| KN52053 |
| KEY NOTE Market Review : Food Industry: November 2003 |
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This report covers: food, organic foods, food manufacturing,large stores, small stores, specialist stores, meat and meat products, fish and fish products, fruit and vegetables, dairy products, eggs, oils and fats, bread, cakes, biscuits and cereals, food and drink federation, genetically modified foods, organice farming scheme, halthy eating, snacking, fresh food, supermarket,suppliers, cooked breakfast;s, hot lunches, prepared lunches, savoury snacks, sweet snacks, fresh fruit, takeaway, ready meals, Carcass meat, beef and veal, mutton and lamb, pork, poultry and game,bacon, and, ham, other meat, and meat products, Glanbia Fresh Meats, grocery multiples, canned fish, fishing, and, fish farms, fish processing, fresh fruit, fresh potatoes, other fresh vegetables, Dairy Products, Eggs, oils and fats,liquid milk, cream, cheese, yellow fats, yoghurt, chilled desserts, eggs, butter, soft margarine, low-fat dairy spreads,dairy farming,dairy processing, bread and bakery products, cakes, biscuits, breakfast cereals, sugar, artificial sweetners, chilled ready meals, pizza, frozen pizza, soup, rice, pasta, canned pasta, packet noodles, Ready-to-Eat Cereals, Hot cereals, cereal bars, bread,
Companies covered include: Associated Britsih Foods, Tate & Lyle, Nestlé Holdings (UK), RHM Group One, Northern Foods, Uniq, Dairy Crest, Grampian Country Food Group, Premier Foods, United Biscuits, HJ Heinz, Unilever, Bestfoods, The Albert Fisher Group, Bernard Matthews, Fyffes, Geest, Glanbia, Greencore, Kerry, Kraft Foods, Mars, Perkins, Foods Holdings, Tesco, ASDA, Sainsbury, Safeway, Grampian Country Food Group, Kerry Group, Moy Park, Northern Foods, Perkins Foods Holdings, Sun Valley Foods, Tulip, Unilever Ice Cream, Frozen Food, Uniq, Findus, John West, Princes, Young's Bluecrest Seafood, Capespan International Holdings, Chiquita Brands International, Fisher Foods, Greenvale, G's Marketing, MBM Produce, poupart, Redbridge, Holdings, McCain, Foods, Arla Foods, Dairy Crest, Express Dairies, Glanbia,The, Kerrygold, Company, Kerry, Group, Kraft Foods, Müller Dairy (UK), Nestlé Holdings (UK), ABD Grain Products, British Bakeries, Burton's Foods, Fletchers Bakeries, Harvestime, Hibernia, The Jacob's Bakery, Rathbones Bakeries, United Biscuits, Warburtons, William Jackson Bakery, Cereal Partners UK, Weetabix, Robert Wiseman, Dairies,
| This report reviews key trends and developments in the UK retail food market between 1998 and 2002, and provides forecasts for the period 2003 to 2007. The core markets covered are: meat and meat products; fish and fish products; fruit and vegetables; dairy products, eggs, oils and fats; bread, cakes, biscuits and cereals; and a range of miscellaneous foods, including sugar, meal enhancers (sauces and pickles), ready meals, pizzas, soup, rice and pasta. Both fresh and processed products are included, but confectionery, ice cream, alcoholic drinks, and hot and cold beverages (including fruit juices, tea and coffee) are excluded. |
| Consumer expenditure on the foods and food products covered by this Market Review totalled £47.47bn in 2002, representing an increase of 2.2% on 2001. With so many mature markets, year-on-year growth is fairly moderate in most markets, but strong performances were achieved in 2002 by the markets for fish and fish products; bread, cakes, biscuits and cereals; and ready meals, with sugar and pizza also showing above-average growth. |
| Contributing to growth in many sectors has been consumer switching to higher-priced products. This reflects demand for both quality and convenience, as well as growing interest in a broader range of foods, e.g from foreign cuisines. As part of the consolidation process, a number of food processors are switching from commodity products to added-value products to take advantage of this consumer trend. |
| In 2002, fruit and vegetables made up the largest market, followed by meat and meat products. However, the fastest-growing markets were fish and fish products, and bread, cakes biscuits and cereals. |
| Despite the recent problems faced by the meat and meat products market in recent years, it succeeded in achieving real value growth over the 1998 to 2002 review period. Much of this growth has been driven by ready meals and other meat products, which have gained share from carcass meats. |
| Although it is one of the smallest food markets, the fish and fish products market has benefited from recent health concerns surrounding meat, as well as the growing variety of fish that is now widely available. Premium products such as ready meals, canned fish and fish-based snacks have all performed particularly well in recent years. |
| In the fruit and vegetables market, it is fruit that has been driving growth, with fresh fruit, in particular, having benefited from concerns about healthy eating. However, falling prices in some of the vegetable sectors held back the total market's growth in 2002. |
| The maturity of the market for dairy products, eggs, oils and fats, and the commodity status of a number of products are reflected in its recent performance. Nevertheless, while some sectors are currently weak, growth in the stronger sectors, such as cheese, spreads and yoghurts, is helping to keep the market's value stable. |
