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KEY NOTE Energy Industry : February 2002

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This report covers: oil industry, natural gas industry, electricity industry, nuclear energy, coal industry, renewable energy, primary fuels, petroleum, solid fuel, coke oven gas, LPG, liquified petroleum gas, hard coke, gas oil, crude oil production, petrol retailing, refiners, refinery distillation, natural gas, electricity generation, REC, nuclear waste, steam coal, coking coal, hydro-electric, biofuels, wind power, solar energy, energy crops, waste biogases, CHP, combined heat and power

Companies covered include: Amerada Hess, BG Group, Innogy PLC,UK Coal PLC,BP Amoco, British Energy, National Power, PowerGen, RJB Mining, Shell Transport & Trading, TXU Europe Group, Texaco, Esso, TotalFinaElf, National Grid, ScottishPower, Scottish & Southern Energy, British Energy, BNFL, Nirex, AEA Technology

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK enjoys a wealth of indigenous energy resources and has the technical expertise and experience to exploit them. Much of this expertise is being utilised in gainful commercial ventures overseas. In its position as one of the most energy-rich countries in Europe, the UK is uniquely placed to profit from a strong energy market.

Expenditure on energy amounted to £69.87bn in 2000. UK householders spent £30.67bn on energy products, representing 5.2 percent of total consumer expenditure.

Shares of users' expenditure on each fuel are illustrated in Table 1.

Table 1: UK Consumption of Primary and Secondary Fuels
by Final Users by Sector by Value ( percent of each sector), 2000
Industry Domestic Others All Users
Solid fuels 7.2 3.2 - 1.3
Petroleum products 18.9 5.2 †88.1 65.2
Natural gas 18.4 39.2 1.9 10.9
Secondary electricity 55.5 52.4 10 22.6
Total 100 100 100 100
† — of which 92.6 percent are used in road transport
Source:Digest of UK Energy Statistics, 2001

MARKET RESTRUCTURING

Privatisation has provided the impetus for competition, resulting in a major restructuring of the energy industries and the companies involved. Restructuring commenced in the late 1980s with the privatisation of the gas sector, closely followed by similar moves in the electricity, coal and nuclear sectors. Oil resources had always been in private hands. Full liberalisation was achieved in May 1999, with the completion of the opening up of the electricity market. All consumers, both domestic and business, are now free to choose their supplier of gas or electricity.

Convergence of the gas and electricity sectors of the energy industry has resulted from liberalisation and the freedom for different parts of the energy industry to cross into each other's territory. A traditional oil and gas company (such as The Shell Transport and Trading Company PLC) is expanding into US electricity. Electricite de France, the world's largest utility group now trades gas, albeit outside of France. The level of convergence can be gauged by looking at the oil companies, many of which have put gas and power into the same corporate division. TotalFinaElf SA is buying the Argentine power plants of Gener, the Chilean utility. BG Group PLC operates power stations in Northern Ireland and the Philippines.

Mergers and Acquisitions

A succession of bids, notably in the electricity sector where many of the regional electricity companies (RECs) are under new ownership, has changed the nature and structure of the energy industry. Thus, public electricity suppliers have evolved since privatisation into complex structures embracing diverse businesses. Most have extended their interests into generation or are part of wider groups with major interests in generation.

Change of ownership among power supply companies has been occurring fast and furiously over the past few years. The changes reflect the pace at which the British power industry is consolidating. In September 2001, Northern Electric PLC acquired Yorkshire Electricity Group PLC's distribution assets from Innogy PLC, and in return Innogy acquired Northern Electric's electricity and gas supply customer base and its metering business.

Acquisitions by foreign concerns, notably from the US and from Europe, have created a much more international industry. The £10bn take-over of Powergen PLC by E.ON of Germany remains on track for completion in 2002. However, the cost of acquiring energy customers has become too high for some US energy groups. The collapse of Enron Corp., the energy trading group, in November 2001, was threatening to destabilise energy markets in the US and Europe.

