| KN32072 |
| KEY NOTE GPS : August 2002 |
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This report covers: global positioning systems, GPS, GNSS, global navigation satellite systems, GLONASS, Galileo, EGNOS, technology, government initiatives, traffic information, VICS, in-car navigation, fleet management systems, FMS, public transport, position reporting, mayday, security, timing, telecommunications, agriculture, DGPS, surveying, kinematic, aviation, WAAS, LAAS, space commerce, carrier phase positioning, taxis,
Companies and products covered include: Trafficmaster, VICS, NavTech, Tele Atlas, TrakManager, TracLink, INS-Control, GIRO, AVMS, OnStar, HunterPro, RASTRAC, TRACKER Network, SiteVision, SkyMap, GNS430, SporTrak, Absolute Time Corporation, Allen Osborne Associates, AlliedSignal, American GNC Corporation, ARNAV Systems, Ashtech Precision Products, CMC Electronics, Conexant Systems, Datum, Furuno, GARMIN, Honeywell, Japan Radio Company, Javad Positioning Systems, Leica Geosystems, Lowrance Electronics, Magellan Corporation, Micrologic Systems, Motorola Space Systems and Service, NAVSYS, NovAtel, Orbital Sciences Corporation, Rockwell Collins Government Systems, Sigtec, SiRF Technology, SI-TEX Marine Electronics, Sokkia Corporation, Sony Electronics, Spectra Precision, Termotech, Thales Navigation, DSNP, MLR Electronique, TOPCON Corporation, Trimble Navigation, TrueTime, UPS Aviation Technologies, Zyfer,
Country forecasts include: Algeria, Argentina, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, China, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Iran, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macedonia, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Syria, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, USA
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
Global Positioning System (GPS) refers to a
network of orbiting satellites and ground stations that provide
freely-available signals showing the location of a receiver anywhere on earth.
The signals are also a very high accuracy source of time signals.
GPS is
also referred to generically as Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) - the
Russians have an alternative system termed GLONASS (also Global Navigation
Satellite System), and Europe is seeking to develop its own technology under
the GALILEO project.
The potential market for a low-cost, easy-to-use
terrestrial navigation system is very large. In Western Europe alone, there are
around 200 million vehicle users and there is a strong demand for traffic
information and navigation solutions. The vehicle navigation market is still
new in Europe and the US, but it is well established in Japan, which achieved a
cumulative shipment of 9.39 million in-vehicle navigation and
traffic-information units by May 2002. (Not all these units incorporate GPS
technology.)
GPS is regarded by most governments as a utility on a par with
mobile telephony. When mobile telephones first started appearing in the early
1980s, they were regarded as a luxury item. Twenty years on, they are a staple
consumer product in many countries of the world. Most analysts believe that
positioning devices will follow a similar trend and that consumers in 15 to 20
years time will not be able to contemplate returning to a scenario in which
precise location information was no longer available.
THE REPORT
This report has the following chapters:
Navigation Systems Technology
This chapter explains the
technology behind both existing navigation systems and GPS. The subject is
covered in a jargon-free manner as far as is possible. In order to understand
the full potential of the different types of GPS, it is necessary to be able to
understand terms that many publications take for granted. The section also
includes a strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT) analysis of
GPS.
Government Initiatives for GPS
Both existing GPS systems
were developed as military ordnance guidance systems and thus were, and still
are, part of defence budgets. However, the sheer cost of GPS - to date the
Russians are believed to have launched 82 satellites in connection with GLONASS
- means that the involvement of governments is still mandatory. Furthermore,
the standard service signals for the existing signals are available free of
charge, which limits the revenue-generating capability of any new service. This
section of the report examines the role of governments around the world.
Traffic-Information and Associated Navigation Systems
Traffic-information reporting is considered to be the largest market at
present for in-vehicle electronics dealing with the provision of information to
drivers (telematics). The market evolved prior to GPS, but is now a major user
of GPS. This section examines the growth of the market in Japan, the world's
most well-established market, as well as studying developments in other
countries, including the UK.
In-Car Navigation Systems
The earliest commercial systems
for GPS have mainly been for in-vehicle navigation systems, with Japan again
being the most developed market. This chapter gives an overview of such systems
and the mapping technology behind navigation systems.
