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KEY NOTE DIY & HOME IMPROVEMENTS UK : August 2002

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This report covers: do-it-yourself, DIY, home improvements, paint, woodcare, wallcoverings, glazed ceramic tiles, power tools, hand tools, decorating tools, DIY superstores, DIY independents, hardware stores, specialist shops, mixed retailers, catalogue stores, internet shopping, internal painting, woodcare, wallpapering, external painting, tiling, plumbing, fitting a kitchen, flooring, bathroom, central heating, fireplace, roof insulation, Damp-proofing, sources of advice, television programmes, leaflets, manuals, magazines, specialists, classes, helplines, superstores, instructions, paint, emulsion, gloss, satin.masonry paint, woodcare, varnish, preservers, woodstains, wallcoverings, simplex paper, wallpaper, duplex, unpasted vinyl, ready-pasted vinyl, white blown vinyl, coloured blown vinyl, expanded vinyl, glazed ceramic tiles, power tools

Companies covered include: B&Q, Homebase, Argos, Mica, Robert Dyas Holdings, Screwfix Direct, Wilkinson Hardware Stores, Woolworths, Focus Group, Wickes, Great Mills, BMJ Power, FADS, MFI Furniture Group, Topps Tiles, Robert Dyas, Wilkinson Hardware Stores, Wal-Mart ASDA, Woolworths, Akzo, ICI Paints, Krylon, Plasti-Kote, Nobel Decorative Coatings, ICI, Kalon, Dulux, Hammerite, Ronseal, Country décor, Cova Products, H-A Interiors, Englewood, Fine Art Décor, Graham & Brown, Imperial Home Décor Group, Walker Greenbank, British Ceramic Tile, H&R Johnson, Pilkington, Black & Decker, Alba, Earlex, Hitachi Power Tools, Makita, Robert Bosch, Hamilton Acorn, LG Harris, The Stanley Works, ICI Paints, Ronseal Paints, Hitachi, Makita, Robert Bosch, Bahco Metal Saws, Hamilton Acorn.LG Harris, Neill Tools, Stanley Works,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

DEFINITION

Key Note bases its figures for total DIY expenditure on data from Consumer Trends from the Office of National Statistics, which is based on a large-scale survey of the UK population. Consumer Trends altered its classification system from 2001 and in 2002, it offers data on materials for maintenance and repair of the dwelling, small tools and miscellaneous accessories, and major tools and accessories.

MARKET VALUE AND GROWTH

Expenditure on DIY continued to show strong growth in 2001, with an increase of 8 percent, to £9.28bn at retail selling prices (rsp). Price rises remained low between 1997 and 2001 and most of the market growth was due to volume increases. Prices are subject to pressure from the competition between the DIY superstore chains, from the growth of own-label products and from low-cost imports, although the situation varies between sectors.

Table 1: Index of Consumer Expenditure on DIY Goods

at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (index 1995=100),

1997-2001

Current prices index

Constant 1995 prices index

Source: Consumer Trends, National Statistics website © Crown copyright material is reproduced

with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queen's Printer for Scotland)/Key Note

PRODUCT SECTORS

Sections 4 to 9 discuss the key sectors of paint, glazed ceramic tiles, wallcoverings, power tools and accessories, hand tools and decorating tools and woodcare, which together account for around a quarter of the DIY market. This proportion remains fairly constant.

Paint

The DIY paint market experienced strong growth between 1997 and 2001, helped by a high level of new product development (NPD) by the manufacturers. This included new colour ranges — emphasising clear bright modern themes — the introduction of metal-effect paint, and the revival of heritage colours. Paints have become easier to use. The use of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) has been minimised, covering ability has been improved and paint containers redesigned. The trend is towards greater use of colour, rather than white, and the market value increased faster than its volume between 1997 and 2001. The top three paint manufacturers supplying the UK DIY market are Akzo Nobel Decorative Coatings Ltd, ICI Paints (a division of Imperial Chemical Industries PLC [ICI]) and Kalon Ltd (which leads in own-label supply, as well as offering branded paints for the independent retail sector).