The market has responded positively to these changes. The future should provide greater opportunities in Europe and overseas resulting from the increasingly global nature of the energy market. The experience gained from deregulation of the UK energy market can be readily employed in Europe and the US where liberalisation started more recently. The multi-sector approach provides a competitive driving force to stimulate a strong market with good commercial rewards.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
INTRODUCTION
Table 1: UK Consumption of Primary and Secondary Fuels by Final Users by Sector by Value ( percent of each sector), 2000
MARKET RESTRUCTURING
Mergers and Acquisitions
1. Market Overview
MARKET DEFINITION
The Oil Industry
The Gas Industry
The Electricity Industry
The Nuclear Industry
The Coal Industry
The Renewable Energy Industry
INTRODUCTION
Primary and Secondary Fuels
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Table 1.1: Employment in the UK Energy Industries (000 employees and percent), 1980, 1990 and 1998
Trade Associations
Energy Industries Council
TOTAL MARKET SIZE
Energy Expenditure
Table 1.2: Final Consumers’ Expenditure on Energy in the UK by Sector (£m), 2000
Table 1.3: Final Consumers’ Expenditure on Energy in the UK by Fuel Type (£m), 2000
Table 1.4: UK Household Expenditure on Energy at Current Prices (£m), 2000
KEY TRENDS
Production
Table 1.5: UK Production of Primary Fuels by Volume (mtoe), 1970, 1980, 1990, and 1998-2000
Consumption and Production
Table 1.6: UK Production and Consumption of Primary Fuels by Volume (mtoe), 2000
Table 1.7: UK Final Energy Consumption by Sector ( percent), 2000
Table 1.8: UK Final Consumption by Fuel Type ( percent), 2000
Industrial Fuel Prices
Table 1.9: Industrial Fuel Prices in the UK (pence per kilowatt hour), 1995-2000
Future Prospects
PEST ANALYSIS
Political
Utilities Act
Energy Policy — Security of Supply
European Directive on Renewables
European Proposals for Promoting Alternative Fuels
Economic
Dual Fuel Offers
Climate Change Levy
Energy Efficiency
Energy Prices
Lifting of Price Controls
Energy Trading
New Electricity Trading Arrangements
Social
Fuel Poverty
Environment
Technological
Improvement in Generating Plant Efficiencies
Dual Fuel Generation
Clean Fuel Technology
EUROPEAN/GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
Opening up the Market in Europe
Forecasts
Energy Projections
Table 1.10: UK Primary Energy Demand Projections (mtoe), 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020
2. Competitor Analysis
INTRODUCTION
PROFILES OF SELECTED LEADING COMPANIES
Amerada Hess Ltd
BG Group PLC
BP PLC
British Energy PLC
Innogy PLC
Powergen PLC
Shell Transport and Trading Company PLC
TXU Europe Group PLC
UK Coal PLC
3. The Oil Industry
INTRODUCTION
Influences on the Industry
KEY TRENDS
Production of Crude Oil
Table 3.1: UK Production of Crude Oil by Volume (000 tonnes), 1996-2000
Production of Petroleum Products
Table 3.2: UK Production of Petroleum Products from Imported and Indigenous Crude by Volume (000 tonnes), 2000
Prices
Table 3.3: North Sea Crude Prices ($ per barrel), 1976-2000
Oil Consumption
Table 3.4: UK Consumption of Petroleum Products by Volume (tonnes), 2000 and January to October 2000-2001
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
Petrol Retailing
Petrol Sites
Table 3.5: UK Petrol Retailing Sites by Number and Average Throughput (tonnes and million litres), Year End 1990-2000