| Consumer expenditure on bread, cakes, biscuits and cereals slowed in 2002; nevertheless, it still remained one of the fastest-growing food markets and, over the 1998 to 2002 period under review, outperformed all other food markets by value. The trends that have helped growth have been a greater focus on quality and new product developments that have resulted in a variety of new products and new brands. |
| In the miscellaneous foods category, ready meals make up one of the fastest-growing markets, although sales of pizzas and pasta remain strong. Nevertheless, all other markets showed some growth in 2002. |
| Consolidation in the food industry continued in 2002 and 2003, with further mergers and acquisitions. One traditional name in the UK food market — The Albert Fisher Group — finally succumbed to its increasing burden of debt and went into receivership in May 2002. 2002 also saw the sale of Premier Food's Crosse & Blackwell dried sauce and Snack Stop business for an undisclosed sum to Brand Partnership, the UK's leading supplier of savoury rice, pasta with sauce, soup and hot instant snacks. Greencore, the European food and ingredients manufacturer, disposed of non-core businesses in Hazlewood Foods as well as Erin Foods and William Rodgers (dried soups and sauces). |
| Other recent developments include Associated British Food's £171m purchase of Novartis AG's Food and Beverage division (comprising Ovaltine and its associated brands) in October 2002. In November 2002, Uniq completed the sale of its UK-based St Ivel spreads business to Dairy Crest Group for £86.5m. Uniq also sold its UK-based ambient sauces business — Uniqsauces — to McCormick (UK) for £12.2m. |
| Most companies (especially those operating in commodity sectors) continue to be committed to improving operational efficiency, and most companies have refocused on their core activities, which has led to the sale of non-core or underperforming businesses. |
| Major changes are also afoot in the grocery retailing sector, following Wm Morrison Supermarkets' all-stock offer to acquire the UK supermarket chain, Safeway. This sparked subsequent rival bids, but, in September 2003, the Competition Commission announced its approval of Morrison's bid, subject to certain conditions. |
| Key trends in the food market over the 5 years from 2003 to 2007 will include: greater participation in the convenience and ethnic foods sectors, and increased consumer interest in healthy eating (which is partly driven by the UK's ageing population profile). Year-on-year growth will remain modest in most markets, reflecting their maturity and already high levels of penetration. The markets forecast to achieve the highest growth are bread, cakes, biscuits and cereals, ready meals, pizzas and pasta. |
| Executive Summary |
| 1. Market Overview |
| REPORT COVERAGE |
| MARKET SIZE |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 1.1: Consumer Expenditure on Food at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 1.2: Consumer Expenditure on Food at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Retail Prices |
| Table 1.3: Retail Price Index for Food and All Items (January 1987=100), March 1999-March 2003 |
| Overseas Trade |
| Table 1.4: UK Overseas Trade in Food and Live Animals† (£m), 1998-2002 |
| MARKET SEGMENTATION |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices by Sector |
| Table 1.5: Consumer Expenditure on Food by Sector at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Table 1.6: Consumer Expenditure on Food by Sector (%), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices by Sector |
| Table 1.7: Consumer Expenditure on Food by Sector at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Organic Foods |
| Table 1.8: Consumer Expenditure on Organic Foods at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1997/1998-2001/2002 |
| INDUSTRY STRUCTURE |
| Number of Companies |
| Food Manufacturing |
| Table 1.9: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the Food-Manufacturing Industry, 1999-2003 |
| By Turnover |
| Table 1.10: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the Food-Manufacturing Industry by Turnover (number and %), 2003 |
| Employment |
| Table 1.11: Employment in the UK Agriculture, Fishing and Food Manufacturing Sectors (000), March 2002-March 2003 |
| Retail Distribution |
| 'Predominantly Food Stores' |
| Table 1.12: Sales Through 'Predominantly Food Stores' by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and index 1995=100), 1998-2002 |
| Large Stores, Small Stores and Specialist Stores |
| Table 1.13: Sales Through `Predominantly Food Stores' by Type at Current Prices (index 1995=100), 1999-2003 |
| Table 1.14: Sales Through Specialist Food Stores by Type at Current Prices (index 1995=100), 1999-2003 |
| MARKET POSITION |
| Share of Total Household Expenditure |
| Table 1.15: Total Household Expenditure and the Share Taken by Expenditure on Food at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 1998-2002 |
| KEY TRENDS |
| Meat and Meat Products |
| Fish and Fish Products |
| Fruit and Vegetables |
| Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats |
| Bread, Cakes, Biscuits and Cereals |
| Miscellaneous Foods |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION |
| Table 1.16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Food by Major Product Sector (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| BUYING BEHAVIOUR |
| Trends in Consumption |
| Table 1.17: Per Capita Consumption of Selected Foods (grams per person per week), 1996/1997, 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 |