Glazed Ceramic Tiles

The glazed ceramic tile market remains dominated by imports from Spain and Italy, but UK manufacturers have invested in modern production facilities and are fighting to increase their market share. Against a background of gradual growth for ceramic tiles, the 2001 market was slightly depressed. Growth sectors are floor tiling and, for walls, white, textured and metal-effect tiles. There are only three main UK manufacturers in this market: BCT Ltd, H&R Johnson Tiles Ltd and Pilkington's Tiles Group PLC.

Wallcoverings

The wallcoverings sector was in steep decline since a peak in the mid-1990s, but started to recover in 2001. Any market increase in 2001 was due to a boost in imports rather than the UK market, but local suppliers are confident of some growth in 2002. Recovery has tended to be in terms of value rather than volume. There is growth in plain textured wallcoverings and a move towards high-value sectors in general. Simplex paper held its share of the market in 2000 and decreased sharply in 2001. New developments in 2001 and 2002 included the launch of `paste-the-wall' wallcoverings. Within the UK wallcoverings market, the long-established Anaglypta and Lincrusta brands changed hands in October 2001, from Akzo Nobel Decorative Coatings Ltd to The Imperial Home Décor Group (UK) Ltd.

Power Tools and Accessories

The power tools market relies strongly on Christmas gift buying. It passed through a period of strong growth between 1995 and 2000 but slowed in 2001, with value growth lagging behind volume growth. Imports of low-cost power tools manufactured in Asia had a large impact on the market between 1997 and 2001, as has the extension and promotion of superstores' own labels. The market leaders in this sector are Black & Decker, Robert Bosch Ltd and Alba PLC (which was challenging Bosch for second place in 2002).

Hand Tools and Decorating Tools

Prices for some hand tools increased in 2001, boosting the overall value of the market. In the decorating tools sector, there is continued pressure on prices due to very cheap imports. However, volume growth was good between 1997 and 2001, as a result of the popularity of painting. Leading hand tool companies in the retail sector include The Stanley Works Ltd and Neill Tools Ltd. The Stanley Decorating brand leads the decorating tools sector, followed by LG Harris & Co. Ltd, Hamilton Acorn Ltd and Robert J Hall.

Woodcare

Woodcare showed strong growth in 2001, led by products for the garden. Indoors, an interest in coloured paint tended to inhibit growth of the woodcare sector slightly. Leaders in this sector are Ronseal Ltd, with Ronseal and Colron brands, ICI Paints, with Dulux and Cuprinol brands, and Akzo Nobel, with Sadolin brand.

Other Sectors

Other sectors in the UK DIY and home improvements market include timber and boards, other building materials, ready-made shelving, garden tools, bathroom fittings and accessories, decorative fillers and sundries, adhesives and sealants, metal and plastic fixings, curtain rails, other hardware items, ladders and stepladders, DIY home security products, home fire protection products, protective clothing for DIY, and plumbing products.

CONSUMER RESEARCH

The results of original research for Key Note carried out by BMRB Access are shown in Section 2 — Key Note Field Research. Other relevant Target Group Index (TGI) research is shown under the various product sectors in Sections 4 to 9.

The BMRB Access survey asked consumers about several DIY activities. It found a strong increase in the percentage of people who had laid wood or laminate flooring in 2002 and in those who had laid floor or wall tiles from the previous year. The most widespread DIY tasks are interior painting or woodcare, wallpapering and exterior painting or woodcare. Consumers were also asked about their use of the Internet.

RETAILERS

With the number of superstore groups down to three powerful competitors — B&Q PLC, Homebase Ltd and Focus Wickes PLC — further concentration would be difficult and the situation remained stable during 2001 and 2002. B&Q is the dominant player and in 2002, its shareholders voted for a takeover of the remaining shares in the French chain Castorama, which would increase B&Q's lead in Europe as a whole. At the time that this review was published (August 2002), negotiations were still underway between the two companies.

Specialist stores remain important in certain sectors and the leading hardware chains have performed well. Tesco PLC is to increase its involvement in DIY products and could become a significant player.

Online shopping continues to show progress and Kingfisher PLC's Screwfix Direct Ltd showed very strong sales growth in 2001.