Fleet-Management Systems
Fleet-management systems (FMS),
which allow large operators of mobile assets to track and communicate with the
entire fleet, are considered to be one of the most important global markets by
Key Note. This chapter gives an outline of the capabilities of a number of
these systems.
Transport Position Reporting Systems
Transport position
reporting is a specialised subset of fleet-management. This chapter provides
case studies of the application of GPS to public transportation around the
world.
Mayday and Security Systems
One of the most important
markets for GPS in the US is that of automatic emergency location. This chapter
examines the possibilities for GPS in the mobile telephony market for enhanced
911 (emergency) calls in the US and also covers the use of GPS in Europe for
tracking stolen vehicles.
GPS and Timing - Telecommunications
A vital aspect of GPS
is its ability to provide atomic time standards anywhere on earth. This chapter
covers the technology and markets for precise timing applications.
Precise Positioning Systems - Agriculture and Surveying
Standard GPS can provide a location to approximately 10m. Precise
positioning with GPS is possible, at extra cost, such that positioning is
possible to less than 10mm. This chapter of the report examines the markets for
such precise positioning, including agriculture, mining and surveying.
GPS and Aviation
Aviation is a major market for GPS. This
chapter covers the technology behind aerial navigation and explains the
initiatives being followed around the world to provide precision landing
systems using enhanced GPS.
GPS and Leisure
The leisure market for GPS is still, to a
large extent, one that falls in the category of a luxury purchase. The report
covers possible markets, such as fishing, in brief and gives examples of
leisure GPS products.
The Space Commerce Market
Although the bulk of the report
studies the terrestrial applications of GPS receivers, this is not the only
source of sales revenue in the GPS market. This chapter of the report studies
the commercial aspects of the GPS sector of the satellite industry in the
context of the entire market, which includes satellite communications, space
transportation and remote sensing, as well as GPS.
Forecasts
These forecast chapters (A Merging Market,
Traffic Information, In-Car Navigation, Fleet-Management Systems, Mayday and
Security Tracking Systems, and Other Markets) examine the current markets and
the future prospects in great detail. The report provides 58 forecast tables,
all but three of which were specially commissioned for this report. The report
concentrates on the vehicular uses of GPS and provides forecasts for the major
markets in 2017, a date chosen to represent the mature market.
Forecasts
are also provided for the annual spend on GPS within each market sector for the
period 2002 to 2011 inclusive. Geographically, these tables provide individual
country forecasts for 59 countries in five geographical regions.
Forecasts
for the market for GPS vary considerably. The market has not performed to date
as well as previously expected, yet most analysts continue to make very bullish
statements. The author of this report used a mathematical forecast method in a
previous title relating to intelligent transport systems, published in 1998 by
the Financial Times. The forecasts for growth rates for unit quantities in
Japanese cars for that report have since been shown to have been within 3
percent of the actual numbers in 1997 to 2000. An adapted mathematical forecast
has thus been used for this report as well.
Due to the all-embracing nature
of GPS, the relatively new nature of the market, its evolving technology and
the creation of augmentation services, analysts' views as to the development of
the market differ considerably. There is no consistent view as to the rate of
development and the degree of penetration of GPS into the consumer sector. The
US GPS Industry Council has quoted figures for worldwide GPS equipment sales of
around $6bn in 1999, rising to $16.5bn for 2003. Key Note believes that, while
these figures are close to the mark, the US share of the market is not the 50
percent expected by the US Department of Commerce for 2002. The current market
in Asia is considered to be much greater than that of the US and so Key Note
has increased its estimates of current market size as a direct result. In fact,
Key Note believes that 68.2 percent of the 2002 sales of GPS equipment will
derive from the Pacific Rim.
Key Note, in company with all analysts,
believes that the market will show strong annual growth and expect a mature
market size of $757bn in 2017. Manufacturers of GPS Equipment A number of the
manufacturers of GPS equipment are covered in this section, together with
financial information where available.
Appendix
A short appendix explaining Key Note's
methodology, and average systems prices in the various sectors covered by the
report.