| Consumer Penetration |
| LEGISLATION |
| KEY TRADE ASSOCIATION |
| Food and Drink Federation |
| 2. PEST Analysis |
| POLITICAL FACTORS |
| Sustainable Development |
| Genetically Modified Foods |
| Food Assurance Schemes |
| Foot-and-Mouth Disease |
| Organic Farming Scheme |
| ECONOMIC FACTORS |
| Economic Downturn |
| Inflation |
| Trade Deficits |
| SOCIAL FACTORS |
| Convenience |
| Healthy Eating |
| Snacking |
| Fresh Food |
| Demographic Trends |
| Household Trends |
| TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS |
| Organic Food |
| Supermarket Suppliers |
| Food Shortages |
| The Internet |
| 3. Key Note Primary Research |
| INTRODUCTION |
| Table 3.1: Food Eaten During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| COOKED BREAKFASTS |
| Table 3.2: Penetration of Cooked Breakfasts During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| NON-COOKED BREAKFASTS |
| Table 3.3: Penetration of Non-Cooked Breakfasts During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| HOT LUNCHES |
| Table 3.4: Penetration of Hot Lunches During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| PREPARED LUNCHES |
| Table 3.5: Penetration of Prepared Lunches During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| SAVOURY SNACKS |
| Table 3.6: Penetration of Savoury Snacks During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| SWEET SNACKS |
| Table 3.7: Penetration of Sweet Snacks During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| FRESH FRUIT |
| Table 3.8: Penetration of Fresh Fruit During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| TAKEAWAY FOOD |
| Table 3.9: Penetration of Takeaway Food During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| READY MEALS |
| Table 3.10: Penetration of Ready Meals During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| ORGANIC/HEALTH FOODS |
| Table 3.11: Penetration of Organic/Health Foods During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| VEGETARIAN FOOD |
| Table 3.12: Penetration of Vegetarian Food During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| EATING ALONE IN THE EVENING |
| Table 3.13: Adults Who Eat an Evening Meal on Their Own During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| EATING AN EVENING MEAL WITH OTHERS |
| Table 3.14: Adults Who Eat an Evening Meal with Others During a Typical Day (% of adults), 2002 and 2003 |
| 4. Competitive Structure |
| INTRODUCTION |
| MARKET LEADERS |
| Table 4.1: Top Ten UK Food Manufacturers by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£m), 2001/2002 |
| Associated British Foods PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.2: Associated British Foods PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2000-2002 |
| Tate & Lyle PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.3: Tate & Lyle PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2001-2003 |
| Nestlé Holdings (UK) PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.4: Nestlé Holdings (UK) PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2000-2002 |
| RHM Group One Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.5: RHM Group One Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2001-2003 |
| Northern Foods PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.6: Northern Foods PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2000-2002 |
| Uniq PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.7: Uniq PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2000-2002 |
| Dairy Crest Group PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.8: Dairy Crest Group PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2001-2003 |
| Grampian Country Food Group Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.9: Grampian Country Food Group Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2000-2002 |
| Premier Foods (Holdings) Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.10: Premier Foods (Holdings) Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), 1999-2001 |
| United Biscuits (UK) Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.11: United Biscuits (UK) Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2000-2002 |
| HJ Heinz Company Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.12: HJ Heinz Company Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), 2000-2002 |
| Unilever Bestfoods UK Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Table 4.13: Unilever Bestfoods UK Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), 1999-2001 |
| OTHER COMPANIES |
| The Albert Fisher Group PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Bernard Matthews Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Fyffes PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Geest PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Glanbia PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Greencore Group PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Kerry Group PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Kraft Foods UK Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Mars UK Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| Perkins Foods Holdings Ltd |
| Company Structure |
| Financial Results |
| GROCERY MULTIPLES |
| Table 4.14: Selected Leading UK Supermarkets and Superstores by Market Share by Value (%), 2003 |
| Tesco PLC |
| ASDA Group Ltd |
| J Sainsbury PLC |
| Safeway PLC |
| CONVENIENCE STORE MULTIPLES |
| OTHER RETAILERS |
| 5. Meat and Meat Products |
| DEFINITION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| MARKET SIZE |
