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KN52022
KEY NOTE PUBLIC HOUSES : February 2002

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This report covers: theme pubs,food pubs,family pubs,Irish themed pubs,superpubs,traditional pubs,industry regulation,brands,managed houses,tenanted pubs,free houses,retailing,cafe bars,brasseries,sports bars,drinks outlets,alcoholic drinks,pubs,public houses,breweries,drink,brewers,

Companies/brands covered include: Punch Taverns Group, Firkin, Mr Q's, Allied Domecq, Big Steak Pub, Wacky Warehouse, Scruffy Murphy's, Brewer, John Barras,T&J Bernard, Rat & Parrot, Homespreads, Pubmaster, Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries, Greene King, JD Wetherspoon, Brewer Fayre, Harvester, Beefeater, Yates's Wine Lodge, Hogshead,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK's 48,750 public houses (pubs) continue to play a central role in the social and economic life of the country, despite a gradual decline in their numbers as unprofitable pubs are closed or converted to other uses. Pubs have had to reinvent themselves to confront the challenge of take-home beer, in-home entertainment, health-conscious eating and drinking, and the crackdown on drink driving. Pub food sales have risen steadily to account for 18 percent of the average pub's sales, although total sales through pubs, worth £14bn in 2001, were still dominated by alcoholic drink (£11bn), especially beer (over £8bn).

Brewers have been withdrawing their former support as owners of pubs since the Beer Orders of 1989 clamped down on the number of pubs that large brewers could own. The numerous regional brewers have also been weakened by the declining demand for British beers and the steady climb of international lager brands. The owner of the top lager brand, Stella Artois, was able to buy leadership of the UK beer market in 2000, precipitating the sale of large pub estates owned by former brewers (Bass and Whitbread).

Among the 40 percent of new UK pub owners taking over from brewers are the property-holding companies, backed by financial institutions known as pubcos. Nomura, part of a Japanese bank, controls over 5,000 pubs, while most of the former Bass and Whitbread estates went to new holding companies such as Punch Taverns and Laurel Pub Company. In contrast, there are smaller companies such as JD Wetherspoon and Regent Inns which are more important for the future of pubs because they actively invest in, and manage, forward-looking pub concepts.

The pub concept market is changing, however, with consumers beginning to tire of the 'theme pubs' of the 1990s and looking for a more sophisticated type of bar to drink in. The total number of pubs is likely to decline further well into the future, although it is going to become increasingly difficult to distinguish the conventional pub from the new types of hybrid outlet in the market — pub-restaurants, café-bars, coffee shops. Future changes to the licensing laws for selling alcohol could change the traditional pub market even more radically.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary


1. Market Definition

REPORT COVERAGE
What is a Pub?
The UK Licensing Laws
MARKET SECTORS
Sectors by Ownership
Sectors by Role of Pub
MARKET TRENDS
Long-Term Impact of Beer Orders Still Being Felt
Pubcos Growing in Size and Number
Drinks Fashions Steadily Changing
Further Segmentation by Type of Pub
Concepts of the 1990s Looking Outmoded
MARKET POSITION
The UK Position
The International Position
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
The British Beer & Pubs Association
Association of Licensed Multiple Retailers
Other Associations


2. Market Size

INTRODUCTION
THE TOTAL MARKET
Sales Through Public Houses
Table 1: The UK Public House Market by Value (£m, number of pubs and average sales per pub), 1997-2001
Number of Pubs Trading
Table 2: Estimated Number of Public Houses and Other Full Licences in the UK, 1990, 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000 and 2001
SECTORS OF THE PUB TRADE
Table 3: The Product Sales Mix in the Average UK Pub ( percent), 1988, 1996, 2000, 2001
Figure 1: The Product Sales Mix in the Average UK Pub (£m), 2001
Beer and Other Alcohol
Non-Alcoholic Drinks and Food
Other Products and Services in Pubs


3. Industry Background

RECENT HISTORY
The Tied-House System and the Beer Orders of 1989
From Big Six to Big Two
Brewing Industry Restructuring 1999-2001
Table 4: Market Shares of Total UK Beer Market by Volume ( percent), 2002
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
Table 5: Analysis of the Bars Sector by Turnover of Company, 2000 and 2001
EMPLOYMENT
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE
Table 6: Regional Brewer-Landlords with 200 and More Pubs, 2002
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
LEGISLATION
Competition Legislation and UK Government Rulings
European Involvement
The Licensing Laws


4. Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE
Table 7: Structure of Pub Ownership by Type of Owner (number of pubs), 2002
Brewers
Pubcos
MARKET LEADERS
Table 8: Leading Multiple Pub Owners by Number of Outlets, January 2002
Avebury Group Ltd
Enterprise Inns PLC
Greene King PLC
InnSpired Group Ltd
JD Wetherspoon PLC
KUC Properties Ltd
Laurel Pub Company
Nomura International PLC
Pubmaster Ltd
Punch Group Ltd
Scottish & Newcastle PLC
Six Continents PLC
Whitbread Group PLC
Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries PLC
Other Pub and Bar Operators
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
Main Media Advertising Campaigns
Table 9: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Pubs and Restaurants (£000), Years to September 2000 and 2001
Other Marketing and Promotion


5. Brand Strategy

INTRODUCTION
DEVELOPMENT OF BRANDING AND THEMING
Traditional Pub Names
Multiple Brands
Pub Theming
RECENT CHANGES IN BRANDING


6. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats

Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats


7. Buying Behaviour

PUB CUSTOMER USAGE
Table 10: Use of Pubs for Meals, Drinks and Entertainment Events ( percent adults), 2001
DEMOGRAPHICS OF PUB CUSTOMERS
Customer Profiles for Meals and Drinking
Table 11: Regular Pub Customers by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2001
Customer Profiles for Entertainment in Pubs
Table 12: Quizzes, Karaoke and TV Sports in Pubs by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2001
ATTITUDES TO PUBS — RECENT KEY NOTE RESEARCH
Table 13: Attitudes to Pub Services ( percent adults), 2001
Table 14: Attitudes to Noise and Smoke in Pubs by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2001
Table 15: Attitudes to Pub Management by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of respondents), 2001


8. Current Issues

MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS
LEISURELY COMPETITION
THE 2002 CHALLENGE
NO SMOKE WITHOUT FIRE
RURAL REGENERATION


9. The Global Market

BREWING GLOBALISATION
EQUIVALENT DRINKS OUTLETS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET
CAFé CULTURE


10. Forecasts

FUTURE TRENDS
FORECASTS 2002-2006
Table 16: The Forecast Total UK Public House Market by Value (£m, number of pubs and average sales per pub), 2002-2006
MARKET GROWTH
Figure 2: The Total UK Public House Market by Number of Public Houses (000), 1996-2006
Figure 3: The Total UK Public House Market by Turnover (£bn), 1996-2006


11. Company Profiles

Enterprise Inns PLC
Greene King PLC
JD Wetherspoon PLC
Nomura International PLC
Scottish & Newcastle PLC
Six Continents PLC
Whitbread Group PLC
Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries PLC


12. Company Financials


13. Further Sources

Associations
Publications
Directories
General Sources
Bonnier Information Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources

Key Note Research

The Key Note Range of Reports

Text © 2002Key Note

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