Glossary
A short glossary covering the most common acronyms
is provided with this report.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| Executive Summary | 1 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 1 |
| THE REPORT | 1 |
| Navigation Systems Technology | 1 |
| Government Initiatives for GPS | 1 |
| Traffic-Information and Associated Navigation Systems . | 2 |
| In-Car Navigation Systems | 2 |
| Fleet-Management Systems | 2 |
| Transport Position Reporting Systems | 2 |
| Mayday and Security Systems | 2 |
| GPS and Timing — Telecommunications | 2 |
| Precise Positioning Systems — Agriculture and Surveying . | 3 |
| GPS and Aviation | 3 |
| GPS and Leisure | 3 |
| The Space Commerce Market | 3 |
| Forecasts | 3 |
| Manufacturers of GPS Equipment | 4 |
| Appendix | 4 |
| Glossary | 4 |
| 1. Navigation Systems Technology | 5 |
| INTRODUCTION | 5 |
| MARINE NAVIGATION PRIOR TO GPS | 5 |
| Development of the Chronometer | 5 |
| Loran-C | 5 |
| EXISTING AIRCRAFT NAVIGATION EQUIPMENT | 6 |
| VOR, DME and NDB Equipment | 6 |
| Determining Height Above the Ground . | 6 |
| Automated Landing Systems | 7 |
| GPS TECHNICAL BACKGROUND | 7 |
| Historical Background | 7 |
| The NAVSTAR Network | 8 |
| Limitations to the Basic GPS Technology . | 8 |
| INCREASING THE ACCURACY OF GPS . | 9 |
| Inertial Navigation Equipment | 9 |
| Differential GPS | 9 |
| Real Time Kinematics/Carrier Phase Positioning | 9 |
| The RTCM Standard. | 10 |
| Multiple Frequency Measurement | 10 |
| Parallel Versus Sequential Channels | 10 |
| Antenna Design. | 10 |
| CLOCK TECHNOLOGY AND TIMING FOR SYNCHRONISATION | 11 |
| OTHER SATELLITE NAVIGATION SYSTEMS | 11 |
| SWOT ANALYSIS | 12 |
| Strengths | 12 |
| Weaknesses | 12 |
| Opportunities. | 13 |
| Threats | 13 |
| 2. Government Initiatives for GPS | 14 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 14 |
| GPS. | 14 |
| GLONASS | 16 |
| EGNOS AND GALILEO . | 17 |
| JAPAN AND OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES. | 18 |
| INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATION | 19 |
| INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS UNION | 19 |
| 3. Traffic-Information and Associated Navigation Systems | 20 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 20 |
| GROWTH OF THE SECTOR | 21 |
| TRAFFIC-INFORMATION AND NAVIGATION SYSTEMS IN JAPAN. | 21 |
| Table 1: View of Usefulness of VICS ( percent of users), 1996-1997 . | 23 |
| Table 2: Main Effect of Using VICS ( percent of users), November 1996 | 23 |
| Table 3: Cumulative Total of Car Navigation Systems in Japan (number of systems and percent), March 1997-2002 . | 24 |
| Table 4: Cumulative Total of VICS Systems in Japan (number of systems and percent), March 1997-2002 . | 24 |
| Table 5: Number of VICS Units Sold per Quarter, 1996-2001 . | 25 |
| Figure 1: Number of VICS Units Sold per Quarter, 1996-2001 | 26 |
| TRAFFIC INFORMATION IN SINGAPORE. | 26 |
| TRAFFIC-INFORMATION AND NAVIGATION SYSTEMS IN EUROPE. | 27 |
| Table 6: Top Service Required by Drivers ( percent) | 28 |
| England | 28 |
| TRAFFIC-INFORMATION AND NAVIGATION SYSTEMS IN THE US | 29 |
| TRAFFICMASTER CASE STUDY. | 29 |
| Trafficmaster Technology | 29 |
| History | 30 |
| Current Developments | 31 |
| Financial Results. | 32 |
| Table 7: Financial Results for Trafficmaster PLC (£000 and percent), 1996-2001 | 32 |
| VICS CASE STUDY. | 33 |
| 4. In-Car Navigation Systems | 35 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 35 |
| THE MARKET FOR IN-VEHICLE NAVIGATION IN JAPAN | 36 |
| DEVELOPMENT | 36 |
| MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH PROSPECTS | 37 |
| PRINCIPAL SUPPLIERS TO THE AUTOMOTIVE MARKET | 37 |
| MAPPING TECHNOLOGY | 37 |
| NavTech | 39 |
| Tele Atlas | 39 |
| EXAMPLE PRODUCT REVIEWS. | 40 |
| Magellan 750NAV | 40 |
| Trafficmaster Smartnav | 40 |
| 5. Fleet-Management Systems | 42 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 42 |
| Table 8: Suggested Savings Using Fleetstar (£ per annum) | 42 |
| Table 9: Savings and FMS Costs by Sample Company (£) | 43 |
| BENEFITS OF A GPS-BASED FLEET-MANAGEMENT SYSTEM | 43 |
| EXAMPLE PRODUCT REVIEWS | 45 |
| Ashtech 2001 | 45 |
| CS Electronics Ltd (TrakManager) | 45 |
| Honeywell TracLink | 47 |
| Termotech INS-Control. | 48 |
| TT5300 | 48 |