FUTURE PROSPECTS

Key Note forecasts market growth of around 4 percent every year to 2006. This is a conservative estimate, taking into consideration a likely increase in interest rates and a slowing of the housing market. As a result, growth could be stronger. There are no very serious threats on the horizon for the general market and most market sectors are expected to show growth.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

DEFINITION	1
MARKET VALUE AND GROWTH	1
Table 1: Index of Consumer Expenditure on DIY Goods at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (index 1995=100),
1997-2001	1
PRODUCT SECTORS	1
Paint	2
Glazed Ceramic Tiles	2
Wallcoverings	2
Power Tools and Accessories	2
Hand Tools and Decorating Tools	3
Woodcare	3
Other Sectors	3
CONSUMER RESEARCH	3
RETAILERS	3
FUTURE PROSPECTS	4
1. Market Overview	5
DEFINITION	5
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE	6
Manufacturing	6
Retailing	6
Table 1.1: Total UK Home Improvement Market by Value as Addressed by B&Q PLC (£bn at rsp), Year Ending February 2002	7
Wholesaling	7
MARKET segmentation	8
Table 1.2: The UK Retail DIY Market by Sector by Value (£m at rsp and percent), 2001	8
TOTAL MARKET SIZE	9
Table 1.3: UK Retail DIY Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent), 1997-2001	9
Table 1.4: UK Retail DIY Market by Value at Constant 1995 Prices (£m at rsp and percent),
1997-2001	10
Table 1.5: Expenditure on DIY Materials in the Last 12 Months ( percent of adults), 2001	11
Key TRADE ASSOCIATIONS	11
The Association of European DIY Retailers	11
British Hardware Federation	11
British Hardware & Housewares Manufacturers’ Association	12
Federation of European DIY Manufacturers’ Associations	12
The Wallcovering Manufacturers Association
of GB	12
TRADE AND CONSUMER EXHIBITIONS	12
KEY TRENDS and prospects	13
DIY as a Proportion of Household Spending	13
Table 1.6: DIY as a Proportion of Household Expenditure at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£m and percent), 1997-2001	13
Seasonal Trends	13
PEST ANALYSIS	14
Political Factors	14
Out-of-Town Developments	14
Environmental Policies	14
Economic Factors	14
The Rising Cost of Professional Services	14
Table 1.7: Consumer Expenditure on Maintenance Services for the Home
and on DIY at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£m and index 1995=100), 1997-2001	15
Output of New Housing	15
Table 1.8: Permanent Dwellings Completed in England and Wales (number of dwellings), 1997-2001	15
The Property Market	15
Table 1.9: Number of Property Transactions in England and Wales (000), 1997-2001	16
Owner Occupation	16
Income and Employment	16
Table 1.10: Total Number of People in Employment in the UK (000), Years Ending Spring 1997-2001	17
Table 1.11: Household Disposable Income at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£bn and percent), 1997-2001	17
Strength of Sterling	17
Social Factors	18
Television DIY and Gardening Programmes	18
Ageing Population	18
Technological Factors	18
Use of the Internet	18
Product Innovation
for Convenience	18
INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVE	19
The European DIY Market	19
World-Leading DIY Superstores	19
2. Key Note Field Research
Introduction	21
DIY ACTIVITIES	21
Table 2.1: DIY Tasks Undertaken in the Past 12 Months (number of respondents), 2001 and 2002	22
By Sex	22
Table 2.2: DIY Tasks Undertaken in the Past 12 Months by Sex
( percent of respondents), 2002	23
By Age	23
Table 2.3: DIY Tasks Undertaken in the Past 12 Months by Age
( percent of respondents), 2002	24
By Social Grade	25
Table 2.4: DIY Tasks Undertaken in the Past 12 Months by Social Grade
( percent of respondents), 2002	25
By Region	25
Table 2.5: DIY Tasks Undertaken in the Past 12 Months by Region