Table 3.6: Suppliers of Petrol to the UK Retail Market by Outlets Supplied, Self-Service Sites and Company-Owned Sites (number and percent), Year End 2000
Table 3.7: Number of Petrol Outlets at UK Supermarkets by Type of Fuel, Year End 2000
Europe
MARKET SIZE
Table 3.8: Annual Sales of Mineral Oil and Natural Gas from UK Sources by Value (£m), 1996-2000
Exports and Imports of Crude Oil
Table 3.9: UK Exports of Crude Oil by Volume and Value (000 tonnes and £m), 2000
Table 3.10: UK Imports of Crude Oil by Volume and Value (000 tonnes and £m), 2000
Exports and Imports of Refined Products
Table 3.11: UK Exports of Refined Petroleum Products by Type by Volume and Value (000 tonnes and £m), 2000
Table 3.12: UK Imports of Refined Petroleum Products by Type by Volume and Value (000 tonnes and £m), 2000
MARKET STRUCTURE
Companies
Table 3.13: UK Refining Distillation Capacity (000 tonnes), Year End 2000
Pricing
Employment
Distribution of Products
Trade Associations
MAJOR PLAYERS
Shell
BP
Texaco
Esso
TotalFinaElf
Amerada
FORECASTS 2001-2006
Production
Table 3.14: Forecast UK Oil Production by Volume (million tonnes), 2001-2006
Capital Expenditure
Table 3.15: Forecast Capital Expenditure for Total Categories (£bn), 2001-2006
Future Targets
4. The Gas Industry
INTRODUCTION
KEY TRENDS
Gas Supply and Demand
Table 4.1: Supply of and Demand for Natural Gas and Colliery Methane in the UK (gigawatt hours), 1998-2000
Table 4.2: Analysis of UK Natural Gas and Colliery Methane Demand (gigawatt hours), 1998-2000
MARKET SIZE
Natural Gas Sales
Table 4.3: UK Gas Sales by Sector by Value (£m), 1998-2000
Natural Gas Consumption
Table 4.4: UK Consumption and Demand for Natural Gas (gigawatt hours), 1998-2000
Overseas Trade
Table 4.5: UK Imports and Exports of Natural Gas (gigawatt hours), 1996-2000
Table 4.6: UK Imports and Exports of Natural Gas by Value (£m), 1996-2000
MARKET STRUCTURE
Northern Ireland
Distribution
The European Market
MAJOR PLAYERS
The Domestic Market
Domestic Prices
The Industrial and Commercial Market
Advertising and Promotion
Table 4.7: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Gas Companies (£000), Year to September 2000 and 2001
Buying Behaviour
Forecasts 2001-2006
Production
Table 4.8: Forecast UK Gas Production by Volume (billion cubic metres), 2001-2006
5. The Electricity Industry
INTRODUCTION
KEY TRENDS
Electricity as a Primary Fuel
Table 5.1: Primary Fuels by Market Share on the Basis of Energy Supplied ( percent), 1990, 1995 and 1997-2000
Electricity as a Secondary Fuel
Fuel Input for Electricity Generation
Table 5.2: UK Fuel Input for Electricity Generation by Volume (mtoe), 1996-2000
MARKET SIZE
Table 5.3: UK Electricity Sales by Sector by Value (£m) 1998-2000
The Development of Competition
Domestic Sector Competition
Overseas Trade
MARKET STRUCTURE
Employment
Trade Associations
The Electricity Association
Association of Electricity Producers
MAJOR PLAYERS
Centrica and TXU Europe
Innogy
National Grid
Suppliers
Northern Electric
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland Electricity
Scotland
ScottishPower
Scottish and Southern Energy
Powergen
Advertising and Promotion
Table 5.4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Electricity and Combined Utilities Companies (£000), Year to September 2000 and 2001
Buying Behaviour
Electricity Consumption
Table 5.5: UK Electricity Consumption by User Category (terawatt hours), 1996-2000
Forecasts 2005-2020
Future Use of Fuels for Electricity Generation
Table 5.6: Forecast UK Electricity Generation by Fuel Type (terawatt hours), 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020
