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KN32063
KEY NOTE DIGITAL TELEVISION : JUNE 2003
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This report covers: Digital TV,digital satellite,digital cable,ONdigital,Sky Digital,Multicrypt,Simulcrypt,choice for consumers,impact on other industries,financial structure of the industry,Advertising & Promotion,

Companies covered include: British Sky Broadcasting Group, Carlton Communications, Ntl Group, Telewest Communications, British Broadcasting Corporation, Carlton Communications, Channel Four Television Corporation, Granada, NTL, Telewest Communications,Crown Castle International, Digital Interactive Television Group, EMAP, FTN, Kingston Communications, TVCompass, DTV Services, Pace Micro Technology,

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Market Definition 7
REPORT COVERAGE 7
MARKET SECTORS 7
Digital Satellite Television 8
Digital Cable Television 8
Digital Terrestrial Television 8
Pay-per-View Television and Free-to-View Digital Television 9
MARKET TRENDS 9
ECONOMIC TRENDS 10
Population 10
Table 1: UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1998-2002 10
Gross Domestic Product 11
Table 2: Index of Growth in UK Gross Domestic Product at Current Prices (index 1995=100), 1997-2001 11
Inflation 11
Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation ( percent), 1998-2002 11
Unemployment 12
Table 4: Unemployment Rate and Actual Number of Unemployed Persons ( percent and 000), 1998-2002 12
Household Disposable Income 12
Table 5: Index of Household Disposable Income (index 1971=100), 1997-2000 12
MARKET POSITION 13
The UK 13
Overseas 13
2. Market Size 14
THE TOTAL MARKET 14
Table 6: The Total UK Market for Digital Television by Platform by Value (£m), 1998-2002 14
Table 7: Shares of Pay-TV and Digital TV Held by the Satellite, Cable and Terrestrial Television Platforms by Viewer Numbers per Quarter ( percent), 2000-2002 15
Table 8: UK Multi-Channel Pay-TV Penetration by Platform (000 households and percent), Third Quarter 2002 16
BY MARKET SECTOR 16
Digital Satellite Television 16
Table 9: The UK Digital Satellite Television Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002 17
Table 10: Satellite Television's Share of Pay-TV and Digital TV by Viewer Numbers per Quarter ( percent), 2000-2002 17
Digital Cable Television 18
Table 11: The UK Digital Cable Television Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002 18
Table 12: Digital Cable Television's Share of Pay-TV and Digital TV by Viewer Numbers per Quarter ( percent), 2000-2002 19
Digital Terrestrial Television 19
Table 13: The UK Digital Terrestrial Television Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002 19
Table 14: Digital Terrestrial Television's Share of Pay-TV and Digital TV by Viewer Numbers per Quarter ( percent), 2000-2002 20
Table 15: UK Free-to-View Digital Television Usage by Type of Connector by Number of Households (000 and percent), Third Quarter 2002 21
3. Industry Background 23
RECENT HISTORY 23
NUMBER OF COMPANIES 24
Table 16: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Telecommunications Sector by Turnover Sizeband (number and percent), 2001 and 2002 25
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE 26
DISTRIBUTION 26
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? 27
LEGISLATION 27
Digital Television Action Plan 27
Draft Communications Bill 28
BSkyB 29
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 29
Cable Telecommunications Training Services 29
Confederation of Aerial Industries Ltd 30
Consumers' Association 30
The Digital Television Group 30
EuroPacketCable Forum 30
Independent Television Commission 31
Intellect 31
OFTEL 32
4. Competitor Analysis 33
THE MARKETPLACE 33
MARKET LEADERS 33
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) 33
Company Structure 33
Current and Future Developments 34
Financial Results 34
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 34
Company Structure 34
Current and Future Developments 35
Financial Results 36
Carlton Communications PLC 37
Company Structure 37
Current and Future Developments 37
Financial Results 38
Channel Four Television Corporation 38
Company Structure 38
Current and Future Developments 38
Financial Results 39
Granada PLC 40
Company Structure 40
Current and Future Developments 40
Financial Results 40
NTL Group Ltd 41
Company Structure 41
Current and Future Developments 41
Financial Results 42
Telewest Communications PLC 42
Company Structure 42
Current and Future Developments 42
Financial Results 43
OTHER COMPANIES 43
Crown Castle International 43
Digital Interactive Television Group Ltd 43
EMAP PLC 44
FTN 45
Kingston Communications (Hull) PLC 45
TVCompass Ltd 45
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS 46
DTV Services Ltd 46
Eldon Technology Ltd 46
Pace Micro Technology PLC 46
MARKETING ACTIVITY 47
Satellite Television 47
Table 17: Main Media Advertising Expenditure Across Sky Satellite Television Formats (£000), 2001 and 2002 48
Cable Television 48
Table 18: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by the UK's Cable Television Providers (£000), 2001 and 2002 49
Digital Terrestrial Television 49
Table 19: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by the UK's Digital Terrestrial Television Providers (£000), 2001 and 2002 50
ITV Associated Channels 50
Table 20: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by the ITV Associated Channels (£000), 2001 and 2002 51
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats 53
DIGITAL SATELLITE TELEVISION 53
Strengths 53
Weaknesses 53
Opportunities 54
Threats 54
DIGITAL CABLE TELEVISION 54
Strengths 54
Weaknesses 55
Opportunities 55
Threats 55
DIGITAL TERRESTRIAL TELEVISION 56
Strengths 56
Weaknesses 56
Opportunities 57
Threats 57
6. Buying Behaviour 58
HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION 58
Table 21: Penetration of Pay-TV and Digital TV by the Satellite, Cable and Terrestrial Television Platforms ( percent of TV households), 2nd Quarter 2000 to 2nd Quarter 2002 58
By Demographic Group 59
Table 22: Viewers Who Receive Satellite, Cable and Digital Television at Home and Length of Subscription by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of households), 2002 59
Type of Service 60
Table 23: Satellite, Cable and Digital Television Services Received by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of households), 2002 61
USAGE OF PAY-TV 62
Table 24: Consumers Who Use a Pay-TV Service to Watch Films, Sports and Other Events by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of households), 2002 63
INTERACTIVE TV 64
Table 25: Penetration of Sky Digital Interactive by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region ( percent of households), 2002 64
7. Current Issues 66
NEW PROGRAMMES DRIVE UPTAKE 66
IMPACT OF CONSUMER CHOICE 66
CORPORATE ACTIVITY 67
NTL and Telewest Comunications 67
Carlton Communications and Granada 68
INTERACTIVE MARKET 68
ASIAN MARKET 69
8. The Global Market 70
THE US 70
EUROPE 70
Germany 70
France 71
Spain 71
The Netherlands 71
Croatia 72
THE MIDDLE EAST 72
Israel 72
ASIA 73
Japan 73
9. Forecasts 74
FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 74
Table 26: The Forecast Total UK Market for Digital Television by Platform by Value (£m), 2003-2007 74
FUTURE TRENDS 75
Digital Take-Up 75
SECTOR TRENDS 75
Getting the Balance Right 76
10. Company Profiles 77
British Sky Broadcasting Group Plc 78
Carlton Communications Plc 80
GRANADA PLC 82
Ntl Group Ltd 84
Telewest Communications Plc 86
Further Sources 88
Associations 88
General Sources 88
Bonnier Information Sources 89
Government Publications 90

