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KN40053
KEY NOTE RENEWABLE ENERGY : June 2003
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This report covers: renewable energy, biofuels and wastes, landfill gas, sewage sludge digestion schemes, domestic wood combustion, industrial wood combustion, short rotation coppice, straw combustion, hydropower, wind and wave power, solar energy, passive solar heating, active solar heating, photovoltaics, geothermal aquifers, combined heat and power, wind energy, solar energy, biomass, energy from waste, hydropower, wave power, electrical equipment, civil engineering, developing countris' energy needs, Global Warming, distribution of energy supplies, finite oil and gas reserves, energy efficiency, nuclear energy, energy options worldwide, UK government policy, climate change levy, carbon emisssions trading, non-grid-connected renewable energy installations,

Companies and Associations covered include: British BioGen, British Hydropower Association, The British Photvoltaic Association, British Wind Energy Association, Energy Industrial Council, Renewable Power Association, Solar Trade Association, World Energy Council, Amec Wind, BP solar Ltd, National Wind Power Ltd.,Powergen Renewable Holdings, Renewable Energy Systems, Scottish Power, Shell International Renewables, Shell Solar, Shell Wind Energy, Vestas-Celtic Wind Technology, AES Solar Systems, Bioenergy Technology, Compact Power Holdings, Coppice Resources, Dulas, E Connect, Energy for Sustainable Developments, Fibrowatt, Intersolar group, IT Power, PV Systems, Thermomax, Wavegen,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report analyses the UK renewable energy market and prospects for biofuels and wastes, hydro, wind and wave, solar and geothermal energy. In 2001, the main source in the utilisation of all types of renewable energy — in terms of millions of tonnes of oil equivalent (mtoe) — was biofuels at 85.6 percent. Landfill gas (27 percent) and waste combustion (21.5 percent) were the main constituents in this sector. Large-scale hydropower contributed 10.7 percent and wind and wave 2.7 percent. In 2001, of the total 3,099mtoe renewable energy produced, 2,398mtoe (77.4 percent) was used for electricity generation.
This report gives details of the renewable fuel mix used for electricity and also for heat.
Renewable energy sources have been known for many years, but it is only during the past 20 years that modern technology and investment has been applied to produce viable alternatives to fossil fuel, that can produce energy on a useful scale.
The stimulus to develop renewables is being driven by several factors. Carbon emissions from fossil fuels are causing global warming and there is pressure to reduce the amount of carbon dioxide produced in energy production. The UK is soon to become a net importer of gas and later of oil, as North Sea reserves are depleted. There is also every prospect of rising gas prices. Renewable energy is now formally part of the government energy policy to reduce carbon emissions and to diversify the UK's energy supply. Alternative methods have to be found for disposing of biodegradable material and one way of achieving this is by using processes such as incineration and digestion, which produce heat or energy products.
A number of key issues face the renewable energy sector, not least of which is a sustained government policy that provides appropriate legislation and financial support for technology and market development. The Renewables Obligation, exemption from the Climate Change Levy and, in the future, emissions trading will help in this direction. Energy storage continues to provide a challenge for intermittent sources, such as wind and solar power, and research is being undertaken in this area. Planning consent, especially for wind farms, is a longstanding issue and is frequently the cause of delays or even abandonment of projects. In the case of wind energy, this situation could ease with the construction of offshore wind farms, where there is likely to be less objection to the visual impact of wind farms.