| By Volume |
| Table 5.1: Total Meat Available for Domestic Usage in the UK (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 5.2: UK Consumer Expenditure on Meat and Meat Products at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 5.3: UK Consumer Expenditure on Meat and Meat Products at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Retail Prices |
| Table 5.4: UK Retail Price Indices for Meat by Type (index January 1997=100), Year Ending April 2003 |
| MARKET SEGMENTATION |
| Table 5.5: UK Consumer Expenditure on Meat and Meat Products by Sector at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Table 5.6: UK Consumer Expenditure on Meat and Meat Products by Sector at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2nd and 3rd Quarters 2002 |
| Carcass Meat |
| Table 5.7: UK Consumer Expenditure on Carcass Meat by Type at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Beef and Veal |
| By Volume |
| Table 5.8: UK Supplies of Beef and Veal by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 5.9: Household Purchases of Fresh and Frozen Beef in the UK by Type of Cut by Volume (%), 2000-2002 |
| Mutton and Lamb |
| By Volume |
| Table 5.10: UK Supplies of Mutton and Lamb by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2001 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 5.11: Household Purchases of Fresh and Frozen Lamb in the UK by Type of Cut by Volume (%), 2000-2002 |
| Pork |
| By Volume |
| Table 5.12: UK Supplies of Pork by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 5.13: Household Purchases of Fresh and Frozen Pork in the UK by Type of Cut by Volume (%), 2000-2002 |
| Poultry and Game |
| By Volume |
| Table 5.14: UK Supplies of Poultry Meat by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 5.15: Household Purchases of Fresh and Frozen Poultry in the UK by Type of Cut by Volume (%), 2000-2002 |
| Bacon and Ham |
| By Volume |
| Table 5.16: UK Supplies of Bacon and Ham by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Other Meat and Meat Products |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Livestock Numbers |
| Table 5.17: UK Agricultural Livestock Numbers by Type of Animal (000), June 1998-2002 |
| Number of Processors |
| Table 5.18: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Production and Preservation of Meat and Poultry Meat and the Production of Meat and Poultry Meat Products by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| Distribution |
| Table 5.19: UK Retail Sales of Fresh Meat by Type of Outlet by Value (%), 2001 and 2002 |
| Table 5.20: Sources of Fresh and Frozen Meat and Poultry Purchases in Great Britain by Type of Outlet (% of households), 2003 |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Bernard Matthews Ltd |
| Glanbia Fresh Meats (UK) Ltd |
| Grampian Country Food Group Ltd |
| Kerry Group PLC |
| Moy Park Ltd |
| Northern Foods PLC |
| Perkins Foods Holdings Ltd |
| Sun Valley Foods Ltd |
| Tulip Ltd |
| Unilever Ice Cream & Frozen Food Ltd |
| Uniq PLC |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION |
| Table 5.21: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Meat and Meat Products by Sector (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| By Brand |
| Table 5.22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Meat and Meat Products (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| BUYING BEHAVIOUR |
| Trends in Consumption |
| Table 5.23: UK Per Capita Consumption of Meat by Type (grams per person per week), 1997/1998-2001/2002 |
| Consumer Penetration |
| Table 5.24: Penetration of Fresh and Frozen Meat Usually Bought From the Supermarket by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Table 5.25: Penetration of Fresh Meat Usually Bought From a Butcher by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Consumer Expenditure |
| Table 5.26: Weekly and Monthly Expenditure on Fresh and Frozen Meat (% of households), 2003 |
| FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 |
| Table 5.27: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Meat and Meat Products at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| 6. Fish and Fish Products |
| DEFINITION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| MARKET SIZE |
| By Volume |
| Table 6.1: UK Consumption of Fish by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 6.2: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fish and Fish Products at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 6.3: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fish and Fish Products at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Retail Prices |
| Overseas Trade |
| Table 6.4: UK Overseas Trade in Fish and Fish Products by Value (£m), 1998-2002 |
| MARKET SEGMENTATION |
| Fresh and Chilled Fish |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 6.5: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fresh and Chilled Fish at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 6.6: Household Purchases of Fresh and Chilled Fish in the UK by Type of Fish by Value and Volume (£m at rsp and tonnes), 2002 |
| Frozen Fish |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 6.7: UK Consumer Expenditure on Frozen Fish at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 6.8: UK Consumer Expenditure on Frozen Fish by Product Type by Value (%), 2002 |
