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KN52074
KEY NOTE Market Report Bookselling : May 2004
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This report covers: Amazon.co.uk., Blackwell UK,Bookclub Associates, Borders (UK), British Bookshops & Stationers, David Flatman, Ottakar's, The Book People, Waterstone's Booksellers, WH Smith,

Companies include: bookselling,consumer books, school books,book clubs,book shops,library supply,academic, professional, books,

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Market Definition
 
report coverage
 
MARKET SECTORS
 
Consumer Books
 
Academic and Professional Books
 
School Books
 
MARKET TRENDS
 
ECONOMIC TRENDS
 
Population
 
Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003
 
Gross Domestic Product
 
Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (£m), 1999-2003p
 
Inflation
 
Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003
 
Unemployment
 
Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 1999-2003
 
MARKET POSition
 
The UK
 
Table 5: The UK Publishing Market by Value by Sector, (£m and %), 2003
 
Overseas
 
2. Market Size
 
THE TOTAL MARKET
 
By Value
 
Table 6: The Total UK Booksellers Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1999-2003
 
Table 7: The Total UK Booksellers Market by Sector by Value (%), 2003
 
Book Output
 
Table 8: Output of Books in the UK by Volume (number of books), 1999-2003
 
Categories of Books Published
 
Table 9: Major Categories of Book Titles Published in the UK by Volume (number of books), 1998-2002
 
BY MARKET SECTOR
 
Consumer Books
 
Table 10: The UK Consumer Books Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1999-2003
 
Academic and Professional Books
 
Table 11: The UK Academic and Professional Books Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1999-2003
 
School Books
 
Table 12: The UK School Books Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1999-2003
 
3. Industry Background
 
Historical Background
 
The Net Book Agreement
 
The Internet
 
Book Clubs
 
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
 
Table 13: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Book Retailing by Turnover Sizeband (£000 and %), 2003
 
INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS
 
EMPLOYMENT
 
Table 14: Number of UK Local Units Engaged in Book Retailing by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2003
 
Library Supply
 
DISTRIBUTION
 
REGIONAL VARIATIONS
 
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
 
Key Trade Associations
 
Booksellers Association
 
Book Marketing Ltd
 
Publishers Association
 
4. Competitor Analysis
 
THE MARKETPLACE
 
Consumer Books
 
Academic and Professional Books
 
School Books and Library Books
 
Major Players
 
Amazon.co.uk Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Blackwell UK Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Book Club Associates Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Borders (UK) Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
British Bookshops and Stationers PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Financial Developments
 
Financial Results
 
David Flatman Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Ottakar's PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
The Book People Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Waterstone's Booksellers Ltd
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
WH Smith PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
marketing activity
 
Bookshops
 
Table 15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Bookshops (£000), Years Ending December 2002 and 2003
 
Book Clubs
 
Table 16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Book Clubs (£000), Years Ending December 2002 and 2003
 
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
 
STRENGTHS
 
WEAKNESSES
 
OPPORTUNITIES
 
THREATS
 
6. Buying Behaviour
 
cONSUMER Penetration of Books
 
Table 17: Penetration of Books Purchased in the Past 12 Months (% of adults), 1995,1997,1999, 2001 and 2003
 
Penetration by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region
 
Table 18: Penetration of Hardback and Paperback Books Purchased by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2001 and 2003
 
Profile of Purchasers by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region
 
Table 19: Profile of Purchasers of Hardback and Paperback Books by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2001 and 2003
 
Buying Habits by Sex
 
Table 20: Buying Habits and Attitudes Towards Books by Sex (% of adults), 2004
 
Buying Habits by Age
 
Table 21: Buying Habits and Attitudes Towards Books by Age (% of adults), 2004
 
Buying Habits by Social Grade
 
Table 22: Buying Habits and Attitudes Towards Books by Social Grade (% of adults), 2004
 
7. Current Issues
 
PRICING
 
concerns ABOUT BOOK CLUBS
 
THE GROWTH OF SUPERMARKET SALES
 
THE FORUM
 
CORPORATE NEWS
 
8. The Global Market
 
THE EUROPEAN MARKET
 
9. Forecasts
 
INTRODUCTION
 
ECONOMIC FORECASTS
 
Population
 
Table 23: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), 2004-2008
 
Gross Domestic Product
 
Table 24: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2004-2008
 
Unemployment
 
Table 25: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2004-2008
 
FORECASTS 2004 to 2008
 
Table 26: Total UK Forecast Booksellers Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2004-2008
 
FUTURE TRENDS
 
VAT
 
Increasing Online Buying
 
10. Company Profiles
 
Blackwell Uk Ltd
 
borders (uk) Ltd
 
British Bookshops And Stationers Plc
 
Ottakar's Plc
 
Waterstone's Booksellers Ltd
 
Wh Smith Plc
 
11. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
Publications
 
General Sources
 
Government Publications
 
Other Sources
 
Bonnier Information Sources

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This Key Note Market Report examines the UK bookselling industry. The bookselling market in the UK, is one of the largest in Europe and is certainly the strongest in terms of market growth. There are a great variety of booksellers ranging from the small independents and local newsagents, to the large retail chains and supermarkets. Bookselling is also conducted online and by book clubs. This report focuses mainly on the high-street booksellers.

In 2003, Key Note estimates that the value of the retail book market was £3.83bn, which represented an increase of around 3.5% on 2002. More than two-thirds of the market was accounted for by consumer sales. The remainder comprise academic and professional books and school books.

The industry's major booksellers include Amazon.co.uk. Ltd, Book Club Associates Ltd, Borders (UK) Ltd, Ottakar's PLC, Waterstone's Booksellers Ltd, and WH Smith PLC. It is notable that of these six booksellers, one sells books online and one sells under various book-club brand names. Meanwhile, the supermarkets are becoming a significant factor in the marketplace because of their price-cutting on bestsellers. Book buying occurs across all social groups but is strongest among those from the AB social grades.

The market is also influenced by those who buy many books a year, the so-called heavy book buyers. Heavy book buyers are those who buy ten or more books a year. Pricing is the most important issue for booksellers and this is becoming a concern for publishers as well. There are worries that selective and highly variable price-cutting is damaging and counter-productive.

Key Note estimates that the value of retail book sales will rise by 13.1% between 2004 and 2008. Bookselling space is likely to increase, with retailers such as Ottakar's expanding and supermarkets enlarging their book sections.

Text © 2004Key Note

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