| 6. Transport Position Reporting Systems | 49 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 49 |
| CASE STUDIES . | 49 |
| Brisbane City Council Bus Priority System (RAPID) . | 49 |
| Colorado — Special Transit | 50 |
| GIRO Hastus . | 50 |
| HASTUS. | 50 |
| GeoRoute . | 51 |
| GIRO/ACCES | 51 |
| Orbital Sciences (AVMS) | 52 |
| Taxis | 52 |
| China | 52 |
| Singapore | 52 |
| Washington Buses | 53 |
| 7. Mayday and Security Systems | 55 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 55 |
| E911 AND MOBILE TELEPHONY IN THE US. | 55 |
| E-112 AND MOBILE TELEPHONY IN EUROPE | 57 |
| EMERGENCY LOCATION IN JAPAN. | 59 |
| EXAMPLE PRODUCT REVIEWS | 60 |
| GM OnStar . | 60 |
| Safe & Sound — $199/year. | 60 |
| Directions & Connections — $399/year | 60 |
| Luxury & Leisure — $799/year | 61 |
| HunterPro GPS . | 61 |
| Manning Navcomp RASTRAC | 62 |
| Roto-Rooter Plumbers Application of RASTRAC | 63 |
| Starcom Systems Ltd. | 64 |
| TRACKER Network (UK) Ltd. | 65 |
| Table 10: TRACKER Price Guide (£), May 2002 . | 66 |
| 8. GPS and Timing — Telecommunications | 67 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 67 |
| ADVANTAGES GAINED USING GPS AS A TIMING SOURCE | 68 |
| Timing for Utilities | 69 |
| Timing for Calibration Laboratories | 69 |
| Timing for Computer Applications | 70 |
| MARKET VALUE AND GROWTH PROSPECTS | 71 |
| GPS SUPPLIERS TO THE COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR. | 71 |
| 9. Precise Positioning Systems — Agriculture and Surveying | 72 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 72 |
| GPS IN AGRICULTURE | 72 |
| GPS IN CONSTRUCTION. | 73 |
| LEADING SUPPLIERS TO THE SURVEYING SECTOR | 74 |
| CASE STUDIES . | 74 |
| Mining Applications of GPS . | 74 |
| EXAMPLE PRODUCT REVIEW. | 76 |
| SiteVision GPS (Trimble) | 76 |
| 10. GPS and Aviation | 78 |
| THE CURRENT POSITION. | 78 |
| PRECISION LANDING REQUIREMENT | 79 |
| Table 11: Navigation and Category I Landing Guidance Performance Requirements ( percent, metres, seconds and hours) | 80 |
| Wide Area Augmentation System. | 81 |
| Local Area Augmentation System. | 81 |
| AUTOMATIC DEPENDENT SURVEILLANCE | 81 |
| IMPLEMENTATION PHASE OF WAAS. | 82 |
| BENEFITS FOR THE SERVICE PROVIDERS | 83 |
| BENEFITS FOR OPERATORS AND PASSENGERS | 84 |
| SUPPLIERS OF GPS TO THE GENERAL AVIATION SECTOR | 84 |
| EXAMPLE PRODUCT REVIEWS. | 85 |
| Arnav ICDS 2000 . | 85 |
| GARMIN GNS430 | 86 |
| Honeywell KMD150 and Skymap IIIC | 88 |
| 11. GPS and Leisure | 89 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 89 |
| MARINE LEISURE AND COMMERCIAL FISHING | 89 |
| HIKING AND GENERAL LEISURE PRODUCTS . | 91 |
| EXAMPLE PRODUCT REVIEWS. | 91 |
| Magellan GPS 310. | 91 |
| Magellan SporTrak . | 92 |
| 12. The Space Commerce Market | 93 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 93 |
| THE GLOBAL MARKET. | 93 |
| Table 12: The Global Space Commerce Market by Sector by Value ($bn and percent), 1996-2002 | 93 |
| Table 13: The Global Space Commerce Market by Market Share by Segment ( percent of total), 1996-2002 . | 94 |
| Table 14: GPS Manufacturers’ Sales by Region ($bn and percent), 1996-2002 . | 95 |
| 13. Forecasts — A Merging Market | 96 |
| KEY NOTE FORECASTS | 96 |
| THE MERGING MARKET — GLOBAL FORECASTS | 97 |
| Table 15: The Forecast Global In-Vehicle Market by Region by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 . | 97 |
| Table 16: The Forecast Global In-Vehicle Market by Region by Value, Volume and Market Share ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 99 |
| 14. Forecasts — Traffic Information | 100 |
| KEY NOTE FORECASTS | 100 |
| THE GLOBAL MARKET. | 101 |
| Forecast for 2002 to 2011. | 101 |
| Table 17: The Forecast Global Traffic-Information Market by Region by Value ($m), 2002-2011 | 101 |
| Forecast for 2017 | 102 |
| Table 18: The Forecast Global Traffic-Information Market by Region by Value, Volume and Market Share ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 103 |
| THE EU MARKET. | 103 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 103 |
| Table 19: The Forecast EU Traffic-Information Market by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 104 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 105 |