| Canned Fish |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 6.9 UK Consumer Expenditure on Canned Fish at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 6.10: UK Retail Sales of Canned Fish by Product Type by Value (%), 2002 |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Fishing and Fish Farms |
| Table 6.11: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Fishing and the Operation of Fish Hatcheries and Fish Farms by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| Fish Processing |
| Table 6.12: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Processing and Preserving of Fish Products by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| Landings |
| Distribution |
| Table 6.13: UK Retail Sales of Fresh and Frozen Fish by Type of Outlet by Value (%), 2002 |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Unilever Ice Cream & Frozen Food Ltd |
| Findus Ltd |
| John West Foods Ltd |
| Princes Ltd |
| Young's Bluecrest Seafood Ltd |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION |
| Table 6.14: Main Media Advertising on Fish and Fish Products by Sector (£000), Years Ending March 2001-2003 |
| By Brand |
| Table 6.15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Fish and Fish Products (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| BUYING BEHAVIOUR |
| Trends in Consumption |
| Table 6.16: Per Capita Consumption of Fish (grams per person per week), 1997/1998-2001/2002 |
| Consumer Penetration |
| Table 6.17: Penetration of Fish Fingers and Other Frozen Fish Products by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Rate of Consumption |
| Table 6.18: Frequency of Serving Fish Fingers and Other Frozen Fish Products (% of households), 2003 |
| FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 |
| Table 6.19: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Fish and Fish Products at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| 7. Fruit and Vegetables |
| DEFINITION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| MARKET SIZE |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 7.1: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fruit and Vegetables at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 7.2: Consumer Expenditure on Fruit and Vegetables at Constant Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Fresh Fruit and Vegetables |
| Table 7.3: Consumer Expenditure on Fresh Fruit and Vegetables at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Processed Fruit and Vegetables |
| Table 7.4: Consumer Expenditure on Processed Fruit and Vegetables at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Retail Prices |
| Table 7.5: Retail Price Changes for Fruit, Vegetables and All Food (%), January 2002-December 2002 |
| By Volume |
| Fresh Fruit and Vegetables |
| Table 7.6: UK Retail Supplies of Fresh Fruit and Vegetables by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| UK Production and Overseas Trade |
| Table 7.7: UK Production of Fruit and Vegetables as a Proportion of Total New Supply for Use in the UK by Volume (%), 1997-2001 |
| Fresh Vegetables |
| Fresh Fruit |
| Table 7.8: UK Imports of Selected Fresh Fruits by Volume and Value (000 tonnes and £m), 2001 |
| MARKET SEGMENTATION |
| Fresh Potatoes |
| Table 7.9: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fresh Potatoes at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Fresh Green Vegetables |
| Table 7.10: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fresh Green Vegetables at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Other Fresh Vegetables |
| Table 7.11: UK Consumer Expenditure on Other Fresh Vegetables at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 7.12: UK Consumer Expenditure on Other Fresh Vegetables by Type at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2002 |
| Fresh Fruit |
| Table 7.13: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fresh Fruit at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 7.14: UK Consumer Expenditure on Fresh Fruit at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2002 |
| Processed Fruit and Vegetables |
| Table 7.15: UK Consumer Expenditure on Processed Fruit and Vegetables at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2002 |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Number of Companies |
| Growers |
| Table 7.16: Number of UK VAT-Based Growers of Fruit and Vegetables by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| Processors and Preservers |
| Table 7.17: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Processing and Preserving of Fruit and Vegetables by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| UK Crop Production |
| Table 7.18: Production of Major Horticultural Crops in the UK by Volume (000 tonnes), 1997/1998-2001/2002 |
| Distribution |
| Wholesaling |
| Table 7.19: Number of UK VAT-Based Wholesalers of Fresh Fruit and Vegetables by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| Retailing |
| Table 7.20: UK Retail Sales of Fresh Fruit and Vegetables by Type of Outlet by Value (%), 1998-2002 |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Fresh Fruit and Vegetables |
| Capespan International Holdings Ltd |
| Chiquita Brands International Incorporated |
| Del Monte Fresh Produce (UK) Ltd |
| Dole Food Company Incorporated |
| Fisher Foods Ltd |
| Fyffes PLC |
| Geest PLC |
| Greenvale AP PLC |
| G's Marketing Ltd |
| MBM Produce Ltd |
| Poupart Ltd |
| Redbridge Holdings Ltd |
| Processed Fruit and Vegetables |
| HJ Heinz Company Ltd |
| McCain Foods (GB) Ltd |