The future demand for renewable energy will depend on costs. For power generation, the major technologies are more expensive than the cheapest fossil fuel methods, with wind power being the technology with the lowest cost in kilowatts per hour (KWh) in the next 5 years. If the Government's target of 10 percent power generation is to be reached using renewable energy by 2010, a total of 10,000 megawatts (MW) will have to be installed at that date. Government estimates that by 2010 the Renewables Obligation and Climate Change Levy will be worth £1bn a year to the renewables sector.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary 1
1. Market Definition 8
REPORT COVERAGE 8
MARKET SECTORS 8
Biofuels and Wastes 8
Landfill Gas 8
Sewage Sludge Digestion Schemes 8
Domestic Wood Combustion 8
Industrial Wood Combustion 8
Short Rotation Coppice 8
Straw Combustion 9
Waste Combustion 9
Hydropower 9
Wind and Wave Power 9
Solar Energy 10
Passive Solar Heating 10
Active Solar Heating 10
Photovoltaics 10
Geothermal Aquifers 10
Combined Heat and Power 10
MARKET TRENDS 10
Wind Energy 11
Solar Energy 11
Biomass 12
Energy from Waste 13
Hydropower 13
Wave Power 14
MARKET POSITION 14
The UK 14
Table 1: UK Production of Indigenous Primary Fuels by Type by Volume (million tonnes of oil equivalent), 1998-2002 15
Table 2: UK Energy Consumption of Primary Fuel (million tonnes of oil equivalent), 1998-2002 16
Overseas 17
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 17
British BioGen 17
British Hydropower Association 18
The British Photovoltaic Association 18
British Wind Energy Association 19
Energy Industrial Council 19
Renewable Power Association 19
Solar Trade Association 20
World Energy Council 20
2. Market Size 21
The total market 21
UK Sales by Volume 21
BY MARKET SECTOR 22
Consumption of Renewable Energy Sources 22
Table 3: The Total UK Consumption of Renewable Sources by Sector† (000 tonnes of oil equivalent), 1997-2001 22
Table 4: The Total UK Capacity of Renewable Sources (megawatts of electricity), 1997-2001 23
Production and Supply 23
Table 5: UK Renewable and Waste Energy Supply (000 tonnes of oil equivalent), 1999-2001 24
Usage of Renewable Energy Sources 24
Table 6: UK Usage of Renewable Energy Sources (000 tonnes of oil equivalent), 2001 25
Electricity Generation from Renewable Sources 25
Table 7: UK Generation of Electricity from Renewable Sources (gigawatt hours), 1997-2001 26
Table 8: UK Renewable Sources Used to Generate Electricity (000 tonnes of oil equivalent), 1997-2001 27
Heat Generation from Renewable Sources 28
Table 9: UK Heat Generation from Renewable Sources (000 tonnes of oil equivalent), 1997-2001 28
3. Industry Background 29
INTRODUCTION 29
Recent History 29
Number of Companies 30
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE 31
Table 10: UK Sites Generating Electricity from Renewable Sources by Region (megawatts), 2001 31
Table 11: UK Generation of Electricity from Renewable Sources by Region (gigawatt hours), 2001 33
Table 12: Regional Distribution Sites Generating Electricity from Renewable Sources, 2001 34
DISTRIBUTION 34
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? 35
LEGISLATION 36
4. Competitor Analysis 38
THE MARKETPLACE 38
MARKET LEADERS 39
Amec Wind 39
Company Structure 39
Current and Future Developments 39
Financial Results 40
BP Solar Ltd 40
Company Structure 40
Current and Future Developments 41
Financial Results 41
National Wind Power Ltd 41
Company Structure 41
Current and Future Developments 42
Financial Results 42
Powergen Renewables Holdings Ltd 42
Company Structure 42
Current and Future Developments 43
Financial Results 44
Renewable Energy Systems Ltd 44
