| KN52032 |
| KEY NOTE Take Home Trade : July 2002 |
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This report covers: wine merchants and warehouses, off-licence, wine merchant multiples, brewers, wines, spirits, other alcoholic drinks, soft drinks,
Companies and consortiums covered include: Tesco, Sainsbury's, ASDA, Safeway, Somerfield, First Quench Retailing, Thresher, Victoria Wine, Cellar 5 Group, Unwins, Bargain Booze, Oddbins, Majestic Wines, British Beer and Pub Association, British Retail Consortium, Wine and Spirit Association,
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| In 2001, UK consumers spent £35.05bn on alcoholic drinks and a further £7.55bn on soft drinks, which together represented around 6 percent of total consumer expenditure. |
| Within the total of £42.6bn spent on drinks, £16.6bn fell into the category of take-home drinks, or the `off-trade', so that catering and the `on-trade', such as pubs, still accounted for a much higher share of spending on drinks than the take-home market. |
| Wine is the most important alcoholic drink sold to take home, while beer is more dominant in the on-trade, and in the drinks market as a whole. Wine has driven take-home growth, as Continental eating and drinking habits have been adopted by UK consumers. However, beer and spirits are also important, and there are substantial take-home markets for cider and the currently fashionable category of flavoured alcoholic beverages (FABs), such as Bacardi Breezer. Soft drinks make up another substantial category, there being an ever-broadening range of flavours and styles of packaged drink on the shelves, many of which are targeted at adults rather than children. |
| The growth of wine has coincided with the rise of the multiple grocer's superstore as the consumer's first choice for buying alcoholic drink for taking home. Grocers as a whole, including local corner shops, now account for more than three-quarters of the take-home trade, having stolen share from traditional off-licences. In total, however, there are still 40,000 outlets selling drinks to take home. |
| The pressure on off-licences brought by the expansion of grocers such as Tesco, Sainsbury's and ASDA has made their survival difficult and consolidation into larger groups a necessity. First Quench, which is easily the largest off-licence group (including Thresher and Victoria Wine), was sold to a bank in 2000, while Oddbins, famous for its adventurous and informal wine retailing, became part of a French group in 2002. |
| Competition between grocers and off-licences means that prices for take-home drinks have remained low and, in some cases, have `deflated' over the 5 years since 1997. Nevertheless, market growth of 25 percent has been achieved at current prices, and further expansion is forecast to 2006. |
| Grocers will continue to increase their influence on take-home drinks, but the most striking characteristic of the market in the early years of the 21st century will be the increasing concentration of market share among the few leading brands in each category of drink, usually international brands such as Bacardi, Coca-Cola, Stella Artois, Smirnoff and Gallo |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| 1. Market Definition 7 |
| REPORT COVERAGE 7 |
| MARKET SECTORS 7 |
| By Type of Drink 7 |
| Table 1: Indigenous and International Drinks Products in the UK, 2002 8 |
| Beer 9 |
| Wine 9 |
| Spirits, Liqueurs and Fortified Wines 9 |
| Other Alcohol 9 |
| Soft Drinks 9 |
| Types of Take-Home Outlet 10 |
| MARKET TRENDS 10 |
| Growth of Multiple Grocers 10 |
| The Influence of Legislation and Taxation 10 |
| Defensive Mergers Among Multiples 11 |
| National and Global Consolidation Among Drinks Manufacturers 11 |
| MARKET POSITION 12 |
| The UK 12 |
| Table 2: Take-Home and On-Trade Sales by Drinks Sector, (£m and percent), 2001 12 |
| Overseas 13 |
| Table 3: Drinks Brands Consumed on a Regular Basis ( percent of adults), 2001 14 |
| 2. Market Size 15 |
| THE TOTAL MARKET 15 |
| Table 4: The Total Take-Home Drinks Market by Value at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp), 1997-2001 15 |
| Price Trends 16 |
| Table 5: Retail Price Indices for Drinks (index 1998=100), 1998-2001 16 |
| MARKET SECTORS 17 |
| By Type of Drink 17 |
| Table 6: The Take-Home Trade by Drinks Sector by Value ( percent), 1997, 1999 and 2001 18 |
| Table 7: The Take-Home Trade by Drinks Sector by Value (£m at rsp), 1997-2001 19 |
| Wine (Light/Sparkling) 19 |
| Beer 20 |
| Spirits and Liqueurs 20 |
| Fortified Wines 21 |
| Cider 21 |
| Flavoured Alcoholic Beverages 22 |
| Soft Drinks 22 |
