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KN34002
KEY NOTE AUTOPARTS : November 2002

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This report covers: autoparts, parts,tyres,batteries,exhausts,motor parts

Companies covered include: GKN, Lucas Industries, Tomkins, UGC,TI Group, Britax International, The Mayflower Corporation, BTR/Siebe, Valeo, Laird, Finelist, BBA, Britax, GKN, TI Group, Tomkins, UGC,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Vehicle manufacturers are putting their UK-based autoparts suppliers under intense pressure to reduce their prices regularly, and at the same time are preparing to enter into new contracts with alternative suppliers of cheaper parts, mainly from other European countries. This change in the operational environment is linked both to the recent downturn in domestic car and commercial vehicle production in the UK and to the considerable excess in motor vehicle capacity that exists in Europe — an excess that has resulted in the imminent closure of the car assembly plants at Dagenham (Ford) and Luton (Vauxhall).
Between 1996 and 2000, UK manufacturers' sales of autoparts are estimated to have increased by 8.1 percent, but UK demand for parts increased by an estimated 41.4 percent because of a growth in imports and a decline in exports. The volume of car and commercial vehicle production in the UK increased annually between 1996 and 1998, but the small fall in production in 1999 was followed by a larger downturn in 2000, and this has continued into 2001. The disputed change in the ownership of the Rover Group, the leading buyer of UK-manufactured autoparts, and its low level of vehicle production, has compounded the problems of the industry. Intense price pressures on suppliers and the expectation of falling demand for original equipment (OE) made in the UK have caused several important autopart manufacturers to withdraw from this market.
The replacement market has increased in importance because of the problems experienced in the OE market. However, while this sector has the potential to generate higher profit margins, OE manufacturers have to compete with independent UK companies, which are skilled at duplicating the more frequently changed parts, as well as with foreign manufacturers. Price competition in this sector is also very intense, and as the original parts improve in quality, the replacement cycle becomes longer.
Car and commercial-vehicle production in the UK is expected to continue at around its current level if the new MG Rover Group can achieve its planned volume targets and if the new models made by other manufacturers prove to be popular with customers in the UK and overseas. According to trade estimates, around £2bn will be invested by car and commercial vehicle manufacturers in the UK over the next 3 to 5 years, despite their existing problems. However, unless the values of sterling and the euro are brought into closer alignment, the expansion in production will not significantly increase demand for UK-based autopart manufacturers.
Key Note forecasts that the value of the apparent UK market for autoparts will grow by 12.1 percent between 2001 and 2005, but that UK manufacturers' sales will decline by 9.2 percent over the same period. Imports are expected to grow by 18.2 percent as new contracts now being negotiated with suppliers outside the UK begin to take effect. These forecasts assume that there will be some movement in the political/economic discussions about entry to the `eurozone', and possibly a realignment of the currencies, but that no effective decisions will be made in the period up to 2005.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary 1
1. Market Definition 2
REPORT COVERAGE 2
MARKET SECTORS 2
Original Equipment 2
The Aftermarket (Repairs
and Maintenance) 3
MARKET TRENDS 3
Age of Cars in Use 3
Table 1: Breakdown of Cars in Use in Great
Britain by Age of Car
( percent), 1996-1998 4
Cars and Commercial
Vehicles in Use 4
Table 2: Number of Cars and Commercial
Vehicles in Use in
the UK, 1996-1999 5
New Registrations of Cars and Commercial Vehicles 5
Table 3: Number of New Registrations of Cars
and Commercial Vehicles in the UK (000),
1996-2000 6
Production of Cars
and Commercial Vehicles 6
Table 4: Number
of Cars and Commercial Vehicles Produced in
the UK, 1996-2000 7
MARKET POSITION 7
The UK 7
Overseas 8
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 9
Automobile Association 9
Automotive Aftermarket Association 9
British Rubber
Manufacturers
Association 9
Direct Line Rescue
(formerly Green Flag National Breakdown) 9