( percent of respondents), 2002	26
Table 2.6: DIY Tasks Undertaken in the Past 12 Months by Region
( percent of respondents), 2002	27
USE of the INTERNET as a source of advice	28
Table 2.7: Use of the Internet as a Source of DIY Advice
(number and percent of respondents), 2002	29
3. Competitor Analysis	31
MANUFACTURers	31
Leading Manufacturers
and their Brands	31
Paint	31
Glazed Ceramic Tiles	31
Wallcoverings	31
Power Tools and Accessories	32
Hand Tools	32
Woodcare	32
Decorating Tools	32
Adhesives and Sealants	33
Fillers	33
Advertising by the DIY Manufacturers	33
Table 3.1: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on DIY Products and Materials by Sector (£000), Years Ending March 2001 and 2002	34
Table 3.2: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on House Expansion
and Improvement Products (£000), Years Ending March
2001 and 2002	34
RETAILers	35
The DIY Superstores	35
Table 3.3: Leading UK DIY Superstore Companies by Turnover (£bn), 2001/2002	35
B&Q PLC	36
Focus Wickes PLC	36
Homebase Ltd	37
Other Retailers	38
Argos Ltd	38
Mica (UK) Ltd	38
Robert Dyas Holdings Ltd	39
Screwfix Direct Ltd	39
Topps Tiles PLC	39
Wilkinson Hardware Stores Ltd	39
Woolworths PLC	39
ADVERTISING
AND PROMOTION39
Table 3.4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by DIY Retailers (£000), Years Ending March 2001 and 2002	40
4. Paint
DEFINITION	41
Product Sectors	41
KEY TRENDS	41
MARKET SIZE	42
Table 4.1: UK Retail Paint Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent),
1997-2001	42
Foreign Trade	42
Table 4.2: Intra- and Extra-EC Trade in Paints and Varnishes by Value and by Volume (£m and tonnes),
2000	43
Table 4.3: UK Imports and Exports of Paints and Varnishes by the Top Ten Countries by Volume Share ( percent), 2001	44
MARKET SECTORS	45
Table 4.4: Retail Paint Market by Sector by Volume ( percent of total), 2001	45
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE	45
Key TRade Association	45
British Coatings Federation	45
EMPLOYMENT	46
DISTRIBUTION	46
MAJOR PLAYERS	47
Akzo Nobel Decorative
Coatings Ltd	47
ICI Paints	48
Kalon Ltd	48
Other Companies	49
E Parsons & Sons Ltd	49
Krylon	49
Plasti-Kote	49
ADVERTISING
AND PROMOTION	50
Table 4.5: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Paint (£000), Years Ending March 2001 and 2002	50
BUYING BEHAVIOUR	51
Table 4.6: Use of Paint ( percent), 2001	52
FORECASTS 2002 to 2006	53
Table 4.7: Forecast UK Retail Paint Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent), 2002-2006	53
5. Glazed Ceramic Tiles	55
DEFINITION	55
KEY TRENDS	55
MARKET SIZE	55
Table 5.1: UK Glazed Ceramic Tiles Market by Value and by Volume (£m at msp, million square metres and percent),
1997-2001	56
Table 5.2: UK Retail Glazed Ceramic Tiles Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent), 1997-2001	56
Foreign Trade	56
Table 5.3: Overseas Trade in Glazed Ceramic Tiles by Value and by Volume (£m and million square metres), 1997-2001	57
Table 5.4: UK Imports and Exports of Glazed Ceramic Tiles by the Top Ten Countries by Volume Share ( percent), 2001	57
MARKET SECTORS	58
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE	58
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATION	58
The Tile Association	58
Exhibitions	59
EMPLOYMENT	59
DISTRIBUTION	60
MAJOR PLAYERS	60
BCT Ltd	60
H&R Johnson Tiles Ltd	60
Pilkington’s Tiles Group PLC	61
ADVERTISING
AND PROMOTION	62
Table 5.5: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Ceramic Tile Companies (£000), Years Ending March
2001 and 2002	63
BUYING BEHAVIOUR	63
Table 5.6: Household Ownership of Ceramic Tiles
( percent of adults), 2001	63
Table 5.7: Amount Spent on Ceramic Tiles in the Past 12 Months ( percent of purchasers),
2001	64
Table 5.8: Ownership of Ceramic Tiles by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region