| Table 20: The Forecast EU Traffic-Information Market by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 106 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES. | 107 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 107 |
| Table 21: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 107 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 108 |
| Table 22: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 . | 109 |
| THE MARKET FOR AMERICAN COUNTRIES. | 109 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 109 |
| Table 23: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for American Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 110 |
| Forecasts for 2017 | 111 |
| Table 24: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for American Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 . | 111 |
| THE MARKET FOR ASIA AND PACIFIC-RIM COUNTRIES | 111 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 111 |
| Table 25: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 . | 112 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 113 |
| Table 26: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 . | 113 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER COUNTRIES | 114 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 114 |
| Table 27: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for Other Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 114 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 116 |
| Table 28: The Forecast Traffic-Information Market for Other Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 116 |
| 15. Forecasts — In-Car Navigation | 117 |
| KEY NOTE FORECASTS | 117 |
| THE GLOBAL MARKET. | 118 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 118 |
| Table 29: The Forecast Global In-Car Navigation Systems Market by Region by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 118 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 119 |
| Table 30: The Forecast Global In-Car Navigation Systems Market by Region by Value and Volume ($m and 000 units), 2017 | 119 |
| THE EU MARKET. | 120 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 120 |
| Table 31: The Forecast EU In-Car Navigation Systems Market by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 120 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 122 |
| Table 32: The Forecast EU In-Car Navigation Systems Market by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 122 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES. | 123 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 123 |
| Table 33: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 . | 123 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 125 |
| Table 34: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 . | 125 |
| THE MARKET FOR AMERICAN COUNTRIES | 126 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 126 |
| Table 35: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for American Countries by Country by Value ($m), 2002-2011 | 126 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 127 |
| Table 36: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for American Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 . | 127 |
| THE MARKET FOR ASIA AND PACIFIC-RIM COUNTRIES . | 128 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 128 |
| Table 37: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 . | 128 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 130 |
| Table 38: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 130 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER COUNTRIES | 131 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 131 |
| Table 39: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for Other Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 131 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 133 |
| Table 40: The Forecast In-Car Navigation Systems Market for Other Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 . | 133 |
| 16. Forecasts — Fleet-Management Systems (FMS) | 134 |
| KEY NOTE FORECASTS | 134 |
| THE GLOBAL MARKET. | 135 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 135 |
| Table 41: The Forecast Global Market for FMS by Region by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 . | 135 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 136 |