| Unilever Ice Cream and Frozen Food Ltd |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION |
| Table 7.21: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Fruit and Vegetables (000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| By Brand |
| Table 7.22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Fruit and Vegetables (000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| BUYING BEHAVIOUR |
| Trends in Consumption |
| Table 7.23: UK Per Capita Consumption of Fresh Fruit and Vegetables by Type (grams per person per week), 1996/1997, 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 |
| Table 7.24: UK Per Capita Consumption of Fresh Fruit and Vegetables by Type (grams per person per week), 2001 |
| Consumer Penetration |
| Fresh Fruit and Vegetables |
| Table 7.25: Penetration of Fresh Fruit and Vegetables Usually Bought from a Supermarket by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Frozen Vegetables |
| Table 7.26: Penetration of Frozen Vegetables by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Consumer Expenditure |
| Table 7.27: Weekly Household Expenditure on Fresh Fruit and Vegetables (% of households), 2003 |
| FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 |
| Table 7.28: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Fruit and Vegetables at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| 8. Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats |
| DEFINITION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| MARKET SIZE |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 8.1: UK Consumer Expenditure on Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 8.2: UK Consumer Expenditure on Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Overseas Trade |
| Table 8.3: UK Overseas Trade in Milk and Dairy Products, and in Margarine and Other Edible Fats (£m), 2000-2002 |
| MARKET SEGMENTATION |
| Table 8.4: UK Consumer Expenditure on Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats by Major Sector at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Liquid Milk |
| Table 8.5: UK Consumer Expenditure on Liquid Milk at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 8.6: UK Retail Sales of Liquid Milk by Type by Value (£m at rsp and %), 2002 |
| Cream |
| Table 8.7: UK Consumer Expenditure on Cream at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 8.8: UK Retail Sales of Cream by Type by Value (£m at rsp and %), 2002 |
| Cheese |
| Table 8.9: UK Consumer Expenditure on Cheese at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 8.10: UK Retail Sales of Cheese by Type by Value (£m at rsp and %), 2002 |
| Yellow Fats |
| Table 8.11: UK Consumer Expenditure on Yellow Fats at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 8.12: UK Retail Sales of Yellow Fats by Type by Value (£m at rsp and %), 2002 |
| Yoghurt and Chilled Desserts |
| Table 8.13: UK Consumer Expenditure on Yoghurt and Chilled Desserts at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Table 8.14: UK Retail Sales of Yoghurt and Chilled Desserts by Type by Value (£m at rsp and %), 2002 |
| Eggs |
| Table 8.15: UK Consumer Expenditure on Eggs at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Others |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Dairy Farming |
| Table 8.16: Volume of Raw Milk Available to UK Dairies (million litres), 1998/1999-2002/2003 |
| Dairy Processing |
| Table 8.17: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Producing Milk, Cream, Butter, Cheese and Other Dairy Products† by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| Utilisation of Milk by UK Dairies |
| Table 8.18: Utilisation of Milk Supplied to UK Dairies by Product Type by Volume (%), Year to March 2003 |
| UK Cheese Production |
| Table 8.19: Volume of Cheese Produced in the UK by Type (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| Distribution |
| Table 8.20: UK Retail Sales of Liquid Milk by Distribution Channel by Volume (%), 2000-2002 |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Arla Foods PLC |
| Dairy Crest Group PLC |
| Express Dairies PLC |
| Glanbia PLC |
| The Kerrygold Company Ltd |
| Kerry Group PLC |
| Kraft Foods UK Ltd |
| Müller Dairy (UK) PLC |
| Nestlé Holdings (UK) PLC |
| Unilever Bestfoods UK Ltd |
| Uniq PLC |
| Robert Wiseman Dairies PLC |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION |
| Table 8.21: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| By Brand |
| Table 8.22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| BUYING BEHAVIOIUR |
| Trends in Consumption |
| Milk, Cream and Cheese |
| Table 8.23: Per Capita Consumption of Milk and Cream, and Cheese (millilitres and grams per person per week), 1996/1997, 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 |
| Fats |
| Table 8.24: Per Capita Consumption of Fats (grams per person per week), 1996/1997, 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 |
| Eggs |
| Table 8.25: Per Capita Consumption of Eggs (number per person per week), 1996/1997, 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 |
| Consumer Penetration |
| Cheese |
| Table 8.26: Penetration of Cheese by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Volume Consumed |
| Table 8.27: Household Consumption of Cheese (%), 2003 |
| Butter, Soft Margarine and Low-Fat/Dairy Spreads |
| Table 8.28: Penetration of Butter, Soft Margarine and Low-Fat/Dairy Spreads by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Volume Consumed |
| Table 8.29: Household Consumption of Butter, Soft Margarine and Low-Fat/Dairy Spreads (%), 2003 |
| FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 |
| Table 8.30: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| 9. Bread, Cakes, Biscuits and Cereals |
| DEFINITION |
| KEY TRENDS |
| MARKET SIZE |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 9.1: UK Consumer Expenditure on Bread, Cakes, Biscuits, and Cereals at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 9.2: UK Consumer Expenditure on Bread, Cakes, Biscuits, and Cereals at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Overseas Trade |
| Table 9.3: UK Overseas Trade in Bread and Bakery Products (£m), 1999-2001 |
| MARKET SEGMENTATION |
| Bread and Bakery Products |
| By Volume |
| Table 9.4: UK Consumption of Bread and Bakery Products by Volume (000 tonnes), 1998-2002 |
| By Value |
| Table 9.5: UK Consumer Expenditure on Bread and Bakery Products at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Cakes and Biscuits |
| By Value |
| Table 9.6: UK Consumer Expenditure on Cakes and Biscuits at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Breakfast Cereals |
| By Value |
| Table 9.7: UK Consumer Expenditure on Breakfast Cereals at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Others |
| SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
| Number of Companies |
| Bread and Bakery Products |
| Table 9.8: Number of UK VAT-Based Manufacturers of Bread and Bakery Products by Turnover (number and %), 2003 |
| Breakfast Cereals |
| Table 9.9: Number of UK VAT-Based Manufacturers of Breakfast Cereals and Cereals-Based Foods by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2003 |
| Distribution |
| MAJOR PLAYERS |
| Bread and Bakery Products |
| ABF Grain Products Ltd |
| British Bakeries Ltd |
| Burton's Foods Ltd |
| Fletchers Bakeries Ltd |
| Harvestime Ltd |
| Hibernia Foods PLC |
| The Jacob's Bakery Ltd |
| Rathbones Bakeries Ltd |
| United Biscuits (UK) Ltd |
| Warburtons Ltd |
| William Jackson Bakery Ltd |
| Breakfast Cereals |
| Table 9.10: Manufacturers' Shares of Breakfast Cereals by Volume (%), 2002 |
| Cereal Partners UK |
| Kellogg Company of Great Britain Ltd |
| Quaker Oats Ltd |
| Weetabix Ltd |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION |
| Table 9.11: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Bread, Cakes, Biscuits and Cereals (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| By Brand |
| Bread and Bakery Products |
| Table 9.12: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Bread and Bakery Brands (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Cakes and Biscuits |
| Table 9.13: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Cakes and Biscuits (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Breakfast Cereals |
| Ready-to-Eat Cereals |
| Table 9.14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Ready-to-Eat Breakfast Cereals (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Hot Cereals |
| Table 9.15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Hot Breakfast Cereals (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Cereal Bars |
| Table 9.16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Cereal Bar (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| BUYING BEHAVIOUR |
| Trends in Consumption |
| Table 9.17: UK Per Capita Consumption of Bread, Cakes, Biscuits, Flour and Other Cereals or Cereal Products (grams per person per week), 1996/1997, 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 |
| Consumer Penetration |
| Bread |
| Table 9.18: Penetration of Bread by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Volume Consumed |
| Table 9.19: Frequency of Bread Use by Type of Bread (% of households), 2003 |
| Cakes |
| Table 9.20: Penetration of Cakes by Type (% of households), 2003 |
| Volume Consumed |
| Table 9.21: Frequency of Cake and Gateaux Consumption (% of households), 2003 |
| Breakfast Cereals |
| Table 9.22: Penetration of Breakfast Cereals by Type (% of households), 2003 |
| Volume Consumed |
| Table 9.23: Frequency of Breakfast Cereal Consumption (% of households), 2003 |
| FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 |
| Table 9.24: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Bread, Cakes, Biscuits and Cereals at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| 10. Miscellaneous Foods |
| DEFINITION |
| SUGAR AND ARTIFICIAL SWEETENERS |
| Market Size by Value |
| Sugar |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 10.1: UK Consumer Expenditure on Sugar at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 10.2: UK Consumer Expenditure on Sugar at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Artificial Sweeteners |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 10.3: UK Consumer Expenditure on Artificial Sweeteners at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Major Players |
| Advertising and Promotion |
| Table 10.4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Sugar and Artificial Sweeteners (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Forecasts 2003 to 2007 |
| Sugar |
| Table 10.5: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Sugar at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| Artificial Sweeteners |
| OTHER FOODS |
| Market Size |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 10.6: UK Consumer Expenditure on Other Foods at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Consumer Expenditure at Constant 1995 Prices |
