| KN32024 |
| KEY NOTE Market Report Cable & Satellite TV : July 2004 |
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This report covers:key trade associations, Cable Telecommunications Training Industries, The Digital Television Group, EuroPacketCable Forum, Platform and Service Providers, content providers/rights owners, software/applications developers, hardware vendors and distributors,global market, Europe, US, Asia-Pacific, Latin America,
Companies covered include: British Sky Broadcasting Group, NTL Group, Telewest COmmunications, ITV, Flextech Television, Discovery Networks International (DNI),Telewest Communoications, The Walt Disney Company, Channel Four Group, Viacom UK,
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| The UK cable and satellite TV market was worth £3.3bn in 2003. The market has grown by 59.6% since 2000 on the back of strong growth in subscriber numbers and a constant push by the platform operators to raise the average revenue per subscribing unit (ARPU). In 2004, Key Note expects revenue to reach £3.7bn. |
| The market segments into four sectors: analogue cable, digital cable, paid-for satellite and free satellite. Only the digital cable and paid-for satellite are assumed to have a long-term future in the UK. |
| The UK market is dominated by the satellite platform and one key player, BSkyB, which is both the leading platform operator and a leading content provider. BSkyB's only rivals are the cable companies Telewest, which like BSkyB acts as both a platform provider and content provider, and NTL, which although larger than Telewest in terms of its platform operations does not supply content. Given the segmentation of the cable market into distinct franchised areas, the industry operates effectively as a duopoly, with consumers choosing between one cable operator and BSkyB in each franchise area. |
| Despite the duopoly nature of the market, competition is fierce and all three main players now face a new competitive challenge from the rapidly growing free-to-air digital terrestrial platform, Freeview. |
| The cable and satellite industry is set for major changes between 2004 and 2008 as there will be a competitive scramble to sign up households given the proposed switch off of the analogue TV signal between 2006 and 2010. |
| The cable and satellite TV companies will be competing among themselves and with rivals like Freeview. To compete against the likes of Freeview, the cable and satellite platform operators will need to create a new marketing strategy based on updated tariff structures and service packages. In particular, a new segment of the market will be created as cable and satellite companies offer Lite service options, which provide access to a restricted set of services for a relatively low monthly subscription package. The Lite services will compete head on with the Freeview-style services. |
| In the mainstream market, interactive services, more broadly based family entertainment programmes and greater customer control over programme scheduling and start times will become the norm. |
| By 2008, Key Note expects just over 60% of TV households to be signed up to cable and satellite services with the multi-digital TV home firmly established, that is homes that subscribe to both Freeview and a digital cable or satellite TV service. |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| Executive Summary |
| 1. Market Definition |
| DEFINITIONS |
| MARKET SECTORS |
| MARKET TRENDS |
| The Home as a Leisure Centre |
| Increased Competition for In Home Entertainment |
| Multiple Ownership of Hardware |
| The Search for Quality |
| Hardware Drives Services Demand and Services Drive Hardware Demand |
| Social Fragmentation Opens the Market for Niche TV Services |
| The End of Analogue |
| ECONOMIC TRENDS |
| Population |
| Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003 |
| Household Disposable Income |
| Table 2: Household Disposable Income (£ and %), 1998-2002 |
| Gross Domestic Product |
| Table 3: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (£m), 1999-2003p |
| Inflation |
| Table 4: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003 |
| Unemployment |
| Table 5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 1999-2003 |
| MARKET POSITION |
| Table 6: The Penetration of Satellite and Cable TV Services in the UK (million and %), Q4 2002-Q4 2003 |
| 2. Market Size |
| THE TOTAL MARKET |
| Revenue |
| Table 7: The Cable and Satellite TV Market by Source of Subscription Revenue (£m at end user prices), 1999-2003 |
| Subscribers |
| Table 8: The Number of Cable and Satellite TV Households in the UK (000), Q1 2003-Q1 2004 |
