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KN32048
KEY NOTE TELECOMMUNICATIONS : NOVEMBER 1998
Overview

ISBN 1-85765-873-6

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK market for telecommunications was worth an estimated £20.42bn in the year to March 1998, an increase of 5.8 percent on 1997 and 35.8 percent up on 1994. However, growth was not spread evenly across all sectors. Basic fixed lines still comprise the largest sector, but their share of total revenue fell from 48.6 percent in 1994 to 38.5 percent in 1998. The most dramatic growth was shown by cellular telephony, revenue from which increased by 142.9 percent between 1994 and 1998 to reach £5.01bn, causing its share to rise from 13.7 percent to 24.5 percent. Exchange lines, payphones, telex services and revenues from leased circuits, all lost share between 1994 and 1998. Revenue from terminating calls remained fairly static as a percentage of the total.

These figures include the provision of network services for the transmission of voice or data signals, either by fixed wire, fixed radio link, or mobile cellular service, to both residential and business markets. They do not include revenues from the supply and manufacturer of telecommunications equipment or cable television. Telecommunications industry revenues comprise connection fees, monthly line rental charges, call rates, charges for special residential/business services (e.g. private business circuits) and interconnection fees payable within the industry.

Telecommunications markets worldwide are experiencing startling changes. While globalisation of the industry had already started, the 1997 World Trade Organisation (WTO) international agreement introduced full liberalisation for all telecommunications markets. Advances in technology are reducing barriers to entry and the new agreement is encouraging consolidation within the industry and the development of a network of international partnerships.

The UK was one of the first markets to begin the process of deregulating its domestic telecommunications market. Rivals which are due to complete network roll-out within the next 5 years are increasingly challenging the position of British Telecommunications (BT) as a monopoly supplier. The competitive threat posed by cable, fixed radio link and even the development of the digital cellular networks, points to a period of fierce competition in the local loop, the only segment in which BT retains market dominance.

Key Note forecasts that market value will increase by 9.2 percent in the year to March 1999, thereafter rising by a total 41.3 percent to reach £31.5bn by 2003.

Text © 1998 Key Note

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