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KN32024
KEY NOTE Market Report Cable & Satellite TV : July 2004

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This report covers:key trade associations, Cable Telecommunications Training Industries, The Digital Television Group, EuroPacketCable Forum, Platform and Service Providers, content providers/rights owners, software/applications developers, hardware vendors and distributors,global market, Europe, US, Asia-Pacific, Latin America,

Companies covered include: British Sky Broadcasting Group, NTL Group, Telewest COmmunications, ITV, Flextech Television, Discovery Networks International (DNI),Telewest Communoications, The Walt Disney Company, Channel Four Group, Viacom UK,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK cable and satellite TV market was worth £3.3bn in 2003. The market has grown by 59.6% since 2000 on the back of strong growth in subscriber numbers and a constant push by the platform operators to raise the average revenue per subscribing unit (ARPU). In 2004, Key Note expects revenue to reach £3.7bn.
The market segments into four sectors: analogue cable, digital cable, paid-for satellite and free satellite. Only the digital cable and paid-for satellite are assumed to have a long-term future in the UK.
The UK market is dominated by the satellite platform and one key player, BSkyB, which is both the leading platform operator and a leading content provider. BSkyB's only rivals are the cable companies — Telewest, which like BSkyB acts as both a platform provider and content provider, and NTL, which although larger than Telewest in terms of its platform operations does not supply content. Given the segmentation of the cable market into distinct franchised areas, the industry operates effectively as a duopoly, with consumers choosing between one cable operator and BSkyB in each franchise area.
Despite the duopoly nature of the market, competition is fierce and all three main players now face a new competitive challenge from the rapidly growing free-to-air digital terrestrial platform, Freeview.
The cable and satellite industry is set for major changes between 2004 and 2008 as there will be a competitive scramble to sign up households given the proposed switch off of the analogue TV signal between 2006 and 2010.
The cable and satellite TV companies will be competing among themselves and with rivals like Freeview. To compete against the likes of Freeview, the cable and satellite platform operators will need to create a new marketing strategy based on updated tariff structures and service packages. In particular, a new segment of the market will be created as cable and satellite companies offer Lite service options, which provide access to a restricted set of services for a relatively low monthly subscription package. The Lite services will compete head on with the Freeview-style services.
In the mainstream market, interactive services, more broadly based family entertainment programmes and greater customer control over programme scheduling and start times will become the norm.
By 2008, Key Note expects just over 60% of TV households to be signed up to cable and satellite services with the multi-digital TV home firmly established, that is homes that subscribe to both Freeview and a digital cable or satellite TV service.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
 
1. Market Definition
 
DEFINITIONS
 
MARKET SECTORS
 
MARKET TRENDS
 
The Home as a Leisure Centre
 
Increased Competition for In Home Entertainment
 
Multiple Ownership of Hardware
 
The Search for Quality
 
Hardware Drives Services Demand and Services Drive Hardware Demand
 
Social Fragmentation Opens the Market for Niche TV Services
 
The End of Analogue
 
ECONOMIC TRENDS
 
Population
 
Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003
 
Household Disposable Income
 
Table 2: Household Disposable Income (£ and %), 1998-2002
 
Gross Domestic Product
 
Table 3: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (£m), 1999-2003p
 
Inflation
 
Table 4: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003
 
Unemployment
 
Table 5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 1999-2003
 
MARKET POSITION
 
Table 6: The Penetration of Satellite and Cable TV Services in the UK (million and %), Q4 2002-Q4 2003
 
2. Market Size
 
THE TOTAL MARKET
 
Revenue
 
Table 7: The Cable and Satellite TV Market by Source of Subscription Revenue (£m at end user prices), 1999-2003
 
Subscribers
 
Table 8: The Number of Cable and Satellite TV Households in the UK (000), Q1 2003-Q1 2004
 
Market Shares
 
Table 9: The Leading Cable and Satellite TV Providers by Revenue and Number of Subscribers (£m, 000 and %), 2003
 