| Market Shares |
| Table 9: The Leading Cable and Satellite TV Providers by Revenue and Number of Subscribers (£m, 000 and %), 2003 |
| SATELLITE TV |
| Table 10: Satellite TV Subscriber Revenue (£m and %), 2000-2004 |
| Table 11: Number of Satellite TV Households (000 and %), Q1 2003-Q1 2004 |
| Cable TV |
| Table 12: The Cable TV Market at End User Prices (£m and %), 2000-2004 |
| Table 13: The Number of Cable TV Households (000 and %), Q1 2003-Q1 2004 |
| Market Shares |
| Table 14: Volume Market Shares in the UK Cable TV Market (000 and %), Q4 2003 |
| 3. Industry Background |
| Recent History |
| INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS |
| Table 15: Average Financial Performance of Companies Engaged in Television Activities by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (% and £), 2003 |
| NUMBER OF COMPANIES |
| Table 16: The Number of Cable and Satellite TV Platform Providers and Support Companies in the UK (number), 2003 |
| HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? |
| REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE |
| LEGISLATION |
| Changes in Industry Regulation |
| Office of Communications (Ofcom) |
| KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS |
| Cable Telecommunications Training Services |
| Confederation of Aerial Industries Ltd |
| The Digital Television Group |
| EuroPacketCable Forum |
| 4. Competitor Analysis |
| THE MARKETPLACE |
| Table 17: The Key Pay-TV Service Packages, May 2004 |
| MARKET LEADERS |
| Platform and Service Providers |
| British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| NTL Group Ltd/NTL Incorporated |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Telewest Communications PLC |
| Company Structure |
| Current and Future Developments |
| Financial Results |
| Content Providers |
| ITV PLC |
| Flextech Television |
| Discovery Networks International (DNI) |
| The Walt Disney Company |
| Channel Four Group |
| Viacom UK Ltd |
| OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS |
| Table 18: The Number of Outside Suppliers to the Cable and Satellite TV Market, 2004 |
| Content Providers/Rights Owners |
| Software/Applications Developers |
| Hardware Vendors and Distributors |
| Operational and Production Services |
| MARKETING ACTIVITY |
| Table 19: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Cable and Satellite TV Companies (£000), Year Ending December 2003 |
| Table 20: The Most Heavily Advertised Channels/Brands in the Main Media Advertising (£000), Year Ending December 2003 |
| 5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats |
| STRENGTHs |
| WEAKNESSES |
| OPPORTUNITIES |
| THREATS |
| 6. Buying Behaviour |
| TV: THE MOST POPULAR LEISURE ACTIVITY |
| Table 21: The Most Popular Evening and Weekend Leisure Activities (% of adults), 2003 |
| THE POPULARITY OF CABLE AND SATELLITE TV |
| Table 22: Viewers Who Receive Satellite, Cable or Digital Television at Home and Length of Subscription by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003 |
| Type of Service |
| Table 23: Satellite and Cable Television Services Received (% of households), 2002 and 2003 |
| Value Added Services |
| Table 24: The Use of Value Added Cable and Satellite Pay-TV Services (% of households), 2002-2003 |
| Table 25: Consumers Who Use a Pay-TV Service to Watch Films, Sports and Other Events by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003 |
| Table 26: Penetration of Sky Digital Interactive by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003 |
| The Satellite Pay-TV Consumer |
| Table 27: Sky Digital Television Services Received by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003 |
| The Cable Pay-TV Consumer |
| Table 28: Cable Television Services Received by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Income (% of households), 2003 |
| 7. Current Issues |
| DEBT LEVELS STILL A WORRY |
| LOOKING FOR A NEW BUSINESS MODEL |
| BSKYB/PREMIER LEAGUE FOOTBALL DEAL |
| 8. The Global Market |
| GLOBAL TRENDS |
| EUROPE |
| US |
| ASIA-PACIFIC |
| LATIN AMERICA |
| 9. Forecasts |
| INTRODUCTION |
| Forecasts 2004-2008 |
| Table 29: Forecast Number of UK Cable and Satellite TV Households (million), Year-End 2004-2008 |
| Table 30: Subscriber Revenue in the Cable and Satellite TV Market (£m), 2004-2009 |
| 10. Company Profiles |
| British Sky Broadcasting Group Plc |
| Ntl Group Ltd |
| Telewest Communications Plc |
| 11. Further Sources |
| Associations |
| General Sources |
| Government Publications |
| Bonnier Information Sources |
Text © 2004 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous September 2004