| Table 42: The Forecast Global FMS Market by Region by Value and Volume ($m and 000 units), 2017 . | 137 |
| THE EU MARKET. | 138 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 138 |
| Table 43: The Forecast EU FMS Market by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 . | 138 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 140 |
| Table 44: The Forecast EU FMS Market by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 140 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES | 141 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 141 |
| Table 45: The Forecast FMS Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 141 |
| Forecasts for 2017 | 143 |
| Table 46: The Forecast FMS Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 143 |
| THE MARKET FOR AMERICAN COUNTRIES. | 144 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 144 |
| Table 47: The Forecast FMS Market for American Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 144 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 145 |
| Table 48: The Forecast FMS Market for American Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 145 |
| THE MARKET FOR ASIA AND PACIFIC-RIM COUNTRIES . | 146 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 146 |
| Table 49: The Forecast FMS Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 146 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 148 |
| Table 50: The Forecast FMS Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 148 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER COUNTRIES | 149 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 149 |
| Table 51: The Forecast FMS Market for Other Countries by Country by Value ($m), 2002-2011 | 149 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 151 |
| Table 52: The Forecast FMS Market for Other Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 151 |
| 17. Forecasts — Mayday and Security Tracking Systems | 152 |
| KEY NOTE FORECASTS | 152 |
| THE GLOBAL MARKET. | 153 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 153 |
| Table 53: The Forecast Global Mayday Market by Region by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 153 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 154 |
| Table 54: The Forecast Global Mayday Market by Region by Value and Volume ($m and 000 units), 2017 | 154 |
| THE EU MARKET. | 155 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 | 155 |
| Table 55: The Forecast EU Mayday Market by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 155 |
| Forecasts for 2017 | 157 |
| Table 56: The Forecast EU Mayday Market by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 157 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES. | 158 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 . | 158 |
| Table 57: The Forecast Mayday Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 158 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 160 |
| Table 58: The Forecast Mayday Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 160 |
| THE MARKET FOR AMERICAN COUNTRIES | 161 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 | 161 |
| Table 59: The Forecast Mayday Market for American Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 161 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 162 |
| Table 60: The Forecast Mayday Market for American Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 162 |
| THE MARKET FOR ASIA AND PACIFIC-RIM COUNTRIES | 162 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 | 162 |
| Table 61: The Forecast Mayday Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 163 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 164 |
| Table 62: The Forecast Mayday Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 164 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER COUNTRIES | 165 |
| Forecasts for 2002 to 2011 | 165 |
| Table 63: The Forecast Mayday Market for Other Countries by Country by Value ($m and percent), 2002-2011 | 165 |
| Forecasts for 2017. | 167 |
| Table 64: The Forecast Mayday Market for Other Countries by Country by Value, Volume and Penetration ($m, 000 units and percent), 2017 | 167 |
| 18. Forecasts — Other Markets | 168 |
| KEY NOTE METHODOLOGY. | 168 |
| THE GLOBAL MARKET. | 168 |
| Forecast for 2017 | 168 |