SATELLITE TV
 
Table 10: Satellite TV Subscriber Revenue (£m and %), 2000-2004
 
Table 11: Number of Satellite TV Households (000 and %), Q1 2003-Q1 2004
 
Cable TV
 
Table 12: The Cable TV Market at End User Prices (£m and %), 2000-2004
 
Table 13: The Number of Cable TV Households (000 and %), Q1 2003-Q1 2004
 
Market Shares
 
Table 14: Volume Market Shares in the UK Cable TV Market (000 and %), Q4 2003
 
3. Industry Background
 
Recent History
 
INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS
 
Table 15: Average Financial Performance of Companies Engaged in Television Activities by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (% and £), 2003
 
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
 
Table 16: The Number of Cable and Satellite TV Platform Providers and Support Companies in the UK (number), 2003
 
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
 
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE
 
LEGISLATION
 
Changes in Industry Regulation
 
Office of Communications (Ofcom)
 
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
 
Cable Telecommunications Training Services
 
Confederation of Aerial Industries Ltd
 
The Digital Television Group
 
EuroPacketCable Forum
 
4. Competitor Analysis
 
THE MARKETPLACE
 
Table 17: The Key Pay-TV Service Packages, May 2004
 
MARKET LEADERS
 
Platform and Service Providers
 
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
NTL Group Ltd/NTL Incorporated
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Telewest Communications PLC
 
Company Structure
 
Current and Future Developments
 
Financial Results
 
Content Providers
 
ITV PLC
 
Flextech Television
 
Discovery Networks International (DNI)
 
The Walt Disney Company
 
Channel Four Group
 
Viacom UK Ltd
 
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
 
Table 18: The Number of Outside Suppliers to the Cable and Satellite TV Market, 2004
 
Content Providers/Rights Owners
 
Software/Applications Developers
 
Hardware Vendors and Distributors
 
Operational and Production Services
 
MARKETING ACTIVITY
 
Table 19: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Cable and Satellite TV Companies (£000), Year Ending December 2003
 
Table 20: The Most Heavily Advertised Channels/Brands in the Main Media Advertising (£000), Year Ending December 2003
 
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
 
STRENGTHs
 
WEAKNESSES
 
OPPORTUNITIES
 
THREATS
 
6. Buying Behaviour
 
TV: THE MOST POPULAR LEISURE ACTIVITY
 
Table 21: The Most Popular Evening and Weekend Leisure Activities (% of adults), 2003
 
THE POPULARITY OF CABLE AND SATELLITE TV
 
Table 22: Viewers Who Receive Satellite, Cable or Digital Television at Home and Length of Subscription by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003
 
Type of Service
 
Table 23: Satellite and Cable Television Services Received (% of households), 2002 and 2003
 
Value Added Services
 
Table 24: The Use of Value Added Cable and Satellite Pay-TV Services (% of households), 2002-2003
 
Table 25: Consumers Who Use a Pay-TV Service to Watch Films, Sports and Other Events by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003
 
Table 26: Penetration of Sky Digital Interactive by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003
 
The Satellite Pay-TV Consumer
 
Table 27: Sky Digital Television Services Received by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003
 
The Cable Pay-TV Consumer
 
Table 28: Cable Television Services Received by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003
 
7. Current Issues
 
DEBT LEVELS STILL A WORRY
 
LOOKING FOR A NEW BUSINESS MODEL
 
BSKYB/PREMIER LEAGUE FOOTBALL DEAL
 
8. The Global Market
 
GLOBAL TRENDS
 
EUROPE
 
US
 
ASIA-PACIFIC
 
LATIN AMERICA
 
9. Forecasts
 
INTRODUCTION
 
Forecasts 2004-2008
 
Table 29: Forecast Number of UK Cable and Satellite TV Households (million), Year-End 2004-2008
 
Table 30: Subscriber Revenue in the Cable and Satellite TV Market (£m), 2004-2009
 
10. Company Profiles
 
British Sky Broadcasting Group Plc
 
Ntl Group Ltd
 
Telewest Communications Plc
 
11. Further Sources
 
Associations
 
General Sources
 
Government Publications
 
Bonnier Information Sources

Text © 2004 Key Note

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