specialist confectionery chains, such as Thorntons, have become national High Street retailers.

Key Note forecasts that the market will achieve only gradual growth to 2004. Sales are forecast to rise by 1.5 percent in the year 2000 and, thereafter, growth will be slow, with sales reaching £13.08bn in 2004.

Text © 2000 Key Note

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Last updated by Duncan Nottage 5th July 2000