| By Type of Take-Home Outlet 22 |
| Table 8: The Take-Home Trade by Type of Outlet (number of outlets and percent), 1996 and 2002 23 |
| Table 9: The Take-Home Trade by Type of Outlet by Value ( percent), 1990, 1996, 1999 and 2002 24 |
| 3. Industry Background 25 |
| RECENT HISTORY 25 |
| NUMBER OF COMPANIES 26 |
| Table 10: Size Analysis of VAT-Based Drinks Retailing Businesses by Turnover Sizeband (number of companies and percent), 1998 and 2001 26 |
| REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE 27 |
| HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? 27 |
| LEGISLATION 27 |
| UK Licensing Laws 27 |
| Taxation 28 |
| KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 28 |
| British Beer and Pub Association 28 |
| British Retail Consortium 28 |
| Federation of Wholesale Distributors 29 |
| Wine & Spirit Association 29 |
| 4. Competitor Analysis 30 |
| THE MARKETPLACE 30 |
| Grocers and Convenience Stores 30 |
| Table 11: The Largest Multiple Grocers by Number of UK Outlets, 2000 and 2002 31 |
| Tesco 31 |
| Sainsbury's 32 |
| ASDA 32 |
| Safeway 32 |
| Somerfield 32 |
| Other Grocers 32 |
| Off-Licences 33 |
| Table 12: Leading Off-Licence and Wine Merchant Multiples by Number of Outlets, 1996, 1999 and 2002 34 |
| Wine Merchants and Warehouses 34 |
| MARKET LEADERS 35 |
| First Quench Retailing Ltd 35 |
| Company Structure 35 |
| Thresher 35 |
| Victoria Wine 35 |
| Current and Future Developments 36 |
| Table 13: Number of Outlets Under the Various First Quench Fascias, April 2002 37 |
| Financial Results 37 |
| Cellar 5 Group Ltd 37 |
| Company Structure 37 |
| Current and Future Developments 38 |
| Financial Results 38 |
| Unwins Ltd 38 |
| Company Structure 38 |
| Current and Future Developments 39 |
| Financial Results 39 |
| Bargain Booze Ltd 40 |
| Company Structure 40 |
| Current and Future Developments 40 |
| Financial Results 40 |
| Oddbins Ltd 40 |
| Company Structure 40 |
| Current and Future Developments 41 |
| Financial Results 41 |
| Majestic Wine PLC 42 |
| Company Structure 42 |
| Current and Future Developments 42 |
| Financial Results 42 |
| OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS 42 |
| Table 14: Leading Drinks Suppliers to the Take-Home Trade, 2002 43 |
| Brewers 45 |
| Spirits 46 |
| Wines 46 |
| Other Alcoholic Drinks 47 |
| Soft Drinks 47 |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION 48 |
| By Retailers 48 |
| Table 15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Alcohol Retailers (£000), 2000-2001 49 |
| By Drinks Manufacturers 49 |
| Table 16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Drinks Brands (£000), 2001 50 |
| 5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats 53 |
| STRENGTHS 53 |
| WEAKNESSES 53 |
| OPPORTUNITIES 53 |
| THREATS 54 |
| 6. Buying Behaviour 55 |
| CONSUMER PENETRATION 55 |
| Table 17: Trends in Take-Home Consumption by Type of Drink ( percent of adults), 1995, 1999 and 2001 55 |
| Wine Consumers 55 |
| Table 18: Take-Home Consumers of Wine/Fortified Wine by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2001 56 |
| Beer Consumers 57 |
| Table 19: Consumers of Take-Home Beer by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2001 58 |
| Spirits Consumers 59 |
| Table 20: Consumers of Take-Home Spirits by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2001 60 |
| 7. Current Issues 61 |
| CORPORATE ACTIVITY 61 |
| First Quench 61 |
| Other Corporate Changes 61 |
| LEGISLATION AND TAXATION 62 |
| PRICE COMPETITION 62 |
| CONVENIENCE ROLE OF OFF-LICENCES 62 |
| CRIME AND SECURITY PROBLEMS 63 |
| GROWTH OF FORECOURT RETAILING 63 |
| 2002 AS A WORLD CUP YEAR 64 |
| 8. The Global Market 65 |
| SIMILARITIES AND DIFFERENCES IN DRINKS DISTRIBUTION 65 |
| GLOBAL EXPANSION 65 |
| FACTORS INFLUENCING SUPPLY TRENDS 65 |
| 9. Forecasts 66 |
| INTRODUCTION 66 |
| FUTURE TRENDS 66 |
| Dominance of Multiple Grocers 66 |
| Implications of Brand Concentration 67 |
| The Importance of Monitoring Fashions 67 |
| Wine Developments 67 |
| Beer Concentration 68 |
| Fashion Drinks 68 |
| FORECASTS 2002 TO 2006 68 |
| Table 21: The Forecast Take-Home Drinks Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2002-2006 69 |
| 10. Company Profiles 70 |
| Bargain Booze Ltd 71 |
| CELLAR 5 GROUP LTD 73 |
| First Quench Retailing Ltd 75 |
| Majestic Wine Plc 77 |
| Oddbins Ltd 79 |
| Unwins Ltd 81 |
| 11. Further Sources 83 |
| Associations 83 |
| Publications 84 |
| Directories 86 |
| General Sources 86 |
| Bonnier Information Sources 87 |
| Government Publications 88 |
| Other Sources 89 |
Text © 2002 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous February 2004