Company Structure 44
Current and Future Developments 45
Financial Results 45
Scottish Power PLC 45
Company Structure 45
Current and Future Developments 46
Financial Results 47
Shell International Renewables Ltd 47
Company Structure 47
Shell Solar 47
Shell Wind Energy 47
Current and Future Developments 48
Financial Results 48
Vestas-Celtic Wind Technology Ltd 48
Company Structure 48
Current and Future Developments, 49
Financial Results 50
Other Companies 50
AES Solar Systems 50
Bioenergy Technology Ltd 50
Compact Power Holdings PLC 51
Coppice Resources Ltd 51
Dulas Ltd 51
E Connect Ltd 51
Energy for Sustainable Developments Ltd 51
Fibrowatt 52
Intersolar Group PLC 52
IT Power Ltd 52
PV Systems Ltd 52
Thermomax Ltd 52
Wavegen 53
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS 53
Electrical Equipment 53
Wind Energy 53
Solar Power 53
Biomass 54
Wavepower 54
Hydropower 54
Civil Engineering 54
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats 55
THE TOTAL MARKET 55
Strengths 55
Weaknesses 55
Opportunities 55
Threats 55
BIOFUELS AND WASTES 56
Strengths 56
Weaknesses 56
Opportunities 56
Threats 57
HYDRO POWER 57
Strengths 57
Weaknesses 57
Opportunities 57
Threats 57
WIND POWER 58
Strengths 58
Weaknesses 58
Opportunities 58
Threats 59
SOLAR ENERGY 59
Strengths 59
Weaknesses 59
Opportunities 60
Threats 60
6. Buying Behaviour 61
ENERGY CONSUMPTION 61
Table 13: UK Industrial Energy Demand by Industry (tonnes of oil equivalent), 2001 61
LOCATION OF ENERGY DEMAND CENTRES 62
NUMBER OF HOMES RATING 63
NON-GRID-CONNECTED RENEWABLE ENERGY INSTALLATIONS 63
BUYING BEHAVIOUR AND LEGISLATION 64
New Electricity Trading Arrangements 64
Renewables Obligation 64
Climate Change Levy 64
Carbon Emissions Trading 64
7. Current Issues 65
ENERGY OPTIONS Worldwide 65
Developing Countries' Energy Needs 65
Global Warming 65
Distribution of Energy Supplies 65
Finite Oil and Gas Reserves 66
Energy Efficiency 66
Nuclear Energy 66
Renewable Energy 66
UK GOVERNMENT POLICY 66
INTERMITTENT ENERGY PRODUCTION 67
NETA AND INTERMITTENT SUPPLY 67
ENERGY STORAGE 67
PLANNING CONSENT 67
LONG TERM ENERGY CULTURE AND INFRASTRUCTURE 68
SECURITY 68
8. The Global Market 69
World MARKET 69
Table 14: Share of Total Primary Energy Supply from Renewable Sources by Region ( percent), 1996-2000 70
Table 15: Share of Electricity Production from Renewable Sources by Region ( percent), 1996-2000 71
Table 16: Share of Electricity Production from Renewable Sources Excluding Hydropower by Region ( percent), 1996-2000 72
Global Market by Technology 72
Table 17: OECD Generating Capacity of Renewable Sources and Waste Products (megawatts), 1999 and 2000 73
9. Forecasts 74
ENERGY POLICY 74
The Future for Renewable Energy 74
Forecasts 75
Wind Power 75
Biomass 75
Renewable Energy Costs 75
fORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 76
Electricity Generation Capacity 76
Table 18: Forecast UK Electricity Generation Capacity From Renewable Energy Sources (megawatts), 2003-2007 76
Table 19: Forecast UK Installation Capacity for Electricity Generation (megawatts), 2003-2007 77
FUTURE TRENDS 77
Reduced Carbon Emissions 77
Conventional Energy Sources 77
Government Policy 78
Wind Power 78
Solar Power 78
Biomass 78
Energy Storage 78
Re-Distribution of Energy Sources 78
10. Company Profiles 79
Bp Solar LTd 80
National Wind Power Ltd 82
Powergen Renewables Holdings Ltd 84
Renewable Energy Systems LTd 86
scottish power plc 88
Shell International Renewables Ltd 90
Further Sources 92
Associations 92
Publications 93
Bonnier Information Sources 93
Government Publications 94
Other Sources 95

Text © 2004 Key Note

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