Executive Summary

Although the digital TV market has not yet reached maturity, it has attained a level of stability after 5 years of significant activity. The choices open to consumers now include Sky Digital on the digital satellite (D-SAT) platform, NTL and Telewest on the digital cable (D-Cable) platform, and a consortium led by the BBC and Sky on the digital terrestrial television (DTT) platform.
The UK digital television market is one of the most advanced in the world and boasted the first ever commercial DTT platform. However, the problematic development of the UK's market has been mirrored across Europe. Despite these problems, BSkyB has proved that digital TV is a viable business and its success contrasts with both the UK's cable and terrestrial television platform providers.
The UK Government is committed to switching off the UK's analogue television service, beginning in 2006 and completing a total switchover to digital television by the end of 2010. However, the technological and social scale of preparation for digital switchover should not be underestimated. The interaction of broadcasters, manufacturers and consumers will be the driver behind this change. The challenge that faces the Government and the UK digital TV providers continues to be persuading viewers to purchase the set-top boxes and viewing equipment that are required to access digital television services.
UK consumers are being confronted with a greater number of viewing choices, which are fragmenting the television marketplace. While this presents challenges to existing commercial channel and programme providers, it provides opportunities for new channels that are able to take advantage of the additional space offered by the digital television platform.
The UK's pay-TV operators' efforts to increase their revenues per subscriber are targeted at existing digital subscribers by actively providing a wider range of services. A greater array of services available might prove more attractive to potential consumers, thereby increasing growth in subscriber numbers. The number of services that are available is dependent on the development of technology such as interactive services, which will be critical to the maturity of future revenue streams. It is certain that the key to further growth in the industry will be balancing the way in which companies mix television content, marketing, technology and customer services.

Text © 2003 Key Note

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