6. The Nuclear Industry
INTRODUCTION
Nuclear Generation
Fuel Cycle
Disposal of Waste
KEY TRENDS
Nuclear Consumption
Table 6.1: World Consumption of Nuclear Energy by Country by Volume (mtoe), 1990-2000
Table 6.2: UK Consumption of Primary Fuels by Fuel Type ( percent), 1990, 1995 and 1997-2000
MARKET SIZE
MARKET STRUCTURE
Security of Energy Supply
Employment
Trade Associations
A Global Perspective
MAJOR PLAYERS
Nuclear Generators
British Energy
BNFL
Nuclear Fuels Processing and Waste Management
BNFL
Nirex
Technology
Future Prospects
7. The Coal Industry
INTRODUCTION
Types of Coal and Other Solid Fuels
KEY TRENDS
Coal Production
Table 7.1: Mined Coal Production in the UK by Volume (million tonnes), 1947, 1950, 1955, 1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, 1995 and 1997-2000
Coal Consumption
Table 7.2: UK Supply, Demand and Consumption of Coal by Volume (000 tonnes), 1999 and 2000
A Global Perspective
Table 7.3: World Coal Production (million tonnes and percent of total), 2000
Table 7.4: World Coal Consumption (million tonnes and percent of total), 2000
MARKET SIZE
Table 7.5: UK Purchases of Coal and Manufactured Solid Fuels by Sector by Value (£m), 2000
Overseas Trade
Exports
Imports
Table 7.7: UK Imports of Solid Fuel by Volume and Value (000 tonnes and £m), 1999 and 2000
MARKET STRUCTURE
Aid to the Industry
Distribution of Coal and Solid Fuels
Trade Associations
The Solid Fuel Association
Confederation of UK Coal Producers
Coal Merchants’ Federation (Great Britain) Ltd
MAJOR PLAYERS
Buying Behaviour
Power Generators
Domestic Users
Future prospects
Clean Coal
Forecasts 2005-2020
Table 7.8: Projected Primary Energy Demand by Type (mtoe), 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020
8. The Renewable Energy Industry
INTRODUCTION
KEY TRENDS
Renewable Energy Consumption
Table 8.1: Renewable Sources Used to Generate Electricity and Heat in the UK by Volume (000 tonnes of oil equivalent), 1998-2000
MARKET SIZE
Table 8.2: Electricity Generated from Renewable Sources in the UK (gigawatt hours), 2000
Export Opportunities
Europe
MARKET STRUCTURE
Wind Power
Waste
Energy Crops
Hydropower
Solar Energy
Other Technologies
Trade Associations
The Confederation of Renewable Energy Associations
British Wind Energy Association
Solar Trade Association
The Landfill Gas Association
The Energy from Waste Association
The British Hydropower Association
British Biogen
The British Photovoltaic Association
MAJOR PLAYERS — BY COMPANY
Innogy
Powergen
Shell Renewables
BP Solar
MAJOR PLAYERS — BY ENERGY SECTOR
Solar Energy
Biomass
Waste
Fuel Cells
Hydropower
Wave Power
Combined Heat and Power
Table 8.3: Combined Heat and Power Installations and Capacities in the UK (numbers, megawatts and percent), 2000
Table 8.4: Combined Heat and Power Usage in the UK by Sector (number of sites, wattage — electrical and thermal — and gigawatt hours), 2000
FUTURE PROSPECTS
Financial Support
Europe
The Non-Fossil Fuel Obligation
Renewables Obligation
New Projects
Wind Energy
PV Systems
9. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS
10. The Future
Collapse of Enron
Global Oil and Gas Spending
Security of Supply of Oil and Gas
Investment in Gas
Nuclear and Renewables
11. Further Sources
Associations
Periodicals
Directories
General Sources
Bonnier Information Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources
Key Note Research
The Key Note Range of Reports

Text © 2004 Key Note

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