| Table 10.7: UK Consumer Expenditure on Other Foods at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Forecasts 2003 to 2007 |
| Table 10.8: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Other Foods at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| MEAL ENHANCERS |
| Market Size |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 10.9: UK Consumer Expenditure on Meal Enhancers at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Product Shares |
| Major Players |
| Advertising and Promotion |
| Table 10.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Brands of Cooking Sauces and Mixes, and Sauces and Condiments by Brand (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Forecasts 2003 to 2007 |
| Table 10.11: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Meal Enhancers at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| READY MEALS |
| Market Size |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 10.12: UK Consumer Expenditure on Ready Meals at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Market Segmentation |
| Frozen Ready Meals |
| Table 10.13: UK Consumer Expenditure on Frozen Ready Meals at Current Prices (£m at rsp,) 1998-2002 |
| Chilled Ready Meals |
| Table 10.14: UK Consumer Expenditure on Chilled Ready Meals at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Major Players |
| Advertising and Promotion |
| Table 10.15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Frozen Ready Meals by Brand (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Forecasts 2003 to 2007 |
| Table 10.16: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Ready Meals at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| PIZZA |
| Market Size |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 10.17: UK Consumer Expenditure on Pizza at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Market Segmentation |
| Frozen Pizza |
| Table 10.18: UK Consumer Expenditure on Frozen Pizza at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Major Players |
| Advertising and Promotion |
| Table 10.19: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Frozen Pizza by Brand (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Forecasts 2003 to 2007 |
| Table 10.20: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Pizza at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| SOUP |
| Market Size |
| By Value |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Table 10.21: UK Consumer Expenditure on Soup at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Major Players |
| Advertising and Promotion |
| Table 10.22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Canned Soup and Packet Soup by Brand (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Buying Behaviour |
| Table 10.23: Penetration of Canned Soup, Packet Soup and Fresh Soup by Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 |
| Forecasts 2003 to 2007 |
| Table 10.24 Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Soup at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| RICE AND PASTA |
| Market Size by Vale |
| Consumer Expenditure at Current Prices |
| Rice |
| Table 10.25: UK Consumer Expenditure on Rice at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Pasta |
| Table 10.26: UK Consumer Expenditure on Dry and Fresh Pasta at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 |
| Canned Pasta and Packeted Noodles |
| Advertising and Promotion |
| Table 10.27: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Rice and Plain Pasta by Brand (£000), Years Ending March 2002 and 2003 |
| Forecasts 2002 to 2007 |
| Rice |
| Table 10.28: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Rice at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| Pasta |
| Table 10.29: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Pasta at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| 11. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats |
| STRENGTHS |
| WEAKNESSES |
| OPPORTUNITIES |
| THREATS |
| 12. A Global Perspective |
| VALUE OF FOOD PRODUCTION IN EUROPE |
| Table 12.1: Value of Food Production in the Countries of the EU (_bn and %), 2001 |
| Employment and Number of Companies |
| Table 12.2: Total Food Industry Employment and Number of Food Companies in the Countries of the EU (number and %), 2001 |
| 13. The Future |
| INTRODUCTION |
| The Economy |
| Table 13.1: Forecast UK Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2003-2007 |
| The UK Population |
| Table 13.2: The Projected Size of the UK Population by Age Group (000), 2003, 2008 and 2013 |
| FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 |
| The Total Market |
| Table 13.3: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Food at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| The Restaurant Market |
| Table 13.4: The Forecast UK Restaurant Market (Including All Fast Food Sales) by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| By Market Sector |
| Table 13.5: Forecast UK Consumer Expenditure on Food by Sector at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 |
| Meat and Meat Products |
| Fish and Fish Products |
| Fruit and Vegetables |
| Dairy Products, Eggs, Oils and Fats |
| Bread, Cakes, Biscuits and Cereals |
| Miscellaneous Foods |
| FUTURE TRENDS |
| 14. Further Sources |
| Associations |
| Publications |
| General Sources |
| Bonnier Information Sources |
| Government Publications |
| Other Sources |
Text © 2004 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous December
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