| Table 65: The Forecast Global GPS Market by Region by Sector by Value ($m), 2017 | 169 |
| Current Market . | 169 |
| Table 66: The Global GPS Market Excluding Space Industry by Region by Value by Sector ($m), 2002 | 170 |
| Table 67: The Global GPS Market Excluding Space Industry by Region by Market Share by Sector ( percent), 2002 . | 171 |
| THE EU MARKET. | 171 |
| Table 68: The EU GPS Market by Country by Value by Sector ($m), 2002 | 172 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES. | 173 |
| Table 69: The GPS Market for Other European Countries by Country by Value by Sector ($m), 2002 | 173 |
| THE MARKET FOR AMERICAN COUNTRIES. | 174 |
| Table 70: The GPS Market for American Countries by Country by Value by Sector ($m), 2002 | 174 |
| THE MARKET FOR ASIA AND PACIFIC-RIM COUNTRIES | 175 |
| Table 71: The GPS Market for Asia and Pacific-Rim Countries by Country by Value by Sector ($m), 2002 | 175 |
| THE MARKET FOR OTHER COUNTRIES | 176 |
| Table 72: The GPS Market for Other Countries by Country by Value by Sector ($m), 2002 | 176 |
| 19. Manufacturers of GPS Equipment | 177 |
| INTRODUCTION. | 177 |
| MANUFACTURERS | 178 |
| Absolute Time Corporation . | 178 |
| Allen Osborne Associates, Inc. . | 178 |
| AlliedSignal | 178 |
| American GNC Corporation | 179 |
| ARNAV Systems, Inc | 179 |
| Ashtech Precision Products | 180 |
| CMC Electronics, Inc | 180 |
| Products and Services | 180 |
| Aviation Electronics | 180 |
| Calibration Centre | 180 |
| GPS-OEM Products | 181 |
| Marine/Land Electronic Sales and Service | 181 |
| Conexant Systems, Inc. | 181 |
| Datum | 181 |
| Furuno US, Inc | 182 |
| Products | 182 |
| GARMIN International | 183 |
| Financial Summary | 184 |
| Table 73: Turnover for GARMIN Ltd by Sector ($m and percent), 1996-2001 | 184 |
| Table 74: GARMIN Turnover by Sector Share ( percent), 1996-2001 | 185 |
| Table 75: GARMIN Ltd’s Net Income, Profit Margin and Total Assets ($m and percent), 1996-2001 | 186 |
| Table 76: Sales Breakdown for GARMIN Ltd by Region ($m and percent), 1998-2000 | 187 |
| Honeywell, Inc. | 187 |
| Table 77: Financial Summary for Honeywell, Inc. ($m and percent), 1999-2001 | 188 |
| Japan Radio Company Ltd | 189 |
| System Electronics | 189 |
| Telecommunications | 189 |
| Water Management | 189 |
| Meteorological Information | 189 |
| Road and Traffic Management | 189 |
| Airport Management and Simulation | 189 |
| Electro-Acoustic Systems | 190 |
| Marine Electronics | 190 |
| Marine Communications | 190 |
| Fishing and Oceanology | 190 |
| Marine Navigators | 190 |
| Communications Equipment | 190 |
| Mobile Communications | 190 |
| Measurement and Testing | 190 |
| Information Technology | 190 |
| Table 78: Financial Summary for Japan Radio Company (¥bn and percent) 1997-2001 | 191 |
| Javad Positioning Systems | 191 |
| Leica Geosystems AG | 192 |
| Lowrance Electronics | 192 |
| Magellan Corporation | 193 |
| Micrologic Systems, Inc | 193 |
| Products | 193 |
| Motorola, Space Systems and Services Division | 194 |
| Products | 194 |
| NAVSYS Corporation | 194 |
| Products | 195 |
| NovAtel, Inc | 195 |
| Orbital Sciences Corporation | 195 |
| Rockwell Collins Government Systems. | 196 |
| Sigtec Pty Ltd | 196 |
| SiRF Technology, Inc. | 197 |
| SI-TEX Marine Electronics, Inc. | 198 |
| Sokkia Corporation | 198 |
| Sony Electronics, Inc. | 198 |
| Spectra Precision | 199 |
| Termotech. | 199 |
| Thales Navigation | 199 |
| Ashtech | 199 |
| DSNP | 200 |
| Magellan | 200 |
| MLR Electronique | 200 |
| TOPCON Corporation | 200 |
| Table 79: Group Net Sales for TOPCON (¥bn and percent), 1998-2002 | 201 |
| Trimble Navigation Ltd | 201 |
| TrueTime, Inc. | 202 |
| UPS Aviation Technologies | 202 |
| Zyfer, Inc | 203 |
| OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS | 203 |
| 20. The Author | 205 |
| 21. Appendix | 206 |
| FORECAST METHODOLOGY AND CALCULATIONS | 206 |
| Fleet-Management Market | 206 |
| Mayday Device Market | 207 |
| In-Car Navigation Systems Market | 207 |
| Rounding | 207 |
| 22. Glossary | 208 |
| 23. Further Sources | 212 |
| Associations | 212 |
| Electronic Sources | 212 |
| Publications. | 213 |
| Other Sources | 214 |
| Key Note Research | 218 |
| The Key Note Range of Reports | 219 |
Text © 2004 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous February 2004
