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Editor: Jacob Howard
ISBN: 1-84168-266-7

This report covers: mobile telecommunications, analogue, digital, mobile phones, cellular telephony, connection fees, line-rentals, call rates, SMS, short message services, call minutes, subscribers, UK calls, outgoing international, whilst roaming abroad, consumer penetration, wireless application protocol, WAP, Location-based messaging services, LBS,

Companies covered include: British Telecommunications, BT, BT Cellnet, Orange Personal Communications Services, Vodafone Group, One2One, Virgin Mobile Telecoms, Nokia UK, Ericsson,

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Executive Summary

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The mobile telephone market has changed dramatically since 1997, with the value increasing by 149.5 percent, and four digital networks being rolled out. Whilst it is true that the market is maturing, the pace of change is not slowing; new services are being introduced and the major operators are preoccupied with the advent of third-generation (3G) licences. Between 1997 and 2001, the value of the total market increased from £2.75bn to £6.86bn, an increase of over 149.5 percent. During the same period, subscriber numbers increased from 7.1 million to over 43 million. In 1997, the UK cellular telephone networks carried a total of 6.8 billion call minutes; this rose to over 39 billion by March 2001.

The mobile telephone market includes network services for the transmission of voice or data signals, via mobile cellular service. These services include both analogue and digital mobile services that do not require any kind of fixed link. The industry derives its revenues from connection fees, monthly line-rental charges, call rates, and interconnection fees. In the UK, all local or national calls are charged by time and distance.

Over the last decade, the pace of change in the cellular telephony market has been frantic. Market deregulation, improvements in technology and new consumer tastes have all been important factors in the dramatic growth seen in this sector. The pace of change seems unlikely to slow down, and it may, in fact, accelerate as mobile telephony becomes increasingly integrated, not only with fixed-link telecommunications, but also with other technologies such as computing and multimedia.

Two trends are likely to characterise the telecommunications industry in the early years of the 21st century.

Firstly, competition will heighten between the fixed and mobile network operators, who will be competing directly against each other for the same pool of customers. The fixed networks have the advantage of a broad customer base and, for the time being, a cost advantage over the cellular operators.

Secondly, in the longer term, convergence between fixed-line and wireless communications operators will occur. A number of companies offer a range of fixed and mobile telecoms services. These developments will change the face of the telecommunications market, with a blurring of the distinctions between mobile and fixed telecoms.

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Text © 2001 Key Note

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 03th December 2001