( percent of adults), 2001	65
FORECASTS 2002 to 2006	66
Table 5.9: Forecast UK Retail Ceramic Tiles Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent), 2002-2006	66
6. Wallcoverings
DEFINITION	67
Product Sectors	67
Flat Vinyl	67
Blown Vinyl	67
Expanded Vinyl	67
Unpasted Vinyl	67
Wallpaper	68
Other Plain Whites	68
Other Wallcoverings	68
KEY TRENDS	68
MARKET SIZE	69
Table 6.1: UK Wallcoverings Market by Value and by Volume (£m at msp, million rolls and percent), 1997-2001	70
Table 6.2: UK Retail Wallcoverings Market by Value and by Volume (£m at rsp, million rolls and percent), 1997-2001	70
Foreign Trade	71
Table 6.3: Overseas Trade in Wallcoverings by Value (£m),
1997-2001	71
Table 6.4: UK Imports and Exports of Wallpaper by the Top Ten Countries by Volume Share ( percent), 2001	72
MARKET SECTORS	73
Table 6.5: The UK Wallcoverings Market by Sector by Value ( percent), 1997-2001	73
Table 6.6: Total UK Wallcoverings Market by Sector by Value ( percent), 1998-2001	74
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE	74
Table 6.7: Number of
VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Manufacture of Wallpaper by Turnover Sizeband (£000),
2001 and 2002	75
Key TRADE ASSOCIATION	75
The Wallcovering Manufacturers Association
of GB	75
EMPLOYMENT	76
Table 6.8: Number of
VAT-Based Units Engaged in the Manufacture of Wallpaper by Employment Sizeband (number of employees),
2001 and 2002	76
DISTRIBUTION	77
MAJOR PLAYERS	77
Table 6.9: Selected Leading UK Wallcovering Manufacturers and their Main Brands, 2002	77
CWV Group Ltd	78
Fine Décor Wallcoverings Ltd	78
Gallery Home Fashion Ltd	79
Graham & Brown Ltd	79
H-A Interiors	80
The Imperial Home Décor Group (UK) Ltd	80
Walker Greenbank PLC	81
ADVERTISING
AND PROMOTION	82
Table 6.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Wallpaper (£000),
Years Ending March
2001 and 2002	82
BUYING BEHAVIOUR	83
Table 6.11: Household Ownership of Wallpaper
( percent of adults), 2001	83
Table 6.12: Expenditure on Wallpaper in the Last 12 Months ( percent of purchasers), 1999, 2000 and 2001	84
Table 6.13: Ownership of Wallpaper by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2001	85
FORECASTS 2002 to 2006	86
Table 6.14: Forecast UK Retail Wallcoverings Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent), 2002-2006	86
7. Power Tools and Accessories
DEFINITION	87
Product Sectors	87
Cordless Screwdrivers	87
Decorating Tools	87
Drills	87
Multifunction Tools	87
Sanders	87
Saws	88
Other Power Tools	88
Accessories	88
KEY TRENDS	88
MARKET SIZE	89
Table 7.1: UK Retail Power Tools and Accessories Market by Value at Current Prices
(£m at rsp and percent), 1997-2001	89
Foreign Trade	89
Table 7.2: Overseas Trade in Power Tools† by Value and by Volume (£m and million units), 1997-2001	90
MARKET SECTORS	90
Cordless Screwdrivers	90
Decorating Tools	90
Drills	91
Multifunction Tools	91
Sanders	91
Saws	91
Other Power Tools	91
Accessories	91
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE	92
Key TRade Association	92
Portable Electric Tool Manufacturers’ Association	92
Trade Exhibitions	92
EMPLOYMENT	92
DISTRIBUTION	92
MAJOR PLAYERS	93
Alba PLC	93
Black & Decker	94
Earlex Ltd	94
Hitachi Power Tools (UK) Ltd	95
Makita (UK) Ltd	95
Robert Bosch Ltd	96
ADVERTISING
AND PROMOTION	97
Table 7.3: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Non-Garden Power Tools (£000), Years Ending March 2001 and 2002	97
BUYING BEHAVIOUR	98
Table 7.4: Ownership and Purchase of Power Tools ( percent of adults), 2001	98
Table 7.5: Expenditure on Electric Tool Purchases in the Past 12 Months ( percent of purchasers), 1998-2001	99
Table 7.6: Ownership of Electrical Tools by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of adults), 2001	100