Institute of Vehicle
Engineers 9
National Tyre Distributors Association 9
RAC Ltd 10
Retail Motor Industry Federation 10
Society of Motor Manufacturers
and Traders 10
2. Market Size 11
THE TOTAL MARKET 11
Table 5: The Apparent
UK Market for Motor Vehicle Parts and Accessories by Value
(£m), 1996-2000 12
OVERSEAS TRADE 12
Imports 12
Table 6: UK Imports of Motor Vehicle Parts
and Accessories by
Source by Value
(£m and percent), 1999 13
Exports 13
Table 7: UK Exports of Motor Vehicle Parts
and Accessories by Destination by Value
(£m and percent), 1999 14
3. Industry Background 15
RECENT HISTORY 15
NUMBER OF COMPANIES 15
By Turnover 15
Table 8: Number of
VAT-Based Enterprises Involved in the Repair
and Maintenance
of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles and in the Sale of Motor Vehicle
Parts and Accessories
by Turnover (£000),
2000 16
Table 9: Number of
VAT-Based Enterprises Involved in the Manufacture of Parts
and Accessories for
Motor Vehicles and their Engines by Turnover (£000), 2000 17
By Number
of Employees 17
Table 10: Number
of VAT-Based Local
Units Involved in the Manufacture of Parts
and Accessories for
Motor Vehicles and
their Engines by
Number of
Employees, 2000 18
EMPLOYMENT 18
REGIONAL VARIATIONS
IN THE MARKETPLACE 18
DISTRIBUTION 19
HOW ROBUST
IS THE MARKET? 20
LEGISLATION 21
4. Competitor Analysis 22
THE MARKETPLACE 22
Table 11: Selected
Leading UK Suppliers
of Motor Vehicle Parts
and Accessories by
Turnover (£m), 1998/1999/2000 22
MARKET LEADERS 26
GKN PLC 26
Lucas Industries PLC 27
Tomkins PLC 27
UGC Ltd 28
TI Group PLC 29
Britax International PLC 29
The Mayflower
Corporation PLC 30
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS 31
Steel and Aluminium 31
Plastic 31
Copper Wire, Aluminium
and Non-Ferrous Alloys 31
Rubber 31
Glass 32
Chemical Products 32
Indirect Suppliers 32
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION 32
Main Media Advertising Expenditure 32
Motor Components
and Accessories 32
Table 12: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Motor Components
and Accessories (£000),
Year to March 2001 33
Tyres 33
Table 13: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Tyres† (£000),
Year to March 2001 34
Tyre and Exhaust
Centres 34
Table 14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure
by Tyre and Exhaust Centres (£000),
Year to March 2001 35
Exhibitions
and Trade Shows 35
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities
and Threats 36
STRENGTHS 36
WEAKNESSES 36
OPPORTUNITIES 37
THREATS 37
6. Buying Behaviour 38
DEMAND FOR
MOTOR VEHICLES 38
Cars 38
Commercial Vehicles 38
Buses and Coaches 39
PURCHASERS
OF AUTOPARTS 40
Tyres 40
Table 15: Purchasers
of Tyres by Social Grade and Heaviness of Use
( percent of adults), 2000 40
Car Batteries 41
Table 16: Purchasers
of Car Batteries by
Social Grade and
Heaviness of Use
( percent of adults), 2000 41
Spark Plugs 41
Table 17: Purchasers of Spark Plugs by Social Grade and Heaviness
of Use ( percent of adults),
2000 42
7. Current Issues 43
THE ROLE
OF THE INTERNET 43
THE IMPACT
OF THE EURO 43
THE POLITICAL SCENE 44
PRODUCT
DEVELOPMENT 44
CONSUMER DEMAND 45
PLANT OPENINGS
AND CLOSURES 45
CORPORATE ACTIVITY 46
BTR/Siebe PLC 46
Valeo Ltd 46
Laird PLC 46
Finelist PLC 46
BBA PLC 46
THE ENVIRONMENT 47
8. The Global Market 48
THE TOTAL MARKET 48
The Vehicle Population 48
Table 18: Number
of Cars and Commercial Vehicles in Selected Countries and Regions
of the World (000
and persons per car),
1999 49
Exports of Vehicles 50
Table 19: The World’s Leading Exporters of
Cars and Commercial Vehicles (number of
vehicles), 1999 51
REGIONAL MARKETS 51
The US and Canada 51
Western Europe 52
Germany 52
France 52
The UK 52
Italy 53
Japan 53
MAJOR TRENDS 54
CONSUMER
BEHAVIOUR 54
Table 20: The
Commercial Vehicle
Fleet and Total Vehicle Numbers in Selected Countries of the World (000 and percent), 1999 55
THE FUTURE 56
9. Forecasts 57
THE ECONOMY 57
FORECASTS
2001 TO 2005 57
Table 21: The Forecast Apparent UK Market
for Motor Vehicle Parts and Accessories by
Value (£m),
2001-2005 58
FUTURE TRENDS 59
10. Company Profiles 60
BRITAX
INTERNATIONAL PLC 61
GKN PLC 63
THE MAYFLOWER CORPORATION PLC 65
TI GROUP PLC 67
TOMKINS PLC 69
UGC LTD 71
11. Further Sources 73
Associations 73
Periodicals 75
Directories 76
General Sources 77
Bonnier
Information Sources 77
Government
Publications 78
Other Sources 79
Understanding TGI Data 81
Number, Profile,
Penetration 81
Social Grade 82
Standard Region 82
Key Note Research 83
The Key Note Range
of Reports 84

Text © 2002 Key Note

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