FORECASTS 2002 to 2006	101
Table 7.7: Forecast UK Retail Power Tools and Accessories Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent),
2002-2006	102
8. Hand Tools and Decorating Tools
DEFINITION 103
KEY TRENDS	103
MARKET SIZE	103
Table 8.1: UK Retail Hand Tools and Decorating Tools Market by Value (£m at rsp and percent), 1997-2001	104
Foreign Trade	104
Table 8.2: Overseas Trade in Paint Brushes, Rollers and Painting Pads by Value and by Volume (£m and million units), 1997-2001	104
MARKET SECTORS	105
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE	105
Key TRade Association	105
Federation of British Hand Tool Manufacturers	105
Trade Exhibitions	106
EMPLOYMENT	106
DISTRIBUTION	106
MAJOR PLAYERS	106
Hamilton Acorn Ltd	106
LG Harris & Co. Ltd	107
Neill Tools Ltd	107
The Stanley Works Ltd	108
Other Companies	109
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION	109
BUYING BEHAVIOUR	109
Table 8.3: Ownership and Purchase of Non-Electric Tools ( percent of adults), 2001	110
Table 8.4: Expenditure on
Non-Electric Tools in the Past 12 Months ( percent of purchasers), 1999-2001	110
Table 8.5: Ownership of
Non-Electric Tools by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region
( percent of adults), 2001	111
FORECASTS 2002 to 2006	112
Table 8.6: Forecast UK Retail Hand Tools and Decorating Tools Market by Sector
by Value at Current Prices
(£m at rsp and percent), 2002-2006	112
9. Woodcare	113
DEFINITION	113
Product Sectors	113
Creosote	113
Eradicators	113
Furniture Care	113
Preservers	113
Varnish	114
Water-Based Treatments	114
Wood Effects	114
Wood Fillers	114
Woodstain	114
Wood Dyes	114
KEY TRENDS	114
MARKET SIZE	115
Table 9.1: UK Retail Woodcare Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent),
1997-2001	115
MARKET SECTORS	116
Table 9.2: UK Retail Woodcare Market by Sector by Value
(£m at rsp), 1997 and 2001	116
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE	116
Key Trade Association	117
British Coatings Federation	117
EMPLOYMENT	117
DISTRIBUTION	117
MAJOR PLAYERS	117
Akzo Nobel Decorative Coatings Ltd	117
ICI Paints	118
Ronseal Ltd	119
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION	119
Table 9.3: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Manufacturers of Wood Preserves (£000), Years Ending March 2001 and 2002	120
BUYING BEHAVIOUR	121
Table 9.4: Use of Woodstains and Varnishes ( percent of adults), 2001	121
FORECASTS 2002 to 2006	122
Table 9.5: Forecast UK Retail Woodcare Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent), 2002-2006	122
10. Other Sectors	123
Introduction	123
BATHROOM FIttINGS AND ACCESSORIES	123
BUILDING MATERIALS	123
DECORATING FILLERS, DECORATING SUNDRIES
AND OTHER DECORATIVE PRODUCTS	123
Decorating Fillers	123
Decorating Sundries	123
Other Decorative Products	124
GARDEN TOOLS	124
ADHESIVES AND SEALANTS	124
SHELVING	124
TIMBER, TIMBER PRODUCTS AND BOARD	124
11. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats	125
STRENGTHS	125
WEAKNESSEs	125
OPPORTUNITIES	126
THREATS	126
12. The Future	127
HOUSING AND CONSUMER Expenditure	127
Economic Forecasts	127
Table 12.1: Forecasts for the UK Economy ( percent and million), 2002 and 2003	127
Forecasts 2002 to 2006	128
Table 12.2: Forecast UK Retail DIY Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and percent),
2002-2006	128
Table 12.3: Forecast UK Retail DIY Market by Sector by Value (£m at rsp), 2002-2006	129
13. Further Sources	131
Associations	131
Publications	135
Directories	137
General Sources	137
Bonnier Information Sources	138
Government Publications	139
Other Sources	140
Understanding TGI Data	143
Number, Profile, Penetration	143
Social Grade	144
Standard Region	144